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1347 E 13th St
C+ Composite 62.24
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

1347 E 13th St · Douglas, AZ 85607
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,070 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 52 Days on market
Built 1914 7,090 sqft lot $89/sqft · 33% below area Est $142k · 33% under ↓ 26% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Looking for your next project? Take a look at this 3-bedroom 1 bathroom home. Don't miss out on this opportunity take a look now.

Key facts

  • 7,090 sq ft lot
  • Built 1914
  • Listed 51 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot size approximately 7,090 (assessor)
  • Financial info: Current financing: Other
  • HOA & community: No association fees

Exterior

  • Utilities: City water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Fee simple ownership
  • Construction: Stucco and wood frame construction; Rolled/Hot Mop roof
  • Exterior features: Natural desert front landscaping; Chain link fencing

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (possible)
  • Flooring: Laminate; Vinyl; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Evaporative cooling; Heating details listed in remarks
  • Interior features: Laminate, vinyl, and tile flooring; Evaporative cooling; Heating details available in remarks
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup only

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $191 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($981 rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 4.3% in Douglas — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 70/100 on livability (#39 in AZ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities D-, commute F, employment F.
  • Douglas Unified District (4174) (town): math 9% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #209 of 249 in AZ (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 72% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Joe Carlson Elementary School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #752 of 1,109 statewide, top 70%, 419 students, 87% FRL); Paul H Huber Jr High School (math 9% / reading 28%, grade F, #140 of 218 statewide, top 65%, 436 students, 82% FRL); Douglas High School (math 14% / reading 28%, grade F, #220 of 381 statewide, top 58%, 1,405 students, 83% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 163 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 437 units permitted in Cochise County in 2024 (6 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cochise County population projected at -30% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 6→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $92,150 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.03%
Cap rate
8.71%
Cash-on-cash
8.62%
DSCR
1.38
GRM
8.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$141,502
List price
$95,000
Delta
-32.86%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1496 N Dolores Ave 0.14mi 3/1.0 1,222 (+14%) 5mo $85,000 $70 66
1517 E 9th St 0.35mi 3/2.0 1,145 (+7%) 6mo $179,000 $156 63
660 B Ave 0.54mi 3/2.0 1,026 (-4%) 8mo $197,000 $192 58
1005 E 15th St 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,000 (-6%) 18mo $205,000 $205 54
633 E 7th St 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,092 (+2%) 11mo $130,000 $119 53
1305 E 14th St 0.08mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,208 (+13%) 21mo $185,000 $153 52
1008 E 19th St 0.54mi 3/1.0 1,150 (+8%) 14mo $155,000 $135 51
1045 E 12th St 0.26mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,186 (+11%) 22mo $135,000 $114 46
973 E 18th St 0.49mi 3/1.0 963 (-10%) 20mo $150,000 $156 44
1457 E 23rd Street -- 0.75mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,120 (+5%) 7mo $205,000 $183 43
655 E 7th St 0.72mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,027 (-4%) 16mo $115,500 $112 41
1030 E 17th St 0.42mi 3/3.0 1,151 (+8%) 22mo $159,900 $139 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-3.3%
Equity multiple
0.88×
Total profit
$-3,260
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
6.4%
Equity multiple
1.48×
Total profit
$12,704
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Arizona
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day pay-or-quit; AZ courts known for speed; no state rent control; cities preempted by state law.

ZIP-level market 85607

Active inventory
163
Price-to-rent
8.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$981 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$46 /mo · $553/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$206
Net cashflow
$191

Break-even live

Break-even rent $739
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $245 -5% $218 +0% $191 +5% $164 +10% $137
Rent -10% $114 -5% $152 +0% $191 +5% $230 +10% $268
Rate -1.0pp $239 -0.5pp $215 base $191 +0.5pp $166 +1.0pp $141

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 13 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1165 E 10th St Unit 3 Douglas, AZ 3.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 44d 1 0.23mi
938 E 12th St Douglas, AZ 2.0 1.0 731 $795 $1.09 44d 1 0.32mi
902 E 13th St Douglas, AZ 2.0 1.0 900 $800 $0.89 44d 1 0.36mi
942 E 8th St Douglas, AZ 3.0 2.0 1468 $1,100 $0.75 44d 1 0.44mi
703 E 13th St Douglas, AZ 2.0 1.0 1125 $1,000 $0.89 44d 1 0.54mi
1951 E 13th St Douglas, AZ 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,500 $1.07 44d 1 0.66mi
834 E 5th St Douglas, AZ 2.0 2.0 862 $875 $1.02 44d 1 0.67mi
1738 N C Ave Douglas, AZ 3.0 2.0 1371 $1,300 $0.95 44d 1 0.71mi
1955 E 8th St Apt 1 Douglas, AZ 2.0 1.0 700 $775 $1.11 44d 1 0.73mi
1134 E 23rd St Douglas, AZ 2.0 1.0 960 $1,000 $1.04 44d 1 0.76mi
1100 N Washington Ave Apt G Douglas, AZ 2.0 1.0 1143 $675 $0.59 44d 1 0.77mi
704 N Elizabeth Ave Douglas, AZ 3.0 2.0 1336 $1,700 $1.27 44d 1 1.42mi
430 N Christine Ave Douglas, AZ 3.0 2.0 1073 $1,300 $1.21 44d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $95,000 Active 52 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,000 Active 51 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 50 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $95,000 Active 49 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 48 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $95,000 Active 46 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $95,000 Active 45 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $95,000 Active 42 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 41 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 40 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $95,000 Active 36 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 35 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 34 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 33 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 32 DOM
  16. 2026-05-13
    status Active 129-char remark
  17. 2026-05-12
    status Pending 129-char remark
  18. 2026-04-20
    listed $95,000 Active 129-char remark
  19. 2026-04-01
    historical
  20. 2025-09-25
    price $118,000
  21. 2025-08-19
    listed $128,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AZ · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$553 · $46/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$627 · $52/mo
Expected delta
+$74/yr (+$6/mo · 13.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 6 d/yr ≥99°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,770
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$553
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$942
− Management
−$942
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$774
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$186
After-tax cash flow
$2,106/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Douglas Unified District (4174)
NCES district ID
0402530
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -19.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$29,006
Composite
12.94/100
National rank
#9577
State rank
#209 of 249 in AZ

Livability — Douglas

Score
70/100
State rank
#39
US rank
#7635

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Douglas, AZ
Population (ZIP)
17,009

Population outlook (Cochise County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
113,402 people
By 2030
106,197 · -6.4%
By 2040
92,166 · -18.7%
By 2050
79,805 · -29.6%
By 2075
56,831 · -49.9%
By 2100
35,103 · -69.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (88%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 88% Two or more races 45% White 8% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 85%
Foreign-born
26% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
24% English-only · Spanish 74% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cochise

2024 margin
Strong R (+23.1) · D 37.8% · R 61.0% · Other 1.2%
2008→2024 swing
-2.5pp toward R · 2008: -20.7pp · 2024: -23.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+23.1 2020: R+19.6 2016: R+22.6 2012: R+24.0 2008: R+20.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -89.92%
Current HPI
147.0847
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.54%
F500 in state
20

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AZ)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-25.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Relisted ARMLS
  • 2026-05-12 Pending ARMLS
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $95,000 ARMLS
  • 2026-04-01 Listing Removed ARMLS
  • 2025-09-25 Price Changed $118,000 ARMLS
  • 2025-08-19 Listed $128,000 ARMLS

Property tax history

+5.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $553 · +2.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…