327 W Wilson #82 · Costa Mesa, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 85°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +6.5/15.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$158,477
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Freshly updated and move-in ready, this charming home features new wood-style flooring, recessed lighting, and an open living space filled with natural light. Bright kitchen offers white cabinets, stainless appliances, and modern fixtures. Upgraded bath with stylish vanity and tile accents. Clean, inviting, and low-maintenance throughout.
Key facts
- Bright kitchen
- White cabinets
- Stainless appliances
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $158k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($12k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $158k).
- Recommended offer: $144k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.1% vs local median 1.8% in Costa Mesa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#558 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, amenities B; Watch: schools C-, health & safety D+, crime F.
- Newport-Mesa Unified (urban): math 46% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #106 of 517 in CA (top 20%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.7%/yr); 97 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 6,974 units permitted in Orange County in 2024 (3,839 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Orange County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.7% rent growth), your $44k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 98 days — a 9% lower offer ($144k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 5 sale attempts since 26y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $129k; 23% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 98 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.09%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.86%
- DSCR
- 2.24
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $155,000
- List price
- $158,477
- Delta
- 2.24%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 327 W Wilson #88 | 0.00mi | 2/2.0 | 768 (+4%) | 3mo | $155,000 | $202 | 90 |
| 327 W Wilson St #49 | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (+11%) | 4mo | $165,000 | $202 | 74 |
| 1973 Newport Blvd #50 | 0.61mi | 2/2.0 | 780 (+6%) | 13mo | $160,000 | $205 | 50 |
| 1973 Newport Blvd #17 | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 | 800 (+9%) | 10mo | $136,000 | $170 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.71% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.82×
- Total profit
- $36,522
- Equity at exit
- $23,629
- IRR
- 27.8%
- Equity multiple
- 3.31×
- Total profit
- $102,666
- Equity at exit
- $13,702
Cash invested: $44,374 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92627
- Rents YoY
- 1.7%
- Active inventory
- 97
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,690 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$831
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$198 /mo · $2,377/yr
- Insurance
- −$66
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$565
- Net cashflow
- $1,030
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,140 | -5% $1,085 | +0% $1,030 | +5% $975 | +10% $921 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $818 | -5% $924 | +0% $1,030 | +5% $1,136 | +10% $1,243 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,110 | -0.5pp $1,070 | base $1,030 | +0.5pp $989 | +1.0pp $947 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,619
- Closing costs
- $4,754
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 140 W Wilson St Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 585 | $2,250 | $3.85 | 21d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 393 Hamilton St Unit B1 Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $2,200 | $3.82 | 21d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 393 Hamilton St Unit N1 Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 576 | $2,050 | $3.56 | 21d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 2400 Harbor Blvd Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1010 | $3,955 | $3.92 | 2d | 17 | 0.46mi |
| 2080 Newport Blvd Apt 226 Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 424 | $1,845 | $4.35 | 25d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 2110 Newport Blvd Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 480 | $1,900 | $3.96 | 25d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 2323 Elden Ave Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 684 | $2,445 | $3.57 | 4d | 2 | 0.58mi |
| 177 22nd St Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $2,625 | $3.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1995 Maple St Unit 1999-202 Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $2,650 | $3.76 | 44d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 1995 Maple St Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $2,575 | $3.66 | 5d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 109 Clearbrook Ln Unit C Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $2,450 | $3.27 | 25d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 2000 Parsons St Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 800 | $3,215 | $4.02 | 14d | 5 | 0.64mi |
| 136 E Bay St Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $2,550 | $3.64 | 44d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 2029 Harbor Blvd Unit 8 Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 638 | $2,750 | $4.31 | 25d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 2029 Harbor Blvd Unit 7 Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 616 | $2,850 | $4.63 | 8d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 1999 Maple Ave Unit 202 Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 704 | $2,575 | $3.66 | 8d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 673 Victoria St Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $3,000 | $4.29 | 17d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 425 Merrimac Way Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $2,540 | $4.23 | 2d | 6 | 0.83mi |
| 1911 Church St #4 Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 360 | $1,995 | $5.54 | 44d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 400 Merrimac Way Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 634 | $2,350 | $3.71 | 2d | 3 | 0.93mi |
| 1919 Maple Ave Unit 1917-06 Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 440 | $1,975 | $4.49 | 25d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1919 Maple Ave Unit 1917-14 Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 440 | $1,975 | $4.49 | 11d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1500 Mesa Verde Dr E Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 813 | $3,078 | $3.79 | 2d | 8 | 1.09mi |
| 2700 Peterson Pl Costa Mesa, CA | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 802 | $3,231 | $4.03 | 2d | 22 | 1.11mi |
| 1975 Pomona Ave Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 650 | $1,995 | $3.07 | 14d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 790 Hamilton St Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 555 | $2,300 | $4.14 | 22d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 286 E 19th St Unit B Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 550 | $2,375 | $4.32 | 20d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 2115 Placentia Ave Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 725 | $2,595 | $3.58 | 3d | 4 | 1.18mi |
| 187 E 18th St Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 725 | $2,400 | $3.31 | 19d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 187 E 18th St Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 600 | $2,400 | $4.00 | 25d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 140 Cabrillo St Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 337 | $1,795 | $5.32 | 17d | 2 | 1.31mi |
| 2775 Mesa Verde Dr E Costa Mesa, CA | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 968 | $3,687 | $3.81 | 2d | 73 | 1.39mi |
| 2855 Pinecreek Dr Apt A230 Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 495 | $2,545 | $5.14 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2855 Pinecreek Dr Unit E-323 Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 495 | $2,545 | $5.14 | 3d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2855 Pinecreek Dr Unit A-301 Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 495 | $2,715 | $5.48 | 14d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2855 Pinecreek Dr Unit A-303 Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 748 | $2,865 | $3.83 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2855 Pinecreek Dr Unit F-308 Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $2,625 | $3.62 | 25d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2855 Pinecreek Dr Unit D-113 Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 495 | $2,275 | $4.60 | 3d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2855 Pinecreek Dr Apt C104 Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 748 | $2,595 | $3.47 | 3d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 2855 Pinecreek Dr Apt F136 Costa Mesa, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 726 | $2,810 | $3.87 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-09days on market $158,477 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $158,477 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $158,477 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $158,477 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $158,477 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-02pricedays on market $158,477 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $161,999 Active 90 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $161,999 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-05-01price $161,999 340-char remark
Show marketing remark (340 chars)
Freshly updated and move-in ready, this charming home features new wood-style flooring, recessed lighting, and an open living space filled with natural light. Bright kitchen offers white cabinets, stainless appliances, and modern fixtures. Upgraded bath with stylish vanity and tile accents. Clean, inviting, and low-maintenance throughout.
-
2026-03-03$165,000 Active 340-char remark
Show marketing remark (340 chars)
Freshly updated and move-in ready, this charming home features new wood-style flooring, recessed lighting, and an open living space filled with natural light. Bright kitchen offers white cabinets, stainless appliances, and modern fixtures. Upgraded bath with stylish vanity and tile accents. Clean, inviting, and low-maintenance throughout.
-
2023-11-01soldstatus $129,000 Closed Sale 400-char remark
Show marketing remark (400 chars)
Welcome to this upgraded 2 bed 2 bath double wide mobile home in Costa Mesa Estates. newer exterior and interior paint, skylight in living room bringing that natural light in, newer laminate floors throughout with tile floors in the bathroom. newer water heater, conveniently located near the 55, 405 freeways and 71 toll road, schools, shopping and entertainment. approximately 4 miles to the beach.
-
2023-09-12status Pending Sale 400-char remark
Show marketing remark (400 chars)
Welcome to this upgraded 2 bed 2 bath double wide mobile home in Costa Mesa Estates. newer exterior and interior paint, skylight in living room bringing that natural light in, newer laminate floors throughout with tile floors in the bathroom. newer water heater, conveniently located near the 55, 405 freeways and 71 toll road, schools, shopping and entertainment. approximately 4 miles to the beach.
-
2023-07-07status Active 400-char remark
Show marketing remark (400 chars)
Welcome to this upgraded 2 bed 2 bath double wide mobile home in Costa Mesa Estates. newer exterior and interior paint, skylight in living room bringing that natural light in, newer laminate floors throughout with tile floors in the bathroom. newer water heater, conveniently located near the 55, 405 freeways and 71 toll road, schools, shopping and entertainment. approximately 4 miles to the beach.
-
2023-04-18status Pending Sale 400-char remark
Show marketing remark (400 chars)
Welcome to this upgraded 2 bed 2 bath double wide mobile home in Costa Mesa Estates. newer exterior and interior paint, skylight in living room bringing that natural light in, newer laminate floors throughout with tile floors in the bathroom. newer water heater, conveniently located near the 55, 405 freeways and 71 toll road, schools, shopping and entertainment. approximately 4 miles to the beach.
-
2023-04-09$129,000 Active 400-char remark
Show marketing remark (400 chars)
Welcome to this upgraded 2 bed 2 bath double wide mobile home in Costa Mesa Estates. newer exterior and interior paint, skylight in living room bringing that natural light in, newer laminate floors throughout with tile floors in the bathroom. newer water heater, conveniently located near the 55, 405 freeways and 71 toll road, schools, shopping and entertainment. approximately 4 miles to the beach.
-
2022-11-21status Pending Sale
-
2022-11-21historical
-
2022-11-11$119,000 Active
-
2001-04-24historical
-
2000-10-31$59,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥85°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,283
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,877
- − Property taxes
- −$2,377
- − Insurance
- −$792
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,583
- − Management
- −$2,583
- − Depreciation
- −$4,610
- Taxable income
- $10,461
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,511
- After-tax cash flow
- $9,851/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Newport-Mesa Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0627240
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 58% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $83,922
- Composite
- 47.64/100
- National rank
- #2248
- State rank
- #106 of 517 in CA
Livability — Costa Mesa
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #558
- US rank
- #18441
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Costa Mesa, CA
- County
- Orange County · 3,096,323 people
- City population
- 111,101
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 60,393
- Household income
- $108,994
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2889.0
Population outlook (Orange County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 3,477,456 people
- By 2030
- 3,613,117 · +3.9%
- By 2040
- 3,835,945 · +10.3%
- By 2050
- 3,968,736 · +14.1%
- By 2075
- 4,097,053 · +17.8%
- By 2100
- 3,903,633 · +12.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 48% Hispanic / Latino 41% Two or more races 18% Asian 4% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 32%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 22% · Canada, Vietnam, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 62% English-only · Spanish 32% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Orange
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 49.7% · R 47.1% · Other 3.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.2pp toward D · 2008: -2.6pp · 2024: 2.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+2.6 2020: D+9.0 2016: D+7.7 2012: R+8.3 2008: R+2.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -1520.53%
- Current HPI
- 455.1299
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.71%
- Metro
- Los Angeles-Long Beach-Anaheim, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
||
Price history
+170.4% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Price Changed $161,999 CRMLS
- 2026-03-03 Listed $165,000 CRMLS
- 2023-11-01 Sold (MLS) $129,000 CRMLS
- 2023-09-12 Pending — CRMLS
- 2023-07-07 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2023-04-18 Pending — CRMLS
- 2023-04-09 Listed $129,000 CRMLS
- 2022-11-21 Pending — CRMLS
- 2022-11-21 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2022-11-11 Listed $119,000 CRMLS
- 2001-04-24 Listing Removed — CRMLS
- 2000-10-31 Listed $59,900 CRMLS
Property tax history
-3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $155 · -0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…