2040 Greenview Shores Blvd #223 · Wellington, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +10.2/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Schools +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- DSCR +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$299,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
BEST VIEWS IN ARISSA PLACE! 5 MINUTE DRIVE TO THE PB INTERNATIONAL EQUESTRIAN CENTER! 7 MINUTES TO INTERNATIONAL POLO CLUB OF PB! 1 CAR GARAGE! This 3 bedroom, 2 full bath unit with balcony overlooking the BEST views of Arissa Place has been fully updated and outfitted with brand new high end furnishings! Fully stocked and ready for seasonal and off seasonal rental or just bring your toothbrush and come enjoy the Wellington season!
Key facts
- Fully updated
- $475 HOA
- Garage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Pets allowed (restrictions possible)
- HOA & community: HOA with monthly fee; HOA amenities include pool and picnic area; Monthly association fee of 475
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 1-car garage with garage door opener; Guest parking; 1 covered parking space
- Security: Smoke detectors; Security lights; Owned security system; Gated community (no guard)
- Utilities: Cable available
- Home design: Condominium; 3 stories; Resale property; Faces west
- Construction: CBS construction
- Exterior features: On golf course; Waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Built-in features; Custom mirrors; Furnished
- Laundry & utility: Indoor laundry; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $299k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-169 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $269k (10.0% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $299k).
- Recommended offer: $263k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.4% in Wellington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#294 in FL, #4,986 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: New Horizons Elementary School (math 55% / reading 64%, grade B-, #690 of 2,144 statewide, top 34%, 727 students, 45% FRL); Polo Park Middle School (math 65% / reading 68%, grade A-, #84 of 571 statewide, top 16%, 1,156 students, 33% FRL); Wellington High School (math 57% / reading 65%, grade C+, #102 of 667 statewide, top 15%, 2,688 students, 29% FRL) — zoned schools average 36% FRL vs 52% district-wide (16 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 62% at this address vs 50% district-wide (+13 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Palm Beach average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.3%/yr); 616 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($112k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 201 days — a 12% lower offer ($263k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask is 9545% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
- Current owner paid $203k; 47% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 201 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.42%
- DSCR
- 0.89
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.31% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -21.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.27×
- Total profit
- $-60,937
- Equity at exit
- $44,582
- IRR
- -16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.12×
- Total profit
- $-73,959
- Equity at exit
- $25,852
Cash invested: $83,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33414
- Home prices YoY
- -30.2%
- Rents YoY
- 2.3%
- Active inventory
- 616
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,081 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,568
- Tax from tax record
- −$435 /mo · $5,217/yr
- Insurance
- −$125
- HOA
- −$475
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$647
- Net cashflow
- $-169
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1 | -5% $-84 | +0% $-169 | +5% $-253 | +10% $-338 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-412 | -5% $-290 | +0% $-169 | +5% $-47 | +10% $75 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-18 | -0.5pp $-93 | base $-169 | +0.5pp $-246 | +1.0pp $-325 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $74,750
- Closing costs
- $8,970
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2040 Greenview Shores Blvd Wellington, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 929 | $4,000 | $4.31 | 24d | 2 | 0.02mi |
| 2080 Greenview Shores Blvd Wellington, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1156 | $2,675 | $2.31 | 5d | 3 | 0.05mi |
| 2060 Greenview Shores Blvd Wellington, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 972 | $3,350 | $3.44 | 11d | 4 | 0.05mi |
| 2100 Greenview Shores Blvd Wellington, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,200 | $1.83 | 13d | 2 | 0.05mi |
| 2100 Greenview Shores Blvd #519 Wellington, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $2,500 | $2.08 | 24d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 2474 Bedford Mews Dr Wellington, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1231 | $7,000 | $5.69 | 15d | 1 | 0.31mi |
| 2514 Bedford Mews Dr Wellington, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1231 | $3,000 | $2.44 | 24d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 2555 Bedford Mews Dr Wellington, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1406 | $3,700 | $2.63 | 8d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 13675 Yarmouth Ct Wellington, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1427 | $2,850 | $2.00 | 24d | 1 | 0.36mi |
| 13671 Yarmouth Ct Wellington, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $2,850 | $1.97 | 11d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 13671 Yarmouth Ct Wellington, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $2,750 | $1.90 | 24d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 13647 Yarmouth Ct Wellington, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1460 | $2,500 | $1.71 | 24d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 13769 Yarmouth Dr Wellington, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1429 | $2,600 | $1.82 | 17d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 13769 Yarmouth Dr Wellington, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1429 | $2,600 | $1.82 | 15d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 13644 Yarmouth Ct Unit A Wellington, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1001 | $2,400 | $2.40 | 24d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 13491 Fountain View Blvd Wellington, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1481 | $3,000 | $2.03 | 24d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 13796 Yarmouth Dr Wellington, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1384 | $2,500 | $1.81 | 24d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 13501 Fountain View Blvd Wellington, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1481 | $3,500 | $2.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2606 Bedford Mews Dr Unit (off-season Furnished Rental) Wellington, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1219 | $2,350 | $1.93 | 24d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 13324 Bedford Mews Ct Wellington, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1489 | $6,000 | $4.03 | 19d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1654 Hawthorne Pl Wellington, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1250 | $2,200 | $1.76 | 3d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 1646 Hawthorne Pl Wellington, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1133 | $2,400 | $2.12 | 17d | 1 | 0.54mi |
| 13526 Fountain View Blvd Wellington, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $3,600 | $2.51 | 24d | 1 | 0.55mi |
| 13792 Creston Pl Wellington, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1219 | $3,000 | $2.46 | 8d | 1 | 0.57mi |
| 13868 York Ct Unit C Wellington, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1031 | $2,250 | $2.18 | 24d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 1543 Westchester Ave Wellington, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1219 | $4,500 | $3.69 | 21d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1598 Hawthorne Pl Wellington, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1365 | $3,600 | $2.64 | 24d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 1168 Amaryllis Ct Wellington, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1087 | $1,800 | $1.66 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1511 Hawthorne Pl Wellington, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1089 | $2,000 | $1.84 | 24d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1440 Hawthorne Pl Wellington, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $2,595 | $2.36 | 24d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 1509 Hawthorne Pl Wellington, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1089 | $2,300 | $2.11 | 24d | 1 | 0.74mi |
| 14032 Wellington Trce Wellington, FL | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1300 | $2,500 | $1.92 | 24d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 13009 Meadowbreeze Dr Wellington, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1436 | $3,775 | $2.63 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1317 Periwinkle Pl Wellington, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1275 | $5,500 | $4.31 | 24d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1910 Capeside Cir Wellington, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1208 | $2,530 | $2.09 | 16d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1368 Periwinkle Pl Wellington, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1037 | $2,800 | $2.70 | 24d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1215 Hyacinth Pl Unit 1215 Wellington, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1302 | $3,000 | $2.30 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 13785 Sunflower Ct Unit A Wellington, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $2,600 | $1.81 | 8d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 12725 Shoreline Dr Unit 6C Wellington, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1097 | $3,200 | $2.92 | 24d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1289 Periwinkle Pl Wellington, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1054 | $2,500 | $2.37 | 24d | 1 | 0.93mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $475 · $5,700/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $299,000 Active 201 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $299,000 Active 200 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $299,000 Active 199 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $299,000 Active 198 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $299,000 Active 196 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $299,000 Active 192 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $299,000 Active 190 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $299,000 Active 187 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $299,000 Active 186 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $299,000 Active 184 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $299,000 Active 183 DOM
-
2026-05-23status Active
-
2026-03-31$3,100
-
2026-03-31historical $4,300
-
2026-03-30historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-01-19price $299,000
-
2026-01-08price $319,900
-
2025-11-26$324,900 Active
-
2025-10-02price $4,300
-
2025-08-10$4,800
-
2024-03-24historical $3,000
-
2023-10-29$3,000
-
2020-11-30soldstatus $203,100
-
2020-11-19soldstatus $203,100 Closed
-
2020-11-09status Pending
-
2020-11-02$209,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $5,217 · $435/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $5,217 · $435/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $36,969
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,749
- − Property taxes
- −$5,217
- − Insurance
- −$1,495
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,957
- − Management
- −$2,957
- − HOA
- −$5,700
- − Depreciation
- −$8,698
- Taxable loss
- −$6,806
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,633
- After-tax cash flow
- $-390/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Palm Beach
- NCES district ID
- 1201500
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $53,943
- Composite
- 42.72/100
- National rank
- #3160
- State rank
- #34 of 73 in FL
Livability — Wellington
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #294
- US rank
- #4986
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Wellington, FL
- County
- Palm Beach County · 1,438,312 people
- City population
- 60,184
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 60,184
- Household income
- $112,241
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1566.0
Population outlook (Palm Beach County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,637,487 people
- By 2030
- 1,743,255 · +6.5%
- By 2040
- 1,948,712 · +19.0%
- By 2050
- 2,132,979 · +30.3%
- By 2075
- 2,530,027 · +54.5%
- By 2100
- 2,706,979 · +65.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 47% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 20% Black 13% Asian 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 6% Dominican 1% Salvadoran 1%
- Common ancestry
- Hispanic 4% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 26% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 67% English-only · Spanish 23% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Other Indo-European 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Palm Beach
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.0% · R 49.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -22.1pp toward R · 2008: 22.9pp · 2024: 0.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+0.8 2020: D+12.8 2016: D+15.3 2012: D+17.0 2008: D+22.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -152.58%
- Current HPI
- 352.9366
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.31%
- Metro
- Miami-Fort Lauderdale-Pompano Beach, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-98.5% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-23 Relisted — Beaches MLS
- 2026-03-31 Listed for Rent $3,100 RMLSFL
- 2026-03-31 Rental Removed $4,300 RMLSFL
- 2026-03-30 Contingent — Beaches MLS
- 2026-01-19 Price Changed $299,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-01-08 Price Changed $319,900 Beaches MLS
- 2025-11-26 Listed $324,900 Beaches MLS
- 2025-10-02 Price Changed $4,300 RMLSFL
- 2025-08-10 Listed for Rent $4,800 RMLSFL
- 2024-03-24 Rental Removed $3,000 APPFOLIO
- 2023-10-29 Listed for Rent $3,000 APPFOLIO
- 2020-11-30 Sold (Public Records) $203,100 Public Records
- 2020-11-19 Sold (MLS) $203,100 Beaches MLS
- 2020-11-09 Pending — Beaches MLS
- 2020-11-02 Listed $209,900 Beaches MLS
Property tax history
+11.7%/yrLatest (2025): $5,217 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…