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26019 3rd St, #119
D Composite 44.29
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$15,500

26019 3rd St, #119 · Taylor, MI 48180
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,100 sqft · Manufactured · 35 Days on market
Built 2016 $725/mo HOA · 60% of rent ↓ 11% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

GREAT OPPOTUNITY TO BECOME A HOME OWNER , Beautiful open space, Ready to be decorated , appliances and shed available move in and enjoy BATVAI, Agent to be present during showings and inspection , c/o will be completed ,

Key facts

  • Built 2016
  • Listed 35 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Pets allowed with breed restrictions; dogs OK
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee of $725; HOA fee includes water and trash

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public sewer; Other water source
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; 1,100 square feet above grade
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Shed on property; Sidewalks in the community; Irregular-shaped lot

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: Crawl space basement; One total room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $16k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $119 ($1k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $16k).
  • Recommended offer: $15k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.5% vs local median 5.4% in Taylor — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#144 in MI, #3,684 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F.
  • Taylor School District (urban): math 14% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #462 of 540 in MI (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Clarence Randall Elem School (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #1,230 of 1,397 statewide, top 91%, 461 students, 81% FRL); Hoover Middle School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #425 of 493 statewide, top 87%, 490 students, 81% FRL); Taylor High School (math 37% / reading 52%, grade F, #214 of 713 statewide, top 36%, 1,394 students, 66% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 289 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $107 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $465 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($15k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $2k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: HOA is 60% of rent.
Recommended offer $15,035 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
7.77%
Cap rate
15.50%
Cash-on-cash
32.90%
DSCR
2.46
GRM
1.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.9% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
37.9%
Equity multiple
2.81×
Total profit
$7,875
Equity at exit
$2,311
10-year hold
IRR
48.1%
Equity multiple
7.57×
Total profit
$28,503
Equity at exit
$1,340

Cash invested: $4,340 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48180

Rents YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
289
Price-to-rent
1.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,204 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$81
Tax est. 1.5%
$19 /mo · $232/yr
Insurance
$6
HOA
$725
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$253
Net cashflow
$119

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,053
Max offer price $15,500
Occupancy floor 85%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $130 -5% $124 +0% $119 +5% $114 +10% $108
Rent -10% $24 -5% $71 +0% $119 +5% $167 +10% $214
Rate -1.0pp $127 -0.5pp $123 base $119 +0.5pp $115 +1.0pp $111

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$3,875
Closing costs
$465
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
24268 Haskell St Taylor, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 880 $1,140 $1.30 0d 7 1.05mi
7873 Syracuse St Taylor, MI 2.0 1.0 728 $1,400 $1.92 45d 1 1.29mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$725 · $8,700/yr

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $15,500 Active 35 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $15,500 Active 32 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $15,500 Active 31 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $15,500 Active 30 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $15,500 Active 29 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $15,500 Active 27 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $15,500 Active 26 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $15,500 Active 23 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $15,500 Active 22 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $15,500 Active 21 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $15,500 Active 18 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $15,500 Active 17 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $15,500 Active 16 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $15,500 Active 15 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $15,500 Active 14 DOM
  16. 2026-05-28
    price $15,500 220-char remark
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    GREAT OPPOTUNITY TO BECOME A HOME OWNER , Beautiful open space, Ready to be decorated , appliances and shed available move in and enjoy BATVAI, Agent to be present during showings and inspection , c/o will be completed ,

  17. 2026-05-28
    status Active 220-char remark
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    GREAT OPPOTUNITY TO BECOME A HOME OWNER , Beautiful open space, Ready to be decorated , appliances and shed available move in and enjoy BATVAI, Agent to be present during showings and inspection , c/o will be completed ,

  18. 2026-05-28
    price $15,500
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    GREAT OPPOTUNITY TO BECOME A HOME OWNER , Beautiful open space, Ready to be decorated , appliances and shed available move in and enjoy BATVAI, Agent to be present during showings and inspection , c/o will be completed ,

  19. 2026-05-28
    status Active
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    GREAT OPPOTUNITY TO BECOME A HOME OWNER , Beautiful open space, Ready to be decorated , appliances and shed available move in and enjoy BATVAI, Agent to be present during showings and inspection , c/o will be completed ,

  20. 2026-03-23
    historical
  21. 2026-03-22
    historical 220-char remark
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    GREAT OPPOTUNITY TO BECOME A HOME OWNER , Beautiful open space, Ready to be decorated , appliances and shed available move in and enjoy BATVAI, Agent to be present during showings and inspection , c/o will be completed ,

  22. 2026-03-14
    listed $17,500 Active 220-char remark
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    GREAT OPPOTUNITY TO BECOME A HOME OWNER , Beautiful open space, Ready to be decorated , appliances and shed available move in and enjoy BATVAI, Agent to be present during showings and inspection , c/o will be completed ,

  23. 2026-03-14
    listed $17,500 Active
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    GREAT OPPOTUNITY TO BECOME A HOME OWNER , Beautiful open space, Ready to be decorated , appliances and shed available move in and enjoy BATVAI, Agent to be present during showings and inspection , c/o will be completed ,

  24. 2026-03-13
    historical $17,500 220-char remark
    Show marketing remark (220 chars)

    GREAT OPPOTUNITY TO BECOME A HOME OWNER , Beautiful open space, Ready to be decorated , appliances and shed available move in and enjoy BATVAI, Agent to be present during showings and inspection , c/o will be completed ,

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,447
− Mortgage interest
−$868
− Property taxes
−$232
− Insurance
−$78
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,156
− Management
−$1,156
− HOA
−$8,700
− Depreciation
−$451
Taxable income
$1,806
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$434
After-tax cash flow
$994/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Taylor School District
NCES district ID
2633540
Math proficiency
14% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$43,062
Composite
17.62/100
National rank
#9034
State rank
#462 of 540 in MI

Livability — Taylor

Score
76/100
State rank
#144
US rank
#3684

Category grades

Amenities B Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings C+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Taylor, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
62,081
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
62,081
Household income
$61,081
Rent vs Own
33.3% rent · 66.7% own
Severe rent burden
1957.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Black 19% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 8% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 4% Arabic 3% Other Indo-European 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -212.33%
Current HPI
228.921
Rent YoY
▲ 4.90%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.4% since first listed
9 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-28 Price Changed $15,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-28 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-28 Price Changed $15,500 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-28 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-23 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-22 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-14 Listed $17,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-14 Listed $17,500 REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-13 Coming Soon $17,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…