242 Treasurebeach · Comanche, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +18.2/30.0
- ARV discount +13.3/15.0
- DSCR +5.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.6/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
GREAT LAKE HOUSE, 2 LOTS, 0.1286 ACRES, 1 BEDROOM, POSSIBLE SECOND BEDROOM OR OFFICE AREA, EAT IN KITCHEN WITH ALL APPLIANCES INCLDED IN SALE, LARGE BATHROOM WITH 2 SHOWERHEADS, WASHER & DRYER (INCLUDED IN SALE) CENTRAL HEAT & AIR, BEAUTIFUL WOOD LIKE FLOORS, COVERED PORCHES, 2 VEHICLE CARPORT, EXTRA PARKING IN REAR, SHOP 15 X 10, SMALL STORAGE BUILDING, NOT IN THE FLOOD ZONE, HOA ONLY $40 A MONTH WHICH INCLUDES TRASH, REUNION AREA & COMMUNITY POOL, SIGN ON PROPERTY, GREAT RETIREMENT OR WEEKEND PLACE.
Key facts
- Covered porches
- 2 vehicle carport
- Eat in kitchen
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $119k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $107 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $114k (4.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $105k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.4% vs local median 2.1% in Comanche — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#763 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+, health & safety D+, schools F.
- De Leon ISD (rural): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #207 of 826 in TX (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 168 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Comanche County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $823 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Comanche County population projected at -29% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 124 days — a 12% lower offer ($105k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 124 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.96% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.37%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.84%
- DSCR
- 1.17
- GRM
- 8.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $136,707
- List price
- $119,000
- Delta
- -12.95%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 5 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 368 Treasure Bch | 0.06mi | 1/2.0 | 720 (+6%) | 2mo | $149,000 | $207 | 81 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -10.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.62×
- Total profit
- $-12,501
- Equity at exit
- $17,743
- IRR
- -0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.94×
- Total profit
- $-2,154
- Equity at exit
- $10,289
Cash invested: $33,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 76442
- Home prices YoY
- -15.9%
- Active inventory
- 168
- Price-to-rent
- 8.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,138 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$624
- Tax from tax record
- −$79 /mo · $950/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$40
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$239
- Net cashflow
- $107
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,750
- Closing costs
- $3,570
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $40 · $480/yr
- Likely covers
- trashpool
Listing history 25 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $119,000 Active 124 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $119,000 Active 123 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $119,000 Active 122 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $119,000 Active 121 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $119,000 Active 119 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $119,000 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,000 Active 115 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $119,000 Active 114 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $119,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,000 Active 109 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $119,000 Active 108 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $119,000 Active 107 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $119,000 Active 106 DOM
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2026-05-05price $119,000 518-char remark
Show marketing remark (518 chars)
GREAT LAKE HOUSE, 2 LOTS, 0.1286 ACRES, 1 BEDROOM, POSSIBLE SECOND BEDROOM OR OFFICE AREA, EAT IN KITCHEN WITH ALL APPLIANCES INCLDED IN SALE, LARGE BATHROOM WITH 2 SHOWERHEADS, WASHER & DRYER (INCLUDED IN SALE) CENTRAL HEAT & AIR, BEAUTIFUL WOOD LIKE FLOORS, COVERED PORCHES, 2 VEHICLE CARPORT, EXTRA PARKING IN REAR, SHOP 15 X 10, SMALL STORAGE BUILDING, NOT IN THE FLOOD ZONE, HOA ONLY $40 A MONTH WHICH INCLUDES TRASH, REUNION AREA & COMMUNITY POOL, SIGN ON PROPERTY, GREAT RETIREMENT OR WEEKEND PLACE.
-
2026-02-14$125,000 Active 518-char remark
Show marketing remark (518 chars)
GREAT LAKE HOUSE, 2 LOTS, 0.1286 ACRES, 1 BEDROOM, POSSIBLE SECOND BEDROOM OR OFFICE AREA, EAT IN KITCHEN WITH ALL APPLIANCES INCLDED IN SALE, LARGE BATHROOM WITH 2 SHOWERHEADS, WASHER & DRYER (INCLUDED IN SALE) CENTRAL HEAT & AIR, BEAUTIFUL WOOD LIKE FLOORS, COVERED PORCHES, 2 VEHICLE CARPORT, EXTRA PARKING IN REAR, SHOP 15 X 10, SMALL STORAGE BUILDING, NOT IN THE FLOOD ZONE, HOA ONLY $40 A MONTH WHICH INCLUDES TRASH, REUNION AREA & COMMUNITY POOL, SIGN ON PROPERTY, GREAT RETIREMENT OR WEEKEND PLACE.
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2021-09-03soldstatus
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2021-09-01soldstatus Sold 451-char remark
Show marketing remark (451 chars)
GREAT LAKE HOUSE, 1 BEDROOM, (POSSIBLE 2 BEDROOM)1 LARGE BATHROOM WITH UTILITY AND 2 SHOWER HEADS, ONE A RAIN SHOWER HEAD, EAT IN KITCHEN, CENTRAL HEAT AND AIR PUT IN IN APRIL 2021, BEAUTIFUL WOOD LIKE FLOORS, LANDSCAPED BACKYARD WITH COVERED PORCH, 2 VEHICLE CARPORT, SHOP, EXTRA PARKING IN BACK, NOT IN THE FLOOD ZONE, HOA ONLYL $21 A MONTH PAID THROUGH DECEMBER, COMMUNITY POOL AND REUNION AREA AND TRASH PICK UP, GREAT RETIREMENT OR WEEKEND PLACE.
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2021-08-05status Pending 451-char remark
Show marketing remark (451 chars)
GREAT LAKE HOUSE, 1 BEDROOM, (POSSIBLE 2 BEDROOM)1 LARGE BATHROOM WITH UTILITY AND 2 SHOWER HEADS, ONE A RAIN SHOWER HEAD, EAT IN KITCHEN, CENTRAL HEAT AND AIR PUT IN IN APRIL 2021, BEAUTIFUL WOOD LIKE FLOORS, LANDSCAPED BACKYARD WITH COVERED PORCH, 2 VEHICLE CARPORT, SHOP, EXTRA PARKING IN BACK, NOT IN THE FLOOD ZONE, HOA ONLYL $21 A MONTH PAID THROUGH DECEMBER, COMMUNITY POOL AND REUNION AREA AND TRASH PICK UP, GREAT RETIREMENT OR WEEKEND PLACE.
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2021-07-25historical Active Option Contract 451-char remark
Show marketing remark (451 chars)
GREAT LAKE HOUSE, 1 BEDROOM, (POSSIBLE 2 BEDROOM)1 LARGE BATHROOM WITH UTILITY AND 2 SHOWER HEADS, ONE A RAIN SHOWER HEAD, EAT IN KITCHEN, CENTRAL HEAT AND AIR PUT IN IN APRIL 2021, BEAUTIFUL WOOD LIKE FLOORS, LANDSCAPED BACKYARD WITH COVERED PORCH, 2 VEHICLE CARPORT, SHOP, EXTRA PARKING IN BACK, NOT IN THE FLOOD ZONE, HOA ONLYL $21 A MONTH PAID THROUGH DECEMBER, COMMUNITY POOL AND REUNION AREA AND TRASH PICK UP, GREAT RETIREMENT OR WEEKEND PLACE.
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2021-07-25status Pending 451-char remark
Show marketing remark (451 chars)
GREAT LAKE HOUSE, 1 BEDROOM, (POSSIBLE 2 BEDROOM)1 LARGE BATHROOM WITH UTILITY AND 2 SHOWER HEADS, ONE A RAIN SHOWER HEAD, EAT IN KITCHEN, CENTRAL HEAT AND AIR PUT IN IN APRIL 2021, BEAUTIFUL WOOD LIKE FLOORS, LANDSCAPED BACKYARD WITH COVERED PORCH, 2 VEHICLE CARPORT, SHOP, EXTRA PARKING IN BACK, NOT IN THE FLOOD ZONE, HOA ONLYL $21 A MONTH PAID THROUGH DECEMBER, COMMUNITY POOL AND REUNION AREA AND TRASH PICK UP, GREAT RETIREMENT OR WEEKEND PLACE.
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2021-07-20$95,000 Active 451-char remark
Show marketing remark (451 chars)
GREAT LAKE HOUSE, 1 BEDROOM, (POSSIBLE 2 BEDROOM)1 LARGE BATHROOM WITH UTILITY AND 2 SHOWER HEADS, ONE A RAIN SHOWER HEAD, EAT IN KITCHEN, CENTRAL HEAT AND AIR PUT IN IN APRIL 2021, BEAUTIFUL WOOD LIKE FLOORS, LANDSCAPED BACKYARD WITH COVERED PORCH, 2 VEHICLE CARPORT, SHOP, EXTRA PARKING IN BACK, NOT IN THE FLOOD ZONE, HOA ONLYL $21 A MONTH PAID THROUGH DECEMBER, COMMUNITY POOL AND REUNION AREA AND TRASH PICK UP, GREAT RETIREMENT OR WEEKEND PLACE.
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2021-02-19soldstatus
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2012-03-26soldstatus
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2000-10-23soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $950 · $79/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,178 · $181/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,228/yr (+$102/mo · 129.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,660
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,666
- − Property taxes
- −$950
- − Insurance
- −$595
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,093
- − Management
- −$1,093
- − HOA
- −$480
- − Depreciation
- −$3,462
- Taxable loss
- −$678
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$163
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,441/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- De Leon ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4816440
- Math proficiency
- 46% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,143
- Composite
- 41.02/100
- National rank
- #3586
- State rank
- #207 of 826 in TX
Livability — Comanche
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #763
- US rank
- #13962
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 7,082
- Population (ZIP)
- 7,082
Population outlook (Comanche County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 12,214 people
- By 2030
- 11,531 · -5.6%
- By 2040
- 10,132 · -17.0%
- By 2050
- 8,724 · -28.6%
- By 2075
- 5,684 · -53.5%
- By 2100
- 3,649 · -70.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (60%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Hispanic / Latino 35% Two or more races 25% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 33%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 5% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 76% English-only · Spanish 23% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Comanche
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+74.0) · D 12.7% · R 86.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.5pp toward R · 2008: -47.5pp · 2024: -74.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+74.0 2020: R+71.0 2016: R+67.4 2012: R+62.3 2008: R+47.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -41.00%
- Current HPI
- 216.9759
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+25.3% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $119,000 NTREIS
- 2026-02-14 Listed $125,000 NTREIS
- 2021-09-03 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2021-09-01 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2021-08-05 Pending — NTREIS
- 2021-07-25 Contingent — NTREIS
- 2021-07-25 Pending — NTREIS
- 2021-07-20 Listed $95,000 NTREIS
- 2021-02-19 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2012-03-26 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2000-10-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+16.0%/yrLatest (2025): $950 · -1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…