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9 Park Dr
B- Composite 68.29
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.1/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.2/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.4/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$140,000

9 Park Dr · Gulfport, MS 39503
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,032 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1970 9,583 sqft lot Est $146k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Originally a 3bdrm it has an additional bedroom add-on with it's own bath. Newer roof and a/c is one year old. Tenant occupied paying $895/mth month to month lease.

Key facts

  • Additional bedroom
  • Newer roof
  • A c is one year old

Tags

ADDITIONAL BEDROOMNEWER ROOFA C IS ONE YEAR OLD

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport (1 space); Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity connected; Water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: Single-family residence (house); One level
  • Construction: Brick veneer construction; Asphalt shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built in public-record year
  • Exterior features: City lot; Cleared yard; Fenced; Few trees

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric); Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Refrigerator; Water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $439 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $140k).
  • Cap rate 10.1% vs local median 4.9% in Gulfport — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#15 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Gulfport School District (urban): math 41% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #37 of 130 in MS (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 67% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.0%/yr); 763 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 56% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,194 units permitted in Harrison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harrison County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.0% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $140,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
10.06%
Cash-on-cash
13.45%
DSCR
1.60
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$145,512
Comps found
3
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
13 Carl Dr 0.25mi 3/1.5 1,050 (+2%) 14mo $165,000 $157 72
44 Pembrook Cir Unit Rt9 0.24mi 3/2.0 1,144 (+11%) 11mo $137,000 $120 61
18 Pembrook Cir 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,100 (+7%) 22mo $155,000 $141 57

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.99% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
7.7%
Equity multiple
1.32×
Total profit
$12,407
Equity at exit
$20,874
10-year hold
IRR
20.1%
Equity multiple
3.00×
Total profit
$78,499
Equity at exit
$12,105

Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39503

Home prices YoY
-21.5%
Rents YoY
7.0%
Active inventory
763
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,704 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$734
Tax from tax record
$114 /mo · $1,370/yr
Insurance
$58
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$358
Net cashflow
$439

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,148
Max offer price $140,000
Occupancy floor 69%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$35,000
Closing costs
$4,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 9 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
10900 E Taylor Rd Gulfport, MS 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1186 $1,360 $1.15 21d 12 0.25mi
125 Brentwood Blvd Gulfport, MS 4.0 2.0 1448 $2,000 $1.38 21d 1 0.31mi
1339 Foxwood Pl Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,375 $1.25 43d 1 1.05mi
1400 Mill Rd Gulfport, MS 2.0 2.5 1290 $2,550 $1.98 43d 1 1.21mi
1114 Washington Ave Gulfport, MS 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,350 $1.12 21d 1 1.25mi
1618 Courthouse Rd Gulfport, MS 3.0 1.0 1168 $1,400 $1.20 43d 1 1.33mi
880 Lindh Rd Gulfport, MS 1.0–2.0 1.0 779 $1,050 $1.35 43d 1 1.40mi
1956 E Pass Rd Gulfport, MS 2.0 1.0 900 $950 $1.06 43d 1 1.41mi
1525 E Pass Rd Gulfport, MS 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1070 $1,519 $1.42 21d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $140,000 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $140,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    remarks 164-char remark
  4. 2026-06-15
    listed $140,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,370 · $114/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,370 · $114/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,448
− Mortgage interest
−$7,842
− Property taxes
−$1,370
− Insurance
−$700
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,636
− Management
−$1,636
− Depreciation
−$4,073
Taxable income
$3,191
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$766
After-tax cash flow
$4,508/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Gulfport School District
NCES district ID
2801710
Math proficiency
41% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$35,712
Composite
34.38/100
National rank
#5213
State rank
#37 of 130 in MS

Livability — Gulfport

Score
73/100
State rank
#15
US rank
#5010

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Gulfport, MS
County
Harrison County · 178,171 people
City population
96,188
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
Population (ZIP)
55,059
Household income
$62,641
Rent vs Own
29.3% rent · 70.7% own
Severe rent burden
1686.0

Population outlook (Harrison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
228,444 people
By 2030
241,942 · +5.9%
By 2040
267,531 · +17.1%
By 2050
291,062 · +27.4%
By 2075
346,711 · +51.8%
By 2100
378,165 · +65.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Black 27% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 5% Slovak 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Harrison

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.9) · D 35.0% · R 63.9% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-2.9pp toward R · 2008: -26.0pp · 2024: -28.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.9 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+30.7 2012: R+26.6 2008: R+26.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -51.39%
Current HPI
187.285
Rent YoY
▲ 6.99%
Metro
Gulfport-Biloxi, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-06-14 Listed $140,000 MLSU

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,370 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…