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3021 Branderwood Dr
C Composite 58.24
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.5/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +6.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.4/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$145,000

3021 Branderwood Dr · Greensboro, NC 27406
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,404 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 19 Days on market
Built 1950 0.32 ac lot Est $251k · 42% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Great opportunity to own this 2 bedroom, 2 full bathroom home with living room, kitchen, dining room, and large family room that could easily be transformed into a 3rd bedroom. The home is situated on a 0.32 acre lot with a storage shed and wide driveway that could accommodate several cars. GREAT location within 1 mile of Four Seasons Town Centre with close proximity to schools, shopping, restaurants, and recreation. Easy access to US-220, I-40 and I-85 makes commuting a breeze. Less than 3 miles to the Greensboro Coliseum, 3 miles to UNCG, and less than 5 miles to downtown Greensboro. This one is full of potential!

Key facts

  • Easy access
  • Storage shed
  • Wide driveway

Tags

STORAGE SHEDWIDE DRIVEWAYEASY ACCESS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot dimensions approximately 97 x 146 x 84 x 189; Lot size approximately 0.32 acre
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association; Subdivision: Branderwood

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric water heater; Natural gas available for heating
  • Home design: Residential stick/site built house; One story
  • Construction: Built in 1950; Block and vinyl siding construction
  • Exterior features: Level lot; Storage structure on property; Public maintained road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Range hood
  • Bedrooms: Primary suite located on the main level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Wood
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating (natural gas)
  • Interior features: Arched doorways; Primary bedroom on main level
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level; Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $165 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (6.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $136k (6.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 3.8% in Greensboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#12 in NC, #1,335 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
  • Guilford County Schools (urban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #99 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Archer Elementary (math 47% / reading 32%, grade F, #694 of 1,410 statewide, top 53%, 368 students, 99% FRL); Allen Middle (math 15% / reading 31%, grade F, #406 of 475 statewide, top 86%, 703 students, 100% FRL); Academy At Smith (math 54% / reading 62%, grade C, #241 of 535 statewide, top 45%, 223 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools average 92% FRL vs 52% district-wide (39 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 261 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,843 units permitted in Guilford County in 2024 (2,397 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Guilford County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $136,159 (6.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.94%
Cap rate
7.66%
Cash-on-cash
4.87%
DSCR
1.22
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$251,316
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2227 Meloine Ln 0.15mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,523 (+8%) 4mo $245,000 $161 67
2309 Kasarda Dr 0.40mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,372 (-2%) 12mo $275,000 $200 59
2704 Renee Dr 0.56mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,454 (+4%) 1mo $260,000 $179 58
3546 Riverside Dr 0.72mi 3/2.5 (+1) 1,397 (-0%) 2mo $247,500 $177 53
3006 Royalton Dr 0.64mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,421 (+1%) 9mo $255,000 $179 52
2206 Revolan Dr 0.45mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,513 (+8%) 8mo $273,000 $180 50
2315 Regency Dr 0.61mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,479 (+5%) 11mo $240,000 $162 44
1300 W Vandalia Rd 0.52mi 2/3.0 1,283 (-9%) 11mo $270,000 $210 44
2500 Argonne Blvd 0.56mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,601 (+14%) 2mo $190,000 $119 42
2600 Argonne Blvd 0.47mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,613 (+15%) 9mo $230,000 $143 39
3011 Royalton Dr 0.66mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,232 (-12%) 4mo $196,000 $159 36
2325 Pinecroft Rd 0.61mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,567 (+12%) 13mo $328,000 $209 32

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.18% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-9.6%
Equity multiple
0.65×
Total profit
$-14,150
Equity at exit
$21,620
10-year hold
IRR
-1.3%
Equity multiple
0.92×
Total profit
$-3,449
Equity at exit
$12,537

Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.

ZIP-level market 27406

Rents YoY
2.2%
Active inventory
261
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,362 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax from tax record
$90 /mo · $1,081/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$286
Net cashflow
$165

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,153
Max offer price $145,000
Occupancy floor 83%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,250
Closing costs
$4,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 19 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2705 Four Seasons Blvd Greensboro, NC 2.0 1.5 960 $1,219 $1.27 14d 3 0.12mi
9 Summertree Ln Greensboro, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0 802 $995 $1.24 14d 5 0.43mi
2309 Bridgette Blvd Greensboro, NC 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,600 $1.14 19d 1 0.49mi
2 Pipers Glen Ct Greensboro, NC 3.0 2.0 1400 $1,750 $1.25 19d 1 0.68mi
2204 Celeste Ct Greensboro, NC 3.0 1.5 1318 $1,695 $1.29 23d 1 0.69mi
2305 Vanstory St Unit 2305-A Greensboro, NC 2.0 1.5 1050 $1,150 $1.10 19d 1 0.72mi
2003 Urban Dr Greensboro, NC 3.0 1.5 1107 $1,495 $1.35 21d 1 0.79mi
1821 W Meadowview Rd Greensboro, NC 3.0 1.5 1610 $1,750 $1.09 23d 1 0.99mi
20 Windale Ct Greensboro, NC 3.0 2.5 1558 $1,925 $1.24 21d 1 1.03mi
3203 Cypress Park Rd Unit C Greensboro, NC 2.0 2.5 1316 $1,250 $0.95 23d 1 1.04mi
3216 S Holden Rd Greensboro, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 780 $950 $1.22 23d 6 1.20mi
2826 Vanstory St Greensboro, NC 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 993 $1,595 $1.61 14d 22 1.22mi
661 Mystic Dr Greensboro, NC 2.0 2.0 936 $1,225 $1.31 23d 1 1.26mi
2212 Coliseum Blvd Greensboro, NC 3.0 2.0 1044 $1,750 $1.68 14d 1 1.30mi
2624 Randleman Rd Unit B Greensboro, NC 2.0 1.5 900 $1,300 $1.44 23d 1 1.41mi
2616 Randleman Rd Unit H Greensboro, NC 2.0 1.5 943 $1,200 $1.27 14d 1 1.42mi
2616 Randleman Rd Unit C Greensboro, NC 2.0 1.5 900 $850 $0.94 23d 1 1.42mi
1636 Willomore St Greensboro, NC 2.0 1.0 1070 $1,330 $1.24 14d 1 1.45mi
1139 Glendale Dr Greensboro, NC 2.0 2.5 1152 $1,550 $1.35 23d 1 1.47mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-03
    status $145,000 Pending 19 DOM
  2. 2026-06-02
    days on market $145,000 Active 19 DOM
  3. 2026-06-01
    days on market $145,000 Active 18 DOM
  4. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 17 DOM
  5. 2026-05-31
    days on market $145,000 Active 16 DOM
  6. 2026-05-14
    listed $145,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,081 · $90/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,189 · $99/mo
Expected delta
+$108/yr (+$9/mo · 10.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,339
− Mortgage interest
−$8,122
− Property taxes
−$1,081
− Insurance
−$725
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,307
− Management
−$1,307
− Depreciation
−$4,218
Taxable loss
−$421
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$101
After-tax cash flow
$2,079/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Guilford County Schools
NCES district ID
3701920
Math proficiency
39% ▲ 1.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▲ 1.00%
Median HH income
$46,315
Composite
35.78/100
National rank
#4842
State rank
#99 of 178 in NC

Livability — Greensboro

Score
81/100
State rank
#12
US rank
#1335

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Greensboro, NC
County
Guilford County · 487,190 people
City population
329,421
Metro
Greensboro-High Point, NC
Population (ZIP)
60,651
Household income
$59,563
Rent vs Own
44.4% rent · 55.6% own
Severe rent burden
2462.0

Population outlook (Guilford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
584,596 people
By 2030
616,851 · +5.5%
By 2040
678,451 · +16.1%
By 2050
734,788 · +25.7%
By 2075
862,985 · +47.6%
By 2100
948,704 · +62.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
Black 52% White 26% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 10% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 1% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
10% · Canada, Vietnam, United Kingdom
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 11% Vietnamese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Guilford

2024 margin
Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.2% · R 38.4% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
+3.5pp toward D · 2008: 18.4pp · 2024: 21.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+21.8 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+20.0 2012: D+16.5 2008: D+18.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -146.70%
Current HPI
243.2612
Rent YoY
▲ 2.18%
Metro
Greensboro-High Point, NC
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
26

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $145,000 Triad MLS

Property tax history

+7.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,081 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…