3021 Branderwood Dr · Greensboro, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 15.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.5/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.2/10.0
- 1% rule +4.4/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$145,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Great opportunity to own this 2 bedroom, 2 full bathroom home with living room, kitchen, dining room, and large family room that could easily be transformed into a 3rd bedroom. The home is situated on a 0.32 acre lot with a storage shed and wide driveway that could accommodate several cars. GREAT location within 1 mile of Four Seasons Town Centre with close proximity to schools, shopping, restaurants, and recreation. Easy access to US-220, I-40 and I-85 makes commuting a breeze. Less than 3 miles to the Greensboro Coliseum, 3 miles to UNCG, and less than 5 miles to downtown Greensboro. This one is full of potential!
Key facts
- Easy access
- Storage shed
- Wide driveway
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot dimensions approximately 97 x 146 x 84 x 189; Lot size approximately 0.32 acre
- HOA & community: No homeowners association; Subdivision: Branderwood
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric water heater; Natural gas available for heating
- Home design: Residential stick/site built house; One story
- Construction: Built in 1950; Block and vinyl siding construction
- Exterior features: Level lot; Storage structure on property; Public maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Range hood
- Bedrooms: Primary suite located on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating (natural gas)
- Interior features: Arched doorways; Primary bedroom on main level
- Laundry & utility: Laundry on the main level; Electric water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $165 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $136k (6.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $136k (6.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 3.8% in Greensboro — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#12 in NC, #1,335 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: employment D, crime F.
- Guilford County Schools (urban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #99 of 178 in NC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Archer Elementary (math 47% / reading 32%, grade F, #694 of 1,410 statewide, top 53%, 368 students, 99% FRL); Allen Middle (math 15% / reading 31%, grade F, #406 of 475 statewide, top 86%, 703 students, 100% FRL); Academy At Smith (math 54% / reading 62%, grade C, #241 of 535 statewide, top 45%, 223 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools average 92% FRL vs 52% district-wide (39 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.2%/yr); 261 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 3,843 units permitted in Guilford County in 2024 (2,397 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Guilford County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.94% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.66%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.87%
- DSCR
- 1.22
- GRM
- 8.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $251,316
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2227 Meloine Ln | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,523 (+8%) | 4mo | $245,000 | $161 | 67 |
| 2309 Kasarda Dr | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,372 (-2%) | 12mo | $275,000 | $200 | 59 |
| 2704 Renee Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,454 (+4%) | 1mo | $260,000 | $179 | 58 |
| 3546 Riverside Dr | 0.72mi | 3/2.5 (+1) | 1,397 (-0%) | 2mo | $247,500 | $177 | 53 |
| 3006 Royalton Dr | 0.64mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,421 (+1%) | 9mo | $255,000 | $179 | 52 |
| 2206 Revolan Dr | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,513 (+8%) | 8mo | $273,000 | $180 | 50 |
| 2315 Regency Dr | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,479 (+5%) | 11mo | $240,000 | $162 | 44 |
| 1300 W Vandalia Rd | 0.52mi | 2/3.0 | 1,283 (-9%) | 11mo | $270,000 | $210 | 44 |
| 2500 Argonne Blvd | 0.56mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,601 (+14%) | 2mo | $190,000 | $119 | 42 |
| 2600 Argonne Blvd | 0.47mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,613 (+15%) | 9mo | $230,000 | $143 | 39 |
| 3011 Royalton Dr | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,232 (-12%) | 4mo | $196,000 | $159 | 36 |
| 2325 Pinecroft Rd | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,567 (+12%) | 13mo | $328,000 | $209 | 32 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.18% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -9.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.65×
- Total profit
- $-14,150
- Equity at exit
- $21,620
- IRR
- -1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.92×
- Total profit
- $-3,449
- Equity at exit
- $12,537
Cash invested: $40,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 27406
- Rents YoY
- 2.2%
- Active inventory
- 261
- Price-to-rent
- 8.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,362 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$760
- Tax from tax record
- −$90 /mo · $1,081/yr
- Insurance
- −$60
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$286
- Net cashflow
- $165
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $36,250
- Closing costs
- $4,350
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2705 Four Seasons Blvd Greensboro, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 960 | $1,219 | $1.27 | 14d | 3 | 0.12mi |
| 9 Summertree Ln Greensboro, NC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 802 | $995 | $1.24 | 14d | 5 | 0.43mi |
| 2309 Bridgette Blvd Greensboro, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,600 | $1.14 | 19d | 1 | 0.49mi |
| 2 Pipers Glen Ct Greensboro, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,750 | $1.25 | 19d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 2204 Celeste Ct Greensboro, NC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1318 | $1,695 | $1.29 | 23d | 1 | 0.69mi |
| 2305 Vanstory St Unit 2305-A Greensboro, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 1050 | $1,150 | $1.10 | 19d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2003 Urban Dr Greensboro, NC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1107 | $1,495 | $1.35 | 21d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1821 W Meadowview Rd Greensboro, NC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1610 | $1,750 | $1.09 | 23d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 20 Windale Ct Greensboro, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1558 | $1,925 | $1.24 | 21d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3203 Cypress Park Rd Unit C Greensboro, NC | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1316 | $1,250 | $0.95 | 23d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 3216 S Holden Rd Greensboro, NC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 780 | $950 | $1.22 | 23d | 6 | 1.20mi |
| 2826 Vanstory St Greensboro, NC | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 993 | $1,595 | $1.61 | 14d | 22 | 1.22mi |
| 661 Mystic Dr Greensboro, NC | 2.0 | 2.0 | 936 | $1,225 | $1.31 | 23d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 2212 Coliseum Blvd Greensboro, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1044 | $1,750 | $1.68 | 14d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 2624 Randleman Rd Unit B Greensboro, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $1,300 | $1.44 | 23d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 2616 Randleman Rd Unit H Greensboro, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 943 | $1,200 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 2616 Randleman Rd Unit C Greensboro, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 900 | $850 | $0.94 | 23d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1636 Willomore St Greensboro, NC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1070 | $1,330 | $1.24 | 14d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 1139 Glendale Dr Greensboro, NC | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1152 | $1,550 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-03status $145,000 Pending 19 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $145,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $145,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $145,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-14$145,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,081 · $90/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,189 · $99/mo
- Expected delta
- +$108/yr (+$9/mo · 10.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 15% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,339
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,122
- − Property taxes
- −$1,081
- − Insurance
- −$725
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,307
- − Management
- −$1,307
- − Depreciation
- −$4,218
- Taxable loss
- −$421
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$101
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,079/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Guilford County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3701920
- Math proficiency
- 39% ▲ 1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 45% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,315
- Composite
- 35.78/100
- National rank
- #4842
- State rank
- #99 of 178 in NC
Livability — Greensboro
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #12
- US rank
- #1335
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Greensboro, NC
- County
- Guilford County · 487,190 people
- City population
- 329,421
- Metro
- Greensboro-High Point, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 60,651
- Household income
- $59,563
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2462.0
Population outlook (Guilford County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 584,596 people
- By 2030
- 616,851 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 678,451 · +16.1%
- By 2050
- 734,788 · +25.7%
- By 2075
- 862,985 · +47.6%
- By 2100
- 948,704 · +62.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 52% White 26% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 10% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Serbian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Vietnam, United Kingdom
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 11% Vietnamese 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Guilford
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+21.8) · D 60.2% · R 38.4% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.5pp toward D · 2008: 18.4pp · 2024: 21.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+21.8 2020: D+23.1 2016: D+20.0 2012: D+16.5 2008: D+18.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -146.70%
- Current HPI
- 243.2612
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.18%
- Metro
- Greensboro-High Point, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
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| Retail | 2 | $95B |
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| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Listed $145,000 Triad MLS
Property tax history
+7.9%/yrLatest (2025): $1,081 · -1.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…