18883 Highway 157 · Plain Dealing, LA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,269 – $2,357
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 47.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Appreciation +8.3/10.0
- Cash flow +7.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.2/10.0
- DSCR +1.7/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
PLAIN DEALING HOME WITH SHOP AND ACREAGE FOR SALE!!!! This 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom, 2,432 square foot home is situated on a BEAUTIFUL 3.8 acres in the country. .. WITH a shop, too! Upon entering the home, you are greeted with a large, open floorplan perfect for gatherings or entertaining! The home hosts TWO living spaces, one with a wood-burning fireplace! The home is freshly painted, and vinyl flooring is in the living room area and primary bedroom! The kitchen showcases TONS of storage, and a LARGE island with an option for more seating! The primary bedroom is also spacious, and the ensuite bathroom is peaceful in itself, offering a HUGE soaking tub, separate shower, and dual sinks! Step on
Key facts
- Two living spaces
- Open floorplan
- Tons of storage
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Listing active and for sale; Possession at closing/funding
- Financial info: Treat as clear loan status; No second mortgage
- HOA & community: No association
Exterior
- Parking: Covered carport for 2 cars; Driveway
- Utilities: Private well water; Private sewer; Outside city limits utilities
- Home design: Manufactured home (residential); One story; Property attached
- Construction: Built in 2007 (preowned); Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
- Exterior features: Covered deck; Covered front porch; Deck; Partial fencing; Easements: other; Located outside city limits on a 3.8-acre lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms; Primary bedroom on level 1 with dual sinks, garden tub, and separate shower
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric)
- Interior features: Kitchen island; Open floorplan; Walk-in closet(s); Two living areas; One dining area; Fireplace (wood burning)
- Laundry & utility: Utility room
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $175k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-213 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $144k (17.6% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (27.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $126k (27.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#318 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Bossier Parish (urban): math 40% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #17 of 98 in LA (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 716 units permitted in Bossier Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $13k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $11k appreciation (6.5% local appreciation)).
- Bossier County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $110k; list at $175k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 47% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.72% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.21%
- DSCR
- 0.77
- GRM
- 11.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
6.54% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.87×
- Total profit
- $42,643
- Equity at exit
- $116,033
- IRR
- 13.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.75×
- Total profit
- $134,779
- Equity at exit
- $215,823
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Louisiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 71064
- Home prices YoY
- 5.2%
- Active inventory
- 38
- Price-to-rent
- 11.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,261 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$219 /mo · $2,625/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$265
- Net cashflow
- $-213
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-92 | -5% $-152 | +0% $-213 | +5% $-273 | +10% $-334 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-313 | -5% $-263 | +0% $-213 | +5% $-163 | +10% $-113 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-125 | -0.5pp $-168 | base $-213 | +0.5pp $-258 | +1.0pp $-304 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-05-16status Pending 1038-char remark
-
2026-05-14$175,000 Active 1038-char remark
-
2014-10-08soldstatus $110,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 47% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,136
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$2,625
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,211
- − Management
- −$1,211
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable loss
- −$5,679
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,363
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,192/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bossier Parish
- NCES district ID
- 2200270
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -32.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 47% ▼ -28.00%
- Median HH income
- $51,326
- Composite
- 37.5/100
- National rank
- #4402
- State rank
- #17 of 98 in LA
Livability — Plain Dealing
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #318
- US rank
- #21655
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 3,993
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,993
Population outlook (Bossier County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 143,247 people
- By 2030
- 151,802 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 168,194 · +17.4%
- By 2050
- 183,533 · +28.1%
- By 2075
- 217,009 · +51.5%
- By 2100
- 230,091 · +60.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (51%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 51% Black 43% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · South Korea
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Korean 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Bossier
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+43.3) · D 27.7% · R 71.0% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +0.3pp no change · 2008: -43.7pp · 2024: -43.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+43.3 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+45.8 2012: R+45.4 2008: R+43.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 6.54%
- Current HPI
- 132.1034
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.29%
- F500 in state
- 10
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Telecommunications | 2 | $23B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $12B |
|
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| Wholesale / Distribution | 1 | $5B |
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| Advertising | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+59.1% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Sold (MLS) — NTREIS
- 2026-05-16 Pending — NTREIS
- 2026-05-14 Listed $175,000 NTREIS
- 2014-10-08 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+0.0%/yrLatest (2025): $36 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…