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18883 Highway 157
D- Composite 38.82
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +8.3/10.0
  • Cash flow +7.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +2.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.2/10.0
  • DSCR +1.7/10.0

$175,000

18883 Highway 157 · Plain Dealing, LA 71064
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,112 sqft · Manufactured public records · 1 Days on market
Built 2007 3.80 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

PLAIN DEALING HOME WITH SHOP AND ACREAGE FOR SALE!!!! This 4-bedroom, 2-bathroom, 2,432 square foot home is situated on a BEAUTIFUL 3.8 acres in the country. .. WITH a shop, too! Upon entering the home, you are greeted with a large, open floorplan perfect for gatherings or entertaining! The home hosts TWO living spaces, one with a wood-burning fireplace! The home is freshly painted, and vinyl flooring is in the living room area and primary bedroom! The kitchen showcases TONS of storage, and a LARGE island with an option for more seating! The primary bedroom is also spacious, and the ensuite bathroom is peaceful in itself, offering a HUGE soaking tub, separate shower, and dual sinks! Step on

Key facts

  • Two living spaces
  • Open floorplan
  • Tons of storage

Tags

OPEN FLOORPLANTWO LIVING SPACESWOOD BURNING FIREPLACETONS OF STORAGELARGE ISLANDENSUITE BATHROOM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Listing active and for sale; Possession at closing/funding
  • Financial info: Treat as clear loan status; No second mortgage
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered carport for 2 cars; Driveway
  • Utilities: Private well water; Private sewer; Outside city limits utilities
  • Home design: Manufactured home (residential); One story; Property attached
  • Construction: Built in 2007 (preowned); Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Pillar/post/pier foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered deck; Covered front porch; Deck; Partial fencing; Easements: other; Located outside city limits on a 3.8-acre lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric cooktop; Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms; Primary bedroom on level 1 with dual sinks, garden tub, and separate shower
  • Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air (electric)
  • Interior features: Kitchen island; Open floorplan; Walk-in closet(s); Two living areas; One dining area; Fireplace (wood burning)
  • Laundry & utility: Utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $175k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-213 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $144k (17.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $126k (27.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $126k (27.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 57/100 on livability (#318 in LA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Bossier Parish (urban): math 40% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #17 of 98 in LA (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 716 units permitted in Bossier Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $13k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $11k appreciation (6.5% local appreciation)).
  • Bossier County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $110k; list at $175k implies a 59% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 47% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $126,133 (27.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.72%
Cap rate
4.83%
Cash-on-cash
-5.21%
DSCR
0.77
GRM
11.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.54% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
12.5%
Equity multiple
1.87×
Total profit
$42,643
Equity at exit
$116,033
10-year hold
IRR
13.1%
Equity multiple
3.75×
Total profit
$134,779
Equity at exit
$215,823

Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Louisiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+12
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; no state rent control; civil-law jurisdiction; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 71064

Home prices YoY
5.2%
Active inventory
38
Price-to-rent
11.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,261 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$918
Tax est. 1.5%
$219 /mo · $2,625/yr
Insurance
$73
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$265
Net cashflow
$-213

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,531
Max offer price $144,189
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-92 -5% $-152 +0% $-213 +5% $-273 +10% $-334
Rent -10% $-313 -5% $-263 +0% $-213 +5% $-163 +10% $-113
Rate -1.0pp $-125 -0.5pp $-168 base $-213 +0.5pp $-258 +1.0pp $-304

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,750
Closing costs
$5,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-16
    status Pending 1038-char remark
  2. 2026-05-14
    listed $175,000 Active 1038-char remark
  3. 2014-10-08
    soldstatus $110,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 47% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,136
− Mortgage interest
−$9,803
− Property taxes
−$2,625
− Insurance
−$875
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,211
− Management
−$1,211
− Depreciation
−$5,091
Taxable loss
−$5,679
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,363
After-tax cash flow
$-1,192/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Bossier Parish
NCES district ID
2200270
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -32.00%
Reading proficiency
47% ▼ -28.00%
Median HH income
$51,326
Composite
37.5/100
National rank
#4402
State rank
#17 of 98 in LA

Livability — Plain Dealing

Score
57/100
State rank
#318
US rank
#21655

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
3,993
Population (ZIP)
3,993

Population outlook (Bossier County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
143,247 people
By 2030
151,802 · +6.0%
By 2040
168,194 · +17.4%
By 2050
183,533 · +28.1%
By 2075
217,009 · +51.5%
By 2100
230,091 · +60.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Majority White (51%)
Race & ethnicity
White 51% Black 43% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · South Korea
Languages at home
98% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bossier

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.3) · D 27.7% · R 71.0% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
+0.3pp no change · 2008: -43.7pp · 2024: -43.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.3 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+45.8 2012: R+45.4 2008: R+43.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.54%
Current HPI
132.1034
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.29%
F500 in state
10

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in LA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+59.1% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Sold (MLS) NTREIS
  • 2026-05-16 Pending NTREIS
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $175,000 NTREIS
  • 2014-10-08 Sold (Public Records) $110,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+0.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $36 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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