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40 Mary St
B+ Composite 79.41
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$60,000

40 Mary St · Binghamton, NY 13903
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,330 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 37 Days on market
Built 1900 1,536 sqft lot $45/sqft · 62% below area

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Showing by appointment only with 24 hour notice. Highly walkable location close to groceries, public transport & Downtown Binghamton. This property has no off-street parking. Garage has been converted to additional storage space.

Key facts

  • Close to groceries
  • Public transport
  • Walkable location

Tags

WALKABLE LOCATIONCLOSE TO GROCERIESPUBLIC TRANSPORTADDITIONAL STORAGE SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Zoned residential

Exterior

  • Parking: No dedicated parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels (2 stories); Entry on main level
  • Construction: Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Covered porch; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Free-standing range; Refrigerator; Gas water heater
  • Flooring: Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Range; Free-standing range; Gas water heater; Refrigerator

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $60k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $830 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $60k).
  • Recommended offer: $58k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 78/100 on livability (#174 in NY, #2,710 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
  • Binghamton City School District (urban): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #557 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Macarthur School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #1,786 of 2,108 statewide, top 86%, 398 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools at 62% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 112 active listings in the ZIP; 24 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 340 units permitted in Broome County in 2024 (269 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($415 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Broome County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$38k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 37 days — a 3% lower offer ($58k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $30k; list at $60k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $58,200 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 37 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.63%
Cap rate
22.89%
Cash-on-cash
59.26%
DSCR
3.64
GRM
3.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$157,083
List price
$60,000
Delta
-61.80%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6 Curran Ave 0.15mi 3/1.0 1,323 (-0%) 3mo $167,000 $126 90
13 Edna Ave 0.35mi 3/1.0 1,314 (-1%) 8mo $145,000 $110 75
10 Columbia Ave 0.26mi 3/1.5 1,216 (-9%) 1mo $170,000 $140 71
103 S Washington St 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,384 (+4%) 8mo $167,500 $121 70
17 Sherwood Ave 0.57mi 3/1.5 1,356 (+2%) 2mo $176,768 $130 67
13 Sherwood Ave 0.57mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,332 (+0%) 1mo $200,000 $150 65
79 Rush Ave 0.46mi 3/1.0 1,209 (-9%) 1mo $170,000 $141 62
14 Hallam St 0.29mi 3/1.5 1,452 (+9%) 9mo $175,000 $121 62
135 Susquehanna Street St 0.67mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,370 (+3%) 1mo $55,000 $40 54
14 Mcnamara Ave 0.39mi 4/1.5 (+1) 1,463 (+10%) 8mo $170,000 $116 52
17 Phinn Ave 0.44mi 3/1.5 1,485 (+12%) 8mo $200,000 $135 51
13 Clarence St 0.40mi 3/2.0 1,516 (+14%) 8mo $195,000 $129 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
71.6%
Equity multiple
6.09×
Total profit
$85,545
Equity at exit
$54,053
10-year hold
IRR
65.4%
Equity multiple
13.52×
Total profit
$210,408
Equity at exit
$116,567

Cash invested: $16,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13903

Home prices YoY
4.3%
Active inventory
112
Price-to-rent
3.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,575 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$315
Tax est. 1.5%
$75 /mo · $900/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$331
Net cashflow
$830

Break-even live

Break-even rent $525
Max offer price $60,000
Occupancy floor 42%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$15,000
Closing costs
$1,800
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 24 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
71 Mary St Unit 2 Binghamton, NY 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,300 $1.18 13d 1 0.12mi
1 Euclid Ave Unit 1 Binghamton, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,500 $1.36 43d 1 0.26mi
86 Conklin Ave Binghamton, NY 3.0 1.0 1316 $1,600 $1.22 13d 1 0.35mi
80 State St Unit A 3-1 3 Bed Binghamton, NY 3.0 3.0 900 $900 $1.00 43d 1 0.60mi
113 Hawley St Binghamton, NY 4.0 1.5 1637 $2,000 $1.22 43d 1 0.66mi
31 Indiana St Binghamton, NY 3.0 1.5 1232 $1,500 $1.22 43d 1 0.72mi
136 Court St Unit 2 Binghamton, NY 4.0 1.0 1373 $3,000 $2.18 43d 1 0.73mi
33 Fayette St Unit 22 Binghamton, NY 2.0 1.0 1350 $1,100 $0.81 13d 1 0.82mi
73 Leroy St Unit 02 Binghamton, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,950 $1.77 43d 1 0.90mi
53 Seminary Ave Unit 1 Binghamton, NY 2.0 1.0 1722 $925 $0.54 21d 1 0.92mi
5 Arthur St Unit 2 Binghamton, NY 4.0 1.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 43d 1 0.94mi
26 Johnson Ave Unit 1 Binghamton, NY 3.0 1.0 1633 $1,600 $0.98 43d 1 0.95mi
29 Laurel Ave Unit 2 Binghamton, NY 3.0 1.5 1500 $2,250 $1.50 43d 1 0.96mi
171 Chapin St Unit 3rd FL Binghamton, NY 2.0 1.0 1135 $1,500 $1.32 43d 1 1.03mi
171 Chapin St Unit 1st FL Binghamton, NY 4.0 1.5 1400 $3,000 $2.14 43d 1 1.03mi
171 Chapin St Unit 2nd FL Binghamton, NY 4.0 2.0 1135 $3,000 $2.64 43d 1 1.03mi
167 Oak St Unit 1 Binghamton, NY 2.0 1.0 923 $1,300 $1.41 43d 1 1.06mi
46 North St Unit 4 Binghamton, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,600 $1.60 13d 1 1.09mi
50 Lathrop Ave Unit 2 Binghamton, NY 3.0 1.0 1250 $1,600 $1.28 13d 1 1.11mi
198 Chapin St Binghamton, NY 4.0 2.0 1500 $1,700 $1.13 21d 1 1.11mi
27 Tompkins St Unit 10 Binghamton, NY 2.0 1.0 950 $1,050 $1.11 21d 1 1.11mi
27 Tompkins St Unit 9 Binghamton, NY 2.0 1.0 950 $950 $1.00 43d 1 1.11mi
4 Erie St Unit 2 Binghamton, NY 3.0 1.0 1075 $1,200 $1.12 43d 1 1.20mi
26 Doubleday St Binghamton, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,350 $1.35 43d 1 1.26mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $60,000 Active 37 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $60,000 Active 36 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $60,000 Active 35 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $60,000 Active 34 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $60,000 Active 33 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $60,000 Active 31 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $60,000 Active 30 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $60,000 Active 28 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $60,000 Active 27 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $60,000 Active 26 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $60,000 Active 25 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $60,000 Active 21 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $60,000 Active 20 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $60,000 Active 19 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $60,000 Active 18 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $60,000 Active 17 DOM
  17. 2026-05-13
    listed $60,000 Active 235-char remark
  18. 2026-02-10
    listed $70,000 Active
  19. 2010-11-29
    soldstatus $30,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X · 27% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,901
− Mortgage interest
−$3,361
− Property taxes
−$900
− Insurance
−$300
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,512
− Management
−$1,512
− Depreciation
−$1,745
Taxable income
$9,571
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,297
After-tax cash flow
$7,659/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Binghamton City School District
NCES district ID
3604870
Math proficiency
30% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▲ 15.00%
Median HH income
$30,475
Composite
30.09/100
National rank
#6342
State rank
#557 of 590 in NY

Livability — Binghamton

Score
78/100
State rank
#174
US rank
#2710

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Binghamton, NY
County
Broome County · 126,805 people
City population
65,170
Metro
Binghamton, NY
Population (ZIP)
17,569
Household income
$66,278
Rent vs Own
31.1% rent · 68.9% own
Severe rent burden
602.0

Population outlook (Broome County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
187,989 people
By 2030
183,066 · -2.6%
By 2040
172,228 · -8.4%
By 2050
163,161 · -13.2%
By 2075
153,641 · -18.3%
By 2100
140,851 · -25.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (80%)
Race & ethnicity
White 80% Black 9% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 2% Scotch-Irish 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Arabic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Broome

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.2% · R 49.8%
2008→2024 swing
-7.6pp toward R · 2008: 8.0pp · 2024: 0.4pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.4 2020: D+3.5 2016: R+3.7 2012: D+4.6 2008: D+8.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 11.68%
Current HPI
286.1001
Rent YoY
Metro
Binghamton, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+100.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Listed $60,000 GBAOR
  • 2026-02-10 Listed $70,000 GBAOR
  • 2010-11-29 Sold (Public Records) $30,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,971 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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