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219 Ogden Ave S
D Composite 40.87
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • Cash flow +8.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +1.3/5.0

$329,000

219 Ogden Ave S · Lehigh Acres, FL 33974
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 1,724 sqft · Land · 57 Days on market
Built 2025 0.28 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This beautiful 4beds/3baths single-family home is located in a peaceful neighborhood in Lehigh Acres. Offering the perfect blend of comfort, luxury, and convenience. It does not have an HOA.

Key facts

  • 0.28 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2025

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot is regular-shaped on a property of approximately 0.2839 acres; Zoned RS-1; Located in Lehigh Acres development
  • HOA & community: No HOA maintenance; Community offers internet access; Non-gated community

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage with 2 garage spaces; Attached carport with 2 carport spaces
  • Security: Impact resistant doors and windows; Smoke detectors (interior)
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic system; Electric service (central); Cable available
  • Home design: Single-family contemporary home; Residential property; One story; Rear exposure to the west
  • Construction: Concrete block construction; Built in 2025
  • Exterior features: Outdoor kitchen; Room for pool; Impact resistant windows and doors; Stucco exterior; Shingle roof

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Microwave; Refrigerator; Refrigerator/Icemaker; Pantry; Outdoor kitchen (exterior feature noted)
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms; Master bath with dual sinks and shower
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Central electric cooling
  • Interior features: Pantry; Smoke detectors; Walk-in closet; See remarks
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/Dryer hookup; Washer; Dryer; Auto garage door (equipment)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath land listed at $329k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-277 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $280k (14.9% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $209k (36.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $209k (36.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#826 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime C-, employment D+, amenities F.
  • Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Mirror Lakes Elementary School (math 48% / reading 45%, grade D-, #1,223 of 2,144 statewide, top 57%, 1,228 students, 68% FRL); Lehigh Senior High School (math 23% / reading 45%, grade F, #394 of 667 statewide, top 60%, 2,476 students, 57% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents falling (-4.7%/yr); 2460 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($72k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $35k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $33k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$57k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($319k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 5 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $11k; list at $329k implies a 2918% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 6→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $209,009 (36.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 36% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.64%
Cap rate
5.28%
Cash-on-cash
-3.61%
DSCR
0.84
GRM
13.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.0%
Equity multiple
2.68×
Total profit
$155,216
Equity at exit
$296,389
10-year hold
IRR
18.5%
Equity multiple
5.99×
Total profit
$459,647
Equity at exit
$639,175

Cash invested: $92,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33974

Home prices YoY
5.8%
Rents YoY
-4.7%
Active inventory
2460
Price-to-rent
13.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,090 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,725
Tax from tax record
$66 /mo · $793/yr
Insurance
$137
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$439
Net cashflow
$-277

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,441
Max offer price $280,018
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-91 -5% $-184 +0% $-277 +5% $-370 +10% $-464
Rent -10% $-442 -5% $-360 +0% $-277 +5% $-195 +10% $-112
Rate -1.0pp $-112 -0.5pp $-194 base $-277 +0.5pp $-363 +1.0pp $-449

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$82,250
Closing costs
$9,870
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
718 Sunrise Blvd Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,610 $1.46 24d 1 0.09mi
230 E Malden Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1833 $1,875 $1.02 24d 1 0.19mi
219 Beckley Dr Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.5 1548 $1,890 $1.22 16d 1 0.33mi
270 Silent Lake Dr Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1800 $1,895 $1.05 12d 1 0.42mi
727 Cane St E Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1582 $2,000 $1.26 24d 1 0.46mi
333 Bell Blvd S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1114 $1,300 $1.17 3d 1 0.52mi
750 Cane St E Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 3.0 1537 $2,800 $1.82 3d 1 0.53mi
759 Cane St E Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1169 $1,950 $1.67 3d 1 0.53mi
346 Bell Blvd S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1185 $1,495 $1.26 15d 1 0.55mi
346 Bell Blvd S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1185 $1,495 $1.26 3d 1 0.55mi
719 Center Lake St Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1616 $1,750 $1.08 24d 1 0.55mi
217 Jayview Ave Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1491 $1,600 $1.07 15d 1 0.57mi
713 Cardinal St E Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,635 $1.49 3d 1 0.58mi
202 Eaglesmere Dr Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1443 $1,600 $1.11 3d 1 0.59mi
202 Eaglesmere Dr Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1443 $1,695 $1.17 24d 1 0.59mi
350 Limerick Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1199 $1,800 $1.50 3d 1 0.61mi
312 Lenz Ave Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.5 2208 $2,500 $1.13 24d 1 0.61mi
242 S Lake Dr Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1572 $1,600 $1.02 24d 1 0.64mi
388 Bell Blvd S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,780 $1.48 24d 1 0.67mi
286 Justene Cir Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1839 $1,900 $1.03 24d 1 0.74mi
129 Wanatah Ave Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1798 $1,911 $1.06 3d 1 0.76mi
825 Carbon St E Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1582 $2,300 $1.45 24d 1 0.80mi
706 Arianne Ct Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 3.0 2009 $2,600 $1.29 24d 1 0.84mi
815 Porter St E Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1659 $1,800 $1.08 24d 1 0.84mi
107 W Lake Dr Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1610 $2,100 $1.30 24d 1 0.91mi
455 Bell Blvd Unit 1 Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1142 $1,600 $1.40 24d 1 0.93mi
374 Compese Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,750 $1.46 16d 1 0.94mi
127 Highview Ave Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1495 $1,860 $1.24 3d 1 0.94mi
1406 Ford Cir Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.5 1662 $2,100 $1.26 24d 1 0.94mi
404 Chalet Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,850 $1.54 24d 1 0.96mi
406 Chalet Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,850 $1.54 24d 1 0.96mi
397 Carrillon Ave S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,550 $1.29 3d 1 0.99mi
1440 Graham Cir Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1767 $2,300 $1.30 24d 1 0.99mi
264 Ground Dove Cir Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1683 $2,300 $1.37 24d 1 1.01mi
720 Chavers St Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1547 $2,200 $1.42 24d 1 1.02mi
506 Corinne Dr Unit 506 Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1706 $2,300 $1.35 24d 1 1.04mi
912 Anthony St E Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.5 1548 $1,890 $1.22 16d 1 1.06mi
1101 Leeland Heights Blvd E Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1250 $1,350 $1.08 16d 1 1.09mi
508 Bell Blvd S Lehigh Acres, FL 3.0 2.0 1200 $1,800 $1.50 24d 1 1.12mi
532 Ilaria Ct Lehigh Acres, FL 4.0 2.0 1598 $2,300 $1.44 16d 1 1.16mi

Listing history 29 events

  1. 2026-06-17
    days on market $329,000 Active 57 DOM
  2. 2026-06-16
    days on market $329,000 Active 56 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    days on market $329,000 Active 55 DOM
  4. 2026-06-13
    days on market $329,000 Active 53 DOM
  5. 2026-06-10
    days on market $329,000 Active 50 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $329,000 Active 49 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $329,000 Active 47 DOM
  8. 2026-06-03
    days on market $329,000 Active 43 DOM
  9. 2026-06-02
    days on market $329,000 Active 42 DOM
  10. 2026-06-01
    days on market $329,000 Active 41 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $329,000 Active 40 DOM
  12. 2026-04-22
    listed $329,000 Active
  13. 2026-03-23
    historical
  14. 2026-01-07
    listed $339,900 Active
  15. 2025-10-06
    price $349,990
  16. 2025-09-23
    listed $374,990 Active
  17. 2021-04-02
    soldstatus $10,900 Closed
  18. 2021-01-23
    status Pending
  19. 2021-01-03
    listed $11,900 Active
  20. 2020-07-18
    historical
  21. 2020-03-09
    price $12,840
  22. 2020-01-07
    price $12,850
  23. 2019-10-31
    price $13,850
  24. 2019-07-18
    listed $15,850 Active
  25. 2006-01-06
    soldstatus $46,900
  26. 2005-12-28
    soldstatus $46,900
  27. 2005-10-27
    price $48,900
  28. 2005-07-25
    soldstatus $35,000
  29. 1980-12-01
    soldstatus $12,600

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$793 · $66/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,731 · $228/mo
Expected delta
+$1,938/yr (+$162/mo · 244.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 6 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$25,081
− Mortgage interest
−$18,429
− Property taxes
−$793
− Insurance
−$1,645
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,006
− Management
−$2,006
− Depreciation
−$9,571
Taxable loss
−$9,370
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$2,249
After-tax cash flow
$-1,079/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lee
NCES district ID
1201080
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$49,518
Composite
41.49/100
National rank
#3458
State rank
#42 of 73 in FL

Livability — Lehigh Acres

Score
59/100
State rank
#826
US rank
#20055

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C- Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lehigh Acres, FL
County
Lee County · 788,662 people
City population
130,638
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
Population (ZIP)
19,927
Household income
$72,192
Rent vs Own
27.3% rent · 72.7% own
Severe rent burden
434.0

Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
871,946 people
By 2030
955,468 · +9.6%
By 2040
1,113,587 · +27.7%
By 2050
1,256,891 · +44.1%
By 2075
1,560,270 · +78.9%
By 2100
1,726,848 · +98.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 52% Two or more races 31% White 26% Black 18%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 12% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 20% Dominican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 7% Italian 1% Portuguese 1%
Foreign-born
32% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
48% English-only · Spanish 43% French/Haitian/Cajun 7% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lee

2024 margin
Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
2008→2024 swing
-18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 16.53%
Current HPI
303.3399
Rent YoY
▼ -4.68%
Metro
Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+2511.1% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $329,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-03-23 Listing Removed NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-01-07 Listed $339,900 NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-10-06 Price Changed $349,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-23 Listed $374,990 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2021-04-02 Sold (MLS) $10,900 FORTMLS
  • 2021-01-23 Pending FORTMLS
  • 2021-01-03 Listed $11,900 FORTMLS
  • 2020-07-18 Listing Removed FORTMLS
  • 2020-03-09 Price Changed $12,840 FORTMLS
  • 2020-01-07 Price Changed $12,850 FORTMLS
  • 2019-10-31 Price Changed $13,850 FORTMLS
  • 2019-07-18 Listed $15,850 FORTMLS
  • 2006-01-06 Sold (Public Records) $46,900 Public Records
  • 2005-12-28 Sold (MLS) $46,900 FORTMLS
  • 2005-10-27 Price Changed $48,900 FORTMLS
  • 2005-07-25 Sold (Public Records) $35,000 Public Records
  • 1980-12-01 Sold (Public Records) $12,600 Public Records

Property tax history

-7.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $793 · +105.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…