308 W Foundry St · Millville, NJ
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.2%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $526 – $976
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 75.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +21.4/30.0
- DSCR +6.8/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$152,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This half double features a full front porch. There is a living room, formal dining room, kitchen with a door to the rear yard and access to the full bathroom. Upstairs is where you will find 2 additional bedrooms. There is a basement, this is where the laundry is located. Natural gas heating. Located close to the Downtown area, local shopping, dining options and RT 55 for traveling.
Key facts
- Built 1900
- Listed 34 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric cooling fuel; Natural gas heating fuel
- Home design: Frame construction
- Construction: Frame construction; Other foundation; Estimated year built
- Exterior features: Semi-detached property; Above-grade and below-grade structures; No tidal water
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One full bathroom total
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning; Electric hot water
- Interior features: Estimated living area; Finished above-grade area approximately 1,080
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath townhouse listed at $152k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $227 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $152k).
- Recommended offer: $148k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 4.2% in Millville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 63/100 on livability (#431 in NJ) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety B+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Millville School District (suburban): math 6% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #447 of 472 in NJ (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Millville Senior High School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #327 of 399 statewide, top 82%, 1,640 students, 68% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 296 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 216 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (73 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Cumberland County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 6 sale attempts since 18y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $117k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 75% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.08%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.37%
- DSCR
- 1.28
- GRM
- 8.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $115,560
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 408 Powell St W | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 1,044 (-3%) | 7mo | $150,000 | $144 | 80 |
| 123 W Foundry St | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,128 (+4%) | 10mo | $115,000 | $102 | 73 |
| 414 W Powell St | 0.19mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (-11%) | 5mo | $115,000 | $120 | 69 |
| 416 Green St W | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,001 (-7%) | 12mo | $125,000 | $125 | 66 |
| 213 D St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,020 (-6%) | 0mo | $77,500 | $76 | 63 |
| 215 D St | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,020 (-6%) | 0mo | $77,500 | $76 | 63 |
| 907 Buck St | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 1,000 (-7%) | 14mo | $107,000 | $107 | 63 |
| 8 W Powell St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,021 (-6%) | 23mo | $83,750 | $82 | 56 |
| 6 W Powell St | 0.23mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,021 (-6%) | 23mo | $83,750 | $82 | 56 |
| 515 N 5th St | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,100 (+2%) | 8mo | $160,000 | $145 | 51 |
| 827 N 3rd St | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 1,173 (+9%) | 21mo | $90,000 | $77 | 44 |
| 712 N 5th St | 0.66mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 984 (-9%) | 13mo | $185,000 | $188 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.94% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.72×
- Total profit
- $-11,914
- Equity at exit
- $22,738
- IRR
- 0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $1,603
- Equity at exit
- $13,185
Cash invested: $42,700 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 21 Tenant-Leaning
- State New Jersey
- 21 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 08332
- Home prices YoY
- -28.9%
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 296
- Price-to-rent
- 8.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,554 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$800
- Tax from tax record
- −$138 /mo · $1,651/yr
- Insurance
- −$64
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$326
- Net cashflow
- $227
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $313 | -5% $270 | +0% $227 | +5% $184 | +10% $141 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $104 | -5% $165 | +0% $227 | +5% $288 | +10% $350 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $304 | -0.5pp $266 | base $227 | +0.5pp $187 | +1.0pp $147 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,125
- Closing costs
- $4,575
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 313 W Main St Millville, NJ | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1265 | $1,650 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 112 W Main St Unit B Millville, NJ | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1384 | $1,500 | $1.08 | 45d | 1 | 0.67mi |
Listing history 29 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $152,500 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $152,500 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $152,500 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $152,500 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $152,500 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $152,500 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $152,500 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $152,500 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $152,500 Active 25 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $152,500 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $152,500 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $152,500 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $152,500 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $152,500 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $152,500 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-05-19price $155,000 521-char remark
-
2026-05-15$160,000 Active 521-char remark
-
2026-04-25historical
-
2026-04-24$160,000 Active
-
2025-09-26soldstatus $117,000 Closed
Show marketing remark (386 chars)
This half double features a full front porch. There is a living room, formal dining room, kitchen with a door to the rear yard and access to the full bathroom. Upstairs is where you will find 2 additional bedrooms. There is a basement, this is where the laundry is located. Natural gas heating. Located close to the Downtown area, local shopping, dining options and RT 55 for traveling.
-
2025-09-03status Pending
Show marketing remark (386 chars)
This half double features a full front porch. There is a living room, formal dining room, kitchen with a door to the rear yard and access to the full bathroom. Upstairs is where you will find 2 additional bedrooms. There is a basement, this is where the laundry is located. Natural gas heating. Located close to the Downtown area, local shopping, dining options and RT 55 for traveling.
-
2025-08-19price $119,900
Show marketing remark (386 chars)
This half double features a full front porch. There is a living room, formal dining room, kitchen with a door to the rear yard and access to the full bathroom. Upstairs is where you will find 2 additional bedrooms. There is a basement, this is where the laundry is located. Natural gas heating. Located close to the Downtown area, local shopping, dining options and RT 55 for traveling.
-
2025-07-18$124,900 Active
Show marketing remark (386 chars)
This half double features a full front porch. There is a living room, formal dining room, kitchen with a door to the rear yard and access to the full bathroom. Upstairs is where you will find 2 additional bedrooms. There is a basement, this is where the laundry is located. Natural gas heating. Located close to the Downtown area, local shopping, dining options and RT 55 for traveling.
-
2018-12-21historical
-
2018-12-19$94,000 Active
-
2008-06-27soldstatus $72,122
-
2008-06-27soldstatus $72,122
-
2008-03-07$69,900
-
2008-03-07$69,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NJ · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,651 · $138/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,724 · $227/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,073/yr (+$89/mo · 65.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 75% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,648
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,542
- − Property taxes
- −$1,651
- − Insurance
- −$762
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,492
- − Management
- −$1,492
- − Depreciation
- −$4,436
- Taxable income
- $272
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$65
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,657/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Millville School District
- NCES district ID
- 3410320
- Math proficiency
- 6% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,851
- Composite
- 15.23/100
- National rank
- #9338
- State rank
- #447 of 472 in NJ
Livability — Millville
- Score
- 63/100
- State rank
- #431
- US rank
- #15561
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Millville, NJ
- County
- Cumberland County · 80,266 people
- City population
- 35,228
- Metro
- Vineland-Bridgeton, NJ
- Population (ZIP)
- 35,228
- Household income
- $67,496
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1761.0
Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 152,743 people
- By 2030
- 150,373 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 146,881 · -3.8%
- By 2050
- 142,653 · -6.6%
- By 2075
- 129,468 · -15.2%
- By 2100
- 107,456 · -29.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 17% Black 15% Two or more races 11% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 85% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.6% · R 51.3% · Other 1.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.4pp toward R · 2008: 21.6pp · 2024: -3.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+3.8 2020: D+6.0 2016: D+5.3 2012: D+23.1 2008: D+21.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -111.45%
- Current HPI
- 274.8011
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.94%
- Metro
- Vineland-Bridgeton, NJ
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NJ)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 3 | $31B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $153B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $21B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $20B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $19B |
|
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| Financial Services | 1 | $70B |
|
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Price history
+118.2% since first listed15 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Price Changed $152,500 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $155,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-05-15 Listed $160,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-25 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-04-24 Listed $160,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-26 Sold (MLS) $117,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-09-03 Pending — BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-08-19 Price Changed $119,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2025-07-18 Listed $124,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-12-21 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-12-19 Listed $94,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2008-06-27 Sold (MLS) $72,122 BRIGHT MLS
- 2008-06-27 Sold (MLS) $72,122 SJSRMLS
- 2008-03-07 Listed $69,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2008-03-07 Listed $69,900 SJSRMLS
Property tax history
-1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,651 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…