9 Oakridge Dr · Gales Ferry, CT 06335

$299,900

3 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,324 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 11 Days on market

Built 1954 1.17 ac lot Est $316k · 5% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +20.1/30.0
• ARV discount +9.9/15.0
• DSCR +6.4/10.0
• 1% rule +5.6/10.0
• Schools +3.9/10.0
• Livability +3.9/5.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Newer roof, windows and furnace Full walk out basement with large windows for great natural light, build sweat equity and add finished area to the walk out basement large eat in kitchen, dining area off living room, fireplace, Large yard with distance water views , garage. Needs tlc

Key facts

• Large windows
• Large eat in kitchen
• Natural light

Tags

• WALK OUT BASEMENT
• LARGE WINDOWS
• NATURAL LIGHT
• LARGE EAT IN KITCHEN
• DINING AREA
• FIREPLACE

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $300k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $371 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $300k).
• Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 5.2% in Gales Ferry — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 78/100 on livability (#40 in CT, #2,751 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities F, commute F.
• Ledyard School District (rural): math 34% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #92 of 153 in CT (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; only 15% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
• Zoned schools: Juliet W. Long School (math 33% / reading 47%, grade F, #296 of 553 statewide, top 54%, 273 students, 18% FRL); Ledyard Middle School (math 28% / reading 43%, grade F, #120 of 175 statewide, top 70%, 534 students, 27% FRL); Ledyard High School (math 42% / reading 67%, grade C-, #63 of 194 statewide, top 39%, 743 students, 25% FRL).
• Market conditions: 30 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 487 units permitted in Southeastern Connecticut Planning Region in 2024 (244 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.

Negotiation context

• Only 11 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 77% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $299,900

Questions for the listing agent

1. Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.06% ✓
• Cap rate: 7.78%
• Cash-on-cash: 5.30%
• DSCR: 1.24
• GRM: 7.9

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $316,436
• Comps found: 2

Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
9 Oakridge Dr	0.00mi	3/1.5	1,324 (0%)	0mo	$316,000	$239	100
183 Whalehead Rd	0.59mi	3/2.0	1,352 (+2%)	1mo	$290,000	$214	66

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -8.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.70×
• Total profit: $-24,895
• Equity at exit: $44,716

10-year hold

• IRR: 1.5%
• Equity multiple: 1.11×
• Total profit: $9,078
• Equity at exit: $25,930

Cash invested: $83,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 27 Tenant-Leaning
• State Connecticut: 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+7
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Strong tenant statutes; rent commissions in some towns; courts slow especially in cities.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 06335

• Home prices YoY: -22.0%
• Active inventory: 30
• Price-to-rent: 7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,169 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,573
• Tax from tax record: −$435 /mo · $5,225/yr
• Insurance: −$125
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$666
• Net cashflow: $371

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,700

Max offer price $299,900

Occupancy floor 83%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $541	-5% $456	+0% $371	+5% $286	+10% $201
Rent	-10% $120	-5% $246	+0% $371	+5% $496	+10% $621
Rate	-1.0pp $522	-0.5pp $447	base $371	+0.5pp $293	+1.0pp $214

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $74,975
• Closing costs: $8,997
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 2 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
30 Terry Rd Gales Ferry, CT	4.0	3.0	1818	$3,900	$2.15	16d	1	1.10mi
34 Hurlbutt Rd Gales Ferry, CT	2.0	1.0	1098	$2,350	$2.14	16d	1	1.40mi

Listing history 2 events

1. 2026-03-29
   status Under Contract
2. 2026-03-18
   listed $299,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CT · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $5,225 · $435/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $5,821 · $485/mo
• Expected delta: +$596/yr (+$50/mo · 11.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 77% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $38,034
• − Mortgage interest: −$16,799
• − Property taxes: −$5,225
• − Insurance: −$1,500
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,043
• − Management: −$3,043
• − Depreciation: −$8,724
• Taxable loss: −$300
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$72
• After-tax cash flow: $4,522/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Ledyard School District
• NCES district ID: 0902160
• Math proficiency: 34% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 49% ▼ -6.00%
• Median HH income: $84,854
• Composite: 39.02/100
• National rank: #4064
• State rank: #92 of 153 in CT

Livability — Gales Ferry

• Score: 78/100
• State rank: #40
• US rank: #2751

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living D+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Population (ZIP): 6,100

Population outlook (Southeastern Connecticut County) Hauer SSP2

• By 2040: 293,442

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (75%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 75% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 8% Black 4% Asian 3%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 4%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 9% Lithuanian 7% Serbian 4%
• Foreign-born: 5% · Canada, China, Jamaica
• Languages at home: 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Southeastern Connecticut

• 2024 margin: D (+13.0) · D 55.6% · R 42.6% · Other 1.8%
• All cycles: 2024: D+13.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -67.79%
• Current HPI: 240.7698
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.06%
• F500 in state: 38

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CT)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Industrial Machinery	4	$38B
▸Insurance	3	$71B
▸Financial Services	2	$25B
▸Transportation / Logistics	2	$18B
▸Healthcare	1	$247B
▸Telecommunications	1	$55B

Price history

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-29 Pending — Smart MLS
• 2026-03-18 Listed $299,900 Smart MLS

Property tax history

+1.9%/yr

Latest (2023): $5,225 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.