530 W Devonshire Ave #19 · Hemet, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +12.3/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.9/5.0
- Livability +2.6/5.0
- Schools +2.5/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$109,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this beautifully updated 1979 manufactured home located in the desirable 55+ community of Juniper Terrace in Hemet. Offering 1,488 sq. ft. of comfortable living space, this home has been thoughtfully upgraded and is move-in ready. Enjoy a modern touch with new stainless steel appliances, brand-new laminate flooring throughout, and freshly reglazed countertops, freshly painted, shower stall, bathtub, and vanity surfaces—giving the home a clean, refreshed feel. Residents of Juniper Terrace benefit from a welcoming community atmosphere with access to a clubhouse, pool, and social amenities, perfect for an active and connected lifestyle—all at an affordable price. More pi
Key facts
- Clubhouse
- Pool
- Community pool
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot described as 0-1 unit/acre; Elevation measured in feet; Manager approval required for residency; Pets: contact management
- Financial info: Land lease $750 per month
- HOA & community: Senior community; Land lease with park-managed fee
Exterior
- Parking: Carport
- Utilities: Public sewer; District/Public water
- Home design: Single-story mobile home (Model: Super Manor); 24 ft wide by 62 ft long; Double-wide body type; Located in a senior community; Park name: Juniper Terrace Mobile
- Construction: Mobile home remains on site; Single-story structure
- Exterior features: Community pool; Sidewalks
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Interior features: One-level layout; Entry at ground level
- Laundry & utility: Community laundry
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.75-bath manufactured listed at $109k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $690 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $109k).
- Recommended offer: $106k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 13.9% vs local median 4.8% in Hemet — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 51/100 on livability (#1,056 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+; Watch: crime D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Hemet Unified (suburban): math 19% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #360 of 517 in CA (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 273 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 26d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 9,195 units permitted in Riverside County in 2024 (1,512 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($49k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Riverside County population projected at +22% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.8% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($106k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.68% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.89%
- Cash-on-cash
- 27.13%
- DSCR
- 2.21
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $122,000
- List price
- $109,000
- Delta
- -10.66%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 530 W Devonshire Ave #36 | 0.00mi | 2/3.0 | 1,056 (+2%) | 8mo | $45,000 | $43 | 86 |
| 675 W Oakland Ave Unit G15 | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (-8%) | 0mo | $70,000 | $73 | 80 |
| 622 Arlington Way | 0.31mi | 2/2.0 | 1,000 (-4%) | 0mo | $45,000 | $45 | 78 |
| 1445 W Florida Ave #85 | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 | 1,040 (0%) | 2mo | $96,000 | $92 | 68 |
| 1380 Cabrillo | 0.51mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (+11%) | 2mo | $260,000 | $226 | 56 |
| 260 N Lyon Ave #52 | 0.58mi | 2/2.0 | 1,000 (-4%) | 14mo | $58,000 | $58 | 54 |
| 332 N Lyon Ave #63 | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (-8%) | 11mo | $40,000 | $42 | 51 |
| 332 N Lyon Ave #122 | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (-8%) | 11mo | $32,500 | $34 | 51 |
| 1445 W Florida Ave #53 | 0.64mi | 2/2.0 | 960 (-8%) | 10mo | $83,000 | $86 | 49 |
| 1525 W Oakland Ave #2 | 0.57mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (+11%) | 14mo | $48,000 | $42 | 43 |
| 260 N Lyon Ave #45 | 0.65mi | 2/2.0 | 1,140 (+10%) | 14mo | $23,500 | $21 | 41 |
| 260 N Lyon Ave #42 | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,150 (+11%) | 11mo | $100,000 | $87 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.76% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 19.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.79×
- Total profit
- $24,061
- Equity at exit
- $16,252
- IRR
- 27.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.25×
- Total profit
- $68,641
- Equity at exit
- $9,424
Cash invested: $30,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92543
- Home prices YoY
- -26.7%
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 273
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,827 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$572
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$136 /mo · $1,635/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$384
- Net cashflow
- $690
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $765 | -5% $728 | +0% $690 | +5% $652 | +10% $615 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $546 | -5% $618 | +0% $690 | +5% $762 | +10% $834 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $745 | -0.5pp $718 | base $690 | +0.5pp $662 | +1.0pp $633 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,250
- Closing costs
- $3,270
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 165 N Hamilton Ave Unit 3 Hemet, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,450 | $1.89 | 6d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 165 N Hamilton Ave Unit 4 Hemet, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 768 | $1,525 | $1.99 | 23d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1270 Rosalia Ave Unit 1 Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,800 | $2.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 250 N Elk St Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,625 | $1.81 | 15d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 446 N Elk St Unit D Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 980 | $1,675 | $1.71 | 25d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 1315 W Latham Ave Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1340 | $2,550 | $1.90 | 45d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 663 Mariposa Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1440 | $1,500 | $1.04 | 25d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 529 E Latham Ave Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1226 | $1,950 | $1.59 | 21d | 1 | 0.64mi |
| 526 Greystone Ln Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,600 | $2.29 | 19d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 526 Greystone Ln Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,600 | $2.29 | 45d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 526 Greystone Ln Apt 3 Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,650 | $2.36 | 45d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 363 S Gilbert St Unit B Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,900 | $1.58 | 15d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 363 S Gilbert St Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,900 | $1.58 | 5d | 1 | 0.67mi |
| 646 Greystone Ln Apt 2 Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 750 | $1,500 | $2.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 1887 Calle Amargosa Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 827 | $1,545 | $1.87 | 25d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 471 S Simpson Ave Unit D Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $1,750 | $1.94 | 45d | 1 | 0.79mi |
| 1862 Pueblo Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 977 | $1,900 | $1.94 | 45d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1862 Pueblo Dr Unit 1862 Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 977 | $1,750 | $1.79 | 25d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 910 E Campus Way Unit 910 Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 940 | $1,550 | $1.65 | 45d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 627 Solano Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 882 | $1,800 | $2.04 | 19d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 930 Calhoun Pl Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 960 | $2,890 | $3.01 | 25d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 601 Corona St Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 882 | $1,700 | $1.93 | 0d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1964 W Oakland Ave Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 977 | $1,695 | $1.73 | 19d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 1700 Walden Ln Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1430 | $2,670 | $1.87 | 25d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1931 Nuevo St Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,600 | $1.95 | 45d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 1933 Nuevo St Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 827 | $1,700 | $2.06 | 25d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 2054 Avenida Olivos Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $1,500 | $1.83 | 45d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 341 Calle Nogales Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 827 | $1,395 | $1.69 | 45d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 1118 E Campus Way Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 900 | $2,200 | $2.44 | 25d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2120 San Bernardo Ave Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 827 | $2,100 | $2.54 | 45d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 1850 Amberwood Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1170 | $1,561 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 611 S Palm Ave Unit K Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1254 | $1,895 | $1.51 | 9d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 1461 W Mayberry Ave Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1044 | $1,750 | $1.68 | 45d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 471 Whitney Dr Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1085 | $1,800 | $1.66 | 6d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 528 San Marino St Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 827 | $1,900 | $2.30 | 45d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 876 W Whittier Ave Unit 878 Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1127 | $2,150 | $1.91 | 25d | 1 | 1.06mi |
| 2269 San Bernardo Ave Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 827 | $1,650 | $2.00 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 2014 Iris Way Hemet, CA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1192 | $2,850 | $2.39 | 45d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 682 San Marino St Hemet, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 827 | $1,600 | $1.93 | 45d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 2098 W Acacia Ave Hemet, CA | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 895 | $2,035 | $2.27 | 0d | 1 | 1.08mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $109,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $109,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $109,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $109,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $109,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $109,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $109,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $109,000 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-04-25$109,000 Active 862-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 6/10 Major 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 14 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,923
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,106
- − Property taxes
- −$1,635
- − Insurance
- −$545
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,754
- − Management
- −$1,754
- − Depreciation
- −$3,171
- Taxable income
- $6,959
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,670
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,610/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Hemet Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0616920
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▲ 4.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,962
- Composite
- 25.16/100
- National rank
- #7517
- State rank
- #360 of 517 in CA
Livability — Hemet
- Score
- 51/100
- State rank
- #1056
- US rank
- #25208
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hemet, CA
- County
- Riverside County · 2,287,001 people
- City population
- 137,670
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 39,937
- Household income
- $49,396
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2144.0
Population outlook (Riverside County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,664,475 people
- By 2030
- 2,802,692 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 3,050,904 · +14.5%
- By 2050
- 3,256,783 · +22.2%
- By 2075
- 3,655,058 · +37.2%
- By 2100
- 3,766,594 · +41.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.61)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 54% White 30% Two or more races 18% Black 10% Native American 2% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 48% Puerto Rican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 1% Romanian 1% Portuguese 1%
- Foreign-born
- 21% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 59% English-only · Spanish 38% Arabic 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Riverside
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.0% · R 49.3% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.3pp · 2024: -1.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.3 2020: D+8.0 2016: D+4.3 2012: R+0.4 2008: D+2.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -147.46%
- Current HPI
- 405.1277
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.76%
- Metro
- Riverside-San Bernardino-Ontario, CA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
|
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
|
||
| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-25 Listed $109,000 CRMLS
Property tax history
-8.7%/yrLatest (2014): $198 · -0.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…