644 Carybrook Ct · York, SC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.7/30.0
- ARV discount +14.8/15.0
- DSCR +7.3/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +3.0/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$285,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Come see this large family home with 4 bedrooms and plenty of storage! Open floor plan with a beautifully upgraded kitchen that has granite counter tops and stainless steel appliances! There is a large mudroom/Laundry room with a Pantry area just off the garage. Office/sitting area just off the kitchen and Den. Fresh new carpet upstairs! Super Convenient Location!
Key facts
- Double sinks
- Walk-in closet
- Fresh interior paint
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Mandatory HOA managed by Superior Association Management, LLC; Annual association fee of $107
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 1-car garage; Additional driveway parking (1 open space); Parking space(s) available
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence (residential); Site-built construction; Two levels; Slab foundation
- Construction: Vinyl and other exterior materials; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Concrete and other road surfaces; Publicly maintained road
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Microwave
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms on the upper level
- Flooring: Carpet; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; One half bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 13 total rooms; Dishwasher, Electric Range, Microwave
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on the main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $285k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $488 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $285k).
- Recommended offer: $259k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.3% vs local median 4.6% in York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#139 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- York 01 (rural): math 31% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #41 of 80 in SC (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Hunter Street Elementary (math 52% / reading 47%, grade D, #168 of 597 statewide, top 31%, 405 students, 74% FRL); York Middle (math 21% / reading 33%, grade F, #153 of 229 statewide, top 68%, 814 students, 72% FRL); York Comprehensive High (math 39% / reading 82%, grade C+, #108 of 196 statewide, top 55%, 1,493 students, 68% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 54% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 545 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 2,550 units permitted in York County in 2024 (350 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- York County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 104 days — a 9% lower offer ($259k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 104 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.34%
- DSCR
- 1.33
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $340,332
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 544 Sansberry Dr | 0.09mi | 4/2.5 | 2,305 (+7%) | 2mo | $291,500 | $126 | 83 |
| 170 Canoga Ave | 0.22mi | 4/2.5 | 2,024 (-6%) | 1mo | $328,000 | $162 | 79 |
| 309 Olympia Way | 0.24mi | 4/2.5 | 2,014 (-6%) | 1mo | $314,900 | $156 | 78 |
| 416 Roxanna Ln | 0.23mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,074 (-4%) | 1mo | $360,154 | $174 | 78 |
| 184 Bellina Dr | 0.25mi | 4/2.5 | 2,328 (+8%) | 1mo | $376,282 | $162 | 74 |
| 772 Candela Ct | 0.50mi | 4/2.5 | 2,106 (-2%) | 0mo | $353,000 | $168 | 73 |
| 529 Ramona St | 0.34mi | 4/2.5 | 2,328 (+8%) | 2mo | $378,000 | $162 | 69 |
| 1120 Haltom Holw | 0.53mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,213 (+3%) | 1mo | $349,999 | $158 | 65 |
| 326 Olympia Way | 0.28mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,352 (+9%) | 2mo | $335,000 | $142 | 63 |
| 640 Candela Ct | 0.41mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,310 (+7%) | 2mo | $365,000 | $158 | 62 |
| 1128 Haltom Holw | 0.50mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,306 (+7%) | 1mo | $339,349 | $147 | 59 |
| 231 Ella Claire Dr | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,264 (+5%) | 1mo | $354,900 | $157 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.81×
- Total profit
- $-15,138
- Equity at exit
- $42,494
- IRR
- 4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.33×
- Total profit
- $26,672
- Equity at exit
- $24,642
Cash invested: $79,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29745
- Home prices YoY
- -30.3%
- Active inventory
- 545
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,931 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,495
- Tax from tax record
- −$205 /mo · $2,464/yr
- Insurance
- −$119
- HOA
- −$9
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$616
- Net cashflow
- $488
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $649 | -5% $569 | +0% $488 | +5% $407 | +10% $327 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $257 | -5% $372 | +0% $488 | +5% $604 | +10% $720 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $632 | -0.5pp $561 | base $488 | +0.5pp $414 | +1.0pp $339 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $71,250
- Closing costs
- $8,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 495 Switch St York, SC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1928 | $2,500 | $1.30 | 5d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 515 Trading Post Ln York, SC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1429 | $2,300 | $1.61 | 25d | 1 | 0.60mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $9 · $108/yr
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-18status $285,000 Pending 104 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $285,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $285,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $285,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $285,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $285,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $285,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $285,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $285,000 Active 93 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $285,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $285,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $285,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $285,000 Active 87 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $285,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-05-14price $285,000
-
2026-04-30price $291,000
-
2026-04-09price $295,000
-
2026-03-19price $300,000
-
2026-03-06$305,000 Active
-
2026-02-23soldstatus $296,616
-
2020-08-21soldstatus $210,000
-
2020-07-28soldstatus $210,000 Sold CO-OP Non Member 366-char remark
Show marketing remark (366 chars)
Come see this large family home with 4 bedrooms and plenty of storage! Open floor plan with a beautifully upgraded kitchen that has granite counter tops and stainless steel appliances! There is a large mudroom/Laundry room with a Pantry area just off the garage. Office/sitting area just off the kitchen and Den. Fresh new carpet upstairs! Super Convenient Location!
-
2020-06-29status Pending 366-char remark
Show marketing remark (366 chars)
Come see this large family home with 4 bedrooms and plenty of storage! Open floor plan with a beautifully upgraded kitchen that has granite counter tops and stainless steel appliances! There is a large mudroom/Laundry room with a Pantry area just off the garage. Office/sitting area just off the kitchen and Den. Fresh new carpet upstairs! Super Convenient Location!
-
2020-06-29historical Sale with Right of Refusal 366-char remark
Show marketing remark (366 chars)
Come see this large family home with 4 bedrooms and plenty of storage! Open floor plan with a beautifully upgraded kitchen that has granite counter tops and stainless steel appliances! There is a large mudroom/Laundry room with a Pantry area just off the garage. Office/sitting area just off the kitchen and Den. Fresh new carpet upstairs! Super Convenient Location!
-
2020-06-26$209,900 Active 366-char remark
Show marketing remark (366 chars)
Come see this large family home with 4 bedrooms and plenty of storage! Open floor plan with a beautifully upgraded kitchen that has granite counter tops and stainless steel appliances! There is a large mudroom/Laundry room with a Pantry area just off the garage. Office/sitting area just off the kitchen and Den. Fresh new carpet upstairs! Super Convenient Location!
-
2008-09-24soldstatus $151,391
-
2007-08-22soldstatus $117,556
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,464 · $205/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,464 · $205/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $35,175
- − Mortgage interest
- −$15,964
- − Property taxes
- −$2,464
- − Insurance
- −$1,425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,814
- − Management
- −$2,814
- − HOA
- −$108
- − Depreciation
- −$8,291
- Taxable income
- $1,295
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$311
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,546/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- York 01
- NCES district ID
- 4503810
- Math proficiency
- 31% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,491
- Composite
- 30.21/100
- National rank
- #6305
- State rank
- #41 of 80 in SC
Livability — York
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #139
- US rank
- #13425
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- York, SC
- County
- York County · 281,758 people
- City population
- 34,909
- Metro
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 34,909
- Household income
- $79,117
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 321.0
Population outlook (York County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 307,757 people
- By 2030
- 335,979 · +9.2%
- By 2040
- 391,378 · +27.2%
- By 2050
- 443,234 · +44.0%
- By 2075
- 557,102 · +81.0%
- By 2100
- 625,837 · +103.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 12% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Serbian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · York
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.1) · D 39.7% · R 58.8% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.4pp toward R · 2008: -17.7pp · 2024: -19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.1 2020: R+16.5 2016: R+22.1 2012: R+20.5 2008: R+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -109.42%
- Current HPI
- 251.6848
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Charlotte-Concord-Gastonia, NC-SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+142.4% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-14 Price Changed $285,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-30 Price Changed $291,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-09 Price Changed $295,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-19 Price Changed $300,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-06 Listed $305,000 CANOPYMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-23 Sold (Public Records) $296,616 Public Records
- 2020-08-21 Sold (Public Records) $210,000 Public Records
- 2020-07-28 Sold (MLS) $210,000 SPMLS
- 2020-06-29 Pending — SPMLS
- 2020-06-29 Contingent — SPMLS
- 2020-06-26 Listed $209,900 SPMLS
- 2008-09-24 Sold (Public Records) $151,391 Public Records
- 2007-08-22 Sold (Public Records) $117,556 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.8%/yrLatest (2025): $2,464 · +15.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…