4835 Aspen St · Firestone, CO
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$175,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Single-story living Built in 2022 Bonus room + shed Near parks, golf, and I-254835 Aspen St in Firestone offers a 3 bed, 2 bath manufactured home with 1,612 sq ft of single-level living in the Eagle Crest Manufactured Home Park. Built in 2022, this home features an open floor plan with connected living, dining, and kitchen areas designed for efficient flow. Split-bedroom layout provides separation between the primary suite and secondary bedrooms.Primary suite includes an attached bath and a patio door that opens to a small deck. Also included are two additional bedrooms, an additional bathroom, a mud room at the back door, and a large bonus room offering flexible use for home office, media, or hobby space. Interior layout supports a variety of functional needs without stairs.Exterior features include a storage shed and off-street parking with space for up to three vehicles. Exterior landscaping is immaculate.Located near Firestone Regional Sports Complex (approx. 1-2 mi), Saddleback Golf Club (approx. 2-3 mi), and King Soopers (approx. 2-3 mi). Convenient access to I-25 (approx. 3-5 mi) supports commuting to Longmont, Denver, and surrounding areas. Nearby parks and open space provide additional recreation options.Includes video tour and floor plan for additional property details and layout reference.?? Nearby Amenities (approximate distances)Firestone Regional Sports Complex (1-2 mi)Saddleback Golf Club (2-3 mi)King Soopers (2-3 mi)I-25 access (3-5 mi)Downtown Longmont (10-15 min drive)
Key facts
- 3 parking spots
- Built 2022
- Listed 62 days
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Taxes and parcel details recorded (financial specifics excluded per instructions)
- Financial info: Month-to-month lease information available; Lease amount listed at $1,205 (if applicable)
- HOA & community: Property is in a land-lease park (Eagle Crest) with a monthly land lease; Monthly land lease: $910 (lease expiration listed in records)
Exterior
- Parking: 3 off-street parking spaces (total 3 parking spaces)
- Utilities: Public sewer
- Home design: Manufactured home in park; Manufactured home model: Bel/Bele; Faces south; Individual ownership
- Construction: Wood siding; Composition roof; Vinyl skirting (manufactured home)
- Exterior features: Deck; Small private deck off primary suite; Located in a park community (Eagle Crest)
Interior
- Kitchen: Island; Stainless steel appliances; Gas range/stove; Microwave; Dishwasher; Disposal; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms, all on the main level; Primary suite with private 3/4 bathroom, 9x4 walk-in closet, ceiling fan, and patio door to a small deck; Other bedrooms include ceiling fans
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 bathrooms total: one full bathroom and one three-quarter bathroom (primary); Both bathrooms located on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Kitchen island; Laminate counters; Open floorplan; Pantry; Walk-in closet(s); Double pane windows
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room located behind the kitchen with mud room and back door access; Washer and dryer included
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $175k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $864 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $175k).
- Recommended offer: $164k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 12.2% vs local median 2.9% in Firestone — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#44 in CO) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, cost of living F.
- St. Vrain Valley School District No. Re1J (suburban): math 32% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #23 of 86 in CO (top 27%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Centennial Elementary (math 32% / reading 47%, grade F, #357 of 966 statewide, top 40%, 468 students, 33% FRL); Coal Ridge Middle School (math 23% / reading 46%, grade F, #106 of 270 statewide, top 42%, 800 students, 32% FRL); Mead High School (math 34% / reading 59%, grade D-, #137 of 381 statewide, top 36%, 1,119 students, 25% FRL) — zoned schools at 30% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 534 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,170 units permitted in Weld County in 2024 (278 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Weld County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $49k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 62 days — a 6% lower offer ($164k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 62 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.50% ✓
- Cap rate
- 12.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- 21.16%
- DSCR
- 1.94
- GRM
- 5.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $148,304
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10844 Belmont St N | 0.13mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (-6%) | 6mo | $162,500 | $107 | 78 |
| 10846 Bailey St | 0.09mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (-13%) | 9mo | $125,000 | $89 | 67 |
| 10658 Bald Eagle Cir | 0.23mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,456 (-10%) | 3mo | $125,000 | $86 | 66 |
| 10686 Baily St #153 | 0.20mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,456 (-10%) | 6mo | $127,000 | $87 | 64 |
| 4892 Barron Cir | 0.36mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,680 (+4%) | 9mo | $163,400 | $97 | 63 |
| 10655 Titan Ave | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,568 (-3%) | 18mo | $145,000 | $92 | 62 |
| 10609 Bald Eagle Cir | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (-6%) | 18mo | $135,000 | $89 | 62 |
| 10609 Bald Eagle Cir #371 | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,512 (-6%) | 18mo | $135,000 | $89 | 62 |
| 4616 Tilbury Ct | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (-10%) | 4mo | $135,000 | $93 | 61 |
| 10545 Bedford St #235 | 0.33mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,680 (+4%) | 18mo | $140,000 | $83 | 58 |
| 10655 Titan Ave #324 | 0.30mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,528 (-5%) | 18mo | $145,000 | $95 | 58 |
| 10600 Titan Ave | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (-13%) | 10mo | $143,000 | $102 | 55 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $19,013
- Equity at exit
- $26,093
- IRR
- 16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.18×
- Total profit
- $57,844
- Equity at exit
- $15,131
Cash invested: $49,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 38 Tenant-Leaning
- State Colorado
- 38 Tenant-Leaning · D+4
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 80504
- Rents YoY
- -2.3%
- Active inventory
- 534
- Price-to-rent
- 5.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,624 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$918
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$219 /mo · $2,625/yr
- Insurance
- −$73
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$551
- Net cashflow
- $864
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $985 | -5% $924 | +0% $864 | +5% $803 | +10% $743 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $657 | -5% $760 | +0% $864 | +5% $968 | +10% $1,071 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $952 | -0.5pp $908 | base $864 | +0.5pp $819 | +1.0pp $772 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $43,750
- Closing costs
- $5,250
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10670 Jake Jabs Blvd Firestone, CO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1036 | $2,595 | $2.50 | 14d | 26 | 0.44mi |
| 5620 Tumbleweed Ave Firestone, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1747 | $3,200 | $1.83 | 22d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 10910 Turner Blvd #70 Longmont, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1152 | $1,999 | $1.74 | 22d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 10818 Cimarron St #1202 Firestone, CO | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1823 | $2,500 | $1.37 | 22d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 10692 Durango Pl Longmont, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,395 | $1.60 | 22d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 10426 Durango Pl Longmont, CO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,350 | $1.57 | 22d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 4347 Rangeview Cir Longmont, CO | 3.0–5.0 | 2.0–3.0 | 2143 | $2,995 | $1.40 | 14d | 4 | 1.34mi |
Listing history 17 events
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2026-06-18days on market $175,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $175,000 Active 61 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $175,000 Active 60 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $175,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $175,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $175,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $175,000 Active 52 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $175,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $175,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $175,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $175,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $175,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-05-21$175,000 Active 1511-char remark
Show marketing remark (1511 chars)
Single-story living Built in 2022 Bonus room + shed Near parks, golf, and I-254835 Aspen St in Firestone offers a 3 bed, 2 bath manufactured home with 1,612 sq ft of single-level living in the Eagle Crest Manufactured Home Park. Built in 2022, this home features an open floor plan with connected living, dining, and kitchen areas designed for efficient flow. Split-bedroom layout provides separation between the primary suite and secondary bedrooms.Primary suite includes an attached bath and a patio door that opens to a small deck. Also included are two additional bedrooms, an additional bathroom, a mud room at the back door, and a large bonus room offering flexible use for home office, media, or hobby space. Interior layout supports a variety of functional needs without stairs.Exterior features include a storage shed and off-street parking with space for up to three vehicles. Exterior landscaping is immaculate.Located near Firestone Regional Sports Complex (approx. 1-2 mi), Saddleback Golf Club (approx. 2-3 mi), and King Soopers (approx. 2-3 mi). Convenient access to I-25 (approx. 3-5 mi) supports commuting to Longmont, Denver, and surrounding areas. Nearby parks and open space provide additional recreation options.Includes video tour and floor plan for additional property details and layout reference.?? Nearby Amenities (approximate distances)Firestone Regional Sports Complex (1-2 mi)Saddleback Golf Club (2-3 mi)King Soopers (2-3 mi)I-25 access (3-5 mi)Downtown Longmont (10-15 min drive)
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2026-05-07price $175,000
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2026-04-17$180,000 Active
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2026-04-11historical $180,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $31,493
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,803
- − Property taxes
- −$2,625
- − Insurance
- −$875
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,519
- − Management
- −$2,519
- − Depreciation
- −$5,091
- Taxable income
- $8,060
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,935
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,432/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This single-story manufactured home in Firestone, CO, built in 2022, offers a good condition with a fresh exterior and interior. It's move-in ready with minor maintenance needed.
Value-add opportunities
- Resale Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal
- Rental Replace carpet — Fresh carpet improves tenant satisfaction
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale Paint exterior — Enhances curb appeal ↑
- Rental Replace carpet — Fresh carpet improves tenant satisfaction ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Vrain Valley School District No. Re1J
- NCES district ID
- 0805370
- Math proficiency
- 32% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 51% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $71,571
- Composite
- 37.73/100
- National rank
- #4353
- State rank
- #23 of 86 in CO
Livability — Firestone
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #44
- US rank
- #5060
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Firestone, CO
- County
- Weld County · 332,652 people
- City population
- 1,684
- Metro
- Greeley, CO
- Population (ZIP)
- 63,451
- Household income
- $113,643
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1028.0
Population outlook (Weld County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 351,957 people
- By 2030
- 385,304 · +9.5%
- By 2040
- 451,818 · +28.4%
- By 2050
- 514,478 · +46.2%
- By 2075
- 648,733 · +84.3%
- By 2100
- 720,400 · +104.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 13% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 18%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 84% English-only · Spanish 13% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Weld
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+21.0) · D 38.2% · R 59.2% · Other 2.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.2pp toward R · 2008: -8.7pp · 2024: -21.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+21.0 2020: R+18.0 2016: R+22.4 2012: R+13.2 2008: R+8.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -534.45%
- Current HPI
- 245.1351
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.34%
- Metro
- Greeley, CO
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.95%
- F500 in state
- 14
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $31B |
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| Food / Agriculture | 1 | $18B |
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| Packaging | 1 | $14B |
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| Healthcare | 1 | $13B |
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| Energy | 1 | $10B |
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| Technology | 1 | $4B |
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Price history
-2.8% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-21 Listed $175,000 IRES
- 2026-05-07 Price Changed $175,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-17 Listed $180,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-11 Coming Soon $180,000 REColorado as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…