502 21st St · Phenix City, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 76.0%
Air-quality risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Unhealthy air days now
- 7 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 8 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Rent growth +3.8/5.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$69,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
COUNTRY PORCH, SCREENED PORCH, LEVEL LOT, CONVENIENT TO DOWNTOWN COLUMBUS AND PHENIX CITY. NEW SEWER LINE, TWO (2) STORAGE BUILDINGS, 3 BEDROOMS, 2/5 BATHS, WASHER / DRYNER CONNECTION.
Key facts
- Country porch
- Level lot
- Screened porch
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No community features listed
Exterior
- Parking: 2 parking spaces
- Home design: Single-family residence; One level; No shared/common walls
- Construction: Cement siding; Other construction materials; Composition/shingle roof
- Exterior features: Front porch (screened); Screened front porch; Fenced front and back yard; Back yard; Storage structure on the property; Has a view; Accessible approach with ramp; Level lot; Asphalt road frontage on a city street
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Other flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom; 2 bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Window unit cooling; Heating system listed as 'Other'
- Interior features: Private entrance; Wood-frame windows; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry features listed as 'Other'
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $607 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
- Cap rate 16.9% vs local median 5.0% in Phenix City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#297 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
- Phenix City (suburban): math 22% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #59 of 129 in AL (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 217 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 183 units permitted in Russell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Russell County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.3% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $36k; list at $69k implies a 90% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.99% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 37.72%
- DSCR
- 2.68
- GRM
- 4.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $111,408
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2500 5th Ave | 0.30mi | 3/2.0 | 1,247 (-2%) | 4mo | $219,900 | $176 | 80 |
| 2116 6th Ave | 0.06mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (+14%) | 1mo | $234,900 | $163 | 73 |
| 703 22nd St | 0.15mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,188 (-6%) | 9mo | $145,000 | $122 | 70 |
| 2400 13th Ave | 0.66mi | 3/2.0 | 1,241 (-2%) | 0mo | $222,500 | $179 | 66 |
| 2105 11th Ave | 0.50mi | 3/2.0 | 1,342 (+6%) | 4mo | $118,500 | $88 | 63 |
| 604 20th St | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 | 1,094 (-14%) | 9mo | $58,000 | $53 | 63 |
| 205 25th St | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 | 1,443 (+14%) | 5mo | $60,333 | $42 | 58 |
| 2104 1st Ave | 0.23mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,120 (-12%) | 5mo | $85,000 | $76 | 57 |
| 923 16th St | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,224 (-3%) | 9mo | $20,000 | $16 | 56 |
| 923 20th St | 0.37mi | 2/0.5 (-1) | 1,408 (+11%) | 3mo | $53,000 | $38 | 51 |
| 2200 10th Ct | 0.41mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,380 (+9%) | 8mo | $100,000 | $72 | 50 |
| 1103 28th Place Pl | 0.70mi | 3/1.5 | 1,368 (+8%) | 2mo | $215,000 | $157 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 5.33% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 36.4%
- Equity multiple
- 2.59×
- Total profit
- $30,813
- Equity at exit
- $10,288
- IRR
- 44.2%
- Equity multiple
- 5.70×
- Total profit
- $90,894
- Equity at exit
- $5,966
Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 36867
- Home prices YoY
- -30.1%
- Rents YoY
- 5.3%
- Active inventory
- 217
- Price-to-rent
- 4.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,372 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$362
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$86 /mo · $1,035/yr
- Insurance
- −$29
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$288
- Net cashflow
- $607
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $655 | -5% $631 | +0% $607 | +5% $583 | +10% $560 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $499 | -5% $553 | +0% $607 | +5% $662 | +10% $716 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $642 | -0.5pp $625 | base $607 | +0.5pp $589 | +1.0pp $571 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $17,250
- Closing costs
- $2,070
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 8 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2108 9th Ave Phenix City, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1040 | $1,150 | $1.11 | 22d | 1 | 0.22mi |
| 707 28th St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1384 | $1,000 | $0.72 | 14d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 615 32nd St Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $900 | $0.91 | 14d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2807 Beacon Ave Unit A Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1014 | $1,250 | $1.23 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 2807 Beacon Ave Unit B Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1015 | $1,350 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 1346 Ingersoll Dr Phenix City, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1453 | $1,700 | $1.17 | 14d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1503 11th Ave Columbus, GA | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1370 | $1,200 | $0.88 | 14d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 108 Comer St Columbus, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1180 | $1,050 | $0.89 | 14d | 1 | 1.42mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $69,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $69,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $69,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $69,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 184-char remark
-
2026-06-13$69,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 76% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,469
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,865
- − Property taxes
- −$1,035
- − Insurance
- −$345
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,317
- − Management
- −$1,317
- − Depreciation
- −$2,007
- Taxable income
- $6,581
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,579
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,709/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Phenix City
- NCES district ID
- 0102700
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -24.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 44% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,228
- Composite
- 27.29/100
- National rank
- #7001
- State rank
- #59 of 129 in AL
Livability — Phenix City
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #297
- US rank
- #19037
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Phenix City, AL
- County
- Russell County · 53,055 people
- City population
- 62,290
- Metro
- Columbus, GA-AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,821
- Household income
- $48,026
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1399.0
Population outlook (Russell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 70,137 people
- By 2030
- 75,826 · +8.1%
- By 2040
- 87,858 · +25.3%
- By 2050
- 99,721 · +42.2%
- By 2075
- 128,009 · +82.5%
- By 2100
- 149,251 · +112.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 34% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Russell
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 50.4% · R 48.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.6pp toward R · 2008: 7.3pp · 2024: 1.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+1.7 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+1.9 2012: D+11.8 2008: D+7.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -74.10%
- Current HPI
- 171.8426
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 5.33%
- Metro
- Columbus, GA-AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
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Price history
+89.9% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $69,000 EABOR
- 2000-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $36,329 Public Records
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…