CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
502 21st St
B+ Composite 77.06
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.8/5.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.7/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$69,000

502 21st St · Phenix City, AL 36867
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,266 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 6 Days on market
Built 1900 7,405 sqft lot Est $111k · 38% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

COUNTRY PORCH, SCREENED PORCH, LEVEL LOT, CONVENIENT TO DOWNTOWN COLUMBUS AND PHENIX CITY. NEW SEWER LINE, TWO (2) STORAGE BUILDINGS, 3 BEDROOMS, 2/5 BATHS, WASHER / DRYNER CONNECTION.

Key facts

  • Country porch
  • Level lot
  • Screened porch

Tags

COUNTRY PORCHSCREENED PORCHLEVEL LOTNEW SEWER LINETWO STORAGE BUILDINGS

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: No community features listed

Exterior

  • Parking: 2 parking spaces
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One level; No shared/common walls
  • Construction: Cement siding; Other construction materials; Composition/shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Front porch (screened); Screened front porch; Fenced front and back yard; Back yard; Storage structure on the property; Has a view; Accessible approach with ramp; Level lot; Asphalt road frontage on a city street

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms on the main level
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Other flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom; 2 bathrooms on the main level
  • Heating & cooling: Window unit cooling; Heating system listed as 'Other'
  • Interior features: Private entrance; Wood-frame windows; Crawl space basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry features listed as 'Other'

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $69k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $607 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $69k).
  • Cap rate 16.9% vs local median 5.0% in Phenix City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#297 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, amenities F.
  • Phenix City (suburban): math 22% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #59 of 129 in AL (top 46%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.3%/yr); 217 active listings in the ZIP; 8 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 183 units permitted in Russell County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($48k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $477 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Russell County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.3% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 6 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $36k; list at $69k implies a 90% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 76% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $69,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.99%
Cap rate
16.86%
Cash-on-cash
37.72%
DSCR
2.68
GRM
4.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$111,408
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2500 5th Ave 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,247 (-2%) 4mo $219,900 $176 80
2116 6th Ave 0.06mi 3/2.0 1,440 (+14%) 1mo $234,900 $163 73
703 22nd St 0.15mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,188 (-6%) 9mo $145,000 $122 70
2400 13th Ave 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,241 (-2%) 0mo $222,500 $179 66
2105 11th Ave 0.50mi 3/2.0 1,342 (+6%) 4mo $118,500 $88 63
604 20th St 0.07mi 3/1.0 1,094 (-14%) 9mo $58,000 $53 63
205 25th St 0.31mi 3/2.0 1,443 (+14%) 5mo $60,333 $42 58
2104 1st Ave 0.23mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,120 (-12%) 5mo $85,000 $76 57
923 16th St 0.47mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,224 (-3%) 9mo $20,000 $16 56
923 20th St 0.37mi 2/0.5 (-1) 1,408 (+11%) 3mo $53,000 $38 51
2200 10th Ct 0.41mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,380 (+9%) 8mo $100,000 $72 50
1103 28th Place Pl 0.70mi 3/1.5 1,368 (+8%) 2mo $215,000 $157 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 5.33% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
36.4%
Equity multiple
2.59×
Total profit
$30,813
Equity at exit
$10,288
10-year hold
IRR
44.2%
Equity multiple
5.70×
Total profit
$90,894
Equity at exit
$5,966

Cash invested: $19,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 36867

Home prices YoY
-30.1%
Rents YoY
5.3%
Active inventory
217
Price-to-rent
4.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,372 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$362
Tax est. 1.5%
$86 /mo · $1,035/yr
Insurance
$29
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$288
Net cashflow
$607

Break-even live

Break-even rent $604
Max offer price $69,000
Occupancy floor 51%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $655 -5% $631 +0% $607 +5% $583 +10% $560
Rent -10% $499 -5% $553 +0% $607 +5% $662 +10% $716
Rate -1.0pp $642 -0.5pp $625 base $607 +0.5pp $589 +1.0pp $571

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$17,250
Closing costs
$2,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 8 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2108 9th Ave Phenix City, AL 3.0 1.0 1040 $1,150 $1.11 22d 1 0.22mi
707 28th St Columbus, GA 3.0 1.0 1384 $1,000 $0.72 14d 1 1.13mi
615 32nd St Columbus, GA 3.0 1.0 984 $900 $0.91 14d 1 1.29mi
2807 Beacon Ave Unit A Columbus, GA 2.0 2.0 1014 $1,250 $1.23 44d 1 1.33mi
2807 Beacon Ave Unit B Columbus, GA 2.0 2.5 1015 $1,350 $1.33 44d 1 1.33mi
1346 Ingersoll Dr Phenix City, AL 3.0 2.0 1453 $1,700 $1.17 14d 1 1.36mi
1503 11th Ave Columbus, GA 3.0 2.0 1370 $1,200 $0.88 14d 1 1.37mi
108 Comer St Columbus, GA 2.0 1.0 1180 $1,050 $0.89 14d 1 1.42mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $69,000 Active 6 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $69,000 Active 5 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $69,000 Active 4 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $69,000 Active 3 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    remarks 184-char remark
  6. 2026-06-13
    listed $69,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 76% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 5/10 Major 7 unhealthy d/yr today · 8 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,469
− Mortgage interest
−$3,865
− Property taxes
−$1,035
− Insurance
−$345
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,317
− Management
−$1,317
− Depreciation
−$2,007
Taxable income
$6,581
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,579
After-tax cash flow
$5,709/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Phenix City
NCES district ID
0102700
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -24.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$36,228
Composite
27.29/100
National rank
#7001
State rank
#59 of 129 in AL

Livability — Phenix City

Score
60/100
State rank
#297
US rank
#19037

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Phenix City, AL
County
Russell County · 53,055 people
City population
62,290
Metro
Columbus, GA-AL
Population (ZIP)
22,821
Household income
$48,026
Rent vs Own
52.0% rent · 48.0% own
Severe rent burden
1399.0

Population outlook (Russell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
70,137 people
By 2030
75,826 · +8.1%
By 2040
87,858 · +25.3%
By 2050
99,721 · +42.2%
By 2075
128,009 · +82.5%
By 2100
149,251 · +112.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Black 34% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China, South Korea
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 4% Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Russell

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 50.4% · R 48.7%
2008→2024 swing
-5.6pp toward R · 2008: 7.3pp · 2024: 1.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+1.7 2020: D+6.4 2016: D+1.9 2012: D+11.8 2008: D+7.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -74.10%
Current HPI
171.8426
Rent YoY
▲ 5.33%
Metro
Columbus, GA-AL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+89.9% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-12 Listed $69,000 EABOR
  • 2000-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $36,329 Public Records

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…