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855 Hague Ave Duplex
D Composite 42.79
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.3/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.1/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$400,000

855 Hague Ave · St. Paul, MN 55104
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,708 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 80 Days on market
Built 1895 4,356 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 855 Hague Avenue, a versatile duplex with multiple paths to income. Each unit is 1 bed, 1 bath and move-in ready. The lower level can combine with the main floor to create a 2 bed, 2 bath layout, or function as a mother-in-law suite. Well maintained building with a strong rental history in a high-demand location. Driveway and off-street parking, plus walkable access to coffee shops, restaurants, transit, and William Mitchell School of Law. A prime St. Paul opportunity for house hackers and investors alike.

Key facts

  • 4,356 sq ft lot
  • Built 1895
  • Listed 79 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $400k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $149 ($2k/yr) — positive. Per door: $75/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $390k (2.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $376k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • St. Paul Public School District (urban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in MN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 189 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,202 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (880 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,903/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($76k/yr) (locally 2116% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ramsey County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($376k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 11 sale attempts since 34y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $188k; list at $400k implies a 112% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1895 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $376,000 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1895 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
6.74%
Cash-on-cash
1.60%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.5% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-14.3%
Equity multiple
0.49×
Total profit
$-57,093
Equity at exit
$59,641
10-year hold
IRR
-6.4%
Equity multiple
0.60×
Total profit
$-44,738
Equity at exit
$34,585

Cash invested: $112,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
46 Balanced
State Minnesota
46 Balanced · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
2024 reforms strengthened tenant protections; ramsey/hennepin courts paced moderate to slow.

ZIP-level market 55104

Rents YoY
2.5%
Active inventory
189
Price-to-rent
17.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,903 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$2,098
Tax from tax record
$670 /mo · $8,036/yr
Insurance
$167
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$820
Net cashflow
$149

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,714
Max offer price $400,000
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $376 -5% $263 +0% $149 +5% $36 +10% $-77
Rent -10% $-159 -5% $-5 +0% $149 +5% $304 +10% $458
Rate -1.0pp $351 -0.5pp $251 base $149 +0.5pp $46 +1.0pp $-60

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,903

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$100,000
Closing costs
$12,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
255 Western Ave N Saint Paul, MN 3.0 1.0–2.0 1049 $3,700 $3.53 3d 23 0.96mi
470 Lexington Pkwy S Saint Paul, MN 2.0 1.0–2.0 1175 $3,500 $2.98 3d 19 1.37mi
1555 Selby Ave Saint Paul, MN 3.0 1.0–2.0 1129 $4,394 $3.89 0d 6 1.46mi

Listing history 43 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $400,000 Active 80 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $400,000 Active 77 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $400,000 Active 76 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $400,000 Active 75 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $400,000 Active 74 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $400,000 Active 72 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    price $400,000 Active 68 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $425,000 Active 68 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $425,000 Active 67 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $425,000 Active 66 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $425,000 Active 63 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $425,000 Active 62 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $425,000 Active 61 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $425,000 Active 60 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $425,000 Active 59 DOM
  16. 2026-04-03
    listed $450,000 Active 522-char remark
    Show marketing remark (522 chars)

    Welcome to 855 Hague Avenue, a versatile duplex with multiple paths to income. Each unit is 1 bed, 1 bath and move-in ready. The lower level can combine with the main floor to create a 2 bed, 2 bath layout, or function as a mother-in-law suite. Well maintained building with a strong rental history in a high-demand location. Driveway and off-street parking, plus walkable access to coffee shops, restaurants, transit, and William Mitchell School of Law. A prime St. Paul opportunity for house hackers and investors alike.

  17. 2026-03-28
    historical $450,000 522-char remark
    Show marketing remark (522 chars)

    Welcome to 855 Hague Avenue, a versatile duplex with multiple paths to income. Each unit is 1 bed, 1 bath and move-in ready. The lower level can combine with the main floor to create a 2 bed, 2 bath layout, or function as a mother-in-law suite. Well maintained building with a strong rental history in a high-demand location. Driveway and off-street parking, plus walkable access to coffee shops, restaurants, transit, and William Mitchell School of Law. A prime St. Paul opportunity for house hackers and investors alike.

  18. 2015-02-11
    soldstatus $188,250
  19. 2015-01-27
    soldstatus $188,250 Sold 261-char remark
    Show marketing remark (261 chars)

    Great crocus hill duplex! Fresh paint, newer flooring, vinyl windows & siding. Unit 1 (2bd/2ba 1750sqft) rents for $1100. Unit 2 (1bd/1ba + den, 770 sqft) rents for $750. Renters pay heat & electric. Walk to lightrail, schools, shops, & restaurants.

  20. 2015-01-27
    soldstatus $188,250
    Show marketing remark (261 chars)

    Great crocus hill duplex! Fresh paint, newer flooring, vinyl windows & siding. Unit 1 (2bd/2ba 1750sqft) rents for $1100. Unit 2 (1bd/1ba + den, 770 sqft) rents for $750. Renters pay heat & electric. Walk to lightrail, schools, shops, & restaurants.

  21. 2015-01-27
    soldstatus $188,250
    Show marketing remark (261 chars)

    Great crocus hill duplex! Fresh paint, newer flooring, vinyl windows & siding. Unit 1 (2bd/2ba 1750sqft) rents for $1100. Unit 2 (1bd/1ba + den, 770 sqft) rents for $750. Renters pay heat & electric. Walk to lightrail, schools, shops, & restaurants.

  22. 2014-12-22
    status Pending 261-char remark
    Show marketing remark (261 chars)

    Great crocus hill duplex! Fresh paint, newer flooring, vinyl windows & siding. Unit 1 (2bd/2ba 1750sqft) rents for $1100. Unit 2 (1bd/1ba + den, 770 sqft) rents for $750. Renters pay heat & electric. Walk to lightrail, schools, shops, & restaurants.

  23. 2014-10-16
    price $199,900 261-char remark
    Show marketing remark (261 chars)

    Great crocus hill duplex! Fresh paint, newer flooring, vinyl windows & siding. Unit 1 (2bd/2ba 1750sqft) rents for $1100. Unit 2 (1bd/1ba + den, 770 sqft) rents for $750. Renters pay heat & electric. Walk to lightrail, schools, shops, & restaurants.

  24. 2014-09-26
    listed $209,900 Active 261-char remark
    Show marketing remark (261 chars)

    Great crocus hill duplex! Fresh paint, newer flooring, vinyl windows & siding. Unit 1 (2bd/2ba 1750sqft) rents for $1100. Unit 2 (1bd/1ba + den, 770 sqft) rents for $750. Renters pay heat & electric. Walk to lightrail, schools, shops, & restaurants.

  25. 2014-09-26
    listed $199,900
    Show marketing remark (261 chars)

    Great crocus hill duplex! Fresh paint, newer flooring, vinyl windows & siding. Unit 1 (2bd/2ba 1750sqft) rents for $1100. Unit 2 (1bd/1ba + den, 770 sqft) rents for $750. Renters pay heat & electric. Walk to lightrail, schools, shops, & restaurants.

  26. 2014-09-26
    listed $199,900
    Show marketing remark (261 chars)

    Great crocus hill duplex! Fresh paint, newer flooring, vinyl windows & siding. Unit 1 (2bd/2ba 1750sqft) rents for $1100. Unit 2 (1bd/1ba + den, 770 sqft) rents for $750. Renters pay heat & electric. Walk to lightrail, schools, shops, & restaurants.

  27. 2010-09-29
    soldstatus $86,000
  28. 2010-09-13
    historical
  29. 2010-01-13
    listed $85,000
  30. 1999-10-22
    soldstatus $56,000
  31. 1999-09-03
    soldstatus $56,000
  32. 1999-07-10
    historical
  33. 1999-05-22
    listed $54,900
  34. 1999-04-07
    historical
  35. 1998-10-07
    listed $49,900
  36. 1998-05-30
    historical
  37. 1997-03-06
    listed $49,900
  38. 1996-06-17
    historical
  39. 1995-07-17
    listed $39,900
  40. 1994-08-27
    historical
  41. 1992-10-27
    listed $40,900
  42. 1992-09-15
    historical
  43. 1992-01-27
    listed $49,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$8,036 · $670/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$8,036 · $670/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$46,836
− Mortgage interest
−$22,406
− Property taxes
−$8,036
− Insurance
−$2,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,747
− Management
−$3,747
− Depreciation
−$11,636
Taxable loss
−$4,736
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,137
After-tax cash flow
$2,929/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
St. Paul Public School District
NCES district ID
2733840
Math proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
33% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$48,316
Composite
23.51/100
National rank
#7868
State rank
#270 of 301 in MN

Livability — St. Paul

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Paul, MN
County
Ramsey County · 542,837 people
City population
280,599
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
Population (ZIP)
45,762
Household income
$75,712
Rent vs Own
46.9% rent · 53.1% own
Severe rent burden
2116.0

Population outlook (Ramsey County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
603,431 people
By 2030
636,459 · +5.5%
By 2040
700,596 · +16.1%
By 2050
765,819 · +26.9%
By 2075
929,297 · +54.0%
By 2100
1,053,924 · +74.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
Race & ethnicity
White 60% Black 19% Two or more races 10% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 8% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
12% · Canada, Vietnam, China
Languages at home
83% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ramsey

2024 margin
Solid D (+43.3) · D 70.5% · R 27.2% · Other 2.3%
2008→2024 swing
+9.4pp toward D · 2008: 33.9pp · 2024: 43.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+43.3 2020: D+45.4 2016: D+39.4 2012: D+35.3 2008: D+33.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -532.26%
Current HPI
245.6146
Rent YoY
▲ 2.50%
Metro
Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.41%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+801.8% since first listed
28 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-03 Listed $450,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-28 Coming Soon $450,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2015-02-11 Sold (Public Records) $188,250 Public Records
  • 2015-01-27 Sold (MLS) $188,250 LSAR
  • 2015-01-27 Sold (MLS) $188,250 RASM
  • 2015-01-27 Sold (MLS) $188,250 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-12-22 Pending NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-10-16 Price Changed $199,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-09-26 Listed $209,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2014-09-26 Listed $199,900 LSAR
  • 2014-09-26 Listed $199,900 RASM
  • 2010-09-29 Sold (MLS) $86,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-09-13 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2010-01-13 Listed $85,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1999-10-22 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
  • 1999-09-03 Sold (MLS) $56,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1999-07-10 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1999-05-22 Listed $54,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1999-04-07 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1998-10-07 Listed $49,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1998-05-30 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1997-03-06 Listed $49,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1996-06-17 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1995-07-17 Listed $39,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1994-08-27 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1992-10-27 Listed $40,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1992-09-15 Listing Removed NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1992-01-27 Listed $49,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+6.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $8,036 · +37.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…