Duplex
855 Hague Ave · St. Paul, MN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $888 – $1,650
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.3/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +4.8/10.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.1/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$400,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 855 Hague Avenue, a versatile duplex with multiple paths to income. Each unit is 1 bed, 1 bath and move-in ready. The lower level can combine with the main floor to create a 2 bed, 2 bath layout, or function as a mother-in-law suite. Well maintained building with a strong rental history in a high-demand location. Driveway and off-street parking, plus walkable access to coffee shops, restaurants, transit, and William Mitchell School of Law. A prime St. Paul opportunity for house hackers and investors alike.
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Built 1895
- Listed 79 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2 × 1-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $400k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $149 ($2k/yr) — positive. Per door: $75/mo.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $390k (2.4% below list).
- Recommended offer: $376k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- St. Paul Public School District (urban): math 21% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #270 of 301 in MN (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.5%/yr); 189 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,202 units permitted in Ramsey County in 2024 (880 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,903/mo this rent would consume 62% of the median local household income ($76k/yr) (locally 2116% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Ramsey County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($376k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 11 sale attempts since 34y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $188k; list at $400k implies a 112% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1895 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
- What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
- Built in 1895 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.98% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.60%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 8.5
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.5% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -14.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-57,093
- Equity at exit
- $59,641
- IRR
- -6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.60×
- Total profit
- $-44,738
- Equity at exit
- $34,585
Cash invested: $112,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 46 Balanced
- State Minnesota
- 46 Balanced · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 55104
- Rents YoY
- 2.5%
- Active inventory
- 189
- Price-to-rent
- 17.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,903 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,098
- Tax from tax record
- −$670 /mo · $8,036/yr
- Insurance
- −$167
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$820
- Net cashflow
- $149
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $376 | -5% $263 | +0% $149 | +5% $36 | +10% $-77 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-159 | -5% $-5 | +0% $149 | +5% $304 | +10% $458 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $351 | -0.5pp $251 | base $149 | +0.5pp $46 | +1.0pp $-60 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 1 | 1 | $3,904 |
| #1 | 1 | 1 | $1,952 |
| #2 | 1 | 1 | $1,952 |
| Total (2 units) | $3,903 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $100,000
- Closing costs
- $12,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 255 Western Ave N Saint Paul, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1049 | $3,700 | $3.53 | 3d | 23 | 0.96mi |
| 470 Lexington Pkwy S Saint Paul, MN | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1175 | $3,500 | $2.98 | 3d | 19 | 1.37mi |
| 1555 Selby Ave Saint Paul, MN | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1129 | $4,394 | $3.89 | 0d | 6 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 43 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $400,000 Active 80 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $400,000 Active 77 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $400,000 Active 76 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $400,000 Active 75 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $400,000 Active 74 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $400,000 Active 72 DOM
-
2026-06-10price $400,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $425,000 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $425,000 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $425,000 Active 66 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $425,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $425,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $425,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $425,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $425,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-04-03$450,000 Active 522-char remark
Show marketing remark (522 chars)
Welcome to 855 Hague Avenue, a versatile duplex with multiple paths to income. Each unit is 1 bed, 1 bath and move-in ready. The lower level can combine with the main floor to create a 2 bed, 2 bath layout, or function as a mother-in-law suite. Well maintained building with a strong rental history in a high-demand location. Driveway and off-street parking, plus walkable access to coffee shops, restaurants, transit, and William Mitchell School of Law. A prime St. Paul opportunity for house hackers and investors alike.
-
2026-03-28historical $450,000 522-char remark
Show marketing remark (522 chars)
Welcome to 855 Hague Avenue, a versatile duplex with multiple paths to income. Each unit is 1 bed, 1 bath and move-in ready. The lower level can combine with the main floor to create a 2 bed, 2 bath layout, or function as a mother-in-law suite. Well maintained building with a strong rental history in a high-demand location. Driveway and off-street parking, plus walkable access to coffee shops, restaurants, transit, and William Mitchell School of Law. A prime St. Paul opportunity for house hackers and investors alike.
-
2015-02-11soldstatus $188,250
-
2015-01-27soldstatus $188,250 Sold 261-char remark
Show marketing remark (261 chars)
Great crocus hill duplex! Fresh paint, newer flooring, vinyl windows & siding. Unit 1 (2bd/2ba 1750sqft) rents for $1100. Unit 2 (1bd/1ba + den, 770 sqft) rents for $750. Renters pay heat & electric. Walk to lightrail, schools, shops, & restaurants.
-
2015-01-27soldstatus $188,250
Show marketing remark (261 chars)
Great crocus hill duplex! Fresh paint, newer flooring, vinyl windows & siding. Unit 1 (2bd/2ba 1750sqft) rents for $1100. Unit 2 (1bd/1ba + den, 770 sqft) rents for $750. Renters pay heat & electric. Walk to lightrail, schools, shops, & restaurants.
-
2015-01-27soldstatus $188,250
Show marketing remark (261 chars)
Great crocus hill duplex! Fresh paint, newer flooring, vinyl windows & siding. Unit 1 (2bd/2ba 1750sqft) rents for $1100. Unit 2 (1bd/1ba + den, 770 sqft) rents for $750. Renters pay heat & electric. Walk to lightrail, schools, shops, & restaurants.
-
2014-12-22status Pending 261-char remark
Show marketing remark (261 chars)
Great crocus hill duplex! Fresh paint, newer flooring, vinyl windows & siding. Unit 1 (2bd/2ba 1750sqft) rents for $1100. Unit 2 (1bd/1ba + den, 770 sqft) rents for $750. Renters pay heat & electric. Walk to lightrail, schools, shops, & restaurants.
-
2014-10-16price $199,900 261-char remark
Show marketing remark (261 chars)
Great crocus hill duplex! Fresh paint, newer flooring, vinyl windows & siding. Unit 1 (2bd/2ba 1750sqft) rents for $1100. Unit 2 (1bd/1ba + den, 770 sqft) rents for $750. Renters pay heat & electric. Walk to lightrail, schools, shops, & restaurants.
-
2014-09-26$209,900 Active 261-char remark
Show marketing remark (261 chars)
Great crocus hill duplex! Fresh paint, newer flooring, vinyl windows & siding. Unit 1 (2bd/2ba 1750sqft) rents for $1100. Unit 2 (1bd/1ba + den, 770 sqft) rents for $750. Renters pay heat & electric. Walk to lightrail, schools, shops, & restaurants.
-
2014-09-26$199,900
Show marketing remark (261 chars)
Great crocus hill duplex! Fresh paint, newer flooring, vinyl windows & siding. Unit 1 (2bd/2ba 1750sqft) rents for $1100. Unit 2 (1bd/1ba + den, 770 sqft) rents for $750. Renters pay heat & electric. Walk to lightrail, schools, shops, & restaurants.
-
2014-09-26$199,900
Show marketing remark (261 chars)
Great crocus hill duplex! Fresh paint, newer flooring, vinyl windows & siding. Unit 1 (2bd/2ba 1750sqft) rents for $1100. Unit 2 (1bd/1ba + den, 770 sqft) rents for $750. Renters pay heat & electric. Walk to lightrail, schools, shops, & restaurants.
-
2010-09-29soldstatus $86,000
-
2010-09-13historical
-
2010-01-13$85,000
-
1999-10-22soldstatus $56,000
-
1999-09-03soldstatus $56,000
-
1999-07-10historical
-
1999-05-22$54,900
-
1999-04-07historical
-
1998-10-07$49,900
-
1998-05-30historical
-
1997-03-06$49,900
-
1996-06-17historical
-
1995-07-17$39,900
-
1994-08-27historical
-
1992-10-27$40,900
-
1992-09-15historical
-
1992-01-27$49,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $8,036 · $670/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $8,036 · $670/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $46,836
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,406
- − Property taxes
- −$8,036
- − Insurance
- −$2,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,747
- − Management
- −$3,747
- − Depreciation
- −$11,636
- Taxable loss
- −$4,736
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,137
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,929/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Paul Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 2733840
- Math proficiency
- 21% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,316
- Composite
- 23.51/100
- National rank
- #7868
- State rank
- #270 of 301 in MN
Livability — St. Paul
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- Census place
- St. Paul, MN
- County
- Ramsey County · 542,837 people
- City population
- 280,599
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- Population (ZIP)
- 45,762
- Household income
- $75,712
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2116.0
Population outlook (Ramsey County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 603,431 people
- By 2030
- 636,459 · +5.5%
- By 2040
- 700,596 · +16.1%
- By 2050
- 765,819 · +26.9%
- By 2075
- 929,297 · +54.0%
- By 2100
- 1,053,924 · +74.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.60)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 60% Black 19% Two or more races 10% Asian 7% Hispanic / Latino 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 8% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 12% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Asian/Pacific 4% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Ramsey
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+43.3) · D 70.5% · R 27.2% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.4pp toward D · 2008: 33.9pp · 2024: 43.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+43.3 2020: D+45.4 2016: D+39.4 2012: D+35.3 2008: D+33.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -532.26%
- Current HPI
- 245.6146
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.50%
- Metro
- Minneapolis-St. Paul-Bloomington, MN-WI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.41%
- F500 in state
- 34
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 2 | $407B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $150B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $32B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $6B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $40B |
|
||
| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $32B |
|
||
Price history
+801.8% since first listed28 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-03 Listed $450,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-28 Coming Soon $450,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-02-11 Sold (Public Records) $188,250 Public Records
- 2015-01-27 Sold (MLS) $188,250 LSAR
- 2015-01-27 Sold (MLS) $188,250 RASM
- 2015-01-27 Sold (MLS) $188,250 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-12-22 Pending — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-10-16 Price Changed $199,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-09-26 Listed $209,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2014-09-26 Listed $199,900 LSAR
- 2014-09-26 Listed $199,900 RASM
- 2010-09-29 Sold (MLS) $86,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-09-13 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2010-01-13 Listed $85,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-10-22 Sold (Public Records) $56,000 Public Records
- 1999-09-03 Sold (MLS) $56,000 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-07-10 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-05-22 Listed $54,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-04-07 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1998-10-07 Listed $49,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1998-05-30 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1997-03-06 Listed $49,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1996-06-17 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1995-07-17 Listed $39,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1994-08-27 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1992-10-27 Listed $40,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1992-09-15 Listing Removed — NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1992-01-27 Listed $49,900 NORTHSTARMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.2%/yrLatest (2025): $8,036 · +37.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…