112 Pansy Ln · Defuniak Springs, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +1.0/5.0
$90,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investor special in a growing area with no HOA! Surrounded by newer construction homes and recently installed mobile homes, this property offers excellent potential for renovation. Situated on a spacious lot with strong upside in an improving area. Ideal opportunity for investors looking to bring new life to the property or add to their rental portfolio. Property will require clean-out and significant repairs. Cash buyers only. Sold as-is.
Key facts
- 0.23 acre lot
- Built 1985
- Listed 109 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $90k. Condition is rated poor.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $775 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 16.6% vs local median 4.8% in Defuniak Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#694 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D, amenities F.
- Walton (rural): math 62% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #10 of 73 in FL (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Mossy Head School (math 72% / reading 57%, grade B, #525 of 2,144 statewide, top 26%, 439 students, 86% FRL); Emerald Coast Middle School (math 70% / reading 65%, grade A-, #77 of 571 statewide, top 14%, 868 students, 24% FRL); Walton High School (math 52% / reading 53%, grade C-, #154 of 667 statewide, top 24%, 856 students, 65% FRL).
- Market conditions: 553 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 70d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,883 units permitted in Walton County in 2024 (1,322 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $10k of equity ($622 loan paydown + $9k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Walton County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 110 days — a 9% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 110 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.86% ✓
- Cap rate
- 16.63%
- Cash-on-cash
- 36.91%
- DSCR
- 2.64
- GRM
- 4.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $203,013
- List price
- $90,000
- Delta
- -55.67%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 190 E Iris Ln | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,114 (+6%) | 0mo | $175,888 | $158 | 69 |
| 204 E Iris Ln | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,114 (+6%) | 0mo | $175,888 | $158 | 69 |
| 135 E Tiger Lily Ln | 0.31mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,114 (+6%) | 3mo | $179,888 | $161 | 68 |
| 249 E Tiger Lily Ln | 0.23mi | 2/2.0 | 937 (-11%) | 7mo | $167,000 | $178 | 65 |
| 594 Tiger Lily Ln | 0.27mi | 2/2.0 | 937 (-11%) | 9mo | $172,990 | $185 | 61 |
| 224 E Iris Ln | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,165 (+10%) | 2mo | $209,000 | $179 | 60 |
| 115 E Tiger Lily Ln | 0.33mi | 2/2.0 | 937 (-11%) | 8mo | $159,888 | $171 | 60 |
| 1657 Trout Dr | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,114 (+6%) | 2mo | $179,888 | $161 | 58 |
| 1623 Trout Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,114 (+6%) | 2mo | $179,888 | $161 | 58 |
| 969 Walden Rd | 0.49mi | 2/2.0 | 1,152 (+9%) | 9mo | $200,990 | $174 | 54 |
| 82 E Daisy Ln | 0.54mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 975 (-8%) | 2mo | $139,990 | $144 | 51 |
| 189 W Violet Ln | 0.59mi | 2/2.0 | 937 (-11%) | 9mo | $178,990 | $191 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 52.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.90×
- Total profit
- $98,364
- Equity at exit
- $81,079
- IRR
- 46.3%
- Equity multiple
- 10.95×
- Total profit
- $250,801
- Equity at exit
- $174,850
Cash invested: $25,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 18 active · 9 under contract
- Months of supply
- 12.0 mo (8%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $208,490 ($187/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 77 d
- This list price
- 6% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- +2.7% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 32433
- Home prices YoY
- 4.2%
- Active inventory
- 553
- Price-to-rent
- 4.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,674 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$472
- Tax from tax record
- −$38 /mo · $456/yr
- Insurance
- −$38
- HOA
- −$0
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$352
- Net cashflow
- $775
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $826 | -5% $801 | +0% $775 | +5% $750 | +10% $724 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $643 | -5% $709 | +0% $775 | +5% $841 | +10% $907 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $820 | -0.5pp $798 | base $775 | +0.5pp $752 | +1.0pp $728 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,500
- Closing costs
- $2,700
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 135 Tiger Lily Ln Defuniak Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1114 | $1,795 | $1.61 | 62d | 1 | 0.32mi |
| 71 Lafavre Ln Defuniak Springs, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 806 | $1,650 | $2.05 | 70d | 1 | 0.68mi |
| 150 Hibiscus Ave Defuniak Springs, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1256 | $1,950 | $1.55 | 70d | 1 | 0.89mi |
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached carport
- Utilities
- Private well waterSeptic sewerNatural gas available
- Home design
- Traditional styleSingle-story (1 story)Built in 1985
- Construction
- Recorded building area 1,056 sq ft
- Exterior features
- Private wellSeptic tankLot approximately 0.23 acresSubdivision: OAKWOOD HILLS UNIT 1
Interior
- Kitchen
- Kitchen on the first floor
- Bedrooms
- 2 bedrooms (both on the first floor)Master bedroom on the first floor
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms (first floor)
- Heating & cooling
- Natural gas heatingWindow air conditioning units
- Interior features
- 8 total roomsLiving room on the first floorDining area on the first floor
- Laundry & utility
- Dedicated laundry room on the first floor
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-08-08days on market $90,000 Active 110 DOM
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2026-08-07days on market $90,000 Active 109 DOM
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2026-08-06days on market $90,000 Active 108 DOM
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2026-08-05days on market $90,000 Active 107 DOM
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2026-08-04days on market $90,000 Active 106 DOM
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2026-08-03days on market $90,000 Active 105 DOM
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2026-07-31days on market $90,000 Active 102 DOM
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2026-07-30days on market $90,000 Active 101 DOM
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2026-07-29days on market $90,000 Active 100 DOM
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2026-07-27days on market $90,000 Active 98 DOM
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2026-07-25days on market $90,000 Active 96 DOM
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2026-07-24days on market $90,000 Active 95 DOM
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2026-07-23days on market $90,000 Active 94 DOM
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2026-07-22days on market $90,000 Active 93 DOM
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2026-07-21days on market $90,000 Active 92 DOM
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2026-07-18days on market $90,000 Active 89 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $90,000 Active 87 DOM
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2026-07-16days on market $90,000 Active 86 DOM
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2026-07-14days on market $90,000 Active 85 DOM
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2026-07-13days on market $90,000 Active 84 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $90,000 Active 83 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $90,000 Active 82 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $90,000 Active 81 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $90,000 Active 80 DOM
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2026-07-08days on market $90,000 Active 79 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $90,000 Active 78 DOM
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2026-07-06days on market $90,000 Active 77 DOM
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2026-07-05days on market $90,000 Active 76 DOM
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2026-07-04days on market $90,000 Active 75 DOM
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2026-07-03days on market $90,000 Active 74 DOM
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2026-07-02days on market $90,000 Active 73 DOM
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2026-07-01days on market $90,000 Active 72 DOM
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2026-06-30days on market $90,000 Active 71 DOM
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2026-06-29days on market $90,000 Active 70 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $90,000 Active 69 DOM
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2026-06-28days on market $90,000 Active 68 DOM
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2026-06-27days on market $90,000 Active 67 DOM
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2026-06-25days on market $90,000 Active 65 DOM
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2026-06-23days on market $90,000 Active 63 DOM
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2026-06-21days on market $90,000 Active 62 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $90,000 Active 59 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $90,000 Active 58 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $90,000 Active 57 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $90,000 Active 56 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $90,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $90,000 Active 53 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $90,000 Active 51 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $90,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $90,000 Active 49 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $90,000 Active 48 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $456 · $38/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $747 · $62/mo
- Expected delta
- +$291/yr (+$24/mo · 63.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,090
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,041
- − Property taxes
- −$456
- − Insurance
- −$450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,607
- − Management
- −$1,607
- − Depreciation
- −$2,618
- Taxable income
- $8,310
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,994
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,307/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 9 photos
This property requires extensive repairs and renovations to stabilize the structure and improve its curb appeal. Significant work is needed on the roof, exterior, and bathrooms, as well as landscaping and fencing repairs.
Repairs flagged
- Major roof — Significant rust and damage
- Major exterior siding — Worn and peeling
- Major bathroom flooring — Exposed subflooring
- Major interior walls — Paint peeling and drywall damage
- Major bathroom fixtures — Damaged and missing tiles
- Major fencing — Damaged and leaning
Value-add opportunities
- Both New roof — Stabilizes the structure and improves curb appeal ↑
- Both New siding — Enhances curb appeal and durability ↑
- Both New bathroom fixtures — Improves functionality and aesthetics ↑
- Both Landscaping and fence repair — Enhances curb appeal and safety ↑
ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Extensive scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Walton
- NCES district ID
- 1201980
- Math proficiency
- 62% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $46,794
- Composite
- 52.03/100
- National rank
- #1634
- State rank
- #10 of 73 in FL
Livability — Defuniak Springs
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #694
- US rank
- #14475
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Walton County · 80,014 people
- City population
- 19,746
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,746
- Household income
- $52,199
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 10% of renters
Population outlook (Walton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 80,014 people
- By 2030
- 88,120 · +10.1%
- By 2040
- 103,537 · +29.4%
- By 2050
- 117,034 · +46.3%
- By 2075
- 143,901 · +79.8%
- By 2100
- 155,138 · +93.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (75%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 75% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Native American 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Walton
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.8) · D 20.7% · R 78.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.0pp toward R · 2008: -45.8pp · 2024: -57.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.8 2020: R+51.7 2016: R+56.1 2012: R+52.0 2008: R+45.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 14.77%
- Current HPI
- 367.046
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Listed $90,000 ECAR
Property tax history
-0.2%/yrLatest (2025): $456 · +0.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…