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417 Prairie Ave
D Composite 42.45
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.2/30.0
  • Appreciation +7.3/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • DSCR +2.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +1.5/10.0
  • Schools +0.5/10.0

$185,000

417 Prairie Ave · Eutaw, AL 35462
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 4,328 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 128 Days on market
Built 1842 5.00 ac lot $43/sqft · 45% below area Est $335k · 45% under ↓ 7% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming story-and-a-half antebellum home offers timeless Southern charm on 5 acres, complete with expansive front and rear porches for relaxing or entertaining. Inside, you’ll find a spacious den with a wood-burning fireplace, pine floors, and original mantels that highlight the home’s historic character. The flexible floor plan provides 3–4 bedrooms and 2.5 baths. A retro kitchen with classic Youngstown cabinets and a butler’s pantry offers abundant storage. Thoughtful updates and minor renovations have already been initiated, presenting a wonderful opportunity to personalize the home while preserving its architectural heritage. Conveniently located just off the town square, you’ll enjoy easy access to shopping and dining.

Key facts

  • Original mantels
  • Flexible floor plan
  • Thoughtful updates

Tags

WOOD BURNING FIREPLACEORIGINAL MANTELSFLEXIBLE FLOOR PLANBUTLER'S PANTRYTHOUGHTFUL UPDATES

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-173 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $154k (16.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $119k (35.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $119k (35.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 55/100 on livability (#442 in AL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, crime F.
  • Greene County (rural): math 2% / reading 13% proficiency, ranked #129 of 129 in AL (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 88% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Greene County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $10k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
  • Greene County population projected at -34% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 128 days — a 12% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1842 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 68% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $119,492 (35.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 128 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 35% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1842 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.65%
Cap rate
5.17%
Cash-on-cash
-4.02%
DSCR
0.82
GRM
12.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$335,000
List price
$185,000
Delta
-44.78%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
3 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

4.68% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.6%
Equity multiple
1.54×
Total profit
$28,109
Equity at exit
$101,215
10-year hold
IRR
10.4%
Equity multiple
2.85×
Total profit
$96,075
Equity at exit
$171,761

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35462

Home prices YoY
5.0%
Active inventory
17
Price-to-rent
12.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,195 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$70 /mo · $842/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$251
Net cashflow
$-173

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,414
Max offer price $154,365
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $185,000 Active 128 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $185,000 Active 127 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $185,000 Active 126 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $185,000 Active 125 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $185,000 Active 124 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $185,000 Active 122 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $185,000 Active 121 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $185,000 Active 118 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $185,000 Active 117 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $185,000 Active 116 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $185,000 Active 115 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $185,000 Active 112 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $185,000 Active 111 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $185,000 Active 110 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $185,000 Active 109 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $185,000 Active 108 DOM
  17. 2026-04-09
    price $185,000 764-char remark
    Show marketing remark (764 chars)

    Charming story-and-a-half antebellum home offers timeless Southern charm on 5 acres, complete with expansive front and rear porches for relaxing or entertaining. Inside, you’ll find a spacious den with a wood-burning fireplace, pine floors, and original mantels that highlight the home’s historic character. The flexible floor plan provides 3–4 bedrooms and 2.5 baths. A retro kitchen with classic Youngstown cabinets and a butler’s pantry offers abundant storage. Thoughtful updates and minor renovations have already been initiated, presenting a wonderful opportunity to personalize the home while preserving its architectural heritage. Conveniently located just off the town square, you’ll enjoy easy access to shopping and dining.

  18. 2026-03-03
    price $194,000 764-char remark
    Show marketing remark (764 chars)

    Charming story-and-a-half antebellum home offers timeless Southern charm on 5 acres, complete with expansive front and rear porches for relaxing or entertaining. Inside, you’ll find a spacious den with a wood-burning fireplace, pine floors, and original mantels that highlight the home’s historic character. The flexible floor plan provides 3–4 bedrooms and 2.5 baths. A retro kitchen with classic Youngstown cabinets and a butler’s pantry offers abundant storage. Thoughtful updates and minor renovations have already been initiated, presenting a wonderful opportunity to personalize the home while preserving its architectural heritage. Conveniently located just off the town square, you’ll enjoy easy access to shopping and dining.

  19. 2026-02-11
    listed $199,000 Active 764-char remark
    Show marketing remark (764 chars)

    Charming story-and-a-half antebellum home offers timeless Southern charm on 5 acres, complete with expansive front and rear porches for relaxing or entertaining. Inside, you’ll find a spacious den with a wood-burning fireplace, pine floors, and original mantels that highlight the home’s historic character. The flexible floor plan provides 3–4 bedrooms and 2.5 baths. A retro kitchen with classic Youngstown cabinets and a butler’s pantry offers abundant storage. Thoughtful updates and minor renovations have already been initiated, presenting a wonderful opportunity to personalize the home while preserving its architectural heritage. Conveniently located just off the town square, you’ll enjoy easy access to shopping and dining.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$842 · $70/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$842 · $70/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 68% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,339
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$842
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,147
− Management
−$1,147
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable loss
−$5,467
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,312
After-tax cash flow
$-769/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Greene County
NCES district ID
0101680
Math proficiency
2% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
13% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$23,902
Composite
5.01/100
National rank
#10038
State rank
#129 of 129 in AL

Livability — Eutaw

Score
55/100
State rank
#442
US rank
#23496

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Eutaw, AL
Population (ZIP)
4,107

Population outlook (Greene County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
7,399 people
By 2030
6,848 · -7.4%
By 2040
5,778 · -21.9%
By 2050
4,889 · -33.9%
By 2075
3,377 · -54.4%
By 2100
2,610 · -64.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (78%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 78% White 21% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Greene

2024 margin
Solid D (+55.7) · D 77.7% · R 21.9%
2008→2024 swing
-10.9pp toward R · 2008: 66.6pp · 2024: 55.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+55.7 2020: D+63.0 2016: D+65.2 2012: D+69.7 2008: D+66.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 4.68%
Current HPI
97.6399
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-7.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-09 Price Changed $185,000 WAMLS
  • 2026-03-03 Price Changed $194,000 WAMLS
  • 2026-02-11 Listed $199,000 WAMLS

Property tax history

+6.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $842 · +34.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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