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65 California St
A Composite 85.8
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +8.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.4/5.0

$109,900

65 California St · Buffalo, NY 14213
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,410 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 9 Days on market
Built 1910 2,750 sqft lot Est $180k · 39% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Major mechanical updates have already been completed, including a newer boiler system, hot water tank, and updated electric panel. An Excellent opportunity for an owner-occupant or investor alike. Please note: The property is being sold “as-is, ” and contents from the previous owner remain inside.

Key facts

  • Hot water tank
  • Newer boiler system
  • 2,750 sq ft lot

Tags

NEWER BOILER SYSTEMHOT WATER TANKUPDATED ELECTRIC PANEL

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: 2-story existing structure; Resale property
  • Construction: Stone foundation; See remarks for construction details
  • Exterior features: Stamped concrete driveway; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 25 x 110

Interior

  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; One main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Gas heating; Hot water heating
  • Interior features: Other interior features (see remarks)
  • Laundry & utility: Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $666 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
  • Cap rate 13.6% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
  • Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 138 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $9k of equity ($760 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (7.5% local appreciation)).
  • At projected returns (7.5% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $45k; list at $110k implies a 144% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $109,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.54%
Cap rate
13.57%
Cash-on-cash
25.98%
DSCR
2.16
GRM
5.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$180,480
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
119 Albany St 0.12mi 3/1.0 1,408 (-0%) 8mo $180,000 $128 88
855 West Ave 0.12mi 3/1.5 1,432 (+2%) 3mo $115,000 $80 87
187 Herkimer St 0.33mi 3/1.5 1,425 (+1%) 4mo $105,000 $74 78
49 Gelston St 0.27mi 3/1.0 1,296 (-8%) 5mo $139,000 $107 70
32 Lafayette Ave 0.49mi 3/1.5 1,390 (-1%) 8mo $105,000 $76 66
225 Plymouth Ave 0.73mi 3/2.0 1,404 (-0%) 2mo $275,000 $196 59
19 Lawrence Pl 0.29mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,242 (-12%) 0mo $365,000 $294 59
84 Brayton St 0.44mi 3/1.0 1,262 (-10%) 4mo $215,000 $170 59
192 Congress St 0.69mi 3/1.0 1,505 (+7%) 3mo $155,000 $103 54
373 Rhode Island St 0.44mi 3/1.5 1,252 (-11%) 8mo $370,000 $296 52
9 Congress St 0.36mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,200 (-15%) 8mo $130,000 $108 47
1193 West Ave 0.65mi 3/1.0 1,254 (-11%) 8mo $240,000 $191 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

7.51% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
38.1%
Equity multiple
3.58×
Total profit
$79,312
Equity at exit
$79,872
10-year hold
IRR
33.0%
Equity multiple
7.16×
Total profit
$189,422
Equity at exit
$155,211

Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 14213

Home prices YoY
1.7%
Rents YoY
-0.5%
Active inventory
138
Price-to-rent
5.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,692 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$576
Tax from tax record
$48 /mo · $578/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$355
Net cashflow
$666

Break-even live

Break-even rent $848
Max offer price $109,900
Occupancy floor 56%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $728 -5% $697 +0% $666 +5% $635 +10% $604
Rent -10% $533 -5% $599 +0% $666 +5% $733 +10% $800
Rate -1.0pp $722 -0.5pp $694 base $666 +0.5pp $638 +1.0pp $609

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,475
Closing costs
$3,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
67 Herkimer St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 15d 1 0.15mi
310 Hampshire St Apt 3 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,500 $1.25 45d 1 0.23mi
375 Hampshire St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,100 $0.92 45d 1 0.35mi
196 Auburn Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 45d 1 0.40mi
318 14th St Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1619 $1,300 $0.80 12d 1 0.40mi
411 W Ferry St Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,100 $1.22 15d 1 0.46mi
460 Rhode Island St Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1089 $1,500 $1.38 15d 1 0.52mi
257 Lafayette Ave Apt 319 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $1,395 $1.55 25d 1 0.58mi
257 Lafayette Ave Unit 317 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 897 $1,400 $1.56 25d 1 0.58mi
161 16th St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.5 1500 $2,000 $1.33 25d 1 0.58mi
311 Herkimer St #1 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1272 $1,400 $1.10 15d 1 0.59mi
1360 Niagara St Buffalo, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1252 $2,396 $1.91 3d 2 0.60mi
102 17th St Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1086 $1,290 $1.19 25d 1 0.61mi
163 W Delavan Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,500 $1.50 25d 1 0.61mi
40 Putnam St Buffalo, NY 4.0 1.0 1600 $2,100 $1.31 25d 1 0.63mi
367 Connecticut St Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 2.0 2.0 1150 $3,000 $2.61 11d 1 0.63mi
478 Breckenridge St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,575 $1.43 45d 1 0.63mi
232 Dewitt St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,300 $1.08 25d 1 0.71mi
185 Potomac Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,300 $1.08 25d 1 0.76mi
124 Normal Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1727 $2,000 $1.16 25d 1 0.77mi
217 Norwood Ave Apt 1 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1500 $2,700 $1.80 45d 1 0.78mi
1485 Niagara St Buffalo, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0 925 $2,174 $2.35 3d 1 0.83mi
305 W Utica St Unit B302 Buffalo, NY 2.0 2.0 1180 $2,060 $1.75 15d 1 0.87mi
118 Ashland Ave Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1326 $1,850 $1.40 15d 1 0.88mi
608 Niagara St Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,195 $1.00 15d 1 0.91mi
31 Norwood Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,950 $1.95 13d 1 0.92mi
569 Elmwood Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1500 $1,750 $1.17 13d 1 0.93mi
451 Elmwood Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1633 $3,305 $2.02 45d 1 0.95mi
305 Bird Ave Unit 3 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.5 1128 $2,300 $2.04 45d 1 0.96mi
309 Bird Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1100 $2,200 $2.00 45d 1 0.96mi
550 Busti Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1638 $1,500 $0.92 45d 1 0.96mi
344 Elmwood Ave Unit 3rd floor Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 25d 1 1.00mi
340 Bird Ave #202 Buffalo, NY 2.0 2.5 1505 $2,950 $1.96 11d 1 1.01mi
374 Baynes St Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1126 $1,550 $1.38 45d 1 1.02mi
279 North St Buffalo, NY 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 820 $2,050 $2.50 45d 1 1.02mi
664 Auburn Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 900 $2,200 $2.44 45d 1 1.05mi
233 Pennsylvania St Unit 3 Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,350 $1.12 11d 1 1.05mi
685 Auburn Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0 1.0 1200 $1,600 $1.33 45d 1 1.07mi
685 Auburn Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY 3.0 1.0 1200 $1,750 $1.46 15d 1 1.07mi
100 Forest Ave Buffalo, NY 2.0–4.0 2.0–4.0 1304 $1,600 $1.23 3d 14 1.08mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-06-10
    days on market $109,900 Active 9 DOM
  2. 2026-06-09
    days on market $109,900 Active 8 DOM
  3. 2026-06-08
    pricedays on market $109,900 Active 7 DOM
  4. 2026-06-07
    days on market $119,900 Active 6 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $119,900 Active 2 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    remarks 298-char remark
  7. 2026-06-02
    listed $119,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$578 · $48/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,218 · $101/mo
Expected delta
+$640/yr (+$53/mo · 110.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,301
− Mortgage interest
−$6,156
− Property taxes
−$578
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,624
− Management
−$1,624
− Depreciation
−$3,197
Taxable income
$6,572
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,577
After-tax cash flow
$6,417/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Buffalo City School District
NCES district ID
3605850
Math proficiency
41% ▲ 11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▲ 7.00%
Median HH income
$31,665
Composite
33.17/100
National rank
#5544
State rank
#535 of 590 in NY

Livability — Buffalo

Score
77/100
State rank
#195
US rank
#3011

Category grades

Amenities A Commute A+ Cost of living A Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Buffalo, NY
County
Erie County · 714,559 people
City population
440,021
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
Population (ZIP)
24,107
Household income
$53,870
Rent vs Own
60.5% rent · 39.5% own
Severe rent burden
1501.0

Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
933,037 people
By 2030
935,181 · +0.2%
By 2040
928,531 · -0.5%
By 2050
905,725 · -2.9%
By 2075
834,037 · -10.6%
By 2100
708,033 · -24.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Hispanic / Latino 20% Black 18% Asian 12% Two or more races 10%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 16% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 6% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
16% · Philippines, Canada, India
Languages at home
68% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Asian/Pacific 7% Arabic 3%

Political lean MEDSL · Erie

2024 margin
Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
2008→2024 swing
-7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 7.51%
Current HPI
448.4879
Rent YoY
▼ -0.49%
Metro
Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+166.4% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-01 Listed $119,900 WNYREIS
  • 1993-09-02 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+13.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $578 · -10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…