65 California St · Buffalo, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the A grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +8.8/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Major mechanical updates have already been completed, including a newer boiler system, hot water tank, and updated electric panel. An Excellent opportunity for an owner-occupant or investor alike. Please note: The property is being sold “as-is, ” and contents from the previous owner remain inside.
Key facts
- Hot water tank
- Newer boiler system
- 2,750 sq ft lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: 2-story existing structure; Resale property
- Construction: Stone foundation; See remarks for construction details
- Exterior features: Stamped concrete driveway; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage; Lot dimensions approximately 25 x 110
Interior
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom; One half bathroom; One main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Gas heating; Hot water heating
- Interior features: Other interior features (see remarks)
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $666 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $110k).
- Cap rate 13.6% vs local median 8.0% in Buffalo — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#195 in NY, #3,011 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, employment D-.
- Buffalo City School District (urban): math 41% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #535 of 590 in NY (top 91%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.5%/yr); 138 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,244 units permitted in Erie County in 2024 (563 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 38% of the median local income ($54k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $9k of equity ($760 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (7.5% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (7.5% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $110k implies a 144% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.54% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.57%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.98%
- DSCR
- 2.16
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $180,480
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 119 Albany St | 0.12mi | 3/1.0 | 1,408 (-0%) | 8mo | $180,000 | $128 | 88 |
| 855 West Ave | 0.12mi | 3/1.5 | 1,432 (+2%) | 3mo | $115,000 | $80 | 87 |
| 187 Herkimer St | 0.33mi | 3/1.5 | 1,425 (+1%) | 4mo | $105,000 | $74 | 78 |
| 49 Gelston St | 0.27mi | 3/1.0 | 1,296 (-8%) | 5mo | $139,000 | $107 | 70 |
| 32 Lafayette Ave | 0.49mi | 3/1.5 | 1,390 (-1%) | 8mo | $105,000 | $76 | 66 |
| 225 Plymouth Ave | 0.73mi | 3/2.0 | 1,404 (-0%) | 2mo | $275,000 | $196 | 59 |
| 19 Lawrence Pl | 0.29mi | 2/1.5 (-1) | 1,242 (-12%) | 0mo | $365,000 | $294 | 59 |
| 84 Brayton St | 0.44mi | 3/1.0 | 1,262 (-10%) | 4mo | $215,000 | $170 | 59 |
| 192 Congress St | 0.69mi | 3/1.0 | 1,505 (+7%) | 3mo | $155,000 | $103 | 54 |
| 373 Rhode Island St | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 | 1,252 (-11%) | 8mo | $370,000 | $296 | 52 |
| 9 Congress St | 0.36mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,200 (-15%) | 8mo | $130,000 | $108 | 47 |
| 1193 West Ave | 0.65mi | 3/1.0 | 1,254 (-11%) | 8mo | $240,000 | $191 | 44 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
7.51% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 38.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.58×
- Total profit
- $79,312
- Equity at exit
- $79,872
- IRR
- 33.0%
- Equity multiple
- 7.16×
- Total profit
- $189,422
- Equity at exit
- $155,211
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14213
- Home prices YoY
- 1.7%
- Rents YoY
- -0.5%
- Active inventory
- 138
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,692 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$48 /mo · $578/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$355
- Net cashflow
- $666
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $728 | -5% $697 | +0% $666 | +5% $635 | +10% $604 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $533 | -5% $599 | +0% $666 | +5% $733 | +10% $800 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $722 | -0.5pp $694 | base $666 | +0.5pp $638 | +1.0pp $609 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 40 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 67 Herkimer St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 15d | 1 | 0.15mi |
| 310 Hampshire St Apt 3 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,500 | $1.25 | 45d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 375 Hampshire St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,100 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 196 Auburn Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,300 | $1.30 | 45d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 318 14th St Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1619 | $1,300 | $0.80 | 12d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 411 W Ferry St Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,100 | $1.22 | 15d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 460 Rhode Island St Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1089 | $1,500 | $1.38 | 15d | 1 | 0.52mi |
| 257 Lafayette Ave Apt 319 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,395 | $1.55 | 25d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 257 Lafayette Ave Unit 317 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 897 | $1,400 | $1.56 | 25d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 161 16th St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1500 | $2,000 | $1.33 | 25d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 311 Herkimer St #1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1272 | $1,400 | $1.10 | 15d | 1 | 0.59mi |
| 1360 Niagara St Buffalo, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1252 | $2,396 | $1.91 | 3d | 2 | 0.60mi |
| 102 17th St Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1086 | $1,290 | $1.19 | 25d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 163 W Delavan Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,500 | $1.50 | 25d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 40 Putnam St Buffalo, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1600 | $2,100 | $1.31 | 25d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 367 Connecticut St Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1150 | $3,000 | $2.61 | 11d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 478 Breckenridge St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,575 | $1.43 | 45d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 232 Dewitt St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 185 Potomac Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 25d | 1 | 0.76mi |
| 124 Normal Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1727 | $2,000 | $1.16 | 25d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 217 Norwood Ave Apt 1 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $2,700 | $1.80 | 45d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1485 Niagara St Buffalo, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $2,174 | $2.35 | 3d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 305 W Utica St Unit B302 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1180 | $2,060 | $1.75 | 15d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 118 Ashland Ave Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1326 | $1,850 | $1.40 | 15d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 608 Niagara St Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,195 | $1.00 | 15d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 31 Norwood Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,950 | $1.95 | 13d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 569 Elmwood Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,750 | $1.17 | 13d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 451 Elmwood Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1633 | $3,305 | $2.02 | 45d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 305 Bird Ave Unit 3 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1128 | $2,300 | $2.04 | 45d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 309 Bird Ave Unit 1 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $2,200 | $2.00 | 45d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 550 Busti Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1638 | $1,500 | $0.92 | 45d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 344 Elmwood Ave Unit 3rd floor Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,400 | $1.40 | 25d | 1 | 1.00mi |
| 340 Bird Ave #202 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1505 | $2,950 | $1.96 | 11d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 374 Baynes St Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1126 | $1,550 | $1.38 | 45d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 279 North St Buffalo, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 820 | $2,050 | $2.50 | 45d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 664 Auburn Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $2,200 | $2.44 | 45d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 233 Pennsylvania St Unit 3 Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,350 | $1.12 | 11d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 685 Auburn Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,600 | $1.33 | 45d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 685 Auburn Ave Unit 2 Buffalo, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1200 | $1,750 | $1.46 | 15d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 100 Forest Ave Buffalo, NY | 2.0–4.0 | 2.0–4.0 | 1304 | $1,600 | $1.23 | 3d | 14 | 1.08mi |
Listing history 7 events
-
2026-06-10days on market $109,900 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,900 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-08pricedays on market $109,900 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-02remarks 298-char remark
-
2026-06-02$119,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $578 · $48/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,218 · $101/mo
- Expected delta
- +$640/yr (+$53/mo · 110.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,301
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$578
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,624
- − Management
- −$1,624
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $6,572
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,577
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,417/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Buffalo City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605850
- Math proficiency
- 41% ▲ 11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▲ 7.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,665
- Composite
- 33.17/100
- National rank
- #5544
- State rank
- #535 of 590 in NY
Livability — Buffalo
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #195
- US rank
- #3011
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Buffalo, NY
- County
- Erie County · 714,559 people
- City population
- 440,021
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,107
- Household income
- $53,870
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1501.0
Population outlook (Erie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 933,037 people
- By 2030
- 935,181 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 928,531 · -0.5%
- By 2050
- 905,725 · -2.9%
- By 2075
- 834,037 · -10.6%
- By 2100
- 708,033 · -24.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.70)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 46% Hispanic / Latino 20% Black 18% Asian 12% Two or more races 10%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 16% Dominican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Philippines, Canada, India
- Languages at home
- 68% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Asian/Pacific 7% Arabic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Erie
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.7) · D 54.8% · R 45.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -7.9pp toward R · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 9.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.7 2020: D+14.7 2016: D+4.8 2012: D+15.6 2008: D+17.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 7.51%
- Current HPI
- 448.4879
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.49%
- Metro
- Buffalo-Cheektowaga, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
||
| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
||
Price history
+166.4% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Listed $119,900 WNYREIS
- 1993-09-02 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+13.0%/yrLatest (2025): $578 · -10.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…