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6044 Champion Oaks Dr
B Composite 73.78
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.6/5.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$210,000

6044 Champion Oaks Dr · Bellview, FL 32526
5 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,512 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 72 Days on market
Built 2012 5,227 sqft lot Est $280k · 25% under $13/mo HOA · 1% of rent ↓ 38% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Welcome to a spacious five-bedroom, two-bath home offering comfort, functionality, and a convenient central location. With plenty of room for family, guests, or a home office setup, this property provides the flexibility many buyers are searching for. Inside, you’ll immediately notice the beautiful wood-look flooring that runs throughout the home, creating a cohesive and modern feel while also being durable and easy to maintain. The layout makes it ideal for those who need extra space to spread out. Natural light flows through the home, enhancing the warm and inviting atmosphere. The kitchen is centrally located and designed for everyday living, providing ample cabinetry and workspace

Key facts

  • Wood look flooring
  • Ample cabinetry
  • Open flow

Tags

WOOD LOOK FLOORINGAMPLE CABINETRYOPEN FLOWSPACE TO ENJOY OUTDOORSMOVE IN READYCENTRALLY POSITIONED

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Insulated walls (energy efficiency feature); Resale property, not new construction
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $150

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway with open parking
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Copper electrical wiring; County-maintained road
  • Home design: Single-story (one level); Detached property; Frame construction
  • Construction: Frame construction; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Shingle roof; Central access lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Updated kitchen (renovated within the last 1–5 years); Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first floor (each approximately 12 x 12)
  • Flooring: Simulated wood
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms (recently updated within the last 1–5 years)
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Simulated wood flooring; Updated bathrooms; Updated kitchen; Eat-in kitchen and living/dining combo
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $210k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $700 ($8k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $210k).
  • Recommended offer: $197k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 10.3% vs local median 5.2% in Bellview — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 67/100 on livability (#561 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Escambia (suburban): math 40% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #56 of 73 in FL (top 77%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 417 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,479 units permitted in Escambia County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Escambia County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $59k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 72 days — a 6% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $140k; list at $210k implies a 50% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $197,400 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 72 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.20%
Cap rate
10.30%
Cash-on-cash
14.29%
DSCR
1.64
GRM
6.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$279,720
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
6044 Champion Oaks Dr 0.00mi 5/2.0 1,512 (0%) 1mo $200,000 $132 99
4680 Geneva Dr 0.53mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,526 (+1%) 13mo $225,000 $147 58
4993 Muldoon Pointe Rd Unit 2B 0.66mi 6/2.0 (+1) 1,515 (+0%) 12mo $270,825 $179 54
5989 Pursley Ave 0.22mi 4/1.5 (-1) 1,698 (+12%) 11mo $230,000 $135 53
4976 Muldoon Pointe Rd Unit 7A 0.60mi 6/2.0 (+1) 1,515 (+0%) 17mo $281,400 $186 52
4988 Muldoon Pointe Rd Unit 4A 0.61mi 6/2.0 (+1) 1,515 (+0%) 19mo $282,190 $186 50
5719 Ventura Ln 0.66mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,400 (-7%) 3mo $185,000 $132 50
4945 Muldoon Pointe Rd Unit 14B 0.66mi 6/2.0 (+1) 1,515 (+0%) 18mo $285,615 $189 49
4985 Muldoon Pointe Rd Unit 4B 0.65mi 6/2.0 (+1) 1,454 (-4%) 14mo $268,560 $185 46
5800 Avondale Rd 0.62mi 4/2.0 (-1) 1,700 (+12%) 1mo $110,000 $65 44
4980 Muldoon Pointe Rd Unit 6A 0.60mi 6/2.0 (+1) 1,317 (-13%) 20mo $277,725 $211 29
4949 Muldoon Pointe Rd Unit 13B 0.66mi 6/2.0 (+1) 1,317 (-13%) 22mo $286,500 $218 25

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.42% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
6.1%
Equity multiple
1.24×
Total profit
$14,171
Equity at exit
$31,312
10-year hold
IRR
16.6%
Equity multiple
2.44×
Total profit
$84,952
Equity at exit
$18,157

Cash invested: $58,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32526

Home prices YoY
-28.3%
Rents YoY
4.4%
Active inventory
417
Price-to-rent
6.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,519 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,101
Tax from tax record
$88 /mo · $1,054/yr
Insurance
$88
HOA
$13
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$529
Net cashflow
$700

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,632
Max offer price $210,000
Occupancy floor 67%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$52,500
Closing costs
$6,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
5217 Saufley Field Rd Pensacola, FL 4.0 2.5 1817 $1,895 $1.04 23d 1 0.54mi
5877 Tryton Cir Pensacola, FL 4.0 2.0 1419 $1,825 $1.29 23d 1 1.49mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$13 · $156/yr

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-21
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-22
    historical Contingent
  3. 2026-04-07
    price $210,000
  4. 2026-03-10
    listed $225,000 Active
  5. 2025-05-01
    soldstatus $140,000
  6. 2011-12-09
    soldstatus $337,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,054 · $88/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,743 · $145/mo
Expected delta
+$689/yr (+$57/mo · 65.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,228
− Mortgage interest
−$11,763
− Property taxes
−$1,054
− Insurance
−$1,050
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,418
− Management
−$2,418
− HOA
−$156
− Depreciation
−$6,109
Taxable income
$5,259
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,262
After-tax cash flow
$7,143/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Escambia
NCES district ID
1200510
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$44,649
Composite
36.04/100
National rank
#4773
State rank
#56 of 73 in FL

Livability — Bellview

Score
67/100
State rank
#561
US rank
#10731

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Bellview, FL
County
Escambia County · 301,722 people
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
Population (ZIP)
44,680
Household income
$75,098
Rent vs Own
23.8% rent · 76.2% own
Severe rent burden
1166.0

Population outlook (Escambia County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
334,637 people
By 2030
345,779 · +3.3%
By 2040
364,828 · +9.0%
By 2050
378,514 · +13.1%
By 2075
403,220 · +20.5%
By 2100
386,125 · +15.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (66%)
Race & ethnicity
White 66% Black 19% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Escambia

2024 margin
R (+19.5) · D 39.7% · R 59.2% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-0.2pp no change · 2008: -19.3pp · 2024: -19.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+19.5 2020: R+15.1 2016: R+20.6 2012: R+20.6 2008: R+19.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -99.68%
Current HPI
252.6406
Rent YoY
▲ 4.42%
Metro
Pensacola-Ferry Pass-Brent, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-37.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-21 Pending PARMLS
  • 2026-04-22 Contingent PARMLS
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $210,000 PARMLS
  • 2026-03-10 Listed $225,000 PARMLS
  • 2025-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $140,000 Public Records
  • 2011-12-09 Sold (Public Records) $337,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,054 · +19.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…