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7304 Windchime Way
D Composite 41.2
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +8.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +3.8/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.3/5.0
  • DSCR +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$214,900

7304 Windchime Way · Temple, TX 76502
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,591 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 68 Days on market
Built 2005 6,917 sqft lot $135/sqft · 31% below area Est $312k · 31% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Seller is a Licensed Real Estate Agent. Belton school district, Temple address! This 3 bedroom home is ready for a quick move in. No carpet, all vinyl plank flooring throughout. Seller will consider a $4000 repair allowance with a full price offer!

Key facts

  • 6,917 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 2005

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-220 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $176k (18.1% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $190k (11.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $176k (18.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
  • Cap rate 5.1% vs local median 3.6% in Temple — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 75/100 on livability (#122 in TX, #3,814 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: commute C-, crime D+, employment D+.
  • Belton ISD (suburban): math 39% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #285 of 826 in TX (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Joe M Pirtle El (math 51% / reading 49%, grade D+, #849 of 4,322 statewide, top 20%, 606 students, 42% FRL); Lake Belton Middle (math 47% / reading 52%, grade C, #356 of 1,662 statewide, top 23%, 826 students, 30% FRL); Belton H S (math 39% / reading 46%, grade F, #721 of 1,632 statewide, top 45%, 1,941 students, 46% FRL) — zoned schools at 40% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.8%/yr); 1126 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 3,222 units permitted in Bell County in 2024 (246 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Bell County population projected at +21% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 16y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.8% of price.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $176,107 (18.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.88%
Cap rate
5.07%
Cash-on-cash
-4.38%
DSCR
0.81
GRM
9.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$311,873
List price
$214,900
Delta
-31.09%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7713 Purvis St 0.37mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,536 (-4%) 1mo $255,516 $166 71
7606 Hickman St 0.27mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,631 (+2%) 11mo $274,900 $169 69
7618 Hickman St 0.30mi 3/2.0 1,744 (+10%) 2mo $288,000 $165 68
7709 Mcculloch Rd 0.33mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,710 (+8%) 1mo $280,000 $164 66
7414 Hickman St 0.22mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,753 (+10%) 2mo $293,000 $167 66
7619 Mcculloch Rd 0.31mi 4/3.0 (+1) 1,785 (+12%) 2mo $300,000 $168 55
1805 Shadow Canyon Dr 0.48mi 3/2.0 1,629 (+2%) 24mo $315,000 $193 54
1220 Neuberry Cliffe 0.70mi 3/2.0 1,454 (-9%) 2mo $255,000 $175 51
1316 Branchwood Way 0.64mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,722 (+8%) 2mo $275,000 $160 49
7109 Hammermill Ln 0.66mi 3/2.0 1,751 (+10%) 6mo $287,900 $164 47
1303 Neuberry Cliffe 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,387 (-13%) 7mo $225,000 $162 43

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-27.6%
Equity multiple
0.10×
Total profit
$-54,202
Equity at exit
$32,042
10-year hold
IRR
-46.4%
Equity multiple
-0.43×
Total profit
$-86,014
Equity at exit
$18,581

Cash invested: $60,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76502

Rents YoY
-0.8%
Active inventory
1126
Price-to-rent
9.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,899 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax from tax record
$503 /mo · $6,040/yr
Insurance
$90
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$399
Net cashflow
$-220

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,177
Max offer price $176,107
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-98 -5% $-159 +0% $-220 +5% $-280 +10% $-341
Rent -10% $-370 -5% $-295 +0% $-220 +5% $-145 +10% $-70
Rate -1.0pp $-111 -0.5pp $-165 base $-220 +0.5pp $-275 +1.0pp $-332

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,725
Closing costs
$6,447
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 40 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7215 Upland Bend Dr Temple, TX 3.0 2.0 1646 $1,650 $1.00 25d 1 0.13mi
1948 Lively Ln Unit A Temple, TX 3.0 2.0 1235 $1,575 $1.28 45d 1 0.25mi
2608 Inca Dove Dr Temple, TX 4.0 2.0 1838 $2,250 $1.22 46d 1 0.29mi
1924 Hayes St Temple, TX 4.0 3.0 2031 $2,495 $1.23 45d 1 0.46mi
1924 Hayes St Temple, TX 4.0 3.0 2031 $2,500 $1.23 25d 1 0.46mi
1126 Neuberry Cliffe Temple, TX 3.0 2.0 1597 $1,750 $1.10 25d 1 0.76mi
1112 Pinwheel Dr Temple, TX 3.0 2.0 1662 $2,150 $1.29 45d 1 0.77mi
1113 Branchwood Way Temple, TX 3.0 2.0 1453 $1,625 $1.12 45d 1 0.79mi
1022 Neuberry Cliffe Temple, TX 3.0 2.0 1468 $1,695 $1.15 45d 1 0.84mi
8210 Sunset Trl Temple, TX 4.0 2.0 1434 $1,650 $1.15 23d 1 0.84mi
1722 Bent Oak Dr Temple, TX 3.0 2.0 1293 $1,650 $1.28 45d 1 0.91mi
8332 Saddle Brook Dr Unit B Temple, TX 3.0 2.0 1100 $1,250 $1.14 45d 1 0.93mi
816 Copper Ridge Loop Temple, TX 3.0 2.0 2200 $2,145 $0.97 15d 1 1.04mi
716 Copper Ridge Loop Temple, TX 4.0 2.0 1712 $2,100 $1.23 25d 1 1.10mi
812 Meiomi Dr Temple, TX 3.0 2.5 1387 $1,495 $1.08 45d 1 1.13mi
620 Copper Ridge Loop Temple, TX 4.0 2.0 1712 $2,195 $1.28 45d 1 1.13mi
746 Meiomi Dr Temple, TX 3.0 2.5 1387 $1,695 $1.22 45d 1 1.14mi
739 Meiomi Dr Temple, TX 3.0 2.5 1387 $1,495 $1.08 45d 1 1.15mi
742 Meiomi Dr Temple, TX 4.0 2.5 1538 $1,695 $1.10 45d 1 1.15mi
821 Woodhollow Dr Temple, TX 3.0 2.0 1537 $2,000 $1.30 45d 1 1.15mi
729 Meiomi Dr Temple, TX 3.0 2.5 1387 $1,695 $1.22 45d 1 1.17mi
1502 Cedar Ln Temple, TX 3.0 2.0 1384 $1,595 $1.15 15d 1 1.17mi
719 Meiomi Dr Temple, TX 4.0 2.5 1585 $1,995 $1.26 45d 1 1.19mi
7108B Cameron Park Rd Temple, TX 3.0 2.0 1350 $1,395 $1.03 25d 1 1.20mi
709 Meiomi Dr Temple, TX 4.0 2.5 1538 $1,695 $1.10 45d 1 1.21mi
613 Rock Meadow Ln Temple, TX 4.0 2.0 1934 $2,095 $1.08 45d 1 1.22mi
707 Meiomi Dr Temple, TX 3.0 2.5 1387 $1,495 $1.08 45d 1 1.22mi
619 Meiomi Dr Temple, TX 4.0 2.5 1538 $1,695 $1.10 45d 1 1.23mi
617 Meiomi Dr Temple, TX 3.0 2.5 1387 $1,695 $1.22 45d 1 1.23mi
610 Rock Meadow Ln Temple, TX 4.0 2.0 1934 $2,095 $1.08 15d 1 1.24mi
607 Hayfield Ln Temple, TX 4.0 2.0 1934 $2,095 $1.08 25d 1 1.25mi
510 Sanders Farm Rd Temple, TX 4.0 2.0 1940 $2,095 $1.08 15d 6 1.25mi
604 Hayfield Ln Temple, TX 4.0 2.0 1934 $2,095 $1.08 25d 1 1.27mi
526 Rock Meadow Ln Temple, TX 4.0 2.0 1934 $2,095 $1.08 45d 1 1.27mi
523 Hayfield Ln Temple, TX 4.0 2.0 1934 $2,095 $1.08 45d 1 1.28mi
602 Thistle Brook Dr Temple, TX 4.0 2.0 1934 $2,095 $1.08 25d 1 1.29mi
525 Thistle Brook Dr Temple, TX 4.0 2.0 1934 $2,095 $1.08 25d 1 1.29mi
513 Thistle Brook Dr Temple, TX 4.0 2.0 1934 $2,095 $1.08 25d 1 1.32mi
518 Thistle Brook Dr Temple, TX 4.0 2.0 1934 $2,095 $1.08 25d 1 1.32mi
515 Big Oak Trl Temple, TX 4.0 2.0 1934 $2,095 $1.08 45d 1 1.34mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $214,900 Active 68 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $214,900 Active 65 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $214,900 Active 64 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $214,900 Active 63 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $214,900 Active 62 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $214,900 Active 60 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $214,900 Active 59 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $214,900 Active 56 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $214,900 Active 55 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $214,900 Active 54 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $214,900 Active 51 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $214,900 Active 50 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $214,900 Active 49 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $214,900 Active 48 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $214,900 Active 47 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $214,900 Active 46 DOM
  17. 2026-05-08
    price $214,900 249-char remark
    Show marketing remark (249 chars)

    Seller is a Licensed Real Estate Agent. Belton school district, Temple address! This 3 bedroom home is ready for a quick move in. No carpet, all vinyl plank flooring throughout. Seller will consider a $4000 repair allowance with a full price offer!

  18. 2026-04-14
    listed $219,900 Active 249-char remark
    Show marketing remark (249 chars)

    Seller is a Licensed Real Estate Agent. Belton school district, Temple address! This 3 bedroom home is ready for a quick move in. No carpet, all vinyl plank flooring throughout. Seller will consider a $4000 repair allowance with a full price offer!

  19. 2022-04-01
    price $1,595
  20. 2011-07-18
    soldstatus
  21. 2011-06-30
    historical
  22. 2010-10-06
    listed $110,000
  23. 2010-10-01
    historical
  24. 2010-05-04
    listed $119,900
  25. 2007-04-23
    soldstatus
  26. 2005-01-26
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$6,040 · $503/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$6,040 · $503/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$22,789
− Mortgage interest
−$12,038
− Property taxes
−$6,040
− Insurance
−$1,074
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,823
− Management
−$1,823
− Depreciation
−$6,252
Taxable loss
−$6,262
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,503
After-tax cash flow
$-1,132/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Belton ISD
NCES district ID
4809860
Math proficiency
39% ▼ -14.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$61,239
Composite
37.62/100
National rank
#4378
State rank
#285 of 826 in TX

Livability — Temple

Score
75/100
State rank
#122
US rank
#3814

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute C- Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Temple, TX
County
Bell County · 345,090 people
City population
96,587
Metro
Killeen-Temple, TX
Population (ZIP)
52,669
Household income
$82,088
Rent vs Own
35.9% rent · 64.1% own
Severe rent burden
1890.0

Population outlook (Bell County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
371,114 people
By 2030
389,104 · +4.8%
By 2040
420,592 · +13.3%
By 2050
447,779 · +20.7%
By 2075
499,130 · +34.5%
By 2100
505,680 · +36.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 58% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 15% Black 9% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 21% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada, South Korea, China
Languages at home
86% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 1% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Bell

2024 margin
R (+16.2) · D 41.3% · R 57.6% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-6.5pp toward R · 2008: -9.8pp · 2024: -16.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+16.2 2020: R+8.5 2016: R+15.1 2012: R+16.4 2008: R+9.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -216.80%
Current HPI
166.927
Rent YoY
▼ -0.79%
Metro
Killeen-Temple, TX
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+79.2% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-08 Price Changed $214,900 CTXMLS
  • 2026-04-14 Listed $219,900 CTXMLS
  • 2022-04-01 Price Changed $1,595 RENT.
  • 2011-07-18 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2011-06-30 Listing Removed CTXMLS
  • 2010-10-06 Listed $110,000 CTXMLS
  • 2010-10-01 Listing Removed CTXMLS
  • 2010-05-04 Listed $119,900 CTXMLS
  • 2007-04-23 Sold (Public Records) Public Records
  • 2005-01-26 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+6.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,040 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…