20080 Lexington · Redford, MI
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.21%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +7.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Nice area fenced in yard and anotht fenced in area for your pet. It has two large tree lots plenty of shade, play area for children, running area for pets and it& apos; s a quite, friendly neighborhood, schools close by , shopping and much more, priced under Market value and price is low and still willing to go lower MAKE ME AN OFFER SELLER DETERMINED ANY REASONABLE OFFER WILL BE ACCEPTED immediate occupancy It& apos; s ready for you to move in There is a 3rd bedroom, unfinished and area for a second bathroom unfinished This has easy potential to be a three bedroom two bath home for very little material and labor Call 989 808-2180 or TXT or email [email protected]
Key facts
- Shopping close by
- Large tree lots
- Fenced in yard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $419 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
- Recommended offer: $118k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Redford Union Schools District No. 1 (suburban): math 8% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #489 of 540 in MI (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 22 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.23% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 14.95%
- DSCR
- 1.67
- GRM
- 6.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $153,010
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19941 Woodworth | 0.18mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,051 (-2%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $124 | 82 |
| 19930 Gaylord | 0.21mi | 3/1.0 | 1,007 (-6%) | 2mo | $131,000 | $130 | 79 |
| 19470 Woodworth Ave | 0.39mi | 3/1.0 | 1,000 (-6%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $175 | 70 |
| 20019 Macarthur St | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 936 (-12%) | 2mo | $149,000 | $159 | 69 |
| 19953 Wakenden | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,162 (+9%) | 2mo | $209,000 | $180 | 68 |
| 19969 Indian | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 1,005 (-6%) | 2mo | $144,000 | $143 | 66 |
| 19910 Seminole | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 1,026 (-4%) | 2mo | $108,000 | $105 | 66 |
| 19968 Poinciana | 0.45mi | 3/1.0 | 980 (-8%) | 2mo | $137,000 | $140 | 63 |
| 20503 Centralia | 0.38mi | 3/2.0 | 1,197 (+12%) | 1mo | $170,000 | $142 | 58 |
| 19369 Wakenden | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 | 936 (-12%) | 3mo | $120,000 | $128 | 52 |
| 20558 Seminole | 0.54mi | 3/2.0 | 1,200 (+12%) | 3mo | $204,900 | $171 | 48 |
| 20922 Negaunee St | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 (-1) | 915 (-14%) | 3mo | $169,900 | $186 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.21×
- Total profit
- $7,193
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 14.9%
- Equity multiple
- 2.20×
- Total profit
- $40,485
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48240
- Active inventory
- 86
- Price-to-rent
- 6.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,475 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$67 /mo · $806/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$310
- Net cashflow
- $419
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 22 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20516 Denby Redford, MI | 4.0 | 1.5 | 950 | $1,800 | $1.89 | 18d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 20524 Indian Redford, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 988 | $1,600 | $1.62 | 24d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 20772 Indian St Southfield, MI | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1272 | $1,800 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 20091 Inkster Rd Livonia, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 756 | $1,400 | $1.85 | 5d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 19354 Seminole Redford, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,450 | $1.38 | 24d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 25740 Shiawassee St Southfield, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $1,253 | $1.47 | 43d | 10 | 0.75mi |
| 26539 Clarita Redford, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 931 | $1,875 | $2.01 | 24d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 21335 Negaunee Unit 1542196P Southfield, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 850 | $3,345 | $3.94 | 5d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 25400 Basin St Southfield, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 825 | $1,400 | $1.70 | 5d | 11 | 0.83mi |
| 27045 Shiawassee Rd Southfield, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 705 | $1,450 | $2.06 | 18d | 1 | 0.84mi |
| 20745 Saint Francis Unit 208 Farmington Hills, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,395 | $1.55 | 15d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 20745 Saint Francis Unit 101 Farmington Hills, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 900 | $1,495 | $1.66 | 43d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 20410 Five Points St Redford, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 950 | $1,600 | $1.68 | 5d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 20083 Salem St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 969 | $1,050 | $1.08 | 11d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 20083 Salem St Detroit, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 969 | $1,050 | $1.08 | 5d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 21337 Inkster Rd Unit (NO) Farmington Hills, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 811 | $1,295 | $1.60 | 43d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 18732 Salem Unit 2 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 925 | $1,050 | $1.14 | 12d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 28532 Grayling Ave Farmington Hills, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,395 | $1.99 | 24d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 18405 Gillman St Livonia, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1014 | $1,950 | $1.92 | 5d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 19800 Telegraph Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 855 | $1,020 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 1.48mi |
| 19264 Telegraph Rd Unit G7 Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $975 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 1.50mi |
| 19276 Telegraph Rd Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 820 | $975 | $1.19 | 43d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $120,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $120,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $120,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $120,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $120,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $120,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $120,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $120,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-05-27$120,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $806 · $67/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,327 · $111/mo
- Expected delta
- +$521/yr (+$43/mo · 64.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 21% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,698
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$806
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,416
- − Management
- −$1,416
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $3,248
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$780
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,245/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Redford Union Schools District No. 1
- NCES district ID
- 2629460
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,778
- Composite
- 14.1/100
- National rank
- #9460
- State rank
- #489 of 540 in MI
Livability — Redford
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- City population
- 36,976
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,097
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 45% Black 40% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -177.98%
- Current HPI
- 236.2958
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-05-27 Listed $120,000 FSBO.com
Property tax history
-2.4%/yrLatest (2025): $806 · -60.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…