CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
186 Panther Pass Cir #186
B+ Composite 75.09
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +5.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$124,900

186 Panther Pass Cir #186 · Winding Cypress, FL 34114
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 488 sqft · Condo public records · 97 Days on market
Built 1987 $299/mo HOA · 13% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Thank you for viewing 186 Panther Pass in the Imperial Wilderness community! This gated 55+ community is beautifully maintained, fun, active, and scenic! The featured 2Br, 1.5Ba home boasts a metal roof, attractive exterior pavers, new front door, and is being sold furnished. The kitchen is updated and offers granite countertops, stone and tile backsplash, full-sized stainless-steel appliances, range/oven and convection oven/microwave, dishwasher, disposal, drinking water filtration system, and laminate flooring. The decor provides a tasteful and relaxing vibe. In addition to all of these outstanding features, YOU OWN THE LAND, and the low HOA fee ($792.00 per quarter) covers so much: water, lawn care, basic cable, trash/recycling, and community amenities. Community amenities include the following: 2 pools with spas, bocce, pickleball, tennis, shuffleboard, billiards, a library, clubhouse, dog parks, and more!

Key facts

  • Newer a/c system
  • New gutters
  • Golf cart included

Tags

GOLF CART INCLUDEDNEWER A/C SYSTEMNEW GUTTERSUPDATED ELECTRICAL PANELLIGHTNING SURGE PROTECTORNEW WINDOWS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Part of a complex with 542 units; Single-unit building; Unit located in subdivision Imperial Wilderness (lot/unit 186)
  • Financial info:
  • HOA & community: Mandatory HOA; Quarterly HOA fee; HOA fee covers cable, irrigation water, lawn/land maintenance, sewer, street maintenance, trash removal, water; Professional management; Community amenities include clubhouse, community pool and spa, exercise room, tennis court, pickleball, bocce court, shuffleboard, billiards, fishing pier, dog park, sidewalks, streetlights, common laundry; Gated mobile/manufactured community; Total annual recurring HOA fees: $3,592

Exterior

  • Parking:
  • Security:
  • Utilities: Central water; Central sewer; Cable available
  • Home design: Manufactured residential property; Built in 1987; Manufactured building design; Rear exposure faces west; Single-story
  • Construction: Manufactured construction; Metal roof; Vinyl siding
  • Exterior features: Patio; Vinyl siding exterior; Single-hung windows; Metal roof; Regular lot; Deeded restrictions; View: see remarks; Irrigation: reclaimed

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Disposal; Microwave; Range; Refrigerator/Freezer; Reverse osmosis
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Tile
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; Master bath with shower only
  • Heating & cooling: Central electric heat; Ceiling fans
  • Interior features: Smoke detectors; Turnkey furnished; Dining area in living room; Laundry in residence
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $125k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $164 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $125k).
  • Recommended offer: $114k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Collier (suburban): math 60% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #16 of 73 in FL (top 22%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 900 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 3,520 units permitted in Collier County in 2024 (959 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.5%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Collier County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 97 days — a 9% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 19y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→29/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $113,659 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 97 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.78%
Cap rate
11.97%
Cash-on-cash
20.26%
DSCR
1.90
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.48% appreciation · 3.21% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-0.5%
Equity multiple
0.98×
Total profit
$-701
Equity at exit
$27,292
10-year hold
IRR
7.4%
Equity multiple
1.69×
Total profit
$24,180
Equity at exit
$26,290

Cash invested: $34,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34114

Home prices YoY
-0.6%
Rents YoY
3.2%
Active inventory
900
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,218 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$655
Tax est. 1.5%
$156 /mo · $1,874/yr
Insurance
$52
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$299
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$466
Net cashflow
$164

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,011
Max offer price $124,900
Occupancy floor 88%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $250 -5% $207 +0% $164 +5% $121 +10% $78
Rent -10% $-11 -5% $76 +0% $164 +5% $252 +10% $339
Rate -1.0pp $227 -0.5pp $196 base $164 +0.5pp $132 +1.0pp $99

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$31,225
Closing costs
$3,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

HOA detail condo

Monthly dues
$299 · $3,588/yr
Likely covers
watertrashcablelandscapingpoolsecurity
Assessments
None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.

Listing history 32 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $124,900 Active 97 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $124,900 Active 96 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $124,900 Active 95 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $124,900 Active 94 DOM
  5. 2026-06-14
    days on market $124,900 Active 92 DOM
  6. 2026-06-10
    days on market $124,900 Active 89 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $124,900 Active 88 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $124,900 Active 87 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $124,900 Active 86 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $124,900 Active 82 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $124,900 Active 81 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $124,900 Active 80 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $124,900 Active 79 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $124,900 Active 78 DOM
  15. 2026-04-29
    price $124,900
  16. 2026-03-13
    listed $135,000 Active
  17. 2026-01-31
    historical
  18. 2025-08-28
    listed $120,000 Active
  19. 2024-07-08
    soldstatus $135,000
  20. 2024-07-03
    soldstatus $135,000 Sold 923-char remark
    Show marketing remark (923 chars)

    Thank you for viewing 186 Panther Pass in the Imperial Wilderness community! This gated 55+ community is beautifully maintained, fun, active, and scenic! The featured 2Br, 1.5Ba home boasts a metal roof, attractive exterior pavers, new front door, and is being sold furnished. The kitchen is updated and offers granite countertops, stone and tile backsplash, full-sized stainless-steel appliances, range/oven and convection oven/microwave, dishwasher, disposal, drinking water filtration system, and laminate flooring. The decor provides a tasteful and relaxing vibe. In addition to all of these outstanding features, YOU OWN THE LAND, and the low HOA fee ($792.00 per quarter) covers so much: water, lawn care, basic cable, trash/recycling, and community amenities. Community amenities include the following: 2 pools with spas, bocce, pickleball, tennis, shuffleboard, billiards, a library, clubhouse, dog parks, and more!

  21. 2024-06-12
    status Pending With Contingencies 923-char remark
    Show marketing remark (923 chars)

    Thank you for viewing 186 Panther Pass in the Imperial Wilderness community! This gated 55+ community is beautifully maintained, fun, active, and scenic! The featured 2Br, 1.5Ba home boasts a metal roof, attractive exterior pavers, new front door, and is being sold furnished. The kitchen is updated and offers granite countertops, stone and tile backsplash, full-sized stainless-steel appliances, range/oven and convection oven/microwave, dishwasher, disposal, drinking water filtration system, and laminate flooring. The decor provides a tasteful and relaxing vibe. In addition to all of these outstanding features, YOU OWN THE LAND, and the low HOA fee ($792.00 per quarter) covers so much: water, lawn care, basic cable, trash/recycling, and community amenities. Community amenities include the following: 2 pools with spas, bocce, pickleball, tennis, shuffleboard, billiards, a library, clubhouse, dog parks, and more!

  22. 2024-05-04
    price $135,000 923-char remark
    Show marketing remark (923 chars)

    Thank you for viewing 186 Panther Pass in the Imperial Wilderness community! This gated 55+ community is beautifully maintained, fun, active, and scenic! The featured 2Br, 1.5Ba home boasts a metal roof, attractive exterior pavers, new front door, and is being sold furnished. The kitchen is updated and offers granite countertops, stone and tile backsplash, full-sized stainless-steel appliances, range/oven and convection oven/microwave, dishwasher, disposal, drinking water filtration system, and laminate flooring. The decor provides a tasteful and relaxing vibe. In addition to all of these outstanding features, YOU OWN THE LAND, and the low HOA fee ($792.00 per quarter) covers so much: water, lawn care, basic cable, trash/recycling, and community amenities. Community amenities include the following: 2 pools with spas, bocce, pickleball, tennis, shuffleboard, billiards, a library, clubhouse, dog parks, and more!

  23. 2024-02-26
    price $149,000 923-char remark
    Show marketing remark (923 chars)

    Thank you for viewing 186 Panther Pass in the Imperial Wilderness community! This gated 55+ community is beautifully maintained, fun, active, and scenic! The featured 2Br, 1.5Ba home boasts a metal roof, attractive exterior pavers, new front door, and is being sold furnished. The kitchen is updated and offers granite countertops, stone and tile backsplash, full-sized stainless-steel appliances, range/oven and convection oven/microwave, dishwasher, disposal, drinking water filtration system, and laminate flooring. The decor provides a tasteful and relaxing vibe. In addition to all of these outstanding features, YOU OWN THE LAND, and the low HOA fee ($792.00 per quarter) covers so much: water, lawn care, basic cable, trash/recycling, and community amenities. Community amenities include the following: 2 pools with spas, bocce, pickleball, tennis, shuffleboard, billiards, a library, clubhouse, dog parks, and more!

  24. 2023-11-09
    price $159,000 923-char remark
    Show marketing remark (923 chars)

    Thank you for viewing 186 Panther Pass in the Imperial Wilderness community! This gated 55+ community is beautifully maintained, fun, active, and scenic! The featured 2Br, 1.5Ba home boasts a metal roof, attractive exterior pavers, new front door, and is being sold furnished. The kitchen is updated and offers granite countertops, stone and tile backsplash, full-sized stainless-steel appliances, range/oven and convection oven/microwave, dishwasher, disposal, drinking water filtration system, and laminate flooring. The decor provides a tasteful and relaxing vibe. In addition to all of these outstanding features, YOU OWN THE LAND, and the low HOA fee ($792.00 per quarter) covers so much: water, lawn care, basic cable, trash/recycling, and community amenities. Community amenities include the following: 2 pools with spas, bocce, pickleball, tennis, shuffleboard, billiards, a library, clubhouse, dog parks, and more!

  25. 2023-10-08
    listed $169,000 Active 923-char remark
    Show marketing remark (923 chars)

    Thank you for viewing 186 Panther Pass in the Imperial Wilderness community! This gated 55+ community is beautifully maintained, fun, active, and scenic! The featured 2Br, 1.5Ba home boasts a metal roof, attractive exterior pavers, new front door, and is being sold furnished. The kitchen is updated and offers granite countertops, stone and tile backsplash, full-sized stainless-steel appliances, range/oven and convection oven/microwave, dishwasher, disposal, drinking water filtration system, and laminate flooring. The decor provides a tasteful and relaxing vibe. In addition to all of these outstanding features, YOU OWN THE LAND, and the low HOA fee ($792.00 per quarter) covers so much: water, lawn care, basic cable, trash/recycling, and community amenities. Community amenities include the following: 2 pools with spas, bocce, pickleball, tennis, shuffleboard, billiards, a library, clubhouse, dog parks, and more!

  26. 2023-07-29
    historical
  27. 2022-08-01
    listed $190,000 Active
  28. 2008-12-23
    soldstatus $59,000
  29. 2008-12-19
    soldstatus $59,000
  30. 2008-11-24
    listed $59,000
  31. 2007-11-13
    listed $79,799
  32. 1987-07-01
    soldstatus $16,600

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AE · 97% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 29 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,622
− Mortgage interest
−$6,996
− Property taxes
−$1,874
− Insurance
−$5,743
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,130
− Management
−$2,130
− HOA
−$3,588
− Depreciation
−$3,633
Taxable income
$528
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$127
After-tax cash flow
$1,840/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Collier
NCES district ID
1200330
Math proficiency
60% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$58,275
Composite
50.23/100
National rank
#1892
State rank
#16 of 73 in FL

Livability — Winding Cypress

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Collier County · 396,295 people
Metro
Naples-Marco Island, FL
Population (ZIP)
23,559
Household income
$89,334
Rent vs Own
15.3% rent · 84.7% own
Severe rent burden
550.0

Population outlook (Collier County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
420,858 people
By 2030
450,054 · +6.9%
By 2040
502,232 · +19.3%
By 2050
544,932 · +29.5%
By 2075
627,203 · +49.0%
By 2100
659,015 · +56.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 17% Two or more races 13% Black 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 7% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 3%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 5% Romanian 4% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
21% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
75% English-only · Spanish 15% French/Haitian/Cajun 5% Other Indo-European 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Collier

2024 margin
Solid R (+33.1) · D 33.1% · R 66.2%
2008→2024 swing
-10.6pp toward R · 2008: -22.5pp · 2024: -33.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+33.1 2020: R+24.7 2016: R+26.0 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+22.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.48%
Current HPI
266.5545
Rent YoY
▲ 3.21%
Metro
Naples-Marco Island, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+652.4% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Price Changed $124,900 NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $135,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2026-01-31 Listing Removed NAPLESMLS
  • 2025-08-28 Listed $120,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2024-07-08 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
  • 2024-07-03 Sold (MLS) $135,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2024-06-12 Pending NAPLESMLS
  • 2024-05-04 Price Changed $135,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2024-02-26 Price Changed $149,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2023-11-09 Price Changed $159,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2023-10-08 Listed $169,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2023-07-29 Listing Removed NAPLESMLS
  • 2022-08-01 Listed $190,000 NAPLESMLS
  • 2008-12-23 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
  • 2008-12-19 Sold (MLS) $59,000 MIML
  • 2008-11-24 Listed $59,000 MIML
  • 2007-11-13 Listed $79,799 MIML
  • 1987-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $16,600 Public Records

Property tax history

+8.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $140 · -85.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…