9045 S Sacramento Ave · Evergreen Park, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 102°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.9/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- DSCR +7.4/10.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
SHORT SALE!!!!! THIS BI-LEVEL BRICK HOME NEEDS YOUR TLC. BRING YOUR IDEAS AND MAKE THIS YOUR HOME. 4 BEDROOMS, 3 BATHS, KITCHEN, LIVING ROOM, DINING ROOM, FAMILY ROOM WITH SLIDING DOORS LEADING TO A LARGE YARD FOR ALL OF YOUR SUMMER ENTERTAINMENT. FRIDGE, WASHER AND DRYER DOES NOT STAY ONLY STOVE, DISHWASHER AND MICROWAVE. SOLD AS IS. SALE PENDING BANK APPROVAL OF SHORT SALE.
Key facts
- Bi-level brick home
- Large yard
- Sliding doors
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $441 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
- Recommended offer: $220k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 5.9% in Evergreen Park — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 87/100 on livability (#14 in IL, #327 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D+.
- Evergreen Park Chsd 231 (suburban): math 25% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #303 of 620 in IL (top 49%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Evergreen Park High School (math 25% / reading 23%, grade F, #304 of 693 statewide, top 44%, 931 students, 0% FRL).
- Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 2d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 6,272 units permitted in Cook County in 2024 (4,658 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 167 days — a 12% lower offer ($220k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $100k (29%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 4.0% of price.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 167 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.56%
- DSCR
- 1.34
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $385,440
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9312 S Francisco Ave | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 | 2,150 (-2%) | 2mo | $402,000 | $187 | 76 |
| 8943 S Richmond Ave | 0.14mi | 4/2.0 | 2,060 (-6%) | 8mo | $357,900 | $174 | 72 |
| 8834 S Albany Ave | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 | 2,000 (-9%) | 2mo | $380,000 | $190 | 66 |
| 9205 S Utica Ave | 0.19mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,000 (-9%) | 8mo | $253,000 | $127 | 63 |
| 9302 S Albany Ave | 0.34mi | 4/2.0 | 2,046 (-7%) | 8mo | $360,000 | $176 | 62 |
| 8804 S Fairfield Ave | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 | 2,354 (+8%) | 2mo | $429,990 | $183 | 62 |
| 9241 S Richmond Ave | 0.25mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,971 (-10%) | 6mo | $275,000 | $140 | 56 |
| 8742 S Washtenaw Ave | 0.50mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 2,400 (+10%) | 0mo | $371,000 | $155 | 55 |
| 9258 S Sacramento Ave | 0.28mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,441 (+12%) | 7mo | $380,000 | $156 | 55 |
| 9359 S Richmond Ave | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,000 (-9%) | 0mo | $370,000 | $185 | 55 |
| 2637 W 93rd Pl | 0.57mi | 4/2.0 | 2,090 (-5%) | 10mo | $420,000 | $201 | 53 |
| 9520 S Sacramento Ave | 0.59mi | 5/2.5 (+1) | 2,400 (+10%) | 2mo | $220,000 | $92 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-12,052
- Equity at exit
- $37,261
- IRR
- 5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.39×
- Total profit
- $27,148
- Equity at exit
- $21,607
Cash invested: $69,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 60805
- Home prices YoY
- -34.0%
- Active inventory
- 37
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,394 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,311
- Tax from tax record
- −$826 /mo · $9,909/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$713
- Net cashflow
- $441
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,475
- Closing costs
- $7,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8804 S Fairfield Ave Evergreen Park, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2300 | $3,400 | $1.48 | 1d | 1 | 0.42mi |
| 8755 S Fairfield Ave Evergreen Park, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1463 | $2,900 | $1.98 | 5d | 1 | 0.46mi |
| 2321 W 81st Pl Chicago, IL | 5.0 | 2.0 | 1920 | $4,500 | $2.34 | 1d | 1 | 1.38mi |
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-03-03status Pending
-
2026-02-04price $249,900
-
2026-01-05price $269,900
-
2025-12-06price $279,900
-
2025-11-04price $299,900
-
2025-10-22price $319,900
-
2025-10-03price $329,900
-
2025-09-25price $339,900
-
2025-09-17$349,900 Active
-
2025-09-17historical
-
2025-08-06Active
-
2005-06-30soldstatus $268,500
-
1994-02-03soldstatus $149,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $9,909 · $826/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $9,909 · $826/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥102°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $40,727
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,998
- − Property taxes
- −$9,909
- − Insurance
- −$1,250
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,258
- − Management
- −$3,258
- − Depreciation
- −$7,270
- Taxable income
- $1,784
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$428
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,862/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Evergreen Park Chsd 231
- NCES district ID
- 1714580
- Math proficiency
- 25% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,735
- Composite
- 22.65/100
- National rank
- #8054
- State rank
- #303 of 620 in IL
Livability — Evergreen Park
- Score
- 87/100
- State rank
- #14
- US rank
- #327
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Evergreen Park, IL
- City population
- 19,498
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,498
Population outlook (Cook County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 5,347,519 people
- By 2030
- 5,357,703 · +0.2%
- By 2040
- 5,324,924 · -0.4%
- By 2050
- 5,230,762 · -2.2%
- By 2075
- 4,785,735 · -10.5%
- By 2100
- 4,188,836 · -21.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 53% Black 22% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 10% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 16% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 8% Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 12% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Cook
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+42.0) · D 70.4% · R 28.4% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.4pp toward R · 2008: 53.4pp · 2024: 42.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+42.0 2020: D+50.3 2016: D+53.0 2012: D+49.4 2008: D+53.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -118.60%
- Current HPI
- 229.8185
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+67.7% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-03 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-04 Price Changed $249,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-05 Price Changed $269,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-12-06 Price Changed $279,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-11-04 Price Changed $299,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-22 Price Changed $319,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-03 Price Changed $329,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-25 Price Changed $339,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-17 Listing Removed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-17 Listed $349,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-06 Listed — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-06-30 Sold (Public Records) $268,500 Public Records
- 1994-02-03 Sold (Public Records) $149,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2023): $9,909 · +24.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…