10629 State Hwy 110 · Van, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 67.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +6.4/10.0
- 1% rule +5.2/10.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$149,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover incredible potential in this 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath brick home located just outside the heart of Van. Nestled on . 50 of a spacious acre, this property offers the perfect blend of privacy, room to grow, and convenient access to SH 110. The home features a comfortable layout with a bright living area, an eat-in kitchen, and ample storage throughout. A 2-car attached garage provides plenty of workspace or parking. With solid bones and plenty of space to make it your own, this property is ideal for buyers looking for a peaceful country setting with endless possibilities. Whether you're dreaming of a small hobby farm, outdoor entertaining, or simply enjoying wide-open Texas views, this property delivers. Don’t miss this opportunity to bring your vision to life!
Key facts
- Bright living area
- Attached garage
- Convenient access
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $189 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $132k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.8% vs local median 2.5% in Van — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#505 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, amenities F.
- Van ISD (rural): math 40% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #390 of 826 in TX (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 54 units permitted in Van Zandt County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Van Zandt County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 177 days — a 12% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $39k (21%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 67% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 177 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.02% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.41%
- DSCR
- 1.24
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $222,635
- List price
- $149,900
- Delta
- -32.67%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1105 Private Rd #5807 | 0.39mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,216 (-4%) | 22mo | $349,000 | $287 | 51 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -7.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.71×
- Total profit
- $-12,226
- Equity at exit
- $22,351
- IRR
- 1.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.12×
- Total profit
- $4,931
- Equity at exit
- $12,961
Cash invested: $41,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75790
- Home prices YoY
- -11.4%
- Active inventory
- 87
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,535 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$786
- Tax from tax record
- −$175 /mo · $2,104/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$322
- Net cashflow
- $189
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $274 | -5% $232 | +0% $189 | +5% $147 | +10% $104 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $68 | -5% $129 | +0% $189 | +5% $250 | +10% $310 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $265 | -0.5pp $227 | base $189 | +0.5pp $150 | +1.0pp $111 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,475
- Closing costs
- $4,497
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $149,900 Active 177 DOM
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2026-06-19days on market $149,900 Active 175 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $149,900 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $149,900 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $149,900 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $149,900 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $149,900 Active 169 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $149,900 Active 168 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $149,900 Active 166 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $149,900 Active 165 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $149,900 Active 164 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $149,900 Active 163 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $149,900 Active 158 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $149,900 Active 157 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $149,900 Active 156 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $149,900 Active 155 DOM
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2026-04-20status Active 779-char remark
Show marketing remark (779 chars)
Discover incredible potential in this 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath brick home located just outside the heart of Van. Nestled on . 50 of a spacious acre, this property offers the perfect blend of privacy, room to grow, and convenient access to SH 110. The home features a comfortable layout with a bright living area, an eat-in kitchen, and ample storage throughout. A 2-car attached garage provides plenty of workspace or parking. With solid bones and plenty of space to make it your own, this property is ideal for buyers looking for a peaceful country setting with endless possibilities. Whether you're dreaming of a small hobby farm, outdoor entertaining, or simply enjoying wide-open Texas views, this property delivers. Don’t miss this opportunity to bring your vision to life!
-
2026-04-20price $149,900 779-char remark
Show marketing remark (779 chars)
Discover incredible potential in this 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath brick home located just outside the heart of Van. Nestled on . 50 of a spacious acre, this property offers the perfect blend of privacy, room to grow, and convenient access to SH 110. The home features a comfortable layout with a bright living area, an eat-in kitchen, and ample storage throughout. A 2-car attached garage provides plenty of workspace or parking. With solid bones and plenty of space to make it your own, this property is ideal for buyers looking for a peaceful country setting with endless possibilities. Whether you're dreaming of a small hobby farm, outdoor entertaining, or simply enjoying wide-open Texas views, this property delivers. Don’t miss this opportunity to bring your vision to life!
-
2025-12-05$189,000 Active 779-char remark
Show marketing remark (779 chars)
Discover incredible potential in this 3-bedroom, 1.5-bath brick home located just outside the heart of Van. Nestled on . 50 of a spacious acre, this property offers the perfect blend of privacy, room to grow, and convenient access to SH 110. The home features a comfortable layout with a bright living area, an eat-in kitchen, and ample storage throughout. A 2-car attached garage provides plenty of workspace or parking. With solid bones and plenty of space to make it your own, this property is ideal for buyers looking for a peaceful country setting with endless possibilities. Whether you're dreaming of a small hobby farm, outdoor entertaining, or simply enjoying wide-open Texas views, this property delivers. Don’t miss this opportunity to bring your vision to life!
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2020-07-23soldstatus
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2013-04-23soldstatus
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1994-06-10soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,104 · $175/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,743 · $229/mo
- Expected delta
- +$640/yr (+$53/mo · 30.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 67% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,426
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,397
- − Property taxes
- −$2,104
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,474
- − Management
- −$1,474
- − Depreciation
- −$4,361
- Taxable loss
- −$133
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$32
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,302/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Van ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4843920
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,308
- Composite
- 34.78/100
- National rank
- #5120
- State rank
- #390 of 826 in TX
Livability — Van
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #505
- US rank
- #9995
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 3,790
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,790
Population outlook (Van Zandt County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 55,634 people
- By 2030
- 56,479 · +1.5%
- By 2040
- 57,672 · +3.7%
- By 2050
- 57,913 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 57,544 · +3.4%
- By 2100
- 52,659 · -5.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 80% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 6% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 15%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 2% Italian 1% Greek 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Van Zandt
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+74.8) · D 12.3% · R 87.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -19.8pp toward R · 2008: -55.1pp · 2024: -74.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+74.8 2020: R+72.1 2016: R+72.1 2012: R+66.6 2008: R+55.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -27.57%
- Current HPI
- 213.6886
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-20.7% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Relisted — GTAR
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $149,900 GTAR
- 2025-12-05 Listed $189,000 GTAR
- 2020-07-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2013-04-23 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 1994-06-10 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,104 · +6.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…