345 Joe Tike Dr · Fort Oglethorpe, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 12.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +7.2/30.0
- Rent growth +4.2/5.0
- ARV discount +3.6/15.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- DSCR +1.4/10.0
- 1% rule +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$313,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 345 Joe Tike Drive in Lorie hills subdivision!! This 4 bedroom, 3 bathroom home has been recently updated and has an open concept kitchen, living room, and dining room. Lower level- offers a bedroom that can also be used as a optional room , full bathroom/ laundry room, an office/ sitting area, under stair storage and 2 car garage. Upper level- offers open concept kitchen, living room, dining room, screened in porch, 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Shed structure for extra storage is a plus. This home is a must see as it is nestled in a cozy cul-de-sac.
Key facts
- Screened in porch
- Open concept kitchen
- Under stair storage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $314k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-429 ($-5k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $238k (24.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $186k (40.9% below list).
- Recommended offer: $186k (40.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 4.7% vs local median 3.4% in Fort Oglethorpe — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#166 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
- Catoosa County (suburban): math 36% / reading 41% proficiency, ranked #49 of 174 in GA (top 28%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Battlefield Primary (492 students, 51% FRL); Heritage Middle School (math 44% / reading 52%, grade C-, #80 of 470 statewide, top 17%, 882 students, 31% FRL); Heritage High School (math 38% / reading 45%, grade F, #52 of 424 statewide, top 12%, 1,242 students, 23% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.8%/yr); 362 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 848 units permitted in Catoosa County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Catoosa County population projected at +5% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 486 days — a 12% lower offer ($276k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $7k; list at $314k implies a 4384% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 486 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 41% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.59% ✗
- Cap rate
- 4.65%
- Cash-on-cash
- -5.85%
- DSCR
- 0.74
- GRM
- 14.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $289,029
- List price
- $313,900
- Delta
- 8.61%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5210 Boynton Dr | 0.27mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,200 (+11%) | 8mo | $290,000 | $242 | 57 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.84% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.19×
- Total profit
- $-70,857
- Equity at exit
- $46,804
- IRR
- -10.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.27×
- Total profit
- $-64,355
- Equity at exit
- $27,140
Cash invested: $87,892 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30736
- Home prices YoY
- -21.9%
- Rents YoY
- 6.8%
- Active inventory
- 362
- Price-to-rent
- 14.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,855 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,646
- Tax from tax record
- −$117 /mo · $1,408/yr
- Insurance
- −$131
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$390
- Net cashflow
- $-429
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-251 | -5% $-340 | +0% $-429 | +5% $-517 | +10% $-606 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-575 | -5% $-502 | +0% $-429 | +5% $-355 | +10% $-282 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-270 | -0.5pp $-349 | base $-429 | +0.5pp $-510 | +1.0pp $-593 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $78,475
- Closing costs
- $9,417
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $313,900 Active 486 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $313,900 Active 483 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $313,900 Active 482 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $313,900 Active 481 DOM
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2026-06-15days on market $313,900 Active 480 DOM
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2026-06-14days on market $313,900 Active 478 DOM
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2026-06-10days on market $313,900 Active 475 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $313,900 Active 474 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $313,900 Active 473 DOM
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2026-06-07pricedays on market $313,900 Active 472 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $319,000 Active 468 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $319,000 Active 467 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $319,000 Active 466 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $319,000 Active 465 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $319,000 Active 464 DOM
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2026-05-08price $319,000 572-char remark
Show marketing remark (572 chars)
Welcome to 345 Joe Tike Drive in Lorie hills subdivision!! This 4 bedroom, 3 bathroom home has been recently updated and has an open concept kitchen, living room, and dining room. Lower level- offers a bedroom that can also be used as a optional room , full bathroom/ laundry room, an office/ sitting area, under stair storage and 2 car garage. Upper level- offers open concept kitchen, living room, dining room, screened in porch, 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Shed structure for extra storage is a plus. This home is a must see as it is nestled in a cozy cul-de-sac.
-
2026-04-24price $323,000 572-char remark
Show marketing remark (572 chars)
Welcome to 345 Joe Tike Drive in Lorie hills subdivision!! This 4 bedroom, 3 bathroom home has been recently updated and has an open concept kitchen, living room, and dining room. Lower level- offers a bedroom that can also be used as a optional room , full bathroom/ laundry room, an office/ sitting area, under stair storage and 2 car garage. Upper level- offers open concept kitchen, living room, dining room, screened in porch, 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Shed structure for extra storage is a plus. This home is a must see as it is nestled in a cozy cul-de-sac.
-
2026-02-27price $325,000 572-char remark
Show marketing remark (572 chars)
Welcome to 345 Joe Tike Drive in Lorie hills subdivision!! This 4 bedroom, 3 bathroom home has been recently updated and has an open concept kitchen, living room, and dining room. Lower level- offers a bedroom that can also be used as a optional room , full bathroom/ laundry room, an office/ sitting area, under stair storage and 2 car garage. Upper level- offers open concept kitchen, living room, dining room, screened in porch, 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Shed structure for extra storage is a plus. This home is a must see as it is nestled in a cozy cul-de-sac.
-
2025-12-18price $326,900 572-char remark
Show marketing remark (572 chars)
Welcome to 345 Joe Tike Drive in Lorie hills subdivision!! This 4 bedroom, 3 bathroom home has been recently updated and has an open concept kitchen, living room, and dining room. Lower level- offers a bedroom that can also be used as a optional room , full bathroom/ laundry room, an office/ sitting area, under stair storage and 2 car garage. Upper level- offers open concept kitchen, living room, dining room, screened in porch, 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Shed structure for extra storage is a plus. This home is a must see as it is nestled in a cozy cul-de-sac.
-
2025-10-21price $329,900 572-char remark
Show marketing remark (572 chars)
Welcome to 345 Joe Tike Drive in Lorie hills subdivision!! This 4 bedroom, 3 bathroom home has been recently updated and has an open concept kitchen, living room, and dining room. Lower level- offers a bedroom that can also be used as a optional room , full bathroom/ laundry room, an office/ sitting area, under stair storage and 2 car garage. Upper level- offers open concept kitchen, living room, dining room, screened in porch, 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Shed structure for extra storage is a plus. This home is a must see as it is nestled in a cozy cul-de-sac.
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2025-08-22price $349,900 572-char remark
Show marketing remark (572 chars)
Welcome to 345 Joe Tike Drive in Lorie hills subdivision!! This 4 bedroom, 3 bathroom home has been recently updated and has an open concept kitchen, living room, and dining room. Lower level- offers a bedroom that can also be used as a optional room , full bathroom/ laundry room, an office/ sitting area, under stair storage and 2 car garage. Upper level- offers open concept kitchen, living room, dining room, screened in porch, 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Shed structure for extra storage is a plus. This home is a must see as it is nestled in a cozy cul-de-sac.
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2025-06-14price $354,900 572-char remark
Show marketing remark (572 chars)
Welcome to 345 Joe Tike Drive in Lorie hills subdivision!! This 4 bedroom, 3 bathroom home has been recently updated and has an open concept kitchen, living room, and dining room. Lower level- offers a bedroom that can also be used as a optional room , full bathroom/ laundry room, an office/ sitting area, under stair storage and 2 car garage. Upper level- offers open concept kitchen, living room, dining room, screened in porch, 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Shed structure for extra storage is a plus. This home is a must see as it is nestled in a cozy cul-de-sac.
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2025-05-01price $360,000 572-char remark
Show marketing remark (572 chars)
Welcome to 345 Joe Tike Drive in Lorie hills subdivision!! This 4 bedroom, 3 bathroom home has been recently updated and has an open concept kitchen, living room, and dining room. Lower level- offers a bedroom that can also be used as a optional room , full bathroom/ laundry room, an office/ sitting area, under stair storage and 2 car garage. Upper level- offers open concept kitchen, living room, dining room, screened in porch, 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Shed structure for extra storage is a plus. This home is a must see as it is nestled in a cozy cul-de-sac.
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2025-04-21price $371,000 572-char remark
Show marketing remark (572 chars)
Welcome to 345 Joe Tike Drive in Lorie hills subdivision!! This 4 bedroom, 3 bathroom home has been recently updated and has an open concept kitchen, living room, and dining room. Lower level- offers a bedroom that can also be used as a optional room , full bathroom/ laundry room, an office/ sitting area, under stair storage and 2 car garage. Upper level- offers open concept kitchen, living room, dining room, screened in porch, 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Shed structure for extra storage is a plus. This home is a must see as it is nestled in a cozy cul-de-sac.
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2025-03-21price $373,000 572-char remark
Show marketing remark (572 chars)
Welcome to 345 Joe Tike Drive in Lorie hills subdivision!! This 4 bedroom, 3 bathroom home has been recently updated and has an open concept kitchen, living room, and dining room. Lower level- offers a bedroom that can also be used as a optional room , full bathroom/ laundry room, an office/ sitting area, under stair storage and 2 car garage. Upper level- offers open concept kitchen, living room, dining room, screened in porch, 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Shed structure for extra storage is a plus. This home is a must see as it is nestled in a cozy cul-de-sac.
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2025-02-20$375,000 Active 572-char remark
Show marketing remark (572 chars)
Welcome to 345 Joe Tike Drive in Lorie hills subdivision!! This 4 bedroom, 3 bathroom home has been recently updated and has an open concept kitchen, living room, and dining room. Lower level- offers a bedroom that can also be used as a optional room , full bathroom/ laundry room, an office/ sitting area, under stair storage and 2 car garage. Upper level- offers open concept kitchen, living room, dining room, screened in porch, 3 bedrooms and 2 full bathrooms. Shed structure for extra storage is a plus. This home is a must see as it is nestled in a cozy cul-de-sac.
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1985-01-11soldstatus $7,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,408 · $117/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,888 · $241/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,480/yr (+$123/mo · 105.1%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 12% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,264
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,583
- − Property taxes
- −$1,408
- − Insurance
- −$1,570
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,781
- − Management
- −$1,781
- − Depreciation
- −$9,132
- Taxable loss
- −$10,991
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$2,638
- After-tax cash flow
- $-2,505/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Catoosa County
- NCES district ID
- 1300930
- Math proficiency
- 36% ▼ -15.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 41% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,913
- Composite
- 33.13/100
- National rank
- #5558
- State rank
- #49 of 174 in GA
Livability — Fort Oglethorpe
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #166
- US rank
- #10498
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Catoosa County · 52,244 people
- City population
- 7,745
- Metro
- Chattanooga, TN-GA
- Population (ZIP)
- 44,499
- Household income
- $83,821
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 559.0
Population outlook (Catoosa County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 70,112 people
- By 2030
- 71,621 · +2.2%
- By 2040
- 73,595 · +5.0%
- By 2050
- 73,921 · +5.4%
- By 2075
- 72,135 · +2.9%
- By 2100
- 65,979 · -5.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Serbian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 2% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Catoosa
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.5) · D 22.0% · R 77.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -5.7pp toward R · 2008: -49.8pp · 2024: -55.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.5 2020: R+56.0 2016: R+60.7 2012: R+52.8 2008: R+49.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -70.42%
- Current HPI
- 251.8824
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.84%
- Metro
- Chattanooga, TN-GA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $160B |
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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Price history
+4457.1% since first listed12 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Price Changed $319,000 GCAR
- 2026-04-24 Price Changed $323,000 GCAR
- 2026-02-27 Price Changed $325,000 GCAR
- 2025-12-18 Price Changed $326,900 GCAR
- 2025-10-21 Price Changed $329,900 GCAR
- 2025-08-22 Price Changed $349,900 GCAR
- 2025-06-14 Price Changed $354,900 GCAR
- 2025-05-01 Price Changed $360,000 GCAR
- 2025-04-21 Price Changed $371,000 GCAR
- 2025-03-21 Price Changed $373,000 GCAR
- 2025-02-20 Listed $375,000 GCAR
- 1985-01-11 Sold (Public Records) $7,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $1,408 · +0.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…