CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
15 Germania St
C+ Composite 64.0
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +18.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +8.2/10.0
  • DSCR +5.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Schools +3.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$95,300

15 Germania St · Galeton, PA 16922
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 823 sqft · Other public records · 113 Days on market
Built 1890 5,227 sqft lot $116/sqft · 128% above area Est $135k · 29% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Back on the Market -- Opportunity Awaits! Enjoy breathtaking, unobstructed views of Berger Lake from this spacious Victorian-style home with direct lake access. Lovingly cared for by the same family for over 50 years, this unique property blends classic character with thoughtful updates and room to make it your own. Whether you're looking for a peaceful getaway, full-time residence, or investment opportunity, the possibilities here are endless. Conveniently located just 20 minutes from Cherry Springs State Park, this property offers easy access to outdoor recreation, stargazing, and all the beauty of North Central Pennsylvania.

Key facts

  • 5,227 sq ft lot
  • Built 1890
  • Listed 112 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $81 ($977/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($961 rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $87k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#1,038 in PA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: schools D+, health & safety D, amenities F.
  • Galeton Area SD (rural): math 35% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #484 of 658 in PA (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 24 units permitted in Potter County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($659 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (6.5% local appreciation)).
  • Potter County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (6.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 113 days — a 9% lower offer ($87k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1890 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $86,723 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 113 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1890 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
7.32%
Cash-on-cash
3.66%
DSCR
1.16
GRM
8.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$135,000
List price
$95,300
Delta
-29.41%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
15 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

6.48% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
19.5%
Equity multiple
2.33×
Total profit
$35,486
Equity at exit
$62,843
10-year hold
IRR
18.7%
Equity multiple
4.74×
Total profit
$99,724
Equity at exit
$116,586

Cash invested: $26,684 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16922

Home prices YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
20
Price-to-rent
8.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$961 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$500
Tax from tax record
$139 /mo · $1,664/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$202
Net cashflow
$81

Break-even live

Break-even rent $858
Max offer price $95,300
Occupancy floor 87%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,825
Closing costs
$2,859
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,300 Active 113 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,300 Active 112 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $95,300 Active 111 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,300 Active 110 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,300 Active 108 DOM
  6. 2026-06-12
    days on market $95,300 Active 107 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $95,300 Active 104 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,300 Active 103 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,300 Active 102 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,300 Active 101 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $95,300 Active 98 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,300 Active 97 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,300 Active 96 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,300 Active 95 DOM
  15. 2026-04-30
    status Active 639-char remark
    Show marketing remark (641 chars)

    Back on the Market — Opportunity Awaits! Enjoy breathtaking, unobstructed views of Berger Lake from this spacious Victorian-style home with direct lake access. Lovingly cared for by the same family for over 50 years, this unique property blends classic character with thoughtful updates and room to make it your own. Whether you're looking for a peaceful getaway, full-time residence, or investment opportunity, the possibilities here are endless. Conveniently located just 20 minutes from Cherry Springs State Park, this property offers easy access to outdoor recreation, stargazing, and all the beauty of North Central Pennsylvania.

  16. 2026-04-30
    status Active 641-char remark
    Show marketing remark (641 chars)

    Back on the Market — Opportunity Awaits! Enjoy breathtaking, unobstructed views of Berger Lake from this spacious Victorian-style home with direct lake access. Lovingly cared for by the same family for over 50 years, this unique property blends classic character with thoughtful updates and room to make it your own. Whether you're looking for a peaceful getaway, full-time residence, or investment opportunity, the possibilities here are endless. Conveniently located just 20 minutes from Cherry Springs State Park, this property offers easy access to outdoor recreation, stargazing, and all the beauty of North Central Pennsylvania.

  17. 2026-04-06
    historical Active Under Contract 639-char remark
    Show marketing remark (639 chars)

    Back on the Market -- Opportunity Awaits! Enjoy breathtaking, unobstructed views of Berger Lake from this spacious Victorian-style home with direct lake access. Lovingly cared for by the same family for over 50 years, this unique property blends classic character with thoughtful updates and room to make it your own. Whether you're looking for a peaceful getaway, full-time residence, or investment opportunity, the possibilities here are endless. Conveniently located just 20 minutes from Cherry Springs State Park, this property offers easy access to outdoor recreation, stargazing, and all the beauty of North Central Pennsylvania.

  18. 2026-03-24
    historical Active Under Contract 641-char remark
    Show marketing remark (641 chars)

    Back on the Market — Opportunity Awaits! Enjoy breathtaking, unobstructed views of Berger Lake from this spacious Victorian-style home with direct lake access. Lovingly cared for by the same family for over 50 years, this unique property blends classic character with thoughtful updates and room to make it your own. Whether you're looking for a peaceful getaway, full-time residence, or investment opportunity, the possibilities here are endless. Conveniently located just 20 minutes from Cherry Springs State Park, this property offers easy access to outdoor recreation, stargazing, and all the beauty of North Central Pennsylvania.

  19. 2026-02-26
    listed $95,300 Active 641-char remark
    Show marketing remark (639 chars)

    Back on the Market -- Opportunity Awaits! Enjoy breathtaking, unobstructed views of Berger Lake from this spacious Victorian-style home with direct lake access. Lovingly cared for by the same family for over 50 years, this unique property blends classic character with thoughtful updates and room to make it your own. Whether you're looking for a peaceful getaway, full-time residence, or investment opportunity, the possibilities here are endless. Conveniently located just 20 minutes from Cherry Springs State Park, this property offers easy access to outdoor recreation, stargazing, and all the beauty of North Central Pennsylvania.

  20. 2026-02-26
    listed $95,300 Active 639-char remark
    Show marketing remark (639 chars)

    Back on the Market -- Opportunity Awaits! Enjoy breathtaking, unobstructed views of Berger Lake from this spacious Victorian-style home with direct lake access. Lovingly cared for by the same family for over 50 years, this unique property blends classic character with thoughtful updates and room to make it your own. Whether you're looking for a peaceful getaway, full-time residence, or investment opportunity, the possibilities here are endless. Conveniently located just 20 minutes from Cherry Springs State Park, this property offers easy access to outdoor recreation, stargazing, and all the beauty of North Central Pennsylvania.

  21. 2026-02-20
    historical $95,300 639-char remark
    Show marketing remark (639 chars)

    Back on the Market -- Opportunity Awaits! Enjoy breathtaking, unobstructed views of Berger Lake from this spacious Victorian-style home with direct lake access. Lovingly cared for by the same family for over 50 years, this unique property blends classic character with thoughtful updates and room to make it your own. Whether you're looking for a peaceful getaway, full-time residence, or investment opportunity, the possibilities here are endless. Conveniently located just 20 minutes from Cherry Springs State Park, this property offers easy access to outdoor recreation, stargazing, and all the beauty of North Central Pennsylvania.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,664 · $139/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,664 · $139/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 2/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 8 d/yr ≥89°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,537
− Mortgage interest
−$5,338
− Property taxes
−$1,664
− Insurance
−$476
− Repairs & maintenance
−$923
− Management
−$923
− Depreciation
−$2,772
Taxable loss
−$559
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$134
After-tax cash flow
$1,111/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Galeton Area SD
NCES district ID
4210530
Math proficiency
35% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$37,991
Composite
37.72/100
National rank
#8769
State rank
#484 of 658 in PA

Livability — Galeton

Score
66/100
State rank
#1038
US rank
#11568

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing B+ Health & safety D User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Galeton, PA
Population (ZIP)
1,610

Population outlook (Potter County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
15,824 people
By 2030
15,023 · -5.1%
By 2040
13,290 · -16.0%
By 2050
11,572 · -26.9%
By 2075
8,144 · -48.5%
By 2100
5,102 · -67.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 3% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Potter

2024 margin
Solid R (+62.3) · D 18.4% · R 80.7%
2008→2024 swing
-24.9pp toward R · 2008: -37.4pp · 2024: -62.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+62.3 2020: R+60.8 2016: R+63.6 2012: R+45.9 2008: R+37.4

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.48%
Current HPI
138.961
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Relisted WBVAR
  • 2026-04-30 Relisted NMPA
  • 2026-04-06 Contingent WBVAR
  • 2026-03-24 Contingent NMPA
  • 2026-02-26 Listed $95,300 NMPA
  • 2026-02-26 Listed $95,300 WBVAR
  • 2026-02-20 Coming Soon $95,300 WBVAR

Property tax history

+2.5%/yr

Latest (2026): $1,664 · -0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…