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1148 Creekside Dr
B Composite 72.35
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +29.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.6/10.0
  • Schools +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$97,500

1148 Creekside Dr · Eldorado, PA 16601
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,120 sqft · SingleFamily · 3 Days on market
Built 1982 5,227 sqft lot Est $151k · 36% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Perfect starter home in beautiful Logan Twp. Rural Housing Loan Eligible! Back deck overlooking a tranquil yard with mature shade trees. One car attached garage, large eat in kitchen and a good sized living room round out the first floor with 3 bedrooms and a bathroom upstairs. All this home needs is you, call the listing agent today for your private showing,

Key facts

  • Dead-end street
  • Large rear yard
  • Large covered deck

Tags

NEW ROOFTWIN HEAT-PUMP SYSTEMLARGE COVERED DECKLARGE REAR YARDSMALL STREAMDEAD-END STREET

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Directions: 58th St N towards Eldorado; Left onto Valley Ave; Right onto Creekside Drive, property on Right

Exterior

  • Parking: 1-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property; Two levels; Updated/remodeled
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof
  • Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Level lot; Subdivision: Eldorado

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Flooring: Laminate; Tile; Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Electric heating; Heat pump; Cooling
  • Interior features: Insulated windows; Crawl space basement; 8 total rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $98k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $339 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $98k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Altoona Area SD (urban): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #406 of 539 in PA (top 75%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Altoona Area Jr Hs (math 21% / reading 45%, grade F, #346 of 512 statewide, top 69%, 1,727 students, 71% FRL) — zoned schools average 71% FRL vs 54% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 186 active listings in the ZIP; 99 units permitted in Blair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $674 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Blair County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $46k; list at $98k implies a 110% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $97,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.26%
Cap rate
10.46%
Cash-on-cash
14.90%
DSCR
1.66
GRM
6.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$151,200
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1409 Brook Run Dr 0.14mi 3/1.0 1,224 (+9%) 12mo $140,000 $114 68
1211 Creekside Dr 0.13mi 3/1.0 1,224 (+9%) 14mo $100,250 $82 67
1317 Spring Run Dr 0.19mi 3/1.0 960 (-14%) 18mo $171,900 $179 52
344 Valley Ave 0.27mi 2/1.0 (-1) 960 (-14%) 22mo $129,900 $135 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
5.4%
Equity multiple
1.21×
Total profit
$5,777
Equity at exit
$14,538
10-year hold
IRR
14.9%
Equity multiple
2.20×
Total profit
$32,792
Equity at exit
$8,430

Cash invested: $27,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 16601

Home prices YoY
-24.9%
Active inventory
186
Price-to-rent
6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,228 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$511
Tax from tax record
$79 /mo · $950/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$258
Net cashflow
$339

Break-even live

Break-even rent $799
Max offer price $97,500
Occupancy floor 67%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $394 -5% $366 +0% $339 +5% $311 +10% $284
Rent -10% $242 -5% $290 +0% $339 +5% $387 +10% $436
Rate -1.0pp $388 -0.5pp $364 base $339 +0.5pp $314 +1.0pp $288

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,375
Closing costs
$2,925
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    statusdays on market $97,500 Pending 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-03
    days on market $97,500 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    remarks 438-char remark
  4. 2026-06-02
    remarks 433-char remark
  5. 2026-06-02
    listed $97,500 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$950 · $79/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,245 · $104/mo
Expected delta
+$295/yr (+$25/mo · 31.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥94°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,733
− Mortgage interest
−$5,462
− Property taxes
−$950
− Insurance
−$488
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,179
− Management
−$1,179
− Depreciation
−$2,836
Taxable income
$2,641
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$634
After-tax cash flow
$3,433/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Altoona Area SD
NCES district ID
4202340
Math proficiency
30% ▼ -15.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -15.00%
Median HH income
$38,465
Composite
30.85/100
National rank
#6130
State rank
#406 of 539 in PA

Livability — Eldorado

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

County
Blair County · 59,867 people
Metro
Altoona, PA
Population (ZIP)
33,515
Household income
$58,070
Rent vs Own
30.6% rent · 69.4% own
Severe rent burden
715.0

Population outlook (Blair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
121,571 people
By 2030
117,966 · -3.0%
By 2040
109,174 · -10.2%
By 2050
99,542 · -18.1%
By 2075
76,775 · -36.8%
By 2100
54,326 · -55.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 5% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 5% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
1% · Vietnam
Languages at home
97% English-only · German/W. Germanic 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Blair

2024 margin
Solid R (+43.5) · D 27.9% · R 71.4%
2008→2024 swing
-19.2pp toward R · 2008: -24.3pp · 2024: -43.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+43.5 2020: R+43.5 2016: R+46.4 2012: R+33.5 2008: R+24.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -60.97%
Current HPI
183.9907
Rent YoY
Metro
Altoona, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+62.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $97,500 AHARMLS
  • 2019-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $54,500 Public Records
  • 2019-10-31 Sold (MLS) $46,500 AHARMLS
  • 2019-06-21 Listed $59,900 AHARMLS

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $950 · +5.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…