168 Cottage St · Auburn, NY 13021

$99,900

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,088 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 288 Days on market

Built 1900 5,657 sqft lot Est $142k · 30% under

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Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• Livability +3.7/5.0
• Schools +3.0/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

VERY NICE 2 FAMILY UP & DOWN. EACH APT HAS 2 BEDROOMS. WASHER/DRYER HOOKUPS IN LAUNDRY ROOMS FOR EACH APARTMENT. MODERN KITCHENS & BATHS IN EACH APARTMENT.

Key facts

• 3 bedroom apartments
• Separated utilities
• 5,657 sq ft lot

Tags

• 3 BEDROOM APARTMENTS
• IN-UNIT LAUNDRY HOOKUPS
• SEPARATED UTILITIES
• BRAND NEW HOT WATER HEATERS

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2 × 3-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $100k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($24k/yr) — positive. Per door: $988/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $100k).
• Recommended offer: $88k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Cap rate 30.0% vs local median 7.6% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 74/100 on livability (#298 in NY, #4,814 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities D-, commute F.
• Auburn City School District (town): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #558 of 590 in NY (top 95%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Market conditions: 221 active listings in the ZIP; 161 units permitted in Cayuga County in 2024 (65 in 5+ unit buildings).
• At $3,441/mo this rent would consume 68% of the median local household income ($61k/yr) (locally 1449% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Cayuga County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 288 days — a 12% lower offer ($88k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 4 sale attempts since 6y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (13%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $75k; 33% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.

Recommended offer $87,912 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 288 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
4. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 3.44% ✓
• Cap rate: 30.02%
• Cash-on-cash: 84.73%
• DSCR: 4.77
• GRM: 2.4

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $141,984
• Comps found: 4

Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
47 West St	0.34mi	5/2.0 (+1)	2,304 (+10%)	2mo	$80,000	$35	60
11 Barber St	0.34mi	5/2.0 (+1)	2,147 (+3%)	21mo	$98,300	$46	57
10 Chase St	0.61mi	5/2.5 (+1)	1,900 (-9%)	1mo	$185,000	$97	49
20-22 Wallace Ave	0.68mi	5/2.0 (+1)	1,824 (-13%)	23mo	$124,000	$68	23

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 85.2%
• Equity multiple: 4.92×
• Total profit: $109,692
• Equity at exit: $14,895

10-year hold

• IRR: 88.4%
• Equity multiple: 10.22×
• Total profit: $257,844
• Equity at exit: $8,638

Cash invested: $27,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 13021

• Home prices YoY: -22.4%
• Active inventory: 221
• Price-to-rent: 4.8×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $3,441 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$524
• Tax from tax record: −$178 /mo · $2,133/yr
• Insurance: −$42
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$723
• Net cashflow: $1,975

Break-even live

Break-even rent $941

Max offer price $99,900

Occupancy floor 38%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $2,032	-5% $2,003	+0% $1,975	+5% $1,947	+10% $1,919
Rent	-10% $1,703	-5% $1,839	+0% $1,975	+5% $2,111	+10% $2,247
Rate	-1.0pp $2,025	-0.5pp $2,001	base $1,975	+0.5pp $1,949	+1.0pp $1,923

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

Units	Beds	Baths	Est. rent
▸ 2× units	3	1	$3,442
Total (2 units)			$3,441

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $24,975
• Closing costs: $2,997
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 12 events

1. 2026-04-02
   status Pending
2. 2026-03-03
   historical Active Under Contract
3. 2026-01-23
   price $99,900
4. 2025-11-10
   status Active
5. 2025-09-17
   price $104,900
6. 2025-08-06
   status Active
7. 2025-06-07
   status Pending
8. 2025-04-07
   listed $114,900 Active
9. 2020-10-16
   soldstatus $75,000 Closed Sale or Rented 167-char remark

   Show marketing remark (167 chars)

   VERY NICE 2 FAMILY UP & DOWN. EACH APT HAS 2 BEDROOMS. WASHER/DRYER HOOKUPS IN LAUNDRY ROOMS FOR EACH APARTMENT. MODERN KITCHENS & BATHS IN EACH APARTMENT.

10. 2020-09-01
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show 167-char remark

    Show marketing remark (167 chars)

    VERY NICE 2 FAMILY UP & DOWN. EACH APT HAS 2 BEDROOMS. WASHER/DRYER HOOKUPS IN LAUNDRY ROOMS FOR EACH APARTMENT. MODERN KITCHENS & BATHS IN EACH APARTMENT.

11. 2020-08-06
    listed $95,000 Active 167-char remark

    Show marketing remark (167 chars)

    VERY NICE 2 FAMILY UP & DOWN. EACH APT HAS 2 BEDROOMS. WASHER/DRYER HOOKUPS IN LAUNDRY ROOMS FOR EACH APARTMENT. MODERN KITCHENS & BATHS IN EACH APARTMENT.

12. 1997-06-23
    soldstatus $37,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $2,133 · $178/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,133 · $178/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $41,292
• − Mortgage interest: −$5,596
• − Property taxes: −$2,133
• − Insurance: −$500
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$3,303
• − Management: −$3,303
• − Depreciation: −$2,906
• Taxable income: $23,550
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$5,652
• After-tax cash flow: $18,049/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Auburn City School District
• NCES district ID: 3603480
• Math proficiency: 31% ▼ -17.00%
• Reading proficiency: 39% ▲ 2.00%
• Median HH income: $43,567
• Composite: 29.71/100
• National rank: #6452
• State rank: #558 of 590 in NY

Livability — Auburn

• Score: 74/100
• State rank: #298
• US rank: #4814

Category grades

Amenities D- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Auburn, NY
• County: Cayuga County · 37,247 people
• City population: 37,247
• Metro: Auburn, NY
• Population (ZIP): 37,247
• Household income: $60,712
• Rent vs Own: 37.8% rent · 62.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 1449.0

Population outlook (Cayuga County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 74,820 people
• By 2030: 72,402 · -3.2%
• By 2040: 66,917 · -10.6%
• By 2050: 61,007 · -18.5%
• By 2075: 48,047 · -35.8%
• By 2100: 34,512 · -53.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (87%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 87% Two or more races 7% Black 3% Hispanic / Latino 3%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 8% Subsaharan African 3% Lithuanian 2%
• Foreign-born: 2% · Canada
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cayuga

• 2024 margin: R (+13.0) · D 43.5% · R 56.5%
• 2008→2024 swing: -21.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.5pp · 2024: -13.0pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+13.0 2020: R+9.2 2016: R+13.2 2012: D+10.8 2008: D+8.5

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -97.53%
• Current HPI: 338.5537
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: Auburn, NY
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

+166.4% since first listed

12 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-02 Pending — CNYIS
• 2026-03-03 Contingent — CNYIS
• 2026-01-23 Price Changed $99,900 CNYIS
• 2025-11-10 Relisted — CNYIS
• 2025-09-17 Price Changed $104,900 CNYIS
• 2025-08-06 Relisted — CNYIS
• 2025-06-07 Pending — CNYIS
• 2025-04-07 Listed $114,900 CNYIS
• 2020-10-16 Sold (MLS) $75,000 CNYIS
• 2020-09-01 Pending — CNYIS
• 2020-08-06 Listed $95,000 CNYIS
• 1997-06-23 Sold (Public Records) $37,500 Public Records

Property tax history

-0.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,133 · +10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.