725 Spruce St · Springfield, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +22.0/30.0
- DSCR +7.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.4/10.0
- Rent growth +4.1/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$159,700
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to this beautifully renovated corner-lot ranch where modern updates meet timeless neighborhood charm. Rebuilt from the studs up, this home offers the peace of mind of brand-new construction while maintaining the character of one of Springfield. Ideally located just one block from a locally a loved coffee shop, within walking distance to Springfield Clinic, and only minutes from downtown, convenience and lifestyle come together effortlessly. Inside, you’ll find a thoughtfully redesigned interior featuring a new roof, windows, and doors, along with energy-efficient HVAC, updated electrical, and stylish lighting throughout. The contemporary kitchen shines with granite countertops
Key facts
- Updated electrical
- Contemporary kitchen
- Corner-lot ranch
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Built in 1965; Single-family layout with multiple levels
- Construction: Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Corner lot; Level lot
Interior
- Kitchen: Kitchen located on main level
- Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms (main, upper, lower, basement/additional level indicated across house)
- Flooring: Laminate flooring in main-level rooms and bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Electric heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: No basement; No fireplaces
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $255 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
- Recommended offer: $155k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.2% vs local median 4.9% in Springfield — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#122 in IL, #2,138 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F.
- Springfield SD 186 (urban): math 17% / reading 22% proficiency, ranked #438 of 620 in IL (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 64% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.3%/yr); 177 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 67% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 225 units permitted in Sangamon County in 2024 (48 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sangamon County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.3% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 42 days — a 3% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 42 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1965 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.04% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.21%
- Cash-on-cash
- 6.84%
- DSCR
- 1.30
- GRM
- 8.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $131,928
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 725 Spruce St | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 1,912 (0%) | 0mo | $155,750 | $81 | 100 |
| 1427 S 4th St | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,900 (-1%) | 11mo | $135,000 | $71 | 69 |
| 615 E Myrtle St | 0.18mi | 4/2.0 | 1,674 (-12%) | 9mo | $110,000 | $66 | 64 |
| 1915 S 6th St | 0.25mi | 4/2.0 | 2,142 (+12%) | 8mo | $55,000 | $26 | 61 |
| 2146 Yale Blvd | 0.49mi | 4/2.5 | 1,998 (+4%) | 9mo | $87,500 | $44 | 60 |
| 1711 S 5th St | 0.26mi | 5/1.5 (+1) | 2,175 (+14%) | 1mo | $167,500 | $77 | 57 |
| 1419 S 1st St | 0.51mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 1,896 (-1%) | 13mo | $20,000 | $11 | 55 |
| 1728 S Spring St | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,056 (+8%) | 2mo | $142,000 | $69 | 53 |
| 108 W Pine St | 0.53mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,781 (-7%) | 5mo | $58,000 | $33 | 53 |
| 2040 S 5th St | 0.46mi | 4/1.5 | 2,184 (+14%) | 9mo | $36,000 | $16 | 45 |
| 1825 S Spring St | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,683 (-12%) | 8mo | $127,000 | $75 | 41 |
| 1616 S Whittier Ave | 0.73mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 2,096 (+10%) | 7mo | $155,000 | $74 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 6.32% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -2.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.91×
- Total profit
- $-3,914
- Equity at exit
- $23,812
- IRR
- 10.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.95×
- Total profit
- $42,692
- Equity at exit
- $13,808
Cash invested: $44,716 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62704
- Home prices YoY
- -31.1%
- Rents YoY
- 6.3%
- Active inventory
- 177
- Price-to-rent
- 8.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,663 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$837
- Tax from tax record
- −$155 /mo · $1,856/yr
- Insurance
- −$67
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$349
- Net cashflow
- $255
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $345 | -5% $300 | +0% $255 | +5% $210 | +10% $164 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $123 | -5% $189 | +0% $255 | +5% $320 | +10% $386 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $335 | -0.5pp $295 | base $255 | +0.5pp $213 | +1.0pp $171 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $39,925
- Closing costs
- $4,791
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1726 S 6th St Springfield, IL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1408 | $1,500 | $1.07 | 44d | 1 | 0.12mi |
| 1213 E Ash St Springfield, IL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1861 | $2,030 | $1.09 | 21d | 1 | 0.48mi |
| 1933 S 2nd St Springfield, IL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1433 | $1,400 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 1329 South St Springfield, IL | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2462 | $2,450 | $1.00 | 21d | 1 | 0.63mi |
| 1929 E Spruce St Springfield, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,300 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 922 Governor St Springfield, IL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1682 | $1,200 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-04-24status Pending
-
2026-04-07status Active
-
2026-03-05status Pending
-
2026-02-18price $159,700
-
2026-02-08$167,500 Active
-
2026-02-05historical
-
2026-01-07price
-
2025-10-30price
-
2025-10-06price
-
2025-09-03Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,856 · $155/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,741 · $228/mo
- Expected delta
- +$884/yr (+$74/mo · 47.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $19,952
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,946
- − Property taxes
- −$1,856
- − Insurance
- −$798
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,596
- − Management
- −$1,596
- − Depreciation
- −$4,646
- Taxable income
- $513
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$123
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,934/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Springfield SD 186
- NCES district ID
- 1737080
- Math proficiency
- 17% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 22% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $43,744
- Composite
- 16.89/100
- National rank
- #9142
- State rank
- #438 of 620 in IL
Livability — Springfield
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #122
- US rank
- #2138
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Springfield, IL
- County
- Sangamon County · 115,414 people
- City population
- 59,955
- Metro
- Springfield, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 40,046
- Household income
- $69,976
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1529.0
Population outlook (Sangamon County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 198,317 people
- By 2030
- 196,127 · -1.1%
- By 2040
- 188,664 · -4.9%
- By 2050
- 179,624 · -9.4%
- By 2075
- 155,027 · -21.8%
- By 2100
- 122,588 · -38.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 15% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 4%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Sangamon
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 46.6% · R 51.6% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -9.3pp toward R · 2008: 4.4pp · 2024: -5.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+5.0 2020: R+4.4 2016: R+9.4 2012: R+8.7 2008: D+4.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -70.79%
- Current HPI
- 156.7086
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 6.32%
- Metro
- Springfield, IL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
-4.7% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Pending — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-07 Relisted — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-05 Pending — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-18 Price Changed $159,700 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-08 Listed $167,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-05 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-07 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-30 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-10-06 Price Changed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-03 Listed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
-0.1%/yrLatest (2024): $1,856 · +9.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…