4735 E 44 St · Kansas City, MO
Flood risk 5/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.24%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,054 – $1,958
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.9/30.0
- DSCR +8.7/10.0
- 1% rule +5.6/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.6/5.0
- ARV discount +3.4/15.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.5/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$140,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Owner will finish all work to buyers liking before closing.
Key facts
- 6,098 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Listed 317 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $140k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $344 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $140k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.2% vs local median 3.9% in Kansas City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#28 in MO, #2,671 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools C-, crime F.
- Kansas City 33 (urban): math 12% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #308 of 324 in MO (top 95%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 75% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.4%/yr); 187 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 4,002 units permitted in Jackson County in 2024 (2,271 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($42k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jackson County population projected at +4% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.4% rent growth), your $39k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 317 days — a 12% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1955 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 317 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1955 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.06% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.24%
- Cash-on-cash
- 10.53%
- DSCR
- 1.47
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $128,263
- List price
- $140,000
- Delta
- 9.15%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4736 E 44th Ter | 0.02mi | 3/1.5 | 1,448 (0%) | 3mo | $135,000 | $93 | 95 |
| 4660 E 43rd Ter | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 | 1,536 (+6%) | 3mo | $75,000 | $49 | 83 |
| 4745 E 44th St | 0.03mi | 3/2.0 | 1,412 (-2%) | 12mo | $84,900 | $60 | 80 |
| 4632 E 43rd Ter | 0.10mi | 3/1.0 | 1,400 (-3%) | 12mo | $159,500 | $114 | 80 |
| 4818 E 45th St | 0.08mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,296 (-10%) | 1mo | $130,000 | $100 | 73 |
| 4621 E 43rd Ter | 0.10mi | 3/1.5 | 1,248 (-14%) | 4mo | $118,750 | $95 | 67 |
| 4909 E 41st St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,410 (-3%) | 13mo | $199,900 | $142 | 64 |
| 4307 Lister Ave | 0.14mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,261 (-13%) | 1mo | $164,900 | $131 | 62 |
| 4940 E 40th Pl | 0.57mi | 3/2.0 | 1,560 (+8%) | 1mo | $175,000 | $112 | 56 |
| 4905 E 40th Pl | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,318 (-9%) | 10mo | $199,900 | $152 | 50 |
| 4217 Vineyard Rd | 0.29mi | 3/3.0 | 1,270 (-12%) | 13mo | $179,000 | $141 | 47 |
| 4301 Norton Ave | 0.46mi | 3/1.0 | 1,230 (-15%) | 13mo | $150,000 | $122 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 4.42% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.03×
- Total profit
- $1,308
- Equity at exit
- $20,874
- IRR
- 11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.97×
- Total profit
- $38,181
- Equity at exit
- $12,105
Cash invested: $39,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Missouri
- 81 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 64130
- Home prices YoY
- -21.5%
- Rents YoY
- 4.4%
- Active inventory
- 187
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,485 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$734
- Tax from tax record
- −$37 /mo · $443/yr
- Insurance
- −$58
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$312
- Net cashflow
- $344
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $35,000
- Closing costs
- $4,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 29 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4900 E 41st Ter Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1270 | $1,500 | $1.18 | 16d | 1 | 0.29mi |
| 4206 Vineyard Rd Kansas City, MO | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1056 | $1,500 | $1.42 | 14d | 1 | 0.34mi |
| 4028 Myrtle Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,490 | $1.35 | 43d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 3736 Cypress Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,200 | $1.09 | 7d | 1 | 0.85mi |
| 4653 Benton Blvd Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1594 | $1,600 | $1.00 | 7d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 3949 Doctor Martin Luther King Junior Blvd Kansas City, MO | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 945 | $1,565 | $1.66 | 1d | 3 | 0.92mi |
| 4309 College Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1040 | $1,550 | $1.49 | 16d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4144 College Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1108 | $1,095 | $0.99 | 23d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 3713 Cleveland Ave Kansas City, MO | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1256 | $1,250 | $1.00 | 16d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 4427 Agnes Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1100 | $1,350 | $1.23 | 16d | 1 | 1.14mi |
| 3739 Bales Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1400 | $1,575 | $1.12 | 23d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 4935 College Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1216 | $1,350 | $1.11 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 4116 Bellefontaine Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1234 | $1,000 | $0.81 | 23d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 3818 Indiana Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1223 | $1,147 | $0.94 | 43d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 5004 Glenside Dr Kansas City, MO | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1685 | $1,756 | $1.04 | 43d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 4119 S Benton Ave Kansas City, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1700 | $1,800 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 4534 S Benton Ave Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 912 | $1,045 | $1.15 | 16d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3414 Elmwood Ave Kansas City, MO | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1109 | $1,300 | $1.17 | 16d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 3525 Monroe Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1569 | $1,500 | $0.96 | 43d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 3840 Bellefontaine Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,500 | $1.00 | 16d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 4911 S Benton Ave Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 16d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 4917 S Benton Ave Kansas City, MO | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1000 | $1,100 | $1.10 | 23d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 4212 E 55th St Kansas City, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1132 | $1,800 | $1.59 | 43d | 1 | 1.37mi |
| 3332 Norton Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1272 | $1,350 | $1.06 | 43d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 5013 S Benton Ave Kansas City, MO | 3.0 | 1.0 | 978 | $1,225 | $1.25 | 23d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 3817 S Benton Ave Kansas City, MO | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1380 | $1,650 | $1.20 | 23d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 5215 Walrond Ave Kansas City, MO | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1198 | $1,710 | $1.43 | 23d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 5038 S Benton Ave Kansas City, MO | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1500 | $1,875 | $1.25 | 21d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 3243 Denver Dr Kansas City, MO | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0 | 862 | $1,226 | $1.42 | 43d | 1 | 1.50mi |
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $140,000 Active 317 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $140,000 Active 316 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $140,000 Active 315 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $140,000 Active 314 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $140,000 Active 312 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $140,000 Active 308 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $140,000 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $140,000 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $140,000 Active 303 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $140,000 Active 302 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $140,000 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $140,000 Active 300 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $140,000 Active 299 DOM
-
2026-01-26price $140,000 59-char remark
Show marketing remark (59 chars)
Owner will finish all work to buyers liking before closing.
-
2025-08-05$160,000 Active 59-char remark
Show marketing remark (59 chars)
Owner will finish all work to buyers liking before closing.
-
2025-01-08historical
-
2024-10-08$175,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MO · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $443 · $37/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,358 · $113/mo
- Expected delta
- +$915/yr (+$76/mo · 206.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 24% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,823
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,842
- − Property taxes
- −$443
- − Insurance
- −$700
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,426
- − Management
- −$1,426
- − Depreciation
- −$4,073
- Taxable income
- $1,913
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$459
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,668/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Kansas City 33
- NCES district ID
- 2916400
- Math proficiency
- 12% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,227
- Composite
- 14.8/100
- National rank
- #9387
- State rank
- #308 of 324 in MO
Livability — Kansas City
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #28
- US rank
- #2671
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Kansas City, MO
- County
- Jackson County · 687,798 people
- City population
- 439,467
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 19,644
- Household income
- $42,221
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1132.0
Population outlook (Jackson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 719,589 people
- By 2030
- 731,456 · +1.6%
- By 2040
- 746,689 · +3.8%
- By 2050
- 749,289 · +4.1%
- By 2075
- 736,227 · +2.3%
- By 2100
- 668,210 · -7.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (80%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 80% White 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Swedish 0%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 7%
Political lean MEDSL · Jackson
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.3) · D 58.9% · R 39.5% · Other 1.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -6.1pp toward R · 2008: 25.4pp · 2024: 19.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.3 2020: D+22.0 2016: D+16.6 2012: D+19.0 2008: D+25.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -73.32%
- Current HPI
- 267.491
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 4.42%
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.84%
- F500 in state
- 20
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MO)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $163B |
|
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| Insurance | 1 | $21B |
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| Industrial Technology | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Industrial Distribution | 1 | $10B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $9B |
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Price history
-20.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-26 Price Changed $140,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-08-05 Listed $160,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-01-08 Listing Removed — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-10-08 Listed $175,000 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+1.7%/yrLatest (2025): $443 · -21.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…