103 S E · Herington, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +29.5/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +9.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Key facts
- Large yard
- Work shop
- Corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: No association amenities
Exterior
- Parking: Attached or detached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Asphalt roof
- Exterior features: Covered patio/porch; Pond on the property; Concrete road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: One main-level bedroom
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Eat-in kitchen; Crawl space basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $304 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#170 in KS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Herington (rural): math 28% / reading 33% proficiency, ranked #100 of 169 in KS (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 29 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Dickinson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $752 of equity ($588 loan paydown + $164 appreciation (0.2% local appreciation)).
- Dickinson County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (0.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $24k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.42% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.58%
- Cash-on-cash
- 15.32%
- DSCR
- 1.68
- GRM
- 5.8
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.19% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 15.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.74×
- Total profit
- $17,702
- Equity at exit
- $25,504
- IRR
- 19.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.21×
- Total profit
- $52,608
- Equity at exit
- $31,322
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 67449
- Home prices YoY
- 0.1%
- Active inventory
- 29
- Price-to-rent
- 5.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,211 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$172 /mo · $2,059/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$254
- Net cashflow
- $304
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $352 | -5% $328 | +0% $304 | +5% $280 | +10% $256 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $208 | -5% $256 | +0% $304 | +5% $352 | +10% $400 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $347 | -0.5pp $326 | base $304 | +0.5pp $282 | +1.0pp $259 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $85,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $85,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $85,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $85,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $85,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 39 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $85,000 Active 35 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $85,000 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $85,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-04-28$85,000 Active
-
1991-04-01soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,059 · $172/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,059 · $172/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 6/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,531
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$2,059
- − Insurance
- −$425
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,162
- − Management
- −$1,162
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $2,488
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$597
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,050/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Herington
- NCES district ID
- 2007110
- Math proficiency
- 28% ▼ -1.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 33% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,012
- Composite
- 25.55/100
- National rank
- #7429
- State rank
- #100 of 169 in KS
Livability — Herington
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #170
- US rank
- #8052
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Herington, KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 2,756
Population outlook (Dickinson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 18,727 people
- By 2030
- 18,312 · -2.2%
- By 2040
- 17,433 · -6.9%
- By 2050
- 16,493 · -11.9%
- By 2075
- 14,441 · -22.9%
- By 2100
- 11,707 · -37.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 3% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 0% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 96% English-only · Spanish 4%
Political lean MEDSL · Dickinson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.0) · D 21.8% · R 76.7% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -12.8pp toward R · 2008: -42.2pp · 2024: -55.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.0 2020: R+54.1 2016: R+54.0 2012: R+47.7 2008: R+42.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.19%
- Current HPI
- 146.5368
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-28 Listed $85,000 FHAOR as distributed by MLS GRID
- 1991-04-01 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+2.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,059 · +3.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…