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481 Geranium St
D+ Composite 45.9
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +14.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +9.2/10.0
  • ARV discount +4.4/15.0
  • DSCR +4.3/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$300,000

481 Geranium St · Graniteville, SC 29829
4 bd · 3.0 ba · 2,264 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 48 Days on market
Built 2021 7,840 sqft lot Est $281k · 7% over $47/mo HOA · 2% of rent ↓ 19% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

COMP

Key facts

  • Huge owner's suite
  • Flex space
  • Granite island

Tags

HUGE OWNER'S SUITEGRANITE ISLANDTANKLESS WATER HEATERSPRINKLERS FRONT AND REARDEDICATED LAUNDRY SPACEFLEX SPACE

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Paved road access; Directions: Take Flat Roch Lane off Bettis Academy Road to right on Thimbleberry to first left onto Geranium; home is on the right.
  • HOA & community: Homeowners association with an annual fee of $560 (about $46.67/month); Subdivision: Sage Creek; Community features: Other

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage; 2-car garage; Paved driveway; Garage door opener
  • Security: Security system; Smoke detectors
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Natural gas available; Cable available; Phone available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Two levels
  • Construction: Frame, HardiPlank-type and stone exterior; Asphalt roof; Slab foundation; Built as residential single-family home
  • Exterior features: Front sprinklers; Level yard; Porch; Other exterior features

Interior

  • Kitchen: Oven; Cooktop; Range; Self-cleaning oven; Dishwasher; Disposal; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 8
  • Flooring: Carpet
  • Bathrooms: 3 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Natural gas heating; Fireplace heating; Central air conditioning; Electric cooling; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Walk-in closets; Kitchen island; Eat-in kitchen; Pantry; Fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath single-family listed at $300k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $40 ($476/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $237k (21.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $237k (21.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 59/100 on livability (#240 in SC) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
  • Aiken 01 (suburban): math 31% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #36 of 80 in SC (top 45%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Byrd Elementary (math 28% / reading 36%, grade F, #369 of 597 statewide, top 64%, 657 students, 37% FRL); Leavelle Mccampbell Middle (math 19% / reading 32%, grade F, #162 of 229 statewide, top 71%, 650 students, 55% FRL); Midland Valley High (math 31% / reading 83%, grade C, #120 of 196 statewide, top 64%, 1,477 students, 62% FRL) — zoned schools at 51% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 299 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,500 units permitted in Aiken County in 2024 (1,023 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($84k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $27k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $25k appreciation (8.4% local appreciation)).
  • Aiken County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (8.4% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $84k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$44k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($291k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $230k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→17/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $236,542 (21.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 21% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.79%
Cap rate
6.45%
Cash-on-cash
0.57%
DSCR
1.03
GRM
10.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$280,736
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
708 Flat Rock Ln 0.10mi 4/2.5 2,342 (+3%) 5mo $399,000 $170 83
4055 Thimbleberry Dr 0.06mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,273 (+0%) 12mo $270,000 $119 80
568 Buttonwood Dr 0.37mi 4/2.5 2,232 (-1%) 1mo $267,000 $120 77
4145 Thimbleberry Dr 0.14mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,357 (+4%) 10mo $273,000 $116 71
3032 Walking View Ct 0.35mi 4/2.5 2,359 (+4%) 5mo $250,000 $106 71
8045 Cozy Knl 0.19mi 4/2.5 2,149 (-5%) 15mo $274,500 $128 68
4109 Thimbleberry Dr 0.09mi 4/2.5 1,929 (-15%) 9mo $265,000 $137 62
8003 Red Rock Way 0.40mi 4/2.0 1,966 (-13%) 1mo $285,000 $145 55
8039 Red Rock Way Way 0.42mi 4/2.5 2,456 (+8%) 13mo $287,000 $117 53
515 Twin VW Ct 0.31mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,065 (-9%) 14mo $257,000 $124 52
709 Turning Crest Ln 0.67mi 4/2.5 2,294 (+1%) 16mo $256,500 $112 51
692 Turning Crest Ln 0.61mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,000 (-12%) 1mo $255,000 $128 44

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.38% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
21.2%
Equity multiple
2.59×
Total profit
$133,329
Equity at exit
$235,719
10-year hold
IRR
19.5%
Equity multiple
5.59×
Total profit
$385,187
Equity at exit
$475,542

Cash invested: $84,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State South Carolina
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

ZIP-level market 29829

Home prices YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
299
Price-to-rent
10.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,365 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,573
Tax from tax record
$84 /mo · $1,005/yr
Insurance
$125
HOA
$47
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$497
Net cashflow
$40

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,315
Max offer price $300,000
Occupancy floor 93%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $210 -5% $125 +0% $40 +5% $-45 +10% $-130
Rent -10% $-147 -5% $-54 +0% $40 +5% $133 +10% $227
Rate -1.0pp $191 -0.5pp $116 base $40 +0.5pp $-38 +1.0pp $-117

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$75,000
Closing costs
$9,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4074 Thimbleberry Dr Graniteville, SC 3.0 2.5 1854 $1,900 $1.02 22d 1 0.05mi
4044 Thimbleberry Dr Graniteville, SC 3.0 2.5 1694 $1,925 $1.14 22d 1 0.07mi
6130 Mahogany Ter Graniteville, SC 4.0 2.0 1893 $2,250 $1.19 15d 1 0.22mi
507 Satinwood Cir Graniteville, SC 3.0–4.0 2.0–2.5 1776 $2,199 $1.24 15d 5 0.74mi
4060 Stone Pass Dr Graniteville, SC 4.0 2.0 1600 $1,925 $1.20 24d 1 0.79mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$47 · $564/yr

Listing history 24 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $300,000 Active 48 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $300,000 Active 45 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $300,000 Active 44 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $300,000 Active 43 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $300,000 Active 42 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $300,000 Active 40 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $300,000 Active 39 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $300,000 Active 37 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $300,000 Active 36 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $300,000 Active 35 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $300,000 Active 34 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $300,000 Active 30 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $300,000 Active 29 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $300,000 Active 28 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $300,000 Active 27 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $300,000 Active 26 DOM
  17. 2026-05-01
    listed $300,000 Active
  18. 2021-12-07
    soldstatus $230,484 4-char remark
    Show marketing remark (975 chars)

    $2500 Buyer Incentive!!! "The BentCreek B "{ Lot 82} Features 5 Bedrooms 2 . 5 Bath This Brand New High Tech Smart Home/ Certified Green Home Built By Great Southern Homes. Energy Efficent , Open Floor Plan , Kitchen With Large Granite Island , Family Room, Formal Living, Dining, Master On Main Level, 2272 Sqft , Loft / Bonus Room! Smart System In Home, Convenient to l-20 minutes from Fort Gordon, Bridgestone Plant, Minutes From Shopping and Schools. Pictures of Like Home , Colors / Options may Vary. - This is an Energy Efficient Green SMART HOME which can be controlled right from your phone, voice command or from the Smart device. Control the lights, outlets, , doors, AC, Bedtime modes, Morning modes and soo much more!!!! You've never seen anything like this before! Your home is located in a quiet community that is quietly tucked away. Here is where Great Southern Homes is focused on delivering technologic Homes. USDA 100% Financing Options may Vary.

  19. 2021-12-07
    soldstatus $230,484 975-char remark
    Show marketing remark (975 chars)

    $2500 Buyer Incentive!!! "The BentCreek B "{ Lot 82} Features 5 Bedrooms 2 . 5 Bath This Brand New High Tech Smart Home/ Certified Green Home Built By Great Southern Homes. Energy Efficent , Open Floor Plan , Kitchen With Large Granite Island , Family Room, Formal Living, Dining, Master On Main Level, 2272 Sqft , Loft / Bonus Room! Smart System In Home, Convenient to l-20 minutes from Fort Gordon, Bridgestone Plant, Minutes From Shopping and Schools. Pictures of Like Home , Colors / Options may Vary. - This is an Energy Efficient Green SMART HOME which can be controlled right from your phone, voice command or from the Smart device. Control the lights, outlets, , doors, AC, Bedtime modes, Morning modes and soo much more!!!! You've never seen anything like this before! Your home is located in a quiet community that is quietly tucked away. Here is where Great Southern Homes is focused on delivering technologic Homes. USDA 100% Financing Options may Vary.

  20. 2021-12-07
    soldstatus $230,484
    Show marketing remark (975 chars)

    $2500 Buyer Incentive!!! "The BentCreek B "{ Lot 82} Features 5 Bedrooms 2 . 5 Bath This Brand New High Tech Smart Home/ Certified Green Home Built By Great Southern Homes. Energy Efficent , Open Floor Plan , Kitchen With Large Granite Island , Family Room, Formal Living, Dining, Master On Main Level, 2272 Sqft , Loft / Bonus Room! Smart System In Home, Convenient to l-20 minutes from Fort Gordon, Bridgestone Plant, Minutes From Shopping and Schools. Pictures of Like Home , Colors / Options may Vary. - This is an Energy Efficient Green SMART HOME which can be controlled right from your phone, voice command or from the Smart device. Control the lights, outlets, , doors, AC, Bedtime modes, Morning modes and soo much more!!!! You've never seen anything like this before! Your home is located in a quiet community that is quietly tucked away. Here is where Great Southern Homes is focused on delivering technologic Homes. USDA 100% Financing Options may Vary.

  21. 2021-12-07
    listed $230,484 975-char remark
    Show marketing remark (975 chars)

    $2500 Buyer Incentive!!! "The BentCreek B "{ Lot 82} Features 5 Bedrooms 2 . 5 Bath This Brand New High Tech Smart Home/ Certified Green Home Built By Great Southern Homes. Energy Efficent , Open Floor Plan , Kitchen With Large Granite Island , Family Room, Formal Living, Dining, Master On Main Level, 2272 Sqft , Loft / Bonus Room! Smart System In Home, Convenient to l-20 minutes from Fort Gordon, Bridgestone Plant, Minutes From Shopping and Schools. Pictures of Like Home , Colors / Options may Vary. - This is an Energy Efficient Green SMART HOME which can be controlled right from your phone, voice command or from the Smart device. Control the lights, outlets, , doors, AC, Bedtime modes, Morning modes and soo much more!!!! You've never seen anything like this before! Your home is located in a quiet community that is quietly tucked away. Here is where Great Southern Homes is focused on delivering technologic Homes. USDA 100% Financing Options may Vary.

  22. 2021-12-07
    listed $230,484
    Show marketing remark (975 chars)

    $2500 Buyer Incentive!!! "The BentCreek B "{ Lot 82} Features 5 Bedrooms 2 . 5 Bath This Brand New High Tech Smart Home/ Certified Green Home Built By Great Southern Homes. Energy Efficent , Open Floor Plan , Kitchen With Large Granite Island , Family Room, Formal Living, Dining, Master On Main Level, 2272 Sqft , Loft / Bonus Room! Smart System In Home, Convenient to l-20 minutes from Fort Gordon, Bridgestone Plant, Minutes From Shopping and Schools. Pictures of Like Home , Colors / Options may Vary. - This is an Energy Efficient Green SMART HOME which can be controlled right from your phone, voice command or from the Smart device. Control the lights, outlets, , doors, AC, Bedtime modes, Morning modes and soo much more!!!! You've never seen anything like this before! Your home is located in a quiet community that is quietly tucked away. Here is where Great Southern Homes is focused on delivering technologic Homes. USDA 100% Financing Options may Vary.

  23. 2021-11-07
    listed $230,484 4-char remark
    Show marketing remark (4 chars)

    COMP

  24. 2021-04-14
    soldstatus $369,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,005 · $84/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,710 · $142/mo
Expected delta
+$705/yr (+$59/mo · 70.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 66% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,385
− Mortgage interest
−$16,805
− Property taxes
−$1,005
− Insurance
−$1,500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,271
− Management
−$2,271
− HOA
−$564
− Depreciation
−$8,727
Taxable loss
−$4,758
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,142
After-tax cash flow
$1,618/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Aiken 01
NCES district ID
4500720
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
44% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$45,081
Composite
31.91/100
National rank
#5857
State rank
#36 of 80 in SC

Livability — Graniteville

Score
59/100
State rank
#240
US rank
#19924

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment F Housing C+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Aiken County · 116,534 people
City population
12,385
Metro
Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
Population (ZIP)
12,385
Household income
$84,228
Rent vs Own
18.3% rent · 81.7% own
Severe rent burden
213.0

Population outlook (Aiken County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
178,003 people
By 2030
182,876 · +2.7%
By 2040
189,970 · +6.7%
By 2050
193,840 · +8.9%
By 2075
199,453 · +12.1%
By 2100
192,403 · +8.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
Race & ethnicity
White 59% Black 26% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 9% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 8% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Swedish 2% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Aiken

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.9) · D 36.4% · R 62.2% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-1.9pp toward R · 2008: -24.0pp · 2024: -25.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.9 2020: R+22.7 2016: R+27.5 2012: R+26.0 2008: R+24.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.38%
Current HPI
286.4155
Rent YoY
Metro
Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.51%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-18.7% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Listed $300,000 AMLS
  • 2021-12-07 Listed $230,484 Hive MLS
  • 2021-12-07 Listed $230,484 Hive MLS
  • 2021-12-07 Sold (MLS) $230,484 Hive MLS
  • 2021-12-07 Sold (MLS) $230,484 Hive MLS
  • 2021-12-07 Sold (MLS) $230,484 AMLS
  • 2021-11-07 Listed $230,484 AMLS
  • 2021-04-14 Sold (Public Records) $369,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-32.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,005 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…