1310 Meadow Creek Dr · Princeton, TX 75407

$275,000

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,080 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 85 Days on market

Built 2019 6,425 sqft lot $132/sqft · 15% below area Est $325k · 15% under $42/mo HOA · 2% of rent ↓ 8% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +14.4/15.0
• Cash flow +7.3/30.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• 1% rule +3.1/10.0
• Livability +3.1/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Rent growth +2.2/5.0
• DSCR +1.4/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this charming home located in the fast-growing community of Princeton! This well-maintained property offers a comfortable and functional layout perfect for modern living. The open-concept floor plan features a spacious living area filled with natural light that flows seamlessly into the dining area and kitchen, making it ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen offers ample cabinet space, modern appliances, and a convenient layout for preparing meals and gathering with family and friends. The primary suite provides a relaxing retreat with a private bathroom and generous closet space, while the additional bedrooms offer flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. Step outside to enjoy the backyard, perfect for outdoor activities, weekend barbecues, or simply relaxing. Conveniently located near schools, parks, shopping, and dining with easy access to major highways, this home combines comfort, convenience, and value. Don’t miss the opportunity to make this wonderful home yours!

Key facts

• Spacious living area
• Modern appliances
• Ample cabinet space

Tags

• OPEN-CONCEPT FLOOR PLAN
• SPACIOUS LIVING AREA
• AMPLE CABINET SPACE
• MODERN APPLIANCES
• PRIVATE BATHROOM
• GENEROUS CLOSET SPACE

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $275k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-371 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $209k (23.8% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $224k (18.5% below list).
• Recommended offer: $209k (23.8% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 62/100 on livability (#969 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
• Princeton ISD (suburban): math 51% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #188 of 826 in TX (top 23%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Smith El (math 53% / reading 48%, grade D+, #833 of 4,322 statewide, top 20%, 683 students, 54% FRL); Clark Middle (math 53% / reading 42%, grade C-, #408 of 1,662 statewide, top 25%, 707 students, 66% FRL); Princeton H S (math 52% / reading 54%, grade C-, #437 of 1,632 statewide, top 27%, 1,521 students, 57% FRL) — zoned schools at 59% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.0%/yr); 1415 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 19,194 units permitted in Collin County in 2024 (3,988 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Collin County population projected at +60% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 85 days — a 6% lower offer ($258k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 3 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 26% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $209,446 (23.8% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 85 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.81% ✗
• Cap rate: 4.67%
• Cash-on-cash: -5.78%
• DSCR: 0.74
• GRM: 10.2

CMA / ARV

• ARV (median comp): $325,155
• List price: $275,000
• Delta: -15.43%
• Verdict: UNDERPRICED
• Comps: 20 within 1.0 mi

Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
904 Meadow Wood Ln	0.28mi	4/2.0	2,080 (0%)	3mo	$300,000	$144	84
1310 Caroline Dr	0.24mi	3/2.0 (-1)	2,057 (-1%)	0mo	$287,400	$140	82
1014 Quartz Trl	0.32mi	4/2.5	2,143 (+3%)	0mo	$330,000	$154	78
2118 Meadow Park Dr	0.33mi	4/2.0	1,901 (-9%)	0mo	$269,000	$142	70
916 Opal Path	0.47mi	5/2.0 (+1)	2,047 (-2%)	1mo	$274,900	$134	70
1401 Savannah Ridge Dr	0.33mi	4/2.0	1,891 (-9%)	2mo	$240,000	$127	68
1513 Hill Top Ct	0.51mi	4/2.5	2,171 (+4%)	0mo	$279,900	$129	67
104 Forest Grv S	0.61mi	3/2.0 (-1)	2,108 (+1%)	3mo	$250,000	$119	62
1603 Park Trails Blvd	0.59mi	4/2.5	2,171 (+4%)	2mo	$310,000	$143	62
2212 Georgetown St	0.61mi	4/2.5	2,171 (+4%)	3mo	$299,000	$138	60
1312 Cedar Hollow Dr	0.59mi	4/2.0	1,917 (-8%)	3mo	$410,000	$214	57
1302 Cedar Hollow Dr	0.66mi	4/2.0	1,917 (-8%)	1mo	$289,999	$151	56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -30.1%
• Equity multiple: 0.03×
• Total profit: $-74,582
• Equity at exit: $41,003

10-year hold

• IRR: -54.7%
• Equity multiple: -0.56×
• Total profit: $-120,021
• Equity at exit: $23,777

Cash invested: $77,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State Texas: 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 75407

• Home prices YoY: -30.3%
• Rents YoY: -1.0%
• Active inventory: 1415
• Price-to-rent: 10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,241 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,442
• Tax from tax record: −$543 /mo · $6,514/yr
• Insurance: −$115
• HOA: −$42
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$471
• Net cashflow: $-371

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,711

Max offer price $209,446

Occupancy floor —

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $-215	-5% $-293	+0% $-371	+5% $-449	+10% $-527
Rent	-10% $-548	-5% $-460	+0% $-371	+5% $-283	+10% $-194
Rate	-1.0pp $-233	-0.5pp $-301	base $-371	+0.5pp $-442	+1.0pp $-515

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $68,750
• Closing costs: $8,250
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 40 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1302 Meadow Creek Dr Princeton, TX	4.0	2.0	1889	$2,095	$1.11	9d	1	0.02mi
1218 Meadow Creek Dr Princeton, TX	4.0	2.0	1567	$1,726	$1.10	19d	1	0.03mi
1218 Meadow Creek Dr Princeton, TX	4.0	2.0	1567	$1,715	$1.09	12d	1	0.03mi
1111 Meadow Side Dr Princeton, TX	4.0	4.0	1567	$2,195	$1.40	9d	1	0.15mi
1210 Antoinette Dr Princeton, TX	3.0	2.5	2244	$2,045	$0.91	7d	1	0.20mi
1217 Caroline Dr Princeton, TX	4.0	2.0	1948	$1,975	$1.01	7d	1	0.20mi
1203 Onyx Ln Princeton, TX	5.0	2.5	2602	$2,900	$1.11	19d	1	0.21mi
1405 Diamond Ct Princeton, TX	4.0	2.0	1891	$1,925	$1.02	46d	1	0.22mi
1123 Garnet St Princeton, TX	3.0	2.0	1891	$1,980	$1.05	23d	1	0.22mi
1202 Meadow Wood Ct Princeton, TX	5.0	2.0	2044	$2,400	$1.17	7d	1	0.25mi
1112 Nickel St Princeton, TX	5.0	3.5	2338	$2,100	$0.90	26d	1	0.26mi
1201 Jasper Xing Princeton, TX	5.0	3.5	2338	$2,500	$1.07	26d	1	0.27mi
2049 Meadow View Dr Princeton, TX	4.0	2.0	1807	$1,800	$1.00	15d	1	0.30mi
1213 Lambert Dr Princeton, TX	3.0	2.0	1691	$1,950	$1.15	1d	1	0.31mi
1305 Savannah Ridge Dr Princeton, TX	3.0	2.0	1587	$1,795	$1.13	12d	1	0.32mi
1305 Savannah Ridge Dr Princeton, TX	3.0	2.0	1587	$1,795	$1.13	1d	1	0.32mi
1210 Augustin Dr Princeton, TX	4.0	2.0	1760	$1,750	$0.99	19d	1	0.33mi
1107 Caroline Dr Princeton, TX	4.0	2.5	2447	$2,205	$0.90	4d	1	0.33mi
1118 Grace Dr Princeton, TX	4.0	2.0	1924	$2,850	$1.48	1d	1	0.34mi
1011 Meadow Green Ct Princeton, TX	3.0	2.0	1580	$1,895	$1.20	15d	1	0.34mi
2053 Meadow Park Dr Princeton, TX	4.0	2.0	2453	$2,150	$0.88	5d	1	0.36mi
1004 Churchill Dr Princeton, TX	4.0	3.0	2630	$2,200	$0.84	15d	1	0.36mi
1114 Augustin Dr Princeton, TX	3.0	2.5	2226	$1,700	$0.76	46d	1	0.39mi
144 Meadow Crest Dr Princeton, TX	3.0	2.0	1873	$2,000	$1.07	46d	1	0.40mi
461 San Remo Princeton, TX	3.0	2.0	2084	$2,500	$1.20	26d	1	0.40mi
1212 Roman Dr Princeton, TX	4.0	2.0	1712	$1,895	$1.11	19d	1	0.42mi
1114 Bellevue Dr Princeton, TX	4.0	2.0	1591	$1,949	$1.23	4d	1	0.43mi
1413 Orchid Dr Princeton, TX	3.0	2.5	1633	$2,049	$1.25	3d	11	0.45mi
911 Cormorant St Princeton, TX	4.0	3.0	2326	$2,195	$0.94	21d	1	0.46mi
130 Meadow Crest Dr Princeton, TX	4.0	2.0	1873	$1,950	$1.04	26d	1	0.46mi
1606 Meadow Creek Dr Princeton, TX	4.0	2.0	1641	$2,000	$1.22	46d	1	0.46mi
133 Meadow Crest Dr Princeton, TX	4.0	2.5	2475	$2,700	$1.09	26d	1	0.46mi
909 Cormorant St Princeton, TX	3.0	2.5	2141	$2,100	$0.98	7d	1	0.47mi
1048 Churchill Dr Princeton, TX	4.0	2.0	1901	$1,950	$1.03	46d	1	0.47mi
1121 Rainer Dr Princeton, TX	4.0	2.0	1892	$1,900	$1.00	1d	1	0.48mi
1009 Riverstone Trl Princeton, TX	5.0	2.0	2047	$2,195	$1.07	12d	1	0.50mi
904 Opal Path Princeton, TX	4.0	2.0	1891	$1,995	$1.05	46d	1	0.52mi
1655 Ratama Dr Princeton, TX	4.0	2.0	1851	$2,250	$1.22	15d	1	0.52mi
1062 Churchill Dr Princeton, TX	4.0	2.0	1901	$1,889	$0.99	9d	1	0.52mi
129 Arbordale Way Princeton, TX	3.0	2.0	1730	$1,975	$1.14	1d	1	0.52mi

HOA detail

• Monthly dues: $42 · $504/yr

Listing history 15 events

1. 2026-06-07
   status $275,000 Pending 85 DOM
2. 2026-06-04
   days on market $275,000 Active Option Contract 85 DOM
3. 2026-06-03
   days on market $275,000 Active Option Contract 84 DOM
4. 2026-06-02
   days on market $275,000 Active Option Contract 83 DOM
5. 2026-06-01
   days on market $275,000 Active Option Contract 82 DOM
6. 2026-05-31
   days on market $275,000 Active Option Contract 81 DOM
7. 2026-05-14
   price $275,000 1041-char remark

   Show marketing remark (1041 chars)

   Welcome to this charming home located in the fast-growing community of Princeton! This well-maintained property offers a comfortable and functional layout perfect for modern living. The open-concept floor plan features a spacious living area filled with natural light that flows seamlessly into the dining area and kitchen, making it ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen offers ample cabinet space, modern appliances, and a convenient layout for preparing meals and gathering with family and friends. The primary suite provides a relaxing retreat with a private bathroom and generous closet space, while the additional bedrooms offer flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. Step outside to enjoy the backyard, perfect for outdoor activities, weekend barbecues, or simply relaxing. Conveniently located near schools, parks, shopping, and dining with easy access to major highways, this home combines comfort, convenience, and value. Don’t miss the opportunity to make this wonderful home yours!

8. 2026-05-05
   status Active 1041-char remark

   Show marketing remark (1041 chars)

   Welcome to this charming home located in the fast-growing community of Princeton! This well-maintained property offers a comfortable and functional layout perfect for modern living. The open-concept floor plan features a spacious living area filled with natural light that flows seamlessly into the dining area and kitchen, making it ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen offers ample cabinet space, modern appliances, and a convenient layout for preparing meals and gathering with family and friends. The primary suite provides a relaxing retreat with a private bathroom and generous closet space, while the additional bedrooms offer flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. Step outside to enjoy the backyard, perfect for outdoor activities, weekend barbecues, or simply relaxing. Conveniently located near schools, parks, shopping, and dining with easy access to major highways, this home combines comfort, convenience, and value. Don’t miss the opportunity to make this wonderful home yours!

9. 2026-04-23
   historical Active Option Contract 1041-char remark

   Show marketing remark (1041 chars)

   Welcome to this charming home located in the fast-growing community of Princeton! This well-maintained property offers a comfortable and functional layout perfect for modern living. The open-concept floor plan features a spacious living area filled with natural light that flows seamlessly into the dining area and kitchen, making it ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen offers ample cabinet space, modern appliances, and a convenient layout for preparing meals and gathering with family and friends. The primary suite provides a relaxing retreat with a private bathroom and generous closet space, while the additional bedrooms offer flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. Step outside to enjoy the backyard, perfect for outdoor activities, weekend barbecues, or simply relaxing. Conveniently located near schools, parks, shopping, and dining with easy access to major highways, this home combines comfort, convenience, and value. Don’t miss the opportunity to make this wonderful home yours!

10. 2026-04-13
    status Active 1041-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1041 chars)

    Welcome to this charming home located in the fast-growing community of Princeton! This well-maintained property offers a comfortable and functional layout perfect for modern living. The open-concept floor plan features a spacious living area filled with natural light that flows seamlessly into the dining area and kitchen, making it ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen offers ample cabinet space, modern appliances, and a convenient layout for preparing meals and gathering with family and friends. The primary suite provides a relaxing retreat with a private bathroom and generous closet space, while the additional bedrooms offer flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. Step outside to enjoy the backyard, perfect for outdoor activities, weekend barbecues, or simply relaxing. Conveniently located near schools, parks, shopping, and dining with easy access to major highways, this home combines comfort, convenience, and value. Don’t miss the opportunity to make this wonderful home yours!

11. 2026-04-10
    historical Active Option Contract 1041-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1041 chars)

    Welcome to this charming home located in the fast-growing community of Princeton! This well-maintained property offers a comfortable and functional layout perfect for modern living. The open-concept floor plan features a spacious living area filled with natural light that flows seamlessly into the dining area and kitchen, making it ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen offers ample cabinet space, modern appliances, and a convenient layout for preparing meals and gathering with family and friends. The primary suite provides a relaxing retreat with a private bathroom and generous closet space, while the additional bedrooms offer flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. Step outside to enjoy the backyard, perfect for outdoor activities, weekend barbecues, or simply relaxing. Conveniently located near schools, parks, shopping, and dining with easy access to major highways, this home combines comfort, convenience, and value. Don’t miss the opportunity to make this wonderful home yours!

12. 2026-04-02
    price $289,000 1041-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1041 chars)

    Welcome to this charming home located in the fast-growing community of Princeton! This well-maintained property offers a comfortable and functional layout perfect for modern living. The open-concept floor plan features a spacious living area filled with natural light that flows seamlessly into the dining area and kitchen, making it ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen offers ample cabinet space, modern appliances, and a convenient layout for preparing meals and gathering with family and friends. The primary suite provides a relaxing retreat with a private bathroom and generous closet space, while the additional bedrooms offer flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. Step outside to enjoy the backyard, perfect for outdoor activities, weekend barbecues, or simply relaxing. Conveniently located near schools, parks, shopping, and dining with easy access to major highways, this home combines comfort, convenience, and value. Don’t miss the opportunity to make this wonderful home yours!

13. 2026-03-19
    price $294,000 1041-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1041 chars)

    Welcome to this charming home located in the fast-growing community of Princeton! This well-maintained property offers a comfortable and functional layout perfect for modern living. The open-concept floor plan features a spacious living area filled with natural light that flows seamlessly into the dining area and kitchen, making it ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen offers ample cabinet space, modern appliances, and a convenient layout for preparing meals and gathering with family and friends. The primary suite provides a relaxing retreat with a private bathroom and generous closet space, while the additional bedrooms offer flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. Step outside to enjoy the backyard, perfect for outdoor activities, weekend barbecues, or simply relaxing. Conveniently located near schools, parks, shopping, and dining with easy access to major highways, this home combines comfort, convenience, and value. Don’t miss the opportunity to make this wonderful home yours!

14. 2026-03-18
    soldstatus
15. 2026-03-11
    listed $300,000 Active 1041-char remark

    Show marketing remark (1041 chars)

    Welcome to this charming home located in the fast-growing community of Princeton! This well-maintained property offers a comfortable and functional layout perfect for modern living. The open-concept floor plan features a spacious living area filled with natural light that flows seamlessly into the dining area and kitchen, making it ideal for both everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen offers ample cabinet space, modern appliances, and a convenient layout for preparing meals and gathering with family and friends. The primary suite provides a relaxing retreat with a private bathroom and generous closet space, while the additional bedrooms offer flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. Step outside to enjoy the backyard, perfect for outdoor activities, weekend barbecues, or simply relaxing. Conveniently located near schools, parks, shopping, and dining with easy access to major highways, this home combines comfort, convenience, and value. Don’t miss the opportunity to make this wonderful home yours!

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $6,514 · $543/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $6,514 · $543/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 5/10 Major 26% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $26,893
• − Mortgage interest: −$15,404
• − Property taxes: −$6,514
• − Insurance: −$1,375
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$2,151
• − Management: −$2,151
• − HOA: −$504
• − Depreciation: −$8,000
• Taxable loss: −$9,207
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$2,210
• After-tax cash flow: $-2,243/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Princeton ISD
• NCES district ID: 4835850
• Math proficiency: 51% ▼ -8.00%
• Reading proficiency: 47% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $54,827
• Composite: 42.44/100
• National rank: #3226
• State rank: #188 of 826 in TX

Livability — Princeton

• Score: 62/100
• State rank: #969
• US rank: #17215

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime B Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: Princeton, TX
• County: Collin County · 1,159,394 people
• City population: 69,325
• Metro: Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
• Population (ZIP): 34,171
• Household income: $100,037
• Rent vs Own: 23.8% rent · 76.2% own
• Severe rent burden: 368.0

Population outlook (Collin County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 1,210,074 people
• By 2030: 1,358,201 · +12.2%
• By 2040: 1,654,061 · +36.7%
• By 2050: 1,937,359 · +60.1%
• By 2075: 2,567,039 · +112.1%
• By 2100: 2,952,048 · +144.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
• Race & ethnicity: White 47% Hispanic / Latino 30% Black 17% Two or more races 10% Asian 4% Native American 1%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 26%
• Common ancestry: Lithuanian 2% Romanian 1% Russian 1%
• Foreign-born: 15% · Canada, China, Mexico
• Languages at home: 70% English-only · Spanish 22% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Collin

• 2024 margin: R (+11.1) · D 43.1% · R 54.3% · Other 2.6%
• 2008→2024 swing: +14.4pp toward D · 2008: -25.6pp · 2024: -11.1pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+11.1 2020: R+4.3 2016: R+17.0 2012: R+31.6 2008: R+25.6

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -103.99%
• Current HPI: 238.9373
• Rent YoY: ▼ -1.02%
• Metro: Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 3.95%
• F500 in state: 110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Energy	16	$1,198B
▸Technology	5	$198B
▸Engineering / Construction	4	$72B
▸Energy Services	3	$60B
▸Utilities	3	$41B
▸Healthcare	2	$330B

Price history

-8.3% since first listed

9 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-14 Price Changed $275,000 NTREIS
• 2026-05-05 Relisted — NTREIS
• 2026-04-23 Contingent — NTREIS
• 2026-04-13 Relisted — NTREIS
• 2026-04-10 Contingent — NTREIS
• 2026-04-02 Price Changed $289,000 NTREIS
• 2026-03-19 Price Changed $294,000 NTREIS
• 2026-03-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
• 2026-03-11 Listed $300,000 NTREIS

Property tax history

+38.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $6,514 · -2.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.