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274 Victory Dr
C- Composite 51.01
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.3/15.0
  • DSCR +6.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$95,000

274 Victory Dr · East Alton, IL 62024
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 884 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 51 Days on market
Built 1945 9,008 sqft lot Est $95k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Step into a home that feels brand new from the moment you walk in. Everything has been thoughtfully updated, offering a fresh, modern feel throughout. Enjoy peace of mind with a new HVAC system, new water heater, and updated plumbing, along with a roof that’s only about five years old. This charming 3-bedroom, 1-bath home features a beautifully renovated kitchen complete with sleek stainless steel appliances, as well as a fully updated bathroom with stylish finishes. Every detail has been refreshed to create a clean, inviting space that’s move-in ready. A perfect blend of comfort, style, and major upgrades—this home is ready for you to make it your own.

Key facts

  • New water heater
  • Renovated kitchen
  • New hvac system

Tags

NEW HVAC SYSTEMNEW WATER HEATERUPDATED PLUMBINGROOF ABOUT FIVE YEARS OLDRENOVATED KITCHENSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Seller may consider concessions

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service (Ameren); Natural gas connected; Cable available; Electricity connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; One level
  • Construction: Aluminum siding
  • Exterior features: Back yard

Interior

  • Kitchen: Stainless steel appliances; Dishwasher; Microwave; Electric oven; Free‑standing electric range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms (all on the main level)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (on the main level)
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air; Ceiling fan(s)
  • Interior features: Stainless steel appliances; Dishwasher; Microwave; Electric oven; Free‑standing electric range; Refrigerator; Electric water heater; Ceiling fan(s); Central air; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
  • Laundry & utility: Electric water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $135 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
  • Recommended offer: $92k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#418 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: commute D+, crime D, amenities F.
  • East Alton-Wood River Chsd 14 (suburban): math 10% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #793 of 919 in IL (top 86%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Zoned schools: East Alton-Wood River High Sch (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #567 of 693 statewide, top 83%, 537 students, 0% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 336 units permitted in Madison County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Madison County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($92k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $92,150 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.09%
Cap rate
8.00%
Cash-on-cash
6.09%
DSCR
1.27
GRM
7.6

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$94,588
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
108 Charlene St 0.32mi 3/1.0 864 (-2%) 2mo $94,900 $110 80
104 Irwin St 0.21mi 2/1.0 (-1) 864 (-2%) 8mo $92,500 $107 75
99 Bonds Ave 0.23mi 3/1.0 960 (+9%) 4mo $82,400 $86 71
109 S Shamrock St 0.27mi 2/1.0 (-1) 820 (-7%) 4mo $55,000 $67 67
116 Charlene St 0.33mi 2/1.0 (-1) 864 (-2%) 11mo $95,000 $110 67
111 Irwin St 0.29mi 2/1.0 (-1) 816 (-8%) 8mo $109,900 $135 62
420 Bowman Ave 0.58mi 2/1.0 (-1) 891 (+1%) 7mo $24,000 $27 61
226 Goulding St 0.14mi 4/2.0 (+1) 979 (+11%) 9mo $22,000 $22 59
176 S Pence St 0.29mi 2/1.0 (-1) 996 (+13%) 4mo $59,500 $60 57
718 Condit St 0.73mi 2/1.0 (-1) 907 (+3%) 0mo $115,000 $127 56
726 Rice St 0.67mi 3/1.0 984 (+11%) 2mo $119,000 $121 48
812 Cherry St 0.69mi 2/1.0 (-1) 960 (+9%) 2mo $74,900 $78 47

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.9%
Equity multiple
0.75×
Total profit
$-6,768
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
2.8%
Equity multiple
1.20×
Total profit
$5,303
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62024

Home prices YoY
-18.8%
Active inventory
38
Price-to-rent
7.6×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,036 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$145 /mo · $1,745/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$217
Net cashflow
$135

Break-even live

Break-even rent $865
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 82%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
176 S Pence St East Alton, IL 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 2d 1 0.27mi
123 Irwin St East Alton, IL 2.0 1.0 792 $1,225 $1.55 4d 1 0.36mi
140 Illinois St East Alton, IL 2.0 1.0 960 $695 $0.72 2d 1 0.82mi
120 Lakeside Ave East Alton, IL 2.0 1.0 700 $850 $1.21 11d 1 0.87mi
134 Lakeside Ave East Alton, IL 2.0 1.0 800 $775 $0.97 11d 1 0.88mi
121 Cardot St East Alton, IL 3.0 1.0 937 $1,200 $1.28 22d 1 1.09mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Active
  2. 2026-04-19
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2026-04-07
    listed $95,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,745 · $145/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,951 · $163/mo
Expected delta
+$206/yr (+$17/mo · 11.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$12,427
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$1,745
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$994
− Management
−$994
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable income
$134
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$32
After-tax cash flow
$1,587/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
East Alton-Wood River Chsd 14
NCES district ID
1712990
Math proficiency
10% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
20% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$35,977
Composite
15.86/100
National rank
#14315
State rank
#793 of 919 in IL

Livability — East Alton

Score
69/100
State rank
#418
US rank
#8569

Category grades

Amenities F Commute D+ Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment C Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
East Alton, IL
City population
9,465
Population (ZIP)
9,465

Population outlook (Madison County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
258,371 people
By 2030
251,523 · -2.7%
By 2040
233,640 · -9.6%
By 2050
213,042 · -17.5%
By 2075
165,255 · -36.0%
By 2100
123,953 · -52.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 4% Iranian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Madison

2024 margin
R (+13.3) · D 42.5% · R 55.8% · Other 1.8%
2008→2024 swing
-22.5pp toward R · 2008: 9.2pp · 2024: -13.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.3 2020: R+13.2 2016: R+15.6 2012: R+1.4 2008: D+9.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -50.18%
Current HPI
216.1273
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-19 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-07 Listed $95,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+4.0%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,745 · +5.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…