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1012 Lorain Ave #1010 Duplex
C Composite 59.24
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +28.9/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +5.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.8/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +0.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$169,000

1012 Lorain Ave #1010 · Dayton, OH 45410
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,112 sqft · MultiFamily · 10 Days on market
Built 1914 Average condition 2,801 sqft lot $80/sqft · 20% above area Est $141k · 20% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

Turnkey duplex in Dayton’s Linden Heights. Each unit offers 2 beds, 1 bath. Major updates include new roof, furnaces, water heaters, waterproofed basement with sump pump, and glass block windows. Unit 1010 features new upstairs flooring, fresh paint, updated kitchen counters/flooring, and new front/rear screen doors. Unit 1012 offers new flooring throughout, kitchen updates, and newer refrigerator. One unit leased at $750/month; other vacant. Tenants pay all utilities. Major capital improvements completed—minimal future maintenance expected and steady, reliable cash flow. Conveniently located near downtown, parks, and major roadways.

Key facts

  • Sump pump
  • New water heaters
  • Glass block windows

Tags

NEW ROOFNEW FURNACESNEW WATER HEATERSWATERPROOFED BASEMENTSUMP PUMPGLASS BLOCK WINDOWS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Offered for sale; Lease amount listed at $750

Exterior

  • Parking: 220-volt outlet in garage
  • Utilities: 220 volts available in garage; Natural gas heating
  • Home design: Two-story building; Aluminum siding construction
  • Construction: Aluminum siding
  • Exterior features: Multiple zoning designation; Assessor-listed lot dimensions

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Four bedrooms or more; Property contains two units (multi-unit)
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Finished partial basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1-bath units multifamily listed at $169k. Condition is rated average.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $518 ($6k/yr) — positive. Per door: $259/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $169k).
  • Cap rate 10.4% vs local median 7.4% in Dayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#716 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: schools C-, amenities C-, crime F.
  • Dayton City (urban): math 12% / reading 21% proficiency, ranked #641 of 656 in OH (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.4%/yr); 92 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 14d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 907 units permitted in Montgomery County in 2024 (416 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,204/mo this rent would consume 57% of the median local household income ($47k/yr) (locally 961% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Montgomery County population projected at -10% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $47k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 10 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $56/mo; built in 1914 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $169,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  2. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  3. Built in 1914 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.30%
Cap rate
10.36%
Cash-on-cash
14.54%
DSCR
1.65
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$141,209
List price
$169,000
Delta
19.68%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1012 Lorain Ave #1010 0.00mi 4/2.0 2,112 (0%) 16mo $157,500 $75 87
416 Pleasant Ave 0.63mi 4/2.0 2,184 (+3%) 3mo $125,000 $57 62
2821 E 5th St #2819 0.69mi 4/2.0 2,128 (+1%) 7mo $157,000 $74 60
635 Pritz Ave #633 0.20mi 4/2.0 2,356 (+12%) 14mo $125,000 $53 60
533 Saint Joseph Ave 0.33mi 4/4.0 2,160 (+2%) 19mo $250,000 $116 57
624-626 Pritz Ave 0.17mi 4/2.0 1,904 (-10%) 23mo $65,000 $34 56
423 Hulbert St #421 0.47mi 4/2.0 2,012 (-5%) 20mo $159,900 $79 54
48 Indiana Ave 0.59mi 4/2.0 1,924 (-9%) 11mo $145,000 $75 48
1104 Huffman Ave 0.47mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,964 (-7%) 23mo $138,000 $70 42
1314 Phillips Ave #1312 0.70mi 4/2.0 2,352 (+11%) 15mo $189,900 $81 35
424-426 Boltin St 0.52mi 5/— (+1) 1,806 (-14%) 19mo $120,000 $66 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.8%
Equity multiple
1.37×
Total profit
$17,302
Equity at exit
$25,198
10-year hold
IRR
22.0%
Equity multiple
3.34×
Total profit
$110,811
Equity at exit
$14,612

Cash invested: $47,320 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45410

Home prices YoY
-21.4%
Rents YoY
11.4%
Active inventory
92
Price-to-rent
12.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,204 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$886
Tax est. 1.5%
$211 /mo · $2,535/yr
Insurance
$70
Flood insurance flood zone
−$56 /mo · $666/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$463
Net cashflow
$518

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,549
Max offer price $169,000
Occupancy floor 72%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $2,204

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$42,250
Closing costs
$5,070
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
511 Parrot St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.5 1618 $1,100 $0.68 14d 1 0.37mi
836 Wellmeier Ave Dayton, OH 4.0 1.0 2148 $1,500 $0.70 3d 1 0.39mi
115 Livingston Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1624 $1,450 $0.89 44d 1 0.41mi
1515 Wyoming St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,000 $0.71 43d 1 0.44mi
438 Clover St Dayton, OH 3.0 2.0 2156 $1,025 $0.48 43d 1 0.82mi
1520 S Smithville Rd Dayton, OH 3.0 2.0 1481 $1,345 $0.91 2d 1 0.88mi
32 Gebhart St Dayton, OH 4.0 1.0 1800 $1,400 $0.78 14d 1 0.88mi
2114 Wayne Ave Dayton, OH 4.0 2.0 1723 $1,595 $0.93 43d 1 0.94mi
2132 Wayne Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 2.0 1484 $1,350 $0.91 2d 1 0.94mi
1603 Manette Pl Dayton, OH 4.0 2.0 2000 $1,695 $0.85 14d 1 1.03mi
244 Quitman St Unit A Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1987 $1,325 $0.67 23d 1 1.07mi
534 Beckman St Dayton, OH 3.0 2.0 1452 $1,400 $0.96 2d 1 1.13mi
3707 E 3rd St Unit 3705 Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1410 $1,045 $0.74 23d 1 1.16mi
320 Park Dr Dayton, OH 4.0 3.0 2100 $2,400 $1.14 14d 1 1.17mi
228 James St Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1700 $1,200 $0.71 43d 1 1.26mi
227 James St Unit 1 Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1700 $1,200 $0.71 3d 1 1.27mi
229 James St Unit 228 Dayton, OH 3.0 1.0 1700 $1,200 $0.71 23d 1 1.27mi
4249 Pleasant View Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 2.0 1440 $1,695 $1.18 43d 1 1.35mi
4253 Pleasant View Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 2.0 1440 $1,695 $1.18 43d 1 1.36mi
319 Wyoming St Dayton, OH 4.0 2.5 2064 $2,000 $0.97 2d 1 1.44mi
1112 Irving Ave Dayton, OH 3.0 4.0 2041 $4,500 $2.20 3d 1 1.45mi

Listing history 2 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    status Pending 653-char remark
  2. 2026-05-04
    listed $169,000 Active 653-char remark

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 7/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 96% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,448
− Mortgage interest
−$9,467
− Property taxes
−$2,535
− Insurance
−$1,512
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,116
− Management
−$2,116
− Depreciation
−$4,916
Taxable income
$3,787
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$909
After-tax cash flow
$5,304/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 30 photos

Average 55/100 Moderate rehab

This two-unit property requires moderate renovations to its kitchens and bathrooms, as well as exterior updates. The property is currently turnkey and has steady cash flow, making it a good investment opportunity.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Kitchen cabinets — Worn and outdated, need replacement.
  • Major Kitchen countertops — Old and outdated, need replacement.
  • Major Kitchen appliances — Old and outdated, need replacement.
  • Major Bathroom fixtures — Old and outdated, need replacement.
  • Major Bathroom decor — Dated and worn, needs updating.
  • Moderate Exterior siding — Weathered and some discoloration, needs repainting.
  • Moderate Exterior paint — Old and some wear, needs repainting.
  • Minor Landscaping — Some overgrown areas, needs trimming and planting.
  • Minor Front/rear screen doors — Old and worn, needs replacement or repair.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Kitchen renovation — Modernizing the kitchen will increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Bathroom renovation — Updating the bathrooms will increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Exterior painting and landscaping — A fresh coat of paint and landscaping will improve curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value.
  • Rental HVAC maintenance — A well-maintained HVAC system will attract tenants and increase rental value.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Kitchen cabinets · Worn and outdated, need replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
Kitchen countertops · Old and outdated, need replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
Kitchen appliances · Old and outdated, need replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
Bathroom fixtures · Old and outdated, need replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
Bathroom decor · Dated and worn, needs updating. Major $15,000–50,000
Exterior siding · Weathered and some discoloration, needs repainting. Moderate $3,000–15,000
Exterior paint · Old and some wear, needs repainting. Moderate $3,000–15,000
Landscaping · Some overgrown areas, needs trimming and planting. Minor $500–3,000
Front/rear screen doors · Old and worn, needs replacement or repair. Minor $500–3,000
Total estimated repair cost · 9 items $82,000–286,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Kitchen renovation — Modernizing the kitchen will increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Bathroom renovation — Updating the bathrooms will increase both resale and rental value.
  • Both Exterior painting and landscaping — A fresh coat of paint and landscaping will improve curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value.
  • Rental HVAC maintenance — A well-maintained HVAC system will attract tenants and increase rental value.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Dayton City
NCES district ID
3904384
Math proficiency
12% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
21% ▼ -11.00%
Median HH income
$28,688
Composite
12.94/100
National rank
#9579
State rank
#641 of 656 in OH

Livability — Dayton

Score
65/100
State rank
#716
US rank
#12895

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Dayton, OH
County
Montgomery County · 459,541 people
City population
164,387
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
Population (ZIP)
14,694
Household income
$46,651
Rent vs Own
50.7% rent · 49.3% own
Severe rent burden
961.0

Population outlook (Montgomery County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
523,241 people
By 2030
514,948 · -1.6%
By 2040
493,378 · -5.7%
By 2050
469,639 · -10.2%
By 2075
418,360 · -20.0%
By 2100
353,315 · -32.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (71%)
Race & ethnicity
White 71% Black 15% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Iranian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, United Kingdom
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 6% Tagalog/Filipino 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Montgomery

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 49.8% · R 49.3%
2008→2024 swing
-5.8pp toward R · 2008: 6.2pp · 2024: 0.5pp
All cycles
2024: D+0.5 2020: D+2.2 2016: R+1.2 2012: D+3.1 2008: D+6.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -100.61%
Current HPI
369.3938
Rent YoY
▲ 11.37%
Metro
Dayton-Kettering, OH
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-14 Pending Dayton MLS
  • 2026-05-04 Listed $169,000 Dayton MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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