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4215 Lanark Dr
C Composite 57.43
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.8/10.0
  • Appreciation +4.1/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$149,000

4215 Lanark Dr · Weatherford, TX 76035
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 960 sqft · Manufactured public records · 53 Days on market
Built 2013 7,405 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Looking for something to call you own? Something you can make yours with your own style and charm? This listing has all the room you need to do the things you want to do. Come bring your personal touch and turn this two bedroom 2 bathroom house into you home. Sitting on . 17 of an acres, youll have the room for gardening, flowers, and all the outdoor activities you can have with the family. Come check it out.

Key facts

  • 7,405 sq ft lot
  • Built 2013
  • Listed 53 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Easements for electric, telephone and utilities; Lot is less than 0.5 acre (approx. 0.17 acre); Subdivision: Highland Lakes; Directions: Use GPS — house is on the corner; County: Hood
  • Financial info: Listing terms: Cash or Conventional; Treat as clear loan type; No second mortgage
  • HOA & community: No homeowners association

Exterior

  • Parking: Driveway (no garage or covered/carport spaces)
  • Utilities: Co-op electric; Co-op water; Electricity connected; Private sewer / Septic
  • Home design: Manufactured home (residential); One story; Preowned (built in 2013); Property is attached
  • Construction: Siding exterior; Composition roof; Built in 2013; No other structures on lot
  • Exterior features: Chain link fenced yard with gate; Fenced front yard; Deck

Interior

  • Kitchen: Disposal; Electric cooktop; Electric water heater
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on main level)
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central air; Ceiling fan(s); Electric heating
  • Interior features: Cable TV available; High-speed internet available; One living area; One dining area; Total of 4 rooms
  • Laundry & utility: Full-size washer/dryer area; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $149k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $226 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $146k (1.8% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $145k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 8.1% vs local median 2.7% in Weatherford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#289 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: health & safety D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Granbury ISD (town): math 46% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #237 of 826 in TX (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Acton El (math 52% / reading 46%, grade D, #926 of 4,322 statewide, top 22%, 814 students, 48% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 97 active listings in the ZIP; 125 units permitted in Hood County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-1.9%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Hood County population projected at +29% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 53 days — a 3% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $10k; list at $149k implies a 1468% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $144,530 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 53 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.98%
Cap rate
8.11%
Cash-on-cash
6.50%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
8.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$91,200
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
4901 Lanark Ct 0.08mi 3/1.0 (+1) 840 (-12%) 14mo $80,000 $95 54

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-1.87% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-1.5%
Equity multiple
0.94×
Total profit
$-2,603
Equity at exit
$29,855
10-year hold
IRR
6.3%
Equity multiple
1.54×
Total profit
$22,565
Equity at exit
$26,393

Cash invested: $41,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Texas
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; statewide preemption; one of the fastest eviction climates; Travis County (Austin) slightly slower.

ZIP-level market 76035

Home prices YoY
-1.0%
Active inventory
97
Price-to-rent
8.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,463 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$781
Tax from tax record
$87 /mo · $1,039/yr
Insurance
$62
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$307
Net cashflow
$226

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,177
Max offer price $149,000
Occupancy floor 80%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$37,250
Closing costs
$4,470
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 15 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $149,000 Active 53 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $149,000 Active 52 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $149,000 Active 51 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $149,000 Active 50 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    pricedays on market $149,000 Active 48 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $175,000 Active 44 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $175,000 Active 43 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $175,000 Active 42 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $175,000 Active 39 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $175,000 Active 38 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $175,000 Active 37 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $175,000 Active 36 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $175,000 Active 35 DOM
  14. 2026-04-24
    listed $175,000 Active 411-char remark
  15. 2015-06-18
    soldstatus $9,500

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,039 · $87/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,727 · $227/mo
Expected delta
+$1,688/yr (+$141/mo · 162.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 7/10 Severe
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,561
− Mortgage interest
−$8,346
− Property taxes
−$1,039
− Insurance
−$745
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,405
− Management
−$1,405
− Depreciation
−$4,335
Taxable income
$287
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$69
After-tax cash flow
$2,644/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Granbury ISD
NCES district ID
4821390
Math proficiency
46% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▲ 4.00%
Median HH income
$55,856
Composite
40.04/100
National rank
#3820
State rank
#237 of 826 in TX

Livability — Weatherford

Score
71/100
State rank
#289
US rank
#6648

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety D+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

City population
60,150
Population (ZIP)
3,247

Population outlook (Hood County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
63,502 people
By 2030
67,459 · +6.2%
By 2040
74,958 · +18.0%
By 2050
81,922 · +29.0%
By 2075
98,872 · +55.7%
By 2100
107,796 · +69.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 12% Black 11%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Slovak 6% Lithuanian 6% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
93% English-only · Spanish 6%

Political lean MEDSL · Hood

2024 margin
Solid R (+66.0) · D 16.6% · R 82.6%
2008→2024 swing
-11.9pp toward R · 2008: -54.0pp · 2024: -66.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+66.0 2020: R+64.1 2016: R+66.5 2012: R+64.7 2008: R+54.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -1.87%
Current HPI
187.0174
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.95%
F500 in state
110

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1468.4% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-13 Price Changed $149,000 NTREIS
  • 2026-04-24 Listed $175,000 NTREIS
  • 2015-06-18 Sold (Public Records) $9,500 Public Records

Property tax history

+24.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,039 · +18.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…