4680 NW 44th Ct · Ocala, FL
Flood risk 4/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.22%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +5.0/5.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This property is now under auction terms. PRICE REDUCED!!!-----> Check out this ADORABLE home located in a convenient NW Ocala subdivision. You will find a nice floorplan with inside laundry, screened porch, 2 car garage, fenced back yard, storage shed and MORE. With a little love, this house will be a great HOME!
Key facts
- Breakfast nook
- Walk-in closet
- Private retreat
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot about 0.23 acres (approx. 74 x 135); Paved roads (asphalt, concrete); Living area approx. 1,338 sq ft; total building area approx. 1,800 sq ft
- HOA & community: Has HOA with an annual fee of $338 (monthly approx. $28.17); Association fee required; Deed restrictions; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electricity connected; Cable available; Phone available; High-speed internet available; Water connected; Sewer connected
- Home design: Single family residence; One story; Faces east
- Construction: Frame construction with wood siding; Shingle roof; Slab foundation; Built as residential (single family)
- Exterior features: Fire pit; Storage
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Range hood; Refrigerator; Freezer; Ice maker; Exhaust fan; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; High ceilings; Kitchen/family room combo; Living room/dining room combo; Solid surface counters; Walk-in closet(s)
- Laundry & utility: Inside laundry room; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $706 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $185k).
- Recommended offer: $168k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 4.2% in Ocala — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#476 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
- Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+11.1%/yr); 663 active listings in the ZIP; 28 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $2,527/mo this rent would consume 46% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) (locally 282% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 117 days — a 9% lower offer ($168k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 21y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (7%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $37k; list at $185k implies a 403% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 117 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.37% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.87%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.35%
- DSCR
- 1.73
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 13.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.55×
- Total profit
- $28,382
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- 25.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.77×
- Total profit
- $143,582
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34482
- Rents YoY
- 11.1%
- Active inventory
- 663
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,527 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$216 /mo · $2,586/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$28
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$531
- Net cashflow
- $706
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 28 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4078 NW 44th Cir Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1504 | $2,500 | $1.66 | 21d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 4111 NW 44th Cir Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1505 | $2,300 | $1.53 | 14d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 4110 NW 44th Cir Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1610 | $2,400 | $1.49 | 14d | 1 | 0.40mi |
| 4743 NW 39th Street Rd Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1565 | $2,500 | $1.60 | 21d | 1 | 0.50mi |
| 4122 NW 48th Terrace Rd Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1816 | $1,999 | $1.10 | 14d | 1 | 0.60mi |
| 4859 NW 35th Lane Rd Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1666 | $2,495 | $1.50 | 21d | 1 | 0.65mi |
| 5237 NW 48th Pl Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1552 | $4,500 | $2.90 | 21d | 1 | 0.75mi |
| 5254 NW 43rd Lane Rd Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1728 | $3,500 | $2.03 | 21d | 1 | 0.77mi |
| 5293 NW 48th Pl Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1552 | $2,450 | $1.58 | 21d | 1 | 0.81mi |
| 5347 NW 46th Lane Rd Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1552 | $2,550 | $1.64 | 21d | 1 | 0.82mi |
| 5358 NW 48th Pl Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1565 | $2,500 | $1.60 | 21d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 5375 NW 48th Pl Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1565 | $2,350 | $1.50 | 21d | 1 | 0.89mi |
| 5389 NW 48th Pl Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1552 | $2,300 | $1.48 | 21d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 5416 NW 46th Lane Rd Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1590 | $2,300 | $1.45 | 14d | 1 | 0.91mi |
| 5048 NW 35th St Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1552 | $1,900 | $1.22 | 14d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 5521 NW 45th Ln Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1862 | $2,600 | $1.40 | 14d | 1 | 1.02mi |
| 4395 NW 55th Ter Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1853 | $2,700 | $1.46 | 21d | 1 | 1.04mi |
| 5191 NW 34th St Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1318 | $2,400 | $1.82 | 21d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 3335 NW 52nd Avenue Rd Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1318 | $2,500 | $1.90 | 21d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 5530 NW 40th Loop Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1622 | $2,000 | $1.23 | 21d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 5423 NW 35th Lane Rd Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1656 | $3,200 | $1.93 | 21d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 5391 NW 55th Ct Ocala, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1332 | $1,650 | $1.24 | 21d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 5333 NW 33rd Pl Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $2,300 | $1.68 | 14d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 5361 NW 33rd Pl Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1318 | $2,500 | $1.90 | 21d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 5471 NW 34th St Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1318 | $2,900 | $2.20 | 21d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 3384 NW 54th Ct Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.5 | 1722 | $2,300 | $1.34 | 21d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 5532 NW 57th Pl Ocala, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 962 | $1,295 | $1.35 | 14d | 1 | 1.27mi |
| 5353 N US Highway 27 Ocala, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1169 | $2,045 | $1.75 | 21d | 1 | 1.34mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $28 · $336/yr
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-05-09status Pending
-
2026-04-27price $185,000
-
2026-04-20price $190,000
-
2026-03-24price $193,000
-
2026-02-22price $195,000
-
2026-01-29price $198,500
-
2026-01-12$199,985 Active
-
2015-09-25historical
-
2015-08-26$78,000
-
2012-09-28soldstatus $36,750 318-char remark
Show marketing remark (318 chars)
This property is now under auction terms. PRICE REDUCED!!!-----> Check out this ADORABLE home located in a convenient NW Ocala subdivision. You will find a nice floorplan with inside laundry, screened porch, 2 car garage, fenced back yard, storage shed and MORE. With a little love, this house will be a great HOME!
-
2012-03-27$39,900 318-char remark
Show marketing remark (318 chars)
This property is now under auction terms. PRICE REDUCED!!!-----> Check out this ADORABLE home located in a convenient NW Ocala subdivision. You will find a nice floorplan with inside laundry, screened porch, 2 car garage, fenced back yard, storage shed and MORE. With a little love, this house will be a great HOME!
-
2006-05-01soldstatus $139,000
-
2006-04-25soldstatus $139,000
-
2005-11-06$139,900
-
2000-06-16soldstatus $70,000
-
1991-06-01soldstatus $43,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,586 · $216/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,586 · $216/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 4/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 22% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $30,329
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$2,586
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,426
- − Management
- −$2,426
- − HOA
- −$336
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable income
- $5,884
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,412
- After-tax cash flow
- $7,058/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Marion
- NCES district ID
- 1201260
- Math proficiency
- 42% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $40,015
- Composite
- 35.61/100
- National rank
- #4890
- State rank
- #61 of 73 in FL
Livability — Ocala
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #476
- US rank
- #8461
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Marion County · 315,796 people
- City population
- 263,375
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,807
- Household income
- $65,901
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 282.0
Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 365,905 people
- By 2030
- 376,768 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 396,555 · +8.4%
- By 2050
- 412,723 · +12.8%
- By 2075
- 446,090 · +21.9%
- By 2100
- 436,193 · +19.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (63%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 63% Hispanic / Latino 19% Black 14% Two or more races 12%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 9% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Spanish 16% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Marion
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -133.62%
- Current HPI
- 194.3857
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 11.12%
- Metro
- Ocala, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+330.2% since first listed16 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-27 Price Changed $185,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $190,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-24 Price Changed $193,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-02-22 Price Changed $195,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-29 Price Changed $198,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-12 Listed $199,985 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-09-25 Listing Removed — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-08-26 Listed $78,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-09-28 Sold (MLS) $36,750 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-03-27 Listed $39,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2006-05-01 Sold (Public Records) $139,000 Public Records
- 2006-04-25 Sold (MLS) $139,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2005-11-06 Listed $139,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2000-06-16 Sold (Public Records) $70,000 Public Records
- 1991-06-01 Sold (Public Records) $43,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,586 · +15.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…