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2316 Western Ave
C- Composite 52.86
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +2.3/10.0

$95,000

2316 Western Ave · Connersville, IN 47331
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,056 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 115 Days on market
Built 1920 5,663 sqft lot $90/sqft · 24% below area Est $126k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This charming 2-bedroom, 1-full bath home offers comfort, functionality, and great value. Featuring a full basement for additional storage or future finishing potential, this property also includes a fenced backyard with chain-link enclosure—perfect for pets, outdoor enjoyment, or added privacy. The home is equipped with newer vinyl windows, central air, and a gas furnace, providing energy efficiency and year-round comfort. Located in a desirable neighborhood, this property is currently rented, making it an excellent investment opportunity with immediate income potential. It would also make a wonderful option for a first-time homebuyer looking to step into homeownership with a solid, well-maintained home. Contact Rebecca Fox, The Fox Agent, for your private tour today. Move Smart. Live Bold. Call or text 765-580-1674 or 765-825-SOLD. This is a rental that seller has never lived in. Tenants rights apply to this property.

Key facts

  • 5,663 sq ft lot
  • Built 1920
  • Listed 115 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $34 ($405/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $90k (5.3% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $86k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 5.0% in Connersville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 65/100 on livability (#313 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, schools D-.
  • Fayette County School Corporation (town): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #206 of 301 in IN (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 173 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 20 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fayette County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 7 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $11k; list at $95k implies a 764% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $86,450 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.95%
Cap rate
6.72%
Cash-on-cash
1.52%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
8.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$125,814
List price
$95,000
Delta
-24.49%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2410 Virginia Ave 0.35mi 2/1.0 1,054 (-0%) 9mo $75,000 $71 76
1824 Boulevard Pl 0.57mi 2/1.0 1,036 (-2%) 3mo $103,000 $99 68
2859 Iowa Ave 0.47mi 2/1.0 1,120 (+6%) 3mo $140,000 $125 66
636 Lexington Pl 0.37mi 2/1.0 960 (-9%) 5mo $110,000 $115 63
2242 Indiana Ave 0.31mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,000 (-5%) 8mo $167,500 $168 63
317 W 24th St 0.30mi 2/1.0 1,161 (+10%) 9mo $97,000 $84 62
2104 Grand Ave 0.37mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,124 (+6%) 6mo $37,500 $33 62
710 Scott St 0.26mi 2/1.0 928 (-12%) 8mo $137,000 $148 61
2144-48 Ohio Ave 0.50mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,103 (+4%) 8mo $140,000 $127 58
640 W 17th St 0.68mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,032 (-2%) 2mo $35,000 $34 56
1916 Vermont Ave 0.50mi 2/1.0 1,176 (+11%) 2mo $108,000 $92 56
2802 Eby Dr 0.53mi 3/1.0 (+1) 936 (-11%) 1mo $158,000 $169 50

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.8%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-13,220
Equity at exit
$14,165
10-year hold
IRR
-5.0%
Equity multiple
0.68×
Total profit
$-8,639
Equity at exit
$8,214

Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Indiana
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day pay-or-quit; landlord-favorable; preempted.

ZIP-level market 47331

Home prices YoY
-2.1%
Active inventory
173
Price-to-rent
8.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$900 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$498
Tax from tax record
$140 /mo · $1,674/yr
Insurance
$40
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$189
Net cashflow
$34

Break-even live

Break-even rent $857
Max offer price $95,000
Occupancy floor 91%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $88 -5% $61 +0% $34 +5% $7 +10% $-20
Rent -10% $-37 -5% $-2 +0% $34 +5% $69 +10% $105
Rate -1.0pp $82 -0.5pp $58 base $34 +0.5pp $9 +1.0pp $-16

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$23,750
Closing costs
$2,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
309 W 11th St Connersville, IN 2.0 1.0 984 $900 $0.91 25d 1 1.13mi

Listing history 34 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $95,000 Active 115 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $95,000 Active 113 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $95,000 Active 112 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $95,000 Active 111 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $95,000 Active 110 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $95,000 Active 108 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $95,000 Active 107 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $95,000 Active 104 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $95,000 Active 103 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 102 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $95,000 Active 101 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $95,000 Active 98 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $95,000 Active 97 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $95,000 Active 96 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 95 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $95,000 Active 94 DOM
  17. 2026-02-25
    listed $95,000 Active 939-char remark
    Show marketing remark (939 chars)

    This charming 2-bedroom, 1-full bath home offers comfort, functionality, and great value. Featuring a full basement for additional storage or future finishing potential, this property also includes a fenced backyard with chain-link enclosure—perfect for pets, outdoor enjoyment, or added privacy. The home is equipped with newer vinyl windows, central air, and a gas furnace, providing energy efficiency and year-round comfort. Located in a desirable neighborhood, this property is currently rented, making it an excellent investment opportunity with immediate income potential. It would also make a wonderful option for a first-time homebuyer looking to step into homeownership with a solid, well-maintained home. Contact Rebecca Fox, The Fox Agent, for your private tour today. Move Smart. Live Bold. Call or text 765-580-1674 or 765-825-SOLD. This is a rental that seller has never lived in. Tenants rights apply to this property.

  18. 2026-02-25
    listed $95,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (939 chars)

    This charming 2-bedroom, 1-full bath home offers comfort, functionality, and great value. Featuring a full basement for additional storage or future finishing potential, this property also includes a fenced backyard with chain-link enclosure—perfect for pets, outdoor enjoyment, or added privacy. The home is equipped with newer vinyl windows, central air, and a gas furnace, providing energy efficiency and year-round comfort. Located in a desirable neighborhood, this property is currently rented, making it an excellent investment opportunity with immediate income potential. It would also make a wonderful option for a first-time homebuyer looking to step into homeownership with a solid, well-maintained home. Contact Rebecca Fox, The Fox Agent, for your private tour today. Move Smart. Live Bold. Call or text 765-580-1674 or 765-825-SOLD. This is a rental that seller has never lived in. Tenants rights apply to this property.

  19. 2016-05-27
    soldstatus $11,000 Sold
  20. 2016-05-20
    status Pending
  21. 2016-05-20
    status Active
  22. 2016-05-06
    historical
  23. 2016-04-06
    price $14,900
  24. 2016-04-06
    status Active
  25. 2016-04-03
    historical
  26. 2016-03-07
    price $18,500
  27. 2016-02-08
    price $19,900
  28. 2016-01-07
    price $21,500
  29. 2016-01-05
    listed $22,500
  30. 2015-12-07
    listed $22,500 Active
  31. 2013-05-22
    soldstatus $33,000
  32. 2013-03-02
    historical
  33. 2012-05-21
    listed $34,900
  34. 2007-04-23
    soldstatus $19,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,674 · $140/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,674 · $140/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$10,800
− Mortgage interest
−$5,321
− Property taxes
−$1,674
− Insurance
−$475
− Repairs & maintenance
−$864
− Management
−$864
− Depreciation
−$2,764
Taxable loss
−$1,162
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$279
After-tax cash flow
$684/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fayette County School Corporation
NCES district ID
1803510
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
40% ▼ -8.00%
Median HH income
$38,669
Composite
28.81/100
National rank
#6659
State rank
#206 of 301 in IN

Livability — Connersville

Score
65/100
State rank
#313
US rank
#12417

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Connersville, IN
Population (ZIP)
22,769

Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,758 people
By 2030
20,673 · -5.0%
By 2040
18,335 · -15.7%
By 2050
16,056 · -26.2%
By 2075
11,030 · -49.3%
By 2100
6,800 · -68.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fayette

2024 margin
Solid R (+56.3) · D 21.2% · R 77.5% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
-50.8pp toward R · 2008: -5.6pp · 2024: -56.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+56.3 2020: R+54.4 2016: R+48.1 2012: R+16.9 2008: R+5.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -5.33%
Current HPI
252.3898
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.90%
F500 in state
18

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+400.0% since first listed
18 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-25 Listed $95,000 RRELMS
  • 2026-02-25 Listed $95,000 ECIAOR
  • 2016-05-27 Sold (MLS) $11,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-05-20 Pending MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-05-20 Relisted MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-05-06 Listing Removed MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-04-06 Price Changed $14,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-04-06 Relisted MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-04-03 Listing Removed MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-03-07 Price Changed $18,500 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-02-08 Price Changed $19,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-01-07 Price Changed $21,500 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-01-05 Listed $22,500 IRMLS
  • 2015-12-07 Listed $22,500 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2013-05-22 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records
  • 2013-03-02 Listing Removed MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2012-05-21 Listed $34,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2007-04-23 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+14.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,674 · +28.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…