2316 Western Ave · Connersville, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +2.3/10.0
$95,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This charming 2-bedroom, 1-full bath home offers comfort, functionality, and great value. Featuring a full basement for additional storage or future finishing potential, this property also includes a fenced backyard with chain-link enclosure—perfect for pets, outdoor enjoyment, or added privacy. The home is equipped with newer vinyl windows, central air, and a gas furnace, providing energy efficiency and year-round comfort. Located in a desirable neighborhood, this property is currently rented, making it an excellent investment opportunity with immediate income potential. It would also make a wonderful option for a first-time homebuyer looking to step into homeownership with a solid, well-maintained home. Contact Rebecca Fox, The Fox Agent, for your private tour today. Move Smart. Live Bold. Call or text 765-580-1674 or 765-825-SOLD. This is a rental that seller has never lived in. Tenants rights apply to this property.
Key facts
- 5,663 sq ft lot
- Built 1920
- Listed 115 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $95k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $34 ($405/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $90k (5.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $86k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 5.0% in Connersville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#313 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, schools D-.
- Fayette County School Corporation (town): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #206 of 301 in IN (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 173 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 20 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fayette County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 115 days — a 9% lower offer ($86k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 7 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $11k; list at $95k implies a 764% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 115 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.95% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.72%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.52%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 8.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $125,814
- List price
- $95,000
- Delta
- -24.49%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2410 Virginia Ave | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 1,054 (-0%) | 9mo | $75,000 | $71 | 76 |
| 1824 Boulevard Pl | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 1,036 (-2%) | 3mo | $103,000 | $99 | 68 |
| 2859 Iowa Ave | 0.47mi | 2/1.0 | 1,120 (+6%) | 3mo | $140,000 | $125 | 66 |
| 636 Lexington Pl | 0.37mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (-9%) | 5mo | $110,000 | $115 | 63 |
| 2242 Indiana Ave | 0.31mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,000 (-5%) | 8mo | $167,500 | $168 | 63 |
| 317 W 24th St | 0.30mi | 2/1.0 | 1,161 (+10%) | 9mo | $97,000 | $84 | 62 |
| 2104 Grand Ave | 0.37mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,124 (+6%) | 6mo | $37,500 | $33 | 62 |
| 710 Scott St | 0.26mi | 2/1.0 | 928 (-12%) | 8mo | $137,000 | $148 | 61 |
| 2144-48 Ohio Ave | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,103 (+4%) | 8mo | $140,000 | $127 | 58 |
| 640 W 17th St | 0.68mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,032 (-2%) | 2mo | $35,000 | $34 | 56 |
| 1916 Vermont Ave | 0.50mi | 2/1.0 | 1,176 (+11%) | 2mo | $108,000 | $92 | 56 |
| 2802 Eby Dr | 0.53mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 936 (-11%) | 1mo | $158,000 | $169 | 50 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-13,220
- Equity at exit
- $14,165
- IRR
- -5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.68×
- Total profit
- $-8,639
- Equity at exit
- $8,214
Cash invested: $26,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47331
- Home prices YoY
- -2.1%
- Active inventory
- 173
- Price-to-rent
- 8.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $900 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$498
- Tax from tax record
- −$140 /mo · $1,674/yr
- Insurance
- −$40
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$189
- Net cashflow
- $34
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $88 | -5% $61 | +0% $34 | +5% $7 | +10% $-20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-37 | -5% $-2 | +0% $34 | +5% $69 | +10% $105 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $82 | -0.5pp $58 | base $34 | +0.5pp $9 | +1.0pp $-16 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $23,750
- Closing costs
- $2,850
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 309 W 11th St Connersville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $900 | $0.91 | 25d | 1 | 1.13mi |
Listing history 34 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $95,000 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $95,000 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $95,000 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $95,000 Active 111 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $95,000 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $95,000 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $95,000 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $95,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $95,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $95,000 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $95,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $95,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $95,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $95,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $95,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-02-25$95,000 Active 939-char remark
Show marketing remark (939 chars)
This charming 2-bedroom, 1-full bath home offers comfort, functionality, and great value. Featuring a full basement for additional storage or future finishing potential, this property also includes a fenced backyard with chain-link enclosure—perfect for pets, outdoor enjoyment, or added privacy. The home is equipped with newer vinyl windows, central air, and a gas furnace, providing energy efficiency and year-round comfort. Located in a desirable neighborhood, this property is currently rented, making it an excellent investment opportunity with immediate income potential. It would also make a wonderful option for a first-time homebuyer looking to step into homeownership with a solid, well-maintained home. Contact Rebecca Fox, The Fox Agent, for your private tour today. Move Smart. Live Bold. Call or text 765-580-1674 or 765-825-SOLD. This is a rental that seller has never lived in. Tenants rights apply to this property.
-
2026-02-25$95,000 Active
Show marketing remark (939 chars)
This charming 2-bedroom, 1-full bath home offers comfort, functionality, and great value. Featuring a full basement for additional storage or future finishing potential, this property also includes a fenced backyard with chain-link enclosure—perfect for pets, outdoor enjoyment, or added privacy. The home is equipped with newer vinyl windows, central air, and a gas furnace, providing energy efficiency and year-round comfort. Located in a desirable neighborhood, this property is currently rented, making it an excellent investment opportunity with immediate income potential. It would also make a wonderful option for a first-time homebuyer looking to step into homeownership with a solid, well-maintained home. Contact Rebecca Fox, The Fox Agent, for your private tour today. Move Smart. Live Bold. Call or text 765-580-1674 or 765-825-SOLD. This is a rental that seller has never lived in. Tenants rights apply to this property.
-
2016-05-27soldstatus $11,000 Sold
-
2016-05-20status Pending
-
2016-05-20status Active
-
2016-05-06historical
-
2016-04-06price $14,900
-
2016-04-06status Active
-
2016-04-03historical
-
2016-03-07price $18,500
-
2016-02-08price $19,900
-
2016-01-07price $21,500
-
2016-01-05$22,500
-
2015-12-07$22,500 Active
-
2013-05-22soldstatus $33,000
-
2013-03-02historical
-
2012-05-21$34,900
-
2007-04-23soldstatus $19,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,674 · $140/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,674 · $140/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,321
- − Property taxes
- −$1,674
- − Insurance
- −$475
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$864
- − Management
- −$864
- − Depreciation
- −$2,764
- Taxable loss
- −$1,162
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$279
- After-tax cash flow
- $684/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fayette County School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803510
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,669
- Composite
- 28.81/100
- National rank
- #6659
- State rank
- #206 of 301 in IN
Livability — Connersville
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #313
- US rank
- #12417
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Connersville, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,769
Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,758 people
- By 2030
- 20,673 · -5.0%
- By 2040
- 18,335 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 16,056 · -26.2%
- By 2075
- 11,030 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 6,800 · -68.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+56.3) · D 21.2% · R 77.5% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -50.8pp toward R · 2008: -5.6pp · 2024: -56.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+56.3 2020: R+54.4 2016: R+48.1 2012: R+16.9 2008: R+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -5.33%
- Current HPI
- 252.3898
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
||
| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
||
| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
+400.0% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-25 Listed $95,000 RRELMS
- 2026-02-25 Listed $95,000 ECIAOR
- 2016-05-27 Sold (MLS) $11,000 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-20 Pending — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-20 Relisted — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-05-06 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-04-06 Price Changed $14,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-04-06 Relisted — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-04-03 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-03-07 Price Changed $18,500 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-02-08 Price Changed $19,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-01-07 Price Changed $21,500 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-01-05 Listed $22,500 IRMLS
- 2015-12-07 Listed $22,500 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2013-05-22 Sold (Public Records) $33,000 Public Records
- 2013-03-02 Listing Removed — MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2012-05-21 Listed $34,900 MIBOR as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2007-04-23 Sold (Public Records) $19,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+14.8%/yrLatest (2024): $1,674 · +28.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…