1816 Princeton Ave SW · Birmingham, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 5 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 5 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.9/30.0
- DSCR +8.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.9/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$125,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Don't miss your opportunity to own this spacious home! This home features beautiful hardwood floors throughout. There are two bedrooms and a full bathroom downstairs and two bedrooms and a full bathroom upstairs located in one of the rooms. yes you heard right, this 4bedroom 2 full bath home is located in a desirable neighborhood close to the new & beautiful Crossplex, close to area mall, Major grocery stores , shopping, parks, schools and more. Come and see for your self. .. ..
Key facts
- Close to parks
- Close to crossplex
- Close to shopping
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot size approximately 0.15 acres
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway parking
- Utilities: Public water; Connected sewer; Electric water heater; Internet service available
- Home design: Existing construction; 4-side brick construction
- Construction: Crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Fenced yard; Open patio
Interior
- Kitchen: Laminate countertops
- Bedrooms: Multiple bedrooms on main and upper levels (bedrooms on main level and bedrooms on level 2+)
- Flooring: Hardwood floors
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms; Tub/shower combos
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: 9+ foot smooth ceilings; Wood-burning fireplace with brick surround in the living room; Tri-level: no; Split level: no; Split foyer: no
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on the main level; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $125k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $267 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $125k).
- Recommended offer: $123k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 6.2% in Birmingham — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#78 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities C-, crime F, employment F.
- Birmingham City (urban): math 4% / reading 20% proficiency, ranked #116 of 129 in AL (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: West End Academy (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #601 of 627 statewide, top 98%, 503 students, 81% FRL); Wenonah High School (math 2% / reading 2%, grade F, #291 of 305 statewide, top 100%, 656 students, 85% FRL) — zoned schools at 83% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.0%/yr); 152 active listings in the ZIP; 19 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,358/mo this rent would consume 47% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 2161% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $864 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($123k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $70k; list at $125k implies a 79% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.16%
- DSCR
- 1.41
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $73,859
- List price
- $125,000
- Delta
- 69.24%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1212 Mims St SW | 0.58mi | 3/1.0 | 2,104 (-14%) | 6mo | $40,000 | $19 | 41 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-7,225
- Equity at exit
- $18,638
- IRR
- 0.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $190
- Equity at exit
- $10,808
Cash invested: $35,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35211
- Rents YoY
- -0.0%
- Active inventory
- 152
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,358 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$656
- Tax from tax record
- −$98 /mo · $1,173/yr
- Insurance
- −$52
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$285
- Net cashflow
- $267
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $338 | -5% $303 | +0% $267 | +5% $232 | +10% $197 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $160 | -5% $214 | +0% $267 | +5% $321 | +10% $375 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $330 | -0.5pp $299 | base $267 | +0.5pp $235 | +1.0pp $202 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $31,250
- Closing costs
- $3,750
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 19 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1900 Saint Charles Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1623 | $1,350 | $0.83 | 2d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 504 Francis Pl SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1816 | $1,223 | $0.67 | 24d | 1 | 0.28mi |
| 1698 Dennison Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1780 | $1,300 | $0.73 | 44d | 1 | 0.72mi |
| 2320 Wesley Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1865 | $1,200 | $0.64 | 11d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 1204 15th Way SW Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 1715 | $1,400 | $0.82 | 44d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 4636 Avenue T Unit T Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1842 | $1,500 | $0.81 | 2d | 1 | 0.87mi |
| 4612 Terrace S Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1612 | $1,050 | $0.65 | 44d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 1213 Alabama Ave SW Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1616 | $1,200 | $0.74 | 44d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 1408 16th St SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2076 | $1,150 | $0.55 | 44d | 1 | 0.97mi |
| 4105 Avenue Q Unit Q Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1760 | $1,250 | $0.71 | 4d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1501 21st St SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1758 | $1,250 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.23mi |
| 2920 24th Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1800 | $1,050 | $0.58 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
| 2720 23rd Street Ensley Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1692 | $1,500 | $0.89 | 20d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1563 Martin Ave Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1848 | $1,495 | $0.81 | 2d | 1 | 1.36mi |
| 1526 42nd Street Ensley Unit ENSLEY Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1600 | $1,050 | $0.66 | 44d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1701 4th Ter W Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1977 | $1,550 | $0.78 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 108 E Ann Dr SW Birmingham, AL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1628 | $1,495 | $0.92 | 24d | 1 | 1.44mi |
| 1633 29th St SW Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1658 | $1,200 | $0.72 | 44d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 1417 Bessemer Rd Birmingham, AL | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1688 | $1,200 | $0.71 | 44d | 1 | 1.49mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-02status $125,000 Pending 17 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $125,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $125,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-05-15$129,000 Active 419-char remark
-
2024-03-11soldstatus $70,000 Sold 489-char remark
Show marketing remark (489 chars)
Don't miss your opportunity to own this spacious home! This home features beautiful hardwood floors throughout. There are two bedrooms and a full bathroom downstairs and two bedrooms and a full bathroom upstairs located in one of the rooms. yes you heard right, this 4bedroom 2 full bath home is located in a desirable neighborhood close to the new & beautiful Crossplex, close to area mall, Major grocery stores , shopping, parks, schools and more. Come and see for your self. .. ..
-
2024-01-31historical Contingent 489-char remark
Show marketing remark (489 chars)
Don't miss your opportunity to own this spacious home! This home features beautiful hardwood floors throughout. There are two bedrooms and a full bathroom downstairs and two bedrooms and a full bathroom upstairs located in one of the rooms. yes you heard right, this 4bedroom 2 full bath home is located in a desirable neighborhood close to the new & beautiful Crossplex, close to area mall, Major grocery stores , shopping, parks, schools and more. Come and see for your self. .. ..
-
2024-01-10$110,000 Active 489-char remark
Show marketing remark (489 chars)
Don't miss your opportunity to own this spacious home! This home features beautiful hardwood floors throughout. There are two bedrooms and a full bathroom downstairs and two bedrooms and a full bathroom upstairs located in one of the rooms. yes you heard right, this 4bedroom 2 full bath home is located in a desirable neighborhood close to the new & beautiful Crossplex, close to area mall, Major grocery stores , shopping, parks, schools and more. Come and see for your self. .. ..
-
1975-03-01soldstatus $23,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,173 · $98/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,173 · $98/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 5 unhealthy d/yr today · 5 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,293
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,002
- − Property taxes
- −$1,173
- − Insurance
- −$625
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,303
- − Management
- −$1,303
- − Depreciation
- −$3,636
- Taxable income
- $1,250
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$300
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,908/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Birmingham City
- NCES district ID
- 0100390
- Math proficiency
- 4% ▼ -17.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,988
- Composite
- 9.49/100
- National rank
- #9850
- State rank
- #116 of 129 in AL
Livability — Birmingham
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #78
- US rank
- #10412
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Birmingham, AL
- County
- Jefferson County · 527,445 people
- City population
- 210,422
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,924
- Household income
- $34,884
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 2161.0
Population outlook (Jefferson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 669,185 people
- By 2030
- 669,694 · +0.1%
- By 2040
- 661,388 · -1.2%
- By 2050
- 643,086 · -3.9%
- By 2075
- 577,267 · -13.7%
- By 2100
- 474,758 · -29.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 77% White 10% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Jefferson
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.4) · D 54.6% · R 44.2% · Other 1.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +5.4pp toward D · 2008: 5.1pp · 2024: 10.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.4 2020: D+13.2 2016: D+7.2 2012: D+6.0 2008: D+5.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -49.29%
- Current HPI
- 91.2903
- Rent YoY
- ▬ -0.01%
- Metro
- Birmingham-Hoover, AL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+443.5% since first listed7 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-01 Pending — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-05-26 Price Changed $125,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2026-05-15 Listed $129,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2024-03-11 Sold (MLS) $70,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2024-01-31 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2024-01-10 Listed $110,000 Greater Alabama MLS
- 1975-03-01 Sold (Public Records) $23,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,173 · -6.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…