🏗️ New Construction
5991 W Bromley Cir · Lecanto, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 25 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.2/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- DSCR +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$154,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
If you want maintenance free living this is the place. Whether it be your vacation home or full time residence , there is plenty to do here. Two community pools, tennis courts and a clubhouse. Home features living room/dining room. Two bedroom and 1-1/2 bath. Breakfast bar and eat in kitchen and a one car garage. Roof 2010 and AC 2010. Be a part of a wealth of social activities or just enjoy the lake or walks through the development. Close to shops, medical, and waters of Crystal River!
Key facts
- Screened in porch
- Front porch
- French doors
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee; Monthly association fee of $370; HOA includes cable TV, grounds maintenance and trash; Community amenities: tennis courts, pool, clubhouse, playground, park, street lights
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1-car); Driveway; Concrete surfaces
- Security: Smoke detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Underground utilities
- Home design: Single-family residential home; New construction
- Construction: Frame and stucco construction; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Asphalt shingle roof; Gazebo; Landscaped, level and wooded lot; Private maintained road access; Private road frontage; Community pool (none on-site)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Walk-in closet(s) included
- Flooring: Laminate flooring; Tile flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric)
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Eat-in kitchen; Laminate counters; Walk-in closet(s); High-speed internet; Blinds and window treatments; Smoke detector(s)
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry located in garage; Water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath condo listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-48 ($-577/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $146k (5.5% below list).
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Recommended offer: $136k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#680 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A, crime B; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D, amenities F.
- Citrus (rural): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #44 of 73 in FL (top 60%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Rock Crusher Elementary School (math 70% / reading 56%, grade B, #582 of 2,144 statewide, top 28%, 665 students, 68% FRL); Crystal River Middle School (math 49% / reading 47%, grade C-, #286 of 571 statewide, top 50%, 900 students, 64% FRL); Crystal River High School (math 31% / reading 44%, grade F, #336 of 667 statewide, top 51%, 1,249 students, 56% FRL).
- Market conditions: 325 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,443 units permitted in Citrus County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Citrus County population projected to shrink 10% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($136k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $50k (24%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $93k; list at $155k implies a 67% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.12% ✓
- Cap rate
- 5.92%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.33%
- DSCR
- 0.94
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -18.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-27,923
- Equity at exit
- $23,096
- IRR
- -10.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.37×
- Total profit
- $-27,285
- Equity at exit
- $13,393
Cash invested: $43,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34429
- Home prices YoY
- -17.8%
- Active inventory
- 325
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,734 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$812
- Tax from tax record
- −$171 /mo · $2,049/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$370
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$364
- Net cashflow
- $-48
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,725
- Closing costs
- $4,647
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5926 W Poplar Springs Cir Unit 2101 Crystal River, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1200 | $1,895 | $1.58 | 20d | 1 | 0.45mi |
| 1136 N Tiger Pt Unit 1136 Lecanto, FL | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1000 | $1,495 | $1.50 | 20d | 1 | 0.68mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $370 · $4,440/yr
- Likely covers
- waterpool
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 14 events
-
2026-06-02status $154,900 Pending 144 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $154,900 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $154,900 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $154,900 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-05-05price $154,900
-
2026-03-28price $174,900
-
2026-03-12price $184,900
-
2026-01-18price $188,000
-
2026-01-08$205,000 Active
-
2018-07-27soldstatus $93,000
-
2018-07-16soldstatus $93,000 492-char remark
Show marketing remark (492 chars)
If you want maintenance free living this is the place. Whether it be your vacation home or full time residence , there is plenty to do here. Two community pools, tennis courts and a clubhouse. Home features living room/dining room. Two bedroom and 1-1/2 bath. Breakfast bar and eat in kitchen and a one car garage. Roof 2010 and AC 2010. Be a part of a wealth of social activities or just enjoy the lake or walks through the development. Close to shops, medical, and waters of Crystal River!
-
2018-05-03$100,000 492-char remark
Show marketing remark (492 chars)
If you want maintenance free living this is the place. Whether it be your vacation home or full time residence , there is plenty to do here. Two community pools, tennis courts and a clubhouse. Home features living room/dining room. Two bedroom and 1-1/2 bath. Breakfast bar and eat in kitchen and a one car garage. Roof 2010 and AC 2010. Be a part of a wealth of social activities or just enjoy the lake or walks through the development. Close to shops, medical, and waters of Crystal River!
-
2004-03-23soldstatus $81,900
-
1987-02-01soldstatus $59,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,049 · $171/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,049 · $171/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,803
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,677
- − Property taxes
- −$2,049
- − Insurance
- −$774
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,664
- − Management
- −$1,664
- − HOA
- −$4,440
- − Depreciation
- −$4,506
- Taxable loss
- −$2,972
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$713
- After-tax cash flow
- $136/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Citrus
- NCES district ID
- 1200270
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,618
- Composite
- 41.28/100
- National rank
- #3519
- State rank
- #44 of 73 in FL
Livability — Lecanto
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #680
- US rank
- #14112
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 13,377
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,494
Population outlook (Citrus County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 138,622 people
- By 2030
- 136,886 · -1.3%
- By 2040
- 132,009 · -4.8%
- By 2050
- 125,196 · -9.7%
- By 2075
- 108,570 · -21.7%
- By 2100
- 84,454 · -39.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (88%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 88% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 7% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Citrus
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+45.9) · D 26.8% · R 72.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.8pp toward R · 2008: -16.1pp · 2024: -45.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+45.9 2020: R+41.0 2016: R+39.7 2012: R+21.9 2008: R+16.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -58.92%
- Current HPI
- 271.3171
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+158.6% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-05 Price Changed $154,900 RACC
- 2026-03-28 Price Changed $174,900 RACC
- 2026-03-12 Price Changed $184,900 RACC
- 2026-01-18 Price Changed $188,000 RACC
- 2026-01-08 Listed $205,000 RACC
- 2018-07-27 Sold (Public Records) $93,000 Public Records
- 2018-07-16 Sold (MLS) $93,000 RACC
- 2018-05-03 Listed $100,000 RACC
- 2004-03-23 Sold (Public Records) $81,900 Public Records
- 1987-02-01 Sold (Public Records) $59,900 Public Records
Property tax history
+13.1%/yrLatest (2025): $2,049 · +7.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…