16098 Ohio 235 Lot 33 · Belle Center, OH
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $713 – $1,323
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 99°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.4/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$65,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Brand new 3 Bedroom, 2 Bath mobile home located in the Eastern Sky Mobile Home Park at Indian lake. This mobile comes with a complete energy efficient kitchen appliance package.
Key facts
- Built 2022
- Listed 59 days
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $65k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $402 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $65k).
- Recommended offer: $63k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 67/100 on livability (#616 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment A-; Watch: crime C-, schools F, amenities F.
- Upper Scioto Valley Local (rural): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #538 of 656 in OH (top 82%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 24 active listings in the ZIP; 121 units permitted in Logan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $449 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Logan County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 59 days — a 3% lower offer ($63k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 59 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.66% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.71%
- Cash-on-cash
- 26.48%
- DSCR
- 2.18
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $79,500
- List price
- $65,000
- Delta
- -18.24%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 20.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.83×
- Total profit
- $15,064
- Equity at exit
- $9,692
- IRR
- 28.5%
- Equity multiple
- 3.53×
- Total profit
- $46,122
- Equity at exit
- $5,620
Cash invested: $18,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 43310
- Home prices YoY
- -10.2%
- Active inventory
- 24
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,077 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$341
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$81 /mo · $975/yr
- Insurance
- −$27
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$226
- Net cashflow
- $402
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $447 | -5% $424 | +0% $402 | +5% $379 | +10% $357 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $317 | -5% $359 | +0% $402 | +5% $444 | +10% $487 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $434 | -0.5pp $418 | base $402 | +0.5pp $385 | +1.0pp $368 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,250
- Closing costs
- $1,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $65,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $65,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $65,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $65,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $65,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $65,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $65,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $65,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $65,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $65,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $65,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $65,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $65,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $65,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-04-22$65,000 Active 177-char remark
Show marketing remark (177 chars)
Brand new 3 Bedroom, 2 Bath mobile home located in the Eastern Sky Mobile Home Park at Indian lake. This mobile comes with a complete energy efficient kitchen appliance package.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥99°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,924
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,641
- − Property taxes
- −$975
- − Insurance
- −$325
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,034
- − Management
- −$1,034
- − Depreciation
- −$1,891
- Taxable income
- $4,024
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$966
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,854/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 3 photos
This mobile home is in good condition with recent updates, including a complete energy-efficient kitchen appliance package. The exterior appears move-in ready, and the home is located in a well-maintained park. Painting the exterior and maintaining the roof are the highest-ROI updates to increase its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Paint the exterior — Painting the exterior can enhance curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value.
- Both Inspect and maintain the roof — Maintaining the roof is crucial for the home's longevity and can prevent costly repairs in the future, thus increasing both resale and rental value.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Paint the exterior — Painting the exterior can enhance curb appeal and increase both resale and rental value. ↑
- Both Inspect and maintain the roof — Maintaining the roof is crucial for the home's longevity and can prevent costly repairs in the future, thus increasing both resale and rental value. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Upper Scioto Valley Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904752
- Math proficiency
- 35% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,040
- Composite
- 34.3/100
- National rank
- #5243
- State rank
- #538 of 656 in OH
Livability — Belle Center
- Score
- 67/100
- State rank
- #616
- US rank
- #10635
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Hardin · 33,287 people
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,090
- Household income
- $69,207
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 8.0
Population outlook (Logan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 44,240 people
- By 2030
- 43,166 · -2.4%
- By 2040
- 40,495 · -8.5%
- By 2050
- 37,511 · -15.2%
- By 2075
- 30,453 · -31.2%
- By 2100
- 23,081 · -47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (96%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 96% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Serbian 4% Slovak 4%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Logan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+56.2) · D 21.5% · R 77.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -29.6pp toward R · 2008: -26.6pp · 2024: -56.2pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+56.2 2020: R+55.2 2016: R+52.6 2012: R+31.8 2008: R+26.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -29.87%
- Current HPI
- 263.8773
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
|
||
| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
|
||
Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-22 Listed $65,000 WRIST
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…