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9628 Petoskey Ave
B+ Composite 77.46
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0

$55,000

9628 Petoskey Ave · Detroit, MI 48204
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 840 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 3 Days on market
Built 1919 3,049 sqft lot $65/sqft · 58% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

9628 Petoskey Ave, Detroit, MI 48204 - Listed at $55,000. 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, 840 sq ft single-family Newer windows for better light and energy efficiency. "Welcome to this charming and well-maintained home at 9628 Petoskey Ave in Detroit's convenient Nardin Park / Winterhalter area! This cozy single-family residence features 2 bedrooms and 1 updated bathroom, plus a refreshed kitchen with modern white fixtures - perfect for first-time buyers, investors, or those seeking an affordable starter home. The home offers a practical layout on a manageable lot, with easy access to major highways, nearby restaurants, shops, Rouge Park trails, and everyday amenities. Whether you're looking for a solid rental opportunity or a personal residence with strong potential, this property delivers great value in an established Detroit neighborhood. Priced to sell at $55,000 - don't miss this opportunity!

Key facts

  • Rouge park trails
  • Newer windows
  • Refreshed kitchen

Tags

NEWER WINDOWSREFRESHED KITCHENEASY ACCESS TO MAJOR HIGHWAYSNEARBY RESTAURANTSROUGE PARK TRAILS

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual property tax approximately $590

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: Public water available; Public sewer available
  • Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Brick/mortar foundation; Built area above grade: 840 square feet
  • Exterior features: Paved road access

Interior

  • Bedrooms: Total of 5 rooms (includes bedrooms and living spaces)
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No cooling
  • Interior features: Finished living area on one level; Unfinished basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $55k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $521 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
  • Cap rate 17.7% vs local median 10.2% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 244 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 47% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 41% of the median local income ($34k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $6k of equity ($380 loan paydown + $6k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 6, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 8 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1919 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $55,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1919 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.15%
Cap rate
17.67%
Cash-on-cash
40.63%
DSCR
2.81
GRM
3.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$34,730
List price
$55,000
Delta
58.37%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
9376 Otsego St 0.07mi 3/1.0 873 (+4%) 9mo $39,500 $45 83
9744 Holmur St 0.12mi 3/1.0 850 (+1%) 14mo $80,000 $94 81
9304 Otsego St 0.13mi 2/1.0 (-1) 875 (+4%) 5mo $32,500 $37 78
9311 Yellowstone St 0.37mi 2/1.0 (-1) 859 (+2%) 7mo $79,150 $92 68
9986 Quincy St 0.24mi 3/1.0 874 (+4%) 17mo $20,000 $23 68
9775 Petoskey Ave 0.10mi 3/1.5 922 (+10%) 15mo $120,000 $130 64
9901 Yellowstone St 0.38mi 3/1.0 937 (+12%) 3mo $78,000 $83 61
9926 Yosemite St 0.42mi 2/1.0 (-1) 787 (-6%) 20mo $10,000 $13 49
4900 Elmhurst St 0.71mi 3/1.0 934 (+11%) 2mo $45,000 $48 46
11418 Yosemite St 0.57mi 3/1.0 952 (+13%) 15mo $60,000 $63 38

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
55.8%
Equity multiple
5.10×
Total profit
$63,197
Equity at exit
$49,548
10-year hold
IRR
49.3%
Equity multiple
11.39×
Total profit
$160,065
Equity at exit
$106,853

Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48204

Home prices YoY
18.5%
Active inventory
244
Price-to-rent
3.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,180 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$288
Tax from tax record
$100 /mo · $1,194/yr
Insurance
$23
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$248
Net cashflow
$521

Break-even live

Break-even rent $520
Max offer price $55,000
Occupancy floor 51%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $552 -5% $537 +0% $521 +5% $506 +10% $490
Rent -10% $428 -5% $475 +0% $521 +5% $568 +10% $615
Rate -1.0pp $549 -0.5pp $535 base $521 +0.5pp $507 +1.0pp $493

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$13,750
Closing costs
$1,650
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 32 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
9376 Otsego St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 873 $1,396 $1.60 44d 1 0.05mi
3759 Atkinson St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 919 $1,200 $1.31 25d 1 0.26mi
3295 Rochester St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 782 $850 $1.09 44d 1 0.38mi
3295 Rochester St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,000 $1.25 5d 1 0.38mi
3242 Clairmount St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 530 $1,300 $2.45 44d 1 0.47mi
3226 Calvert Ave Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 13d 1 0.52mi
9789 Chenlot St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 5d 1 0.58mi
9917 Woodside St Apt 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $800 $1.00 44d 1 0.72mi
4268 Cortland St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 44d 1 0.85mi
12019 Stoepel St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $943 $0.94 5d 1 0.92mi
8762 Epworth St Unit 8768 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 25d 1 0.95mi
12032 Santa Rosa Dr Unit 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,423 $1.58 5d 1 0.95mi
2531 Pingree St Unit 2 (FL 2) Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 893 $1,100 $1.23 2d 1 0.99mi
5101 Oregon St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,049 $1.05 44d 1 1.02mi
2638 Richton St Unit 2638 Richton Upper Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $900 $0.90 44d 1 1.08mi
12663 Stoepel St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,050 $0.95 22d 1 1.15mi
12663 Stoepel St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 750 $975 $1.30 18d 1 1.15mi
2676 Sturtevant St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,000 $1.00 25d 1 1.15mi
12415 Monica St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 44d 1 1.18mi
4203 Tyler St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $895 $0.94 44d 1 1.19mi
5398 Allendale St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,200 $1.09 24d 1 1.20mi
3783 Tyler St Unit Lower Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 44d 1 1.21mi
3824 Tyler St Apt 1 Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,523 $1.69 17d 1 1.23mi
2021 Blaine St Detroit, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 684 $1,200 $1.75 44d 1 1.27mi
2023 Tuxedo St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,050 $1.11 25d 1 1.30mi
2285 Cortland St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 900 $1,000 $1.11 17d 1 1.33mi
4045 Clements St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 850 $1,150 $1.35 44d 1 1.36mi
4045 Clements St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 850 $1,150 $1.35 25d 1 1.36mi
3812 W Grand St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,025 $0.93 17d 1 1.46mi
1626 Gladstone St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,300 $1.62 44d 1 1.48mi
1628 Gladstone St Unit 2 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 800 $1,050 $1.31 44d 1 1.48mi
6307 Woodrow St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $750 $0.75 44d 1 1.48mi

Listing history 30 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $55,000 Active 3 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $55,000 Active 2 DOM
  3. 2026-06-15
    remarks 682-char remark
    Show marketing remark (911 chars)

    9628 Petoskey Ave, Detroit, MI 48204 - Listed at $55,000. 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, 840 sq ft single-family Newer windows for better light and energy efficiency. "Welcome to this charming and well-maintained home at 9628 Petoskey Ave in Detroit's convenient Nardin Park / Winterhalter area! This cozy single-family residence features 2 bedrooms and 1 updated bathroom, plus a refreshed kitchen with modern white fixtures - perfect for first-time buyers, investors, or those seeking an affordable starter home. The home offers a practical layout on a manageable lot, with easy access to major highways, nearby restaurants, shops, Rouge Park trails, and everyday amenities. Whether you're looking for a solid rental opportunity or a personal residence with strong potential, this property delivers great value in an established Detroit neighborhood. Priced to sell at $55,000 - don't miss this opportunity!

  4. 2026-06-15
    days on marketlisting id $55,000 Active 1 DOM
    Show marketing remark (911 chars)

    9628 Petoskey Ave, Detroit, MI 48204 - Listed at $55,000. 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, 840 sq ft single-family Newer windows for better light and energy efficiency. "Welcome to this charming and well-maintained home at 9628 Petoskey Ave in Detroit's convenient Nardin Park / Winterhalter area! This cozy single-family residence features 2 bedrooms and 1 updated bathroom, plus a refreshed kitchen with modern white fixtures - perfect for first-time buyers, investors, or those seeking an affordable starter home. The home offers a practical layout on a manageable lot, with easy access to major highways, nearby restaurants, shops, Rouge Park trails, and everyday amenities. Whether you're looking for a solid rental opportunity or a personal residence with strong potential, this property delivers great value in an established Detroit neighborhood. Priced to sell at $55,000 - don't miss this opportunity!

  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $55,000 Active 239 DOM
    Show marketing remark (911 chars)

    9628 Petoskey Ave, Detroit, MI 48204 - Listed at $55,000. 3 bedrooms, 1 bathroom, 840 sq ft single-family Newer windows for better light and energy efficiency. "Welcome to this charming and well-maintained home at 9628 Petoskey Ave in Detroit's convenient Nardin Park / Winterhalter area! This cozy single-family residence features 2 bedrooms and 1 updated bathroom, plus a refreshed kitchen with modern white fixtures - perfect for first-time buyers, investors, or those seeking an affordable starter home. The home offers a practical layout on a manageable lot, with easy access to major highways, nearby restaurants, shops, Rouge Park trails, and everyday amenities. Whether you're looking for a solid rental opportunity or a personal residence with strong potential, this property delivers great value in an established Detroit neighborhood. Priced to sell at $55,000 - don't miss this opportunity!

  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $55,000 Active 237 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $55,000 Active 236 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $55,000 Active 233 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $55,000 Active 232 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $55,000 Active 231 DOM
  11. 2026-06-04
    days on market $55,000 Active 228 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $55,000 Active 227 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $55,000 Active 225 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $55,000 Active 224 DOM
  15. 2026-03-24
    status Active 296-char remark
  16. 2026-03-24
    status Active 296-char remark
  17. 2026-03-06
    status Pending 296-char remark
  18. 2026-03-06
    status Pending 296-char remark
  19. 2026-02-20
    price $55,000 296-char remark
  20. 2026-02-19
    price $55,000 296-char remark
  21. 2025-10-01
    listed $65,000 Active 296-char remark
  22. 2025-10-01
    listed $65,000 Active 296-char remark
  23. 2025-09-25
    historical
  24. 2025-09-25
    historical
  25. 2025-07-26
    price $80,000
  26. 2025-07-25
    price $80,000
  27. 2025-04-08
    listed $98,000 Active
  28. 2025-04-08
    listed $98,000 Active
  29. 2022-11-16
    soldstatus $89,900
  30. 2002-07-26
    soldstatus $13,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,194 · $100/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,194 · $100/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 70% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,161
− Mortgage interest
−$3,081
− Property taxes
−$1,194
− Insurance
−$275
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,133
− Management
−$1,133
− Depreciation
−$1,600
Taxable income
$5,745
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,379
After-tax cash flow
$4,878/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
20,696
Household income
$34,468
Rent vs Own
45.0% rent · 55.0% own
Severe rent burden
1418.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (86%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 86% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 5% White 4% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4%
Common ancestry
Hispanic 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 4%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 36.51%
Current HPI
234.0465
Rent YoY
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+323.1% since first listed
20 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $55,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-15 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-15 Listed $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Relisted MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-24 Relisted REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-06 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-06 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-06 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-02-20 Price Changed $55,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-02-19 Price Changed $55,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-01 Listed $65,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-10-01 Listed $65,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-09-25 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2025-09-25 Listing Removed MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-07-26 Price Changed $80,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2025-07-25 Price Changed $80,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-04-08 Listed $98,000 REALCOMP
  • 2025-04-08 Listed $98,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2022-11-16 Sold (Public Records) $89,900 Public Records
  • 2002-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $13,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+7.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,194 · +101.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…