16641 Ryland · Redford, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.6/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.2/10.0
- 1% rule +3.5/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Livability +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$180,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A great opportunity for easy one-level living w/ outdoor space you don't find every day! Welcome home to this 3-bedroom ranch in Redford, perfectly set on a spacious half-acre lot w/ a fenced backyard, mature trees, & room to spread out. The front covered porch leads you into the dining area open to the bright living room featuring large windows, hardwood floors, & a wood burning brick fireplace - an inviting centerpiece for cozy nights at home. The kitchen offers plenty of cabinet space and comes fully equipped with a gas range/oven & all appliances included! 3 bedrooms & a full bath with ceramic tile flooring complete the main level, while the 1-car attached garage adds everyday convenience. Outside, enjoy the privacy and potential of the expansive yard - ideal for entertaining, pets, gardening, or play - plus a shed for extra storage. The yard also grows hazelnuts, blackberries, pears, apples, walnuts, and grapes! Don't miss the chance to make this one yours! BATVAI
Key facts
- Covered porch
- One-level living
- Gas range oven
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One story; Ground-level entry with steps; Aluminum and vinyl siding exterior
- Construction: Shallow crawl space basement
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Patio; Back yard fencing; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing gas range/oven; Dishwasher; Microwave
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating; Natural gas heating
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Living room wood-burning fireplace; Lighting
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $180k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $110 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $153k (14.8% below list).
- Recommended offer: $153k (14.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads: area grade D — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
- Redford Union Schools District No. 1 (suburban): math 8% / reading 23% proficiency, ranked #489 of 540 in MI (top 91%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 66% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 86 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 19 days — a 2% lower offer ($177k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 11 sale attempts since 22y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $138k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1951 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1951 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.85% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.61%
- DSCR
- 1.12
- GRM
- 9.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $248,304
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27030 W 6 Mile Rd | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,462 (-1%) | 7mo | $245,000 | $168 | 78 |
| 16706 N Stanmoor Dr | 0.30mi | 3/1.5 | 1,441 (-2%) | 9mo | $290,000 | $201 | 75 |
| 15827 Denby | 0.48mi | 3/1.0 | 1,472 (-0%) | 4mo | $225,000 | $153 | 72 |
| 16441 Kinloch | 0.59mi | 3/1.5 | 1,521 (+3%) | 8mo | $194,000 | $128 | 61 |
| 15705 Green Lane Ave | 0.56mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,500 (+2%) | 8mo | $260,000 | $173 | 58 |
| 28140 Terrence St | 0.51mi | 3/2.0 | 1,339 (-9%) | 1mo | $360,000 | $269 | 57 |
| 26610 W 6 Mile Rd | 0.45mi | 3/2.0 | 1,631 (+10%) | 5mo | $173,500 | $106 | 55 |
| 18001 Floral St | 0.71mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,573 (+6%) | 6mo | $272,500 | $173 | 44 |
| 15935 Foch St | 0.46mi | 3/3.5 | 1,310 (-11%) | 10mo | $280,000 | $214 | 43 |
| 15627 Delaware Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.0 | 1,667 (+13%) | 8mo | $176,999 | $106 | 41 |
| 15493 Gaylord | 0.71mi | 3/1.5 | 1,674 (+13%) | 9mo | $221,450 | $132 | 37 |
| 15802 Woodworth St | 0.75mi | 4/1.0 (+1) | 1,289 (-13%) | 0mo | $161,500 | $125 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -12.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.56×
- Total profit
- $-22,253
- Equity at exit
- $26,839
- IRR
- -3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-10,652
- Equity at exit
- $15,563
Cash invested: $50,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48240
- Active inventory
- 86
- Price-to-rent
- 9.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,533 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$944
- Tax from tax record
- −$83 /mo · $990/yr
- Insurance
- −$75
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$322
- Net cashflow
- $110
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $211 | -5% $161 | +0% $110 | +5% $59 | +10% $8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-12 | -5% $49 | +0% $110 | +5% $170 | +10% $231 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $200 | -0.5pp $155 | base $110 | +0.5pp $63 | +1.0pp $15 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $45,000
- Closing costs
- $5,400
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25822 W 6 Mile Rd Redford Township, MI | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $1,100 | $1.00 | 25d | 1 | 0.92mi |
| 18405 Gillman St Livonia, MI | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1014 | $1,950 | $1.92 | 5d | 1 | 1.01mi |
| 26539 Clarita Redford, MI | 3.0 | 1.5 | 931 | $1,875 | $2.01 | 25d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 28940 Lancaster St Livonia, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,365 | $1.71 | 25d | 5 | 1.22mi |
| 19354 Seminole Redford, MI | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1050 | $1,450 | $1.38 | 25d | 1 | 1.41mi |
Listing history 38 events
-
2026-06-17status $180,000 Pending 19 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $180,000 Active Under Contract 19 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $180,000 Active Under Contract 18 DOM
-
2026-06-15statusdays on market $180,000 Active Under Contract 17 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $180,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $180,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $180,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $180,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $180,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $180,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $180,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $180,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $180,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $180,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-05-15$190,000 Active
Show marketing remark (1005 chars)
A great opportunity for easy one-level living w/ outdoor space you don't find every day! Welcome home to this 3-bedroom ranch in Redford, perfectly set on a spacious half-acre lot w/ a fenced backyard, mature trees, & room to spread out. The front covered porch leads you into the dining area open to the bright living room featuring large windows, hardwood floors, & a wood burning brick fireplace - an inviting centerpiece for cozy nights at home. The kitchen offers plenty of cabinet space and comes fully equipped with a gas range/oven & all appliances included! 3 bedrooms & a full bath with ceramic tile flooring complete the main level, while the 1-car attached garage adds everyday convenience. Outside, enjoy the privacy and potential of the expansive yard - ideal for entertaining, pets, gardening, or play - plus a shed for extra storage. The yard also grows hazelnuts, blackberries, pears, apples, walnuts, and grapes! Don't miss the chance to make this one yours! BATVAI
-
2026-05-15$190,000 Active 1005-char remark
Show marketing remark (1005 chars)
A great opportunity for easy one-level living w/ outdoor space you don't find every day! Welcome home to this 3-bedroom ranch in Redford, perfectly set on a spacious half-acre lot w/ a fenced backyard, mature trees, & room to spread out. The front covered porch leads you into the dining area open to the bright living room featuring large windows, hardwood floors, & a wood burning brick fireplace - an inviting centerpiece for cozy nights at home. The kitchen offers plenty of cabinet space and comes fully equipped with a gas range/oven & all appliances included! 3 bedrooms & a full bath with ceramic tile flooring complete the main level, while the 1-car attached garage adds everyday convenience. Outside, enjoy the privacy and potential of the expansive yard - ideal for entertaining, pets, gardening, or play - plus a shed for extra storage. The yard also grows hazelnuts, blackberries, pears, apples, walnuts, and grapes! Don't miss the chance to make this one yours! BATVAI
-
2026-03-31historical Accepting Backup Offers
-
2026-03-31historical Active Under Contract
-
2026-03-31historical
-
2026-03-31historical
-
2026-03-19$190,000 Active
-
2026-03-19$190,000 Active
-
2026-03-19historical
-
2026-03-19historical
-
2026-02-26$200,000 Active
-
2026-02-26$200,000 Active
-
2005-10-05soldstatus $138,000
-
2005-08-12soldstatus $138,000
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2005-08-12soldstatus $138,000
-
2005-08-12soldstatus $138,000
-
2005-07-01historical
-
2005-06-09$139,900
-
2005-06-09historical
-
2005-01-20$144,900
-
2005-01-19historical
-
2004-11-03$144,900
-
2004-10-24$144,900
-
2004-10-24$144,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $990 · $83/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,881 · $157/mo
- Expected delta
- +$891/yr (+$74/mo · 90.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $18,395
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,083
- − Property taxes
- −$990
- − Insurance
- −$900
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,472
- − Management
- −$1,472
- − Depreciation
- −$5,236
- Taxable loss
- −$1,757
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$422
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,737/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Redford Union Schools District No. 1
- NCES district ID
- 2629460
- Math proficiency
- 8% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 23% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,778
- Composite
- 14.1/100
- National rank
- #9460
- State rank
- #489 of 540 in MI
Livability — Redford
No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)
Census & demographics
- City population
- 36,976
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,097
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 45% Black 40% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 5% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -177.98%
- Current HPI
- 236.2958
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
||
| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
|
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
|
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
|
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Price history
+31.1% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-15 Listed $190,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-15 Listed $190,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-31 Contingent — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-31 Contingent — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-31 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-31 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-19 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-03-19 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-03-19 Listed $190,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-03-19 Listed $190,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-02-26 Listed $200,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-02-26 Listed $200,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-10-05 Sold (Public Records) $138,000 Public Records
- 2005-08-12 Sold (MLS) $138,000 REALCOMP
- 2005-08-12 Sold (MLS) $138,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-08-12 Sold (MLS) $138,000 REALCOMP
- 2005-07-01 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2005-06-09 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2005-06-09 Listed $139,900 REALCOMP
- 2005-01-20 Listed $144,900 REALCOMP
- 2005-01-19 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2004-11-03 Listed $144,900 REALCOMP
- 2004-10-24 Listed $144,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2004-10-24 Listed $144,900 REALCOMP
Property tax history
-5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $990 · -59.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…