11440 CR 675w · Bushnell, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.8/30.0
- ARV discount +10.8/15.0
- DSCR +9.2/10.0
- 1% rule +5.9/10.0
- Schools +5.2/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to a lovingly maintained 3-bedroom, 2-bath home ready for its next owner. This inviting property offers a comfortable and functional layout, perfect for both everyday living and entertaining. The home has been thoughtfully cared for, providing peace of mind and a warm, welcoming atmosphere from the moment you step inside. Recent updates include a brand-new roof installed in December 2025, adding long-term value and durability. Whether you're looking for a primary residence or a quiet retreat, this property offers the ideal blend of charm, reliability, and opportunity.
Key facts
- Brand-new roof
- 7,499 sq ft lot
- 2 parking spots
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Homestead exemption indicated; Property type: Residential; Property sub type: Manufactured Home; Zoning: A/X
- HOA & community: No HOA/association reported; Pets allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Carport; 2 carport spaces
- Utilities: Public sewer; Public utilities; No listed water source
- Home design: Residential manufactured home; Double wide; One story; Faces south; Entry on main level
- Construction: Frame construction; Shingle roof; Pillar/Post/Pier foundation; Built as a manufactured double wide
- Exterior features: Sidewalk; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Flooring: Linoleum; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: No heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; High ceilings; Living room/dining room combo; Open floorplan
- Laundry & utility: Laundry located in kitchen
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $300 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Recommended offer: $146k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 9.6% vs local median 4.2% in Bushnell — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 58/100 on livability (#835 in FL) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A-; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Sumter (rural): math 61% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #11 of 73 in FL (top 15%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Webster Elementary School (math 61% / reading 51%, grade C+, #832 of 2,144 statewide, top 40%, 748 students, 68% FRL); South Sumter High School (math 33% / reading 48%, grade F, #294 of 667 statewide, top 44%, 1,045 students, 52% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 48% at this address vs 61% district-wide (-13 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Sumter average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
- Market conditions: 302 active listings in the ZIP; 3,961 units permitted in Sumter County in 2024 (248 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Sumter County population projected at +45% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 64 days — a 6% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $50k; list at $155k implies a 210% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 64 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.09% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.59%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.77%
- DSCR
- 1.52
- GRM
- 7.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $167,440
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11916 SW 36th Ter | 0.61mi | 3/2.0 | 1,196 (+15%) | 10mo | $193,000 | $161 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-5,979
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- 6.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.45×
- Total profit
- $19,441
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33597
- Home prices YoY
- -5.2%
- Active inventory
- 302
- Price-to-rent
- 7.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,687 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$30 /mo · $356/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$354
- Net cashflow
- $300
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $155,000 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $155,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $155,000 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $155,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $155,000 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $155,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $155,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $155,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $155,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $155,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $155,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-03price $155,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $165,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $165,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $165,000 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-04-16$165,000 Active
-
2023-03-07soldstatus $50,000
-
2000-11-08soldstatus $10,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $356 · $30/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,286 · $107/mo
- Expected delta
- +$931/yr (+$78/mo · 261.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,244
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$356
- − Insurance
- −$2,278
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,620
- − Management
- −$1,620
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable income
- $1,180
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$283
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,322/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Sumter
- NCES district ID
- 1201800
- Math proficiency
- 61% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $48,240
- Composite
- 51.74/100
- National rank
- #1682
- State rank
- #11 of 73 in FL
Livability — Bushnell
- Score
- 58/100
- State rank
- #835
- US rank
- #20676
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,424
Population outlook (Sumter County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 161,172 people
- By 2030
- 180,083 · +11.7%
- By 2040
- 209,892 · +30.2%
- By 2050
- 234,186 · +45.3%
- By 2075
- 284,602 · +76.6%
- By 2100
- 317,039 · +96.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 8% Black 4% Native American 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 9%
Political lean MEDSL · Sumter
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+37.6) · D 30.9% · R 68.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -10.6pp toward R · 2008: -27.0pp · 2024: -37.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+37.6 2020: R+36.1 2016: R+39.2 2012: R+34.9 2008: R+27.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -15.59%
- Current HPI
- 282.5139
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
+1471.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-16 Listed $165,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2023-03-07 Sold (Public Records) $50,000 Public Records
- 2000-11-08 Sold (Public Records) $10,500 Public Records
Property tax history
-0.5%/yrLatest (2025): $356 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…