1613 E 9th St · Okmulgee, OK
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $2,463 – $4,575
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 3/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 7.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +7.5/10.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +0.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.2/10.0
$120,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Gardener’s dream! Back yard is ready for your finishing touches. Oversized deck ready for entertaining or relaxing. Detached garage with electric. Updated 2 bedroom 1.5 bath. Roomy master bed with tons of storage & huge built-in bookcase. Gas log fireplace. 4-year old roof. Fridge stays! Conventional or Cash only, selling AS-IS.
Key facts
- Gorgeous sunroom
- Back deck
- Private setting
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Circular driveway; 1 garage space
- Security: Smoke detectors; No safety shelter
- Utilities: Electricity available; Natural gas available; Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home; Faces south; Crawlspace foundation
- Construction: Stone and wood frame construction; Asphalt/fiberglass roof; Built (year per public records)
- Exterior features: Covered porch; Deck; Porch; Chain link fencing; Mature trees; Second (detached) garage
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven/Range/Stove; Refrigerator
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Wood veneer
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fans; Laminate countertops; Aluminum frame and vinyl windows; Gas range/oven connection
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $218 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $120k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 61/100 on livability (#300 in OK) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, amenities F.
- Okmulgee (town): math 3% / reading 7% proficiency, ranked #264 of 270 in OK (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 73% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 146 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 12 units permitted in Okmulgee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $830 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Okmulgee County population projected at -13% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 3 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 8 sale attempts since 15y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $97k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.00% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.47%
- Cash-on-cash
- 7.78%
- DSCR
- 1.35
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $157,300
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1501 E 8th St | 0.19mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,438 (+1%) | 12mo | $125,500 | $87 | 75 |
| 512 S Woodlawn Ave | 0.27mi | 2/1.0 | 1,348 (-6%) | 8mo | $88,000 | $65 | 71 |
| 532 S Liberty Ave | 0.22mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,376 (-4%) | 8mo | $57,000 | $41 | 70 |
| 922 S Liberty Ave | 0.48mi | 2/1.5 | 1,440 (+1%) | 10mo | $140,000 | $97 | 66 |
| 906 Cardinal Ln | 0.53mi | 2/2.0 | 1,472 (+3%) | 1mo | $172,500 | $117 | 65 |
| 1908 E 10th St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,433 (+0%) | 10mo | $160,000 | $112 | 64 |
| 1420 E 8th St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,344 (-6%) | 7mo | $160,000 | $119 | 63 |
| 1313 E 11th St | 0.40mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,495 (+4%) | 6mo | $165,000 | $110 | 59 |
| 708 S Liberty Ave | 0.29mi | 2/1.0 | 1,232 (-14%) | 9mo | $55,000 | $45 | 56 |
| 1807 Crestview Dr | 0.42mi | 2/2.0 | 1,604 (+12%) | 3mo | $210,000 | $131 | 54 |
| 503 N Prairie Ave | 0.44mi | 3/1.5 (+1) | 1,320 (-8%) | 10mo | $95,000 | $72 | 52 |
| 706 S Chickasaw Ave | 0.72mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,242 (-13%) | 3mo | $191,500 | $154 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -4.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.83×
- Total profit
- $-5,622
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.38×
- Total profit
- $12,785
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Oklahoma
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+20
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 74447
- Home prices YoY
- -3.6%
- Active inventory
- 146
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,200 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$51 /mo · $612/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$252
- Net cashflow
- $218
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $30,000
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 324 E 6th St Unit 214 Okmulgee, OK | 2.0 | 1.0 | 891 | $1,200 | $1.35 | 23d | 1 | 1.21mi |
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $120,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $120,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 522-char remark
-
2026-06-15$120,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OK · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $612 · $51/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,080 · $90/mo
- Expected delta
- +$468/yr (+$39/mo · 76.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 3/10 Moderate 7% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,400
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$612
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,152
- − Management
- −$1,152
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $671
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$161
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,451/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Okmulgee
- NCES district ID
- 4022800
- Math proficiency
- 3% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 7% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,078
- Composite
- 3.66/100
- National rank
- #10069
- State rank
- #264 of 270 in OK
Livability — Okmulgee
- Score
- 61/100
- State rank
- #300
- US rank
- #17773
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Okmulgee, OK
- Population (ZIP)
- 15,500
Population outlook (Okmulgee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 37,543 people
- By 2030
- 36,528 · -2.7%
- By 2040
- 34,430 · -8.3%
- By 2050
- 32,498 · -13.4%
- By 2075
- 28,814 · -23.3%
- By 2100
- 25,193 · -32.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.69)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Native American 15% Two or more races 15% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Okmulgee
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+42.7) · D 27.7% · R 70.4% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -25.7pp toward R · 2008: -17.0pp · 2024: -42.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+42.7 2020: R+37.1 2016: R+32.7 2012: R+17.5 2008: R+17.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -9.69%
- Current HPI
- 257.2856
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.55%
- F500 in state
- 6
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OK)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 3 | $48B |
|
||
Price history
+126.4% since first listed25 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-15 Listed $120,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-07-10 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-07-07 Relisted — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-05-29 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-05-09 Relisted — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-04-29 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-03-31 Price Changed $120,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-03-10 Price Changed $132,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-02-21 Price Changed $134,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2025-02-03 Listed $140,000 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2022-07-01 Sold (Public Records) $97,000 Public Records
- 2022-06-30 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2022-06-28 Sold (MLS) $96,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2022-05-23 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2022-05-04 Listed $104,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2020-06-03 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2020-01-27 Price Changed $64,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2020-01-06 Listed $67,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2017-05-25 Sold (MLS) $21,500 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2017-05-02 Pending — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2017-04-13 Price Changed $24,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2017-03-15 Listed $29,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2011-12-27 Listing Removed — MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2011-09-24 Listed $29,900 MLS Technology, Inc.
- 2000-11-21 Sold (Public Records) $53,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.0%/yrLatest (2025): $612 · +4.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…