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41 Rusling Leaf Dr 🏗️ New Construction
F Composite 34.7
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +7.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.8/10.0
  • DSCR +1.7/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$229,160

41 Rusling Leaf Dr · Lillington, NC 27526
3 bd · 2.5 ba · 1,418 sqft · Townhouse · 181 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition 1,742 sqft lot Garage $112/mo HOA · 6% of rent ↓ 6% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 41 Rusling Leaf Drive at Matthews Landing in Fuquay-Varina, NC. The Pearson townhome features 3 bedrooms, 2.5 bathrooms, and a 1-car garage that offers plenty of room for comfortable living. As you enter the townhome, you will be greeted by an open and airy living area that flows seamlessly into a well-appointed kitchen with modern appliances and a breakfast bar for casual dining. The first floor also includes a convenient half bathroom for guests. Upstairs, you will find three bedrooms, each with its own closet space and plenty of natural light. The primary bedroom features an ensuite bathroom with a walk-in shower, a double vanity, and a separate walk-in closet. The other two bedrooms share a full bathroom with a shower/tub combination. The townhome also includes a one-car garage for added storage or parking. Contact us today to learn more about the Pearson at The Townes at Matthews Landing! * Photos are not of actual home or interior features and are representative of floor plan only.

Key facts

  • $112 HOA
  • Garage
  • Community pool

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Costco Walmart Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 6.0 mi
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🏗️ New construction. The $229,160 list price is a builder figure, so every metric below is computed on the value from comparable previous sales — $259,384.

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath townhouse listed at $229k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-311 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $214k (6.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $202k (12.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $202k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 4.9% vs local median 3.7% in Lillington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 71/100 on livability (#101 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Harnett County Schools (rural): math 31% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #130 of 178 in NC (top 73%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Lafayette Elementary (math 50% / reading 49%, grade D, #417 of 1,410 statewide, top 32%, 625 students, 39% FRL); Harnett Central Middle (math 25% / reading 38%, grade F, #323 of 475 statewide, top 68%, 1,024 students, 63% FRL); Harnett Central High (math 43% / reading 51%, grade D-, #334 of 535 statewide, top 64%, 1,474 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools at 53% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 1690 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 7d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; high-income renter base; 2,080 units permitted in Harnett County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Harnett County population projected at +42% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 181 days — a 12% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $31k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Recommended offer $201,660 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 181 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.78%
Cap rate
4.86%
Cash-on-cash
-5.13%
DSCR
0.77
GRM
10.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$259,384
List price
$229,160
Delta
-11.65%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
45 Rusling Leaf Dr 0.00mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 0mo $227,160 $160 100
267 Rusling Leaf Dr 0.03mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 0mo $227,220 $160 98
250 Rusling Leaf Dr 0.05mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 0mo $236,000 $166 98
246 Rusling Leaf Dr 0.05mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 1mo $237,095 $167 97
271 Rusling Leaf Dr 0.03mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 4mo $249,990 $176 96
138 Rusling Leaf Dr 0.30mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 4mo $251,582 $177 83
31 Rusling Leaf Dr 0.38mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 2mo $239,990 $169 81
11 Rusling Leaf Dr 0.38mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 4mo $258,859 $183 79
150 Rusling Leaf Dr 0.39mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 4mo $275,000 $194 79
146 Rusling Leaf Dr 0.38mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 5mo $257,000 $181 78
21 Rusling Leaf Dr 0.38mi 3/2.5 1,418 (0%) 5mo $245,000 $173 78
76 March Creek Dr 0.26mi 3/2.5 1,510 (+6%) 4mo $225,000 $149 73

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.12% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-24.8%
Equity multiple
0.15×
Total profit
$-61,468
Equity at exit
$38,675
10-year hold
IRR
-20.1%
Equity multiple
-0.07×
Total profit
$-77,588
Equity at exit
$22,427

Cash invested: $72,627 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State North Carolina
85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable but court speed varies.
Buyer's market Market conditions within 1.0 mi — comparable homes for sale

Active competition Active MLS

For sale now
18 active · 15 under contract
Months of supply
8.3 mo (12%/mo absorbed)
Median asking
$244,990 ($173/sqft)
Median days on market
117 d
This list price
lowest-priced of the active set
ARV vs active asking
+5.9% vs current asking $/sqft

Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.

ZIP-level market 27526

Home prices YoY
-33.0%
Rents YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
1690
Price-to-rent
9.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,018 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,360
Tax est. 1.5%
$324 /mo · $3,891/yr
Insurance
$108
HOA
$112
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$424
Net cashflow
$-311

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,411
Max offer price $214,445
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-131 -5% $-221 +0% $-311 +5% $-400 +10% $-490
Rent -10% $-470 -5% $-390 +0% $-311 +5% $-231 +10% $-151
Rate -1.0pp $-180 -0.5pp $-245 base $-311 +0.5pp $-378 +1.0pp $-446

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$64,846
Closing costs
$7,782
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Cash invested
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 16 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
131 River Bank Rd Fuquay Varina, NC 4.0 2.5 1675 $1,995 $1.19 6d 1 0.20mi
23 March Creek Dr Fuquay Varina, NC 3.0 2.5 1418 $1,625 $1.15 6d 1 0.26mi
18 March Creek Dr Fuquay Varina, NC 3.0 2.5 1418 $1,695 $1.20 1d 1 0.27mi
213 Moore Creek Dr Fuquay Varina, NC 4.0 2.0 1764 $2,200 $1.25 5d 1 0.32mi
198 Moore Creek Dr Fuquay Varina, NC 4.0 2.0 1764 $2,195 $1.24 109d 1 0.34mi
32 Foxton Pl Angier, NC 3.0 2.5 1742 $1,965 $1.13 0d 1 0.80mi
394 Chedworth Dr Angier, NC 3.0 2.5 1742 $1,985 $1.14 6d 1 0.90mi
389 Chedworth Dr Angier, NC 3.0 2.0 1552 $1,925 $1.24 6d 1 0.91mi
59 Ivy Bank Dr Angier, NC 3.0 2.0 1316 $1,729 $1.31 119d 1 0.93mi
59 Ivy Bank Dr Angier, NC 3.0 2.0 1316 $1,729 $1.31 117d 1 0.93mi
107 Coleshill Rd Angier, NC 3.0 2.5 1800 $1,895 $1.05 6d 1 0.98mi
265 Royal Meadow Dr Angier, NC 4.0 2.5 1800 $1,830 $1.02 119d 1 1.07mi
302 Oxfordshire Dr Fuquay Varina, NC 3.0 2.0 1194 $1,879 $1.57 109d 1 1.11mi
50 Chedworth Dr Angier, NC 3.0 2.0 1384 $2,095 $1.51 119d 1 1.12mi
39 Virgo Dr Angier, NC 4.0 2.5 1658 $2,100 $1.27 6d 1 1.30mi
19 Virgo Dr Angier, NC 3.0 2.5 1418 $1,850 $1.30 119d 1 1.33mi

Property features AI

Finance

HOA & community
Part of Matthews Landing Townhome HOAMonthly HOA feeHOA amenities include clubhouse, dog park, pool, and trailsHOA covers grounds maintenance

Exterior

Parking
Attached garage with automatic door opener (1 covered garage space)Driveway parking (1 open space)Concrete drivewayGarage faces frontTotal 2 parking spaces
Security
Smart lock(s)
Utilities
Public waterPublic sewerElectricity availableSewer connected, water available
Home design
TownhouseNew constructionTwo levels2+ common walls (no one above, no one below)
Construction
Board & batten siding and vinyl sidingArchitectural shingle roofSlab foundationBuilt by D.R. Horton (Pearson model)
Exterior features
PatioSmart lightsSmart locksNo fencingCommunity in-ground outdoor pool

Interior

Kitchen
DishwasherFree-standing electric rangeMicrowaveStainless steel appliances
Bedrooms
3 bedrooms (one or more on upper level)
Flooring
Luxury vinylCarpet
Bathrooms
2 full bathrooms1 half bathroom
Heating & cooling
Electric heating (zoned)Central air (electric, zoned)
Interior features
Open floorplanSmooth ceilingsKitchen/dining room combinationLiving/dining room combinationPantryQuartz countersDouble vanityBathtub/shower combinationSeparate showerWalk-in showerWalk-in closet(s)Smart thermostatDouble pane windowsWindow screens
Laundry & utility
Washer hookupElectric dryer hookupLaundry closet (upper level)

Listing history 50 events

  1. 2026-09-24
    days on market $229,160 Active 181 DOM
  2. 2026-09-23
    days on market $229,160 Active 180 DOM
  3. 2026-09-22
    days on market $229,160 Active 179 DOM
  4. 2026-09-21
    days on market $229,160 Active 178 DOM
  5. 2026-09-20
    days on market $229,160 Active 177 DOM
  6. 2026-09-19
    days on market $229,160 Active 176 DOM
  7. 2026-09-18
    days on market $229,160 Active 175 DOM
  8. 2026-09-17
    days on market $229,160 Active 174 DOM
  9. 2026-09-16
    days on market $229,160 Active 173 DOM
  10. 2026-09-15
    days on market $229,160 Active 172 DOM
  11. 2026-09-14
    days on market $229,160 Active 171 DOM
  12. 2026-09-13
    days on market $229,160 Active 170 DOM
  13. 2026-09-13
    days on market $229,160 Active 169 DOM
  14. 2026-09-11
    days on market $229,160 Active 168 DOM
  15. 2026-09-05
    days on market $229,160 Active 162 DOM
  16. 2026-09-04
    days on market $229,160 Active 161 DOM
  17. 2026-09-03
    days on market $229,160 Active 160 DOM
  18. 2026-08-31
    days on market $229,160 Active 157 DOM
  19. 2026-08-29
    days on market $229,160 Active 155 DOM
  20. 2026-08-28
    days on market $229,160 Active 154 DOM
  21. 2026-08-27
    days on market $229,160 Active 153 DOM
  22. 2026-08-26
    days on market $229,160 Active 152 DOM
  23. 2026-08-25
    days on market $229,160 Active 151 DOM
  24. 2026-08-24
    days on market $229,160 Active 150 DOM
  25. 2026-08-23
    days on market $229,160 Active 149 DOM
  26. 2026-08-22
    days on market $229,160 Active 148 DOM
  27. 2026-08-21
    days on market $229,160 Active 147 DOM
  28. 2026-08-20
    days on market $229,160 Active 146 DOM
  29. 2026-08-19
    days on market $229,160 Active 145 DOM
  30. 2026-08-18
    days on market $229,160 Active 144 DOM
  31. 2026-08-17
    days on market $229,160 Active 143 DOM
  32. 2026-08-16
    days on market $229,160 Active 142 DOM
  33. 2026-08-15
    days on market $229,160 Active 141 DOM
  34. 2026-08-14
    days on market $229,160 Active 140 DOM
  35. 2026-08-13
    days on market $229,160 Active 139 DOM
  36. 2026-08-12
    days on market $229,160 Active 138 DOM
  37. 2026-08-11
    days on market $229,160 Active 137 DOM
  38. 2026-08-10
    days on market $229,160 Active 136 DOM
  39. 2026-08-09
    days on market $229,160 Active 135 DOM
  40. 2026-08-08
    days on market $229,160 Active 134 DOM
  41. 2026-08-07
    days on market $229,160 Active 133 DOM
  42. 2026-08-06
    days on market $229,160 Active 132 DOM
  43. 2026-08-05
    days on market $229,160 Active 131 DOM
  44. 2026-08-04
    days on market $229,160 Active 130 DOM
  45. 2026-08-03
    days on market $229,160 Active 129 DOM
  46. 2026-07-31
    days on market $229,160 Active 126 DOM
  47. 2026-07-29
    days on market $229,160 Active 124 DOM
  48. 2026-07-27
    days on market $229,160 Active 122 DOM
  49. 2026-07-25
    days on market $229,160 Active 120 DOM
  50. 2026-07-23
    days on market $229,160 Active 118 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,212
− Mortgage interest
−$14,530
− Property taxes
−$3,891
− Insurance
−$1,297
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,937
− Management
−$1,937
− HOA
−$1,344
− Depreciation
−$7,546
Taxable loss
−$8,269
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,984
After-tax cash flow
$-1,742/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab Est. rehab $7,090–$21,270 screening

This townhouse is in excellent condition with minimal repairs needed. It offers a good return on investment with updates that can significantly increase its resale and rental value.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value
  • Both New flooring in bathrooms — Improves aesthetics and functionality
  • Both New kitchen appliances — Modernizes the space and enhances functionality

ⓘ Rehab cost is a screening estimate — Cosmetic scope × the home's square footage at US $/sqft rules of thumb (the same model as the Flip Finder). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting.

F Composite school gradezoned avg 43/100

Zoned Schools

Elementary Lafayette Elementary D NC #417/1,410 Nat'l #12,785/41,679 Middle Harnett Central Middle F NC #323/475 Nat'l #8,497/14,009 High Harnett Central High D- NC #334/535 Nat'l #6,330/17,239

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harnett County Schools
NCES district ID
3702010
Math proficiency
31% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$45,400
Composite
29.88/100
National rank
#6397
State rank
#130 of 178 in NC
B Composite livability gradescore 71/100

Livability — Lillington

Score
71/100
State rank
#101
US rank
#6653

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B+ Employment C- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lillington, NC
County
Wake County · 153,758 people
City population
21,419
Metro
Raleigh-Cary, NC
Population (ZIP)
61,588
Household income
$110,017
Rent vs Own
19.5% rent · 80.5% own
Severe rent burden
4% of renters

Population outlook (Harnett County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
153,758 people
By 2030
166,581 · +8.3%
By 2040
192,741 · +25.4%
By 2050
218,332 · +42.0%
By 2075
275,422 · +79.1%
By 2100
313,511 · +103.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (70%)
Race & ethnicity
White 70% Black 14% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Romanian 2% Italian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
90% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harnett

2024 margin
Strong R (+25.1) · D 36.9% · R 62.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
-8.4pp toward R · 2008: -16.7pp · 2024: -25.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+25.1 2020: R+22.4 2016: R+24.1 2012: R+19.4 2008: R+16.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Price history

-6.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Price Changed $244,990 Zillow
  • 2026-05-15 Price Changed $244,990 TMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $249,990 TMLS
  • 2026-05-06 Price Changed $249,990 Zillow
  • 2026-03-28 Listed $260,490 Zillow
  • 2026-03-27 Listed $260,490 TMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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