CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
4426 12th St
B- Composite 67.69
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +1.0/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$48,000

4426 12th St · Dorr, MI 49348
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 615 sqft · SingleFamily · 14 Days on market
Built 1930 Poor condition 0.29 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Small 2 bedroom home in need of TLC. Backyard has a fenced in area. 2 outbuildings, 1 shed seems to be in decent condition, the other is larger and appears to be in decent condition as well. All offers are being held until 6/19/2026 at 8:00 am. Sale is subject to Probate Court Approval.

Key facts

  • Fenced in area
  • 2 outbuildings
  • 0.29 acre lot

Tags

FENCED IN AREA2 OUTBUILDINGSSHED IN DECENT CONDITION

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Natural gas connected; Natural gas water heater
  • Home design: Traditional single-family residence; Built in 1930; Living area approximately 615
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Partial crawl space foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Shed(s) and barn(s) on the property

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Heating present
  • Interior features: Total of 4 rooms; Partial crawl space basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $48k. Condition is rated poor.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $430 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($964 rent vs $48k).

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Wayland Union Schools (town): math 45% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #110 of 540 in MI (top 20%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 94 active listings in the ZIP; 419 units permitted in Allegan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $332 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $48,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
  2. Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.01%
Cap rate
17.05%
Cash-on-cash
38.41%
DSCR
2.71
GRM
4.1

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
34.5%
Equity multiple
2.46×
Total profit
$19,634
Equity at exit
$7,157
10-year hold
IRR
41.4%
Equity multiple
4.90×
Total profit
$52,435
Equity at exit
$4,150

Cash invested: $13,440 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 49348

Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
4.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$964 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$252
Tax est. 1.5%
$60 /mo · $720/yr
Insurance
$20
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$203
Net cashflow
$430

Break-even live

Break-even rent $420
Max offer price $48,000
Occupancy floor 50%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$12,000
Closing costs
$1,440
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-16
    statusdays on market $48,000 Pending 14 DOM
  2. 2026-06-15
    days on market $48,000 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-14
    days on market $48,000 Active 11 DOM
  4. 2026-06-10
    days on market $48,000 Active 8 DOM
  5. 2026-06-09
    days on market $48,000 Active 7 DOM
  6. 2026-06-08
    days on market $48,000 Active 6 DOM
  7. 2026-06-07
    days on market $48,000 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-05
    remarks 301-char remark
  9. 2026-06-05
    days on market $48,000 Active 2 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    remarks 287-char remark
  11. 2026-06-03
    listed $48,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,573
− Mortgage interest
−$2,689
− Property taxes
−$720
− Insurance
−$240
− Repairs & maintenance
−$926
− Management
−$926
− Depreciation
−$1,396
Taxable income
$4,676
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,122
After-tax cash flow
$4,040/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos

Poor 20/100 Extensive rehab

This property requires extensive renovations and repairs to bring it up to a livable condition. Immediate updates are needed in the kitchen and bathrooms, exterior siding and roof, HVAC system, and landscaping.

Repairs flagged

  • Major Kitchen countertops — Dirty and worn-out, need replacement.
  • Major Kitchen appliances — Dirty and worn-out, need replacement.
  • Major Kitchen flooring — Dirty and worn-out, need replacement.
  • Major Bathroom fixtures — Dirty and worn-out, need replacement.
  • Major Bathroom flooring — Dirty and worn-out, need replacement.
  • Major Exterior siding — Weathered and missing shingles, need replacement.
  • Major Windows — Dirty and worn-out, need replacement.
  • Major Landscaping — Overgrown and unkempt, need trimming and planting.
  • Major HVAC system — Aged and likely inefficient, needs replacement or repair.

Value-add opportunities

  • Resale Kitchen renovation — Modernizing the kitchen will attract more buyers.
  • Resale Bathroom renovation — Modernizing the bathrooms will attract more buyers.
  • Both Exterior siding and roof replacement — Improving the exterior will increase curb appeal and value.
  • Both HVAC system replacement — A new HVAC system will improve comfort and energy efficiency.
  • Both Landscaping and yard work — A well-maintained yard will increase curb appeal and attract more buyers/renters.

Renovation cost estimate screening

Repair itemSeverityEst. cost
Kitchen countertops · Dirty and worn-out, need replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
Kitchen appliances · Dirty and worn-out, need replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
Kitchen flooring · Dirty and worn-out, need replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
Bathroom fixtures · Dirty and worn-out, need replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
Bathroom flooring · Dirty and worn-out, need replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
Exterior siding · Weathered and missing shingles, need replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
Windows · Dirty and worn-out, need replacement. Major $15,000–50,000
Landscaping · Overgrown and unkempt, need trimming and planting. Major $15,000–50,000
HVAC system · Aged and likely inefficient, needs replacement or repair. Major $15,000–50,000
Total estimated repair cost · 9 items $135,000–450,000

Value-add ROI direction

  • Resale Kitchen renovation — Modernizing the kitchen will attract more buyers.
  • Resale Bathroom renovation — Modernizing the bathrooms will attract more buyers.
  • Both Exterior siding and roof replacement — Improving the exterior will increase curb appeal and value.
  • Both HVAC system replacement — A new HVAC system will improve comfort and energy efficiency.
  • Both Landscaping and yard work — A well-maintained yard will increase curb appeal and attract more buyers/renters.

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wayland Union Schools
NCES district ID
2635550
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$58,432
Composite
41.92/100
National rank
#3359
State rank
#110 of 540 in MI

Livability — Dorr

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
13,607

Population outlook (Allegan County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
120,251 people
By 2030
122,204 · +1.6%
By 2040
123,979 · +3.1%
By 2050
122,340 · +1.7%
By 2075
116,088 · -3.5%
By 2100
98,461 · -18.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 5% Black 2% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Iranian 24% Romanian 6% Lithuanian 4%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegan

2024 margin
Strong R (+27.2) · D 35.7% · R 62.9% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
-16.5pp toward R · 2008: -10.7pp · 2024: -27.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+27.2 2020: R+25.2 2016: R+28.8 2012: R+19.2 2008: R+10.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -150.52%
Current HPI
251.5261
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $48,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $48,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-06-02 Listed $48,000 SW Michigan MLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…