🏢 Co-op
315 NE Cardinal Lane Unit Lot L25 · Jensen Beach, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- —
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
- —
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- —
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Condition / age +4.8/5.0
- Schools +4.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$148,759
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Brand-New Construction in Jensen Beach — 55+ Community with No Lot Rent Welcome to 315 NE Cardinal Lane, a never-lived-in home located in the sought-after 55+ community of Tropical Acres in Jensen Beach. This co-op ownership community offers no lot rent and low HOA fees of just $168/month, covering common areas, pool service, and reserves. This newly constructed home offers modern features and peace of mind, including 200-amp electrical service, transferable home warranty, 8-foot ceilings, and attic-distributed A/C vents. All appliances are brand new. Additional highlights include an 8x10 storage shed, pre-wired for electricity and built to Martin County Wind Mitigation Code standards. The property is connected to city water and sewer, with a separate well-fed irrigation system for landscaping. Optional RV and boat storage is available for $30/month (subject to availability). Conveniently located just minutes from downtown Jensen Beach, shopping, dining, and local beaches, this home offers a rare opportunity to enjoy a low-maintenance coastal lifestyle in a well-maintained community.
Key facts
- Low hoa fees
- New construction
- No lot rent
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $149k. Condition is rated excellent.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $605 ($7k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $149k).
- Recommended offer: $135k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 4.1% in Jensen Beach — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#432 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living B+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety D-.
- Martin (suburban): math 52% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #24 of 73 in FL (top 33%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.0%/yr); 536 active listings in the ZIP; 30 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 737 units permitted in Martin County in 2024 (167 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($70k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Martin County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 1.0% rent growth), your $42k cash investment doubles in ~9 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 118 days — a 9% lower offer ($135k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 118 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.53% ✓
- Cap rate
- 11.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 17.43%
- DSCR
- 1.78
- GRM
- 5.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $70,032
- List price
- $148,759
- Delta
- 112.42%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 12 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 152 NE 15th Ter | 0.13mi | 2/2.0 | 924 (+3%) | 4mo | $170,000 | $184 | 86 |
| 1535 N Baseline Ave | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 | 920 (+3%) | 15mo | $185,000 | $201 | 72 |
| 1518 NE Cardinal Ave | 0.05mi | 2/2.0 | 838 (-7%) | 18mo | $240,000 | $286 | 71 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.24×
- Total profit
- $10,070
- Equity at exit
- $22,180
- IRR
- 13.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.99×
- Total profit
- $41,218
- Equity at exit
- $12,862
Cash invested: $41,653 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34957
- Rents YoY
- 1.0%
- Active inventory
- 536
- Price-to-rent
- 5.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,280 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$780
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$186 /mo · $2,231/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$168
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$479
- Net cashflow
- $605
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,190
- Closing costs
- $4,463
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 30 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1001 NE Baker Rd Stuart, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 952 | $2,280 | $2.40 | 14d | 27 | 0.22mi |
| 25 NE 17th St Stuart, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 990 | $2,000 | $2.02 | 23d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 1398 NW Cavendish Ct Stuart, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.5 | 1242 | $2,393 | $1.93 | 21d | 11 | 0.36mi |
| 1097 NE Kubin Ave Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.5 | 952 | $2,450 | $2.57 | 23d | 1 | 0.61mi |
| 2013 NE Collins Cir #50 Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 903 | $1,800 | $1.99 | 14d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 1971 NE Collins Cir #20 Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1037 | $1,750 | $1.69 | 23d | 1 | 0.78mi |
| 975 NW Flagler Ave #403 Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1082 | $3,000 | $2.77 | 23d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 1999 NE Collins Cir Unit 3-80 Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1067 | $1,775 | $1.66 | 23d | 1 | 0.83mi |
| 875 NW Flagler Ave #302 Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1082 | $2,900 | $2.68 | 14d | 1 | 0.90mi |
| 1411 NE 14th Ct #13 Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1100 | $3,000 | $2.73 | 23d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 1617 NE Nautical Pl Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 961 | $1,850 | $1.93 | 14d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 800 NW Fork Rd Stuart, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 886 | $1,850 | $2.09 | 14d | 2 | 1.08mi |
| 1585 NE Beacon Dr #1103 Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 961 | $1,495 | $1.56 | 23d | 1 | 1.09mi |
| 964 NW Spruce Ridge Dr Unit D1 Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $2,200 | $2.08 | 23d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 974 NW Spruce Ridge Dr Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1037 | $2,100 | $2.03 | 23d | 1 | 1.13mi |
| 1622 NE Maureen Ct Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 780 | $1,800 | $2.31 | 14d | 1 | 1.17mi |
| 415 NW Flagler Ave #403 Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1082 | $3,000 | $2.77 | 23d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 1900 NW Federal Hwy Stuart, FL | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1013 | $3,973 | $3.92 | 14d | 21 | 1.18mi |
| 2201 NW Federal Hwy Stuart, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1080 | $2,530 | $2.34 | 14d | 18 | 1.23mi |
| 64 NE Acacia Trl Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1000 | $3,000 | $3.00 | 23d | 1 | 1.24mi |
| 1600 NE Dixie Hwy Unit 10-203 Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1072 | $2,300 | $2.15 | 23d | 1 | 1.25mi |
| 1010 NW Fresco Way Jensen Beach, FL | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1011 | $2,122 | $2.10 | 14d | 10 | 1.27mi |
| 2952 NE Savannah Rd Jensen Beach, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1056 | $3,000 | $2.84 | 23d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 1225 NW 21st St Unit 35-3512 Stuart, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 747 | $1,395 | $1.87 | 23d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1225 NW 21st St Unit 36-3609 Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1014 | $1,700 | $1.68 | 21d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1225 NW 21st St Stuart, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 773 | $1,500 | $1.94 | 21d | 3 | 1.41mi |
| 1225 NW 21st St Stuart, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 773 | $1,350 | $1.75 | 14d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1225 NW 21st St Unit 8-815 Stuart, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1014 | $1,950 | $1.92 | 23d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 1225 NW 21st St Unit 7-705 Stuart, FL | 1.0 | 1.5 | 747 | $1,550 | $2.07 | 14d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 3111 NE Savannah Rd Jensen Beach, FL | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1085 | $1,995 | $1.84 | 14d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $168 · $2,016/yr
- Likely covers
- watersewerelectriclandscapingpool
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $148,759 Active 118 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $148,759 Active 117 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $148,759 Active 116 DOM
-
2026-06-15price $148,759 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $148,760 Active 115 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $148,760 Active 113 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $148,760 Active 112 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $148,760 Active 110 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $148,760 Active 109 DOM
-
2026-06-09price $148,760 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $148,764 Active 108 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $148,764 Active 107 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $148,764 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $148,764 Active 102 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $148,764 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $148,764 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $148,764 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-04-19price $148,765 1109-char remark
Show marketing remark (1109 chars)
Brand-New Construction in Jensen Beach — 55+ Community with No Lot Rent Welcome to 315 NE Cardinal Lane, a never-lived-in home located in the sought-after 55+ community of Tropical Acres in Jensen Beach. This co-op ownership community offers no lot rent and low HOA fees of just $168/month, covering common areas, pool service, and reserves. This newly constructed home offers modern features and peace of mind, including 200-amp electrical service, transferable home warranty, 8-foot ceilings, and attic-distributed A/C vents. All appliances are brand new. Additional highlights include an 8x10 storage shed, pre-wired for electricity and built to Martin County Wind Mitigation Code standards. The property is connected to city water and sewer, with a separate well-fed irrigation system for landscaping. Optional RV and boat storage is available for $30/month (subject to availability). Conveniently located just minutes from downtown Jensen Beach, shopping, dining, and local beaches, this home offers a rare opportunity to enjoy a low-maintenance coastal lifestyle in a well-maintained community.
-
2026-03-20price $149,876 1109-char remark
Show marketing remark (1109 chars)
Brand-New Construction in Jensen Beach — 55+ Community with No Lot Rent Welcome to 315 NE Cardinal Lane, a never-lived-in home located in the sought-after 55+ community of Tropical Acres in Jensen Beach. This co-op ownership community offers no lot rent and low HOA fees of just $168/month, covering common areas, pool service, and reserves. This newly constructed home offers modern features and peace of mind, including 200-amp electrical service, transferable home warranty, 8-foot ceilings, and attic-distributed A/C vents. All appliances are brand new. Additional highlights include an 8x10 storage shed, pre-wired for electricity and built to Martin County Wind Mitigation Code standards. The property is connected to city water and sewer, with a separate well-fed irrigation system for landscaping. Optional RV and boat storage is available for $30/month (subject to availability). Conveniently located just minutes from downtown Jensen Beach, shopping, dining, and local beaches, this home offers a rare opportunity to enjoy a low-maintenance coastal lifestyle in a well-maintained community.
-
2026-02-25price $159,876 1109-char remark
Show marketing remark (1109 chars)
Brand-New Construction in Jensen Beach — 55+ Community with No Lot Rent Welcome to 315 NE Cardinal Lane, a never-lived-in home located in the sought-after 55+ community of Tropical Acres in Jensen Beach. This co-op ownership community offers no lot rent and low HOA fees of just $168/month, covering common areas, pool service, and reserves. This newly constructed home offers modern features and peace of mind, including 200-amp electrical service, transferable home warranty, 8-foot ceilings, and attic-distributed A/C vents. All appliances are brand new. Additional highlights include an 8x10 storage shed, pre-wired for electricity and built to Martin County Wind Mitigation Code standards. The property is connected to city water and sewer, with a separate well-fed irrigation system for landscaping. Optional RV and boat storage is available for $30/month (subject to availability). Conveniently located just minutes from downtown Jensen Beach, shopping, dining, and local beaches, this home offers a rare opportunity to enjoy a low-maintenance coastal lifestyle in a well-maintained community.
-
2026-02-20$169,876 Active 1109-char remark
Show marketing remark (1109 chars)
Brand-New Construction in Jensen Beach — 55+ Community with No Lot Rent Welcome to 315 NE Cardinal Lane, a never-lived-in home located in the sought-after 55+ community of Tropical Acres in Jensen Beach. This co-op ownership community offers no lot rent and low HOA fees of just $168/month, covering common areas, pool service, and reserves. This newly constructed home offers modern features and peace of mind, including 200-amp electrical service, transferable home warranty, 8-foot ceilings, and attic-distributed A/C vents. All appliances are brand new. Additional highlights include an 8x10 storage shed, pre-wired for electricity and built to Martin County Wind Mitigation Code standards. The property is connected to city water and sewer, with a separate well-fed irrigation system for landscaping. Optional RV and boat storage is available for $30/month (subject to availability). Conveniently located just minutes from downtown Jensen Beach, shopping, dining, and local beaches, this home offers a rare opportunity to enjoy a low-maintenance coastal lifestyle in a well-maintained community.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $27,358
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,333
- − Property taxes
- −$2,231
- − Insurance
- −$744
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,189
- − Management
- −$2,189
- − HOA
- −$2,016
- − Depreciation
- −$4,328
- Taxable income
- $5,330
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,279
- After-tax cash flow
- $5,982/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This newly constructed home in a 55+ community offers modern features and no lot rent, making it an excellent investment opportunity.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Landscaping and pool maintenance — Maintaining the landscaping and pool will enhance the curb appeal and attract potential buyers or renters.
- Both Regular home maintenance — Regular maintenance will ensure the home remains in top condition and reduces the risk of unexpected repairs.
Renovation cost estimate screening
Value-add ROI direction
- Both Landscaping and pool maintenance — Maintaining the landscaping and pool will enhance the curb appeal and attract potential buyers or renters. ↑
- Both Regular home maintenance — Regular maintenance will ensure the home remains in top condition and reduces the risk of unexpected repairs. ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Martin
- NCES district ID
- 1201290
- Math proficiency
- 52% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 53% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $52,482
- Composite
- 45.1/100
- National rank
- #2690
- State rank
- #24 of 73 in FL
Livability — Jensen Beach
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #432
- US rank
- #7719
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Jensen Beach, FL
- County
- Martin County · 165,223 people
- City population
- 23,462
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 23,462
- Household income
- $70,403
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 946.0
Population outlook (Martin County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 172,383 people
- By 2030
- 180,192 · +4.5%
- By 2040
- 194,114 · +12.6%
- By 2050
- 204,992 · +18.9%
- By 2075
- 229,641 · +33.2%
- By 2100
- 232,146 · +34.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 6% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 4% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 2% Tagalog/Filipino 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Martin
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+31.1) · D 34.1% · R 65.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.5pp toward R · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -31.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+31.1 2020: R+24.6 2016: R+26.9 2012: R+22.9 2008: R+13.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -319.66%
- Current HPI
- 340.0172
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.00%
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
||
| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
|
||
Price history
-12.4% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-19 Price Changed $148,765 MARMLS
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $149,876 MARMLS
- 2026-02-25 Price Changed $159,876 MARMLS
- 2026-02-20 Listed $169,876 MARMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…